BTC Update📊 CRYPTOCAP:BTC Update
Remember guys — BTC can still move toward the $92,000 area 💰
This level lines up with the CME gap that could be filled 🔄
Nothing guaranteed, but it remains a possible target if the trend continues 📈
Trade ideas
Diversified Futures Paper Trading Setup: 5 Instruments, BalancedDetails / Description:
Today, I set up a paper trading portfolio on TradingView using 5 instruments from different sectors/industries to practice diversification, risk management, and leverage.
Strategy Highlights:
Selected 1 instrument from each industry to reduce sector-specific risk.
CME:MBT1! – Industrial / Metals
CME_MINI:ES1! – S&P 500 Index
CME_MINI:MNQ1! – Nasdaq 100 Index
COMEX_MINI:MGC1! – Gold Mini Contract
NYMEX:MCL1! – Crude Oil Mini Contract
Used market orders for immediate entries.
Set Take Profit and Stop Loss for each position with a rough 1:3 risk-reward ratio.
Let positions run for the medium term (days to weeks) without constant monitoring.
Margin and available funds carefully managed to ensure all positions can stay open safely.
Purpose / Learning Goal:
Practice portfolio diversification across different industries.
Learn position sizing, risk-reward, and leverage management.
Observe how unrealized and realized P/L evolve over time.
Understand how stop losses and take profits help automate risk management.
Next Steps:
Monitor daily or via alerts, but avoid constant screen watching.
Adjust future trades based on performance and market conditions.
BTC Death Cross and Filling CME GapHello traders,
Well BTC is in a pickle.. Its lost 100K and the death cross is about to occur by Sunday 11-16-2025. A deathcross is when the 50DMA crosses the 200DMA. Sounds ominous but for bitcoin many times it has market the bottom before it reverses higher. Whats even more crazy is Bitcoin always fills the CME gaps and that could be its Target Sunday when futures open or this week and once it fills the gap Bitcoin has no must hit targets below that... So Im predicting that it bottoms and then we head higher from there. Everyone is dooming right now on twitter and chats...Let's see what happens.
BTC Analysis | CME GapHello friends
Bitcoin’s critical gap between $91,500 and $92,500 could serve as a short-term correction target if selling pressure continues.
A gap that closes could set the stage for a bottom and a continuation of the uptrend.
The price’s reaction to this area will determine the market’s next direction.
Don't forget risk and capital management.
*Trade safely with us*
CME Gap closure at 92k early DecemberGotta close them all. Fractal analysis, an update to my previous chart.
Bitcoin Technical Breakdown: Still Bearish We revisited Bitcoin We revisited Bitcoin recently and the technicals remain grim:
- 200-day MA erosion continues
- RSI stays low = persistent weakness
- Price & lagging line both below the Ichimoku cloud
- MACD still negative
- Lower highs, lower lows = downtrend intact
So why watch this chart?
If you're already short, the key question is: when do you add to your position?
🔍 Watch for this combo:
- Weekly close below the 55-week MA (currently at 12,027)
- Breakdown of weekly RSI support
📌 That’s your next sell signal. If it triggers, it’s time to scale into your short.
Stay sharp. Trade smart.
#Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BTC #BearishSetup #Ichimoku #RSI #MACD #CryptoStrategy
Disclaimer:
The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
BTC: Possible double top targeting 92k CME GapViewing the chart below, this looks like a Double Top with a measured target close to the CME Gap at 92k.
There could be a wick down close to this area to close the gap before price continues back upwards.
These don't always play out, however with low liquidity in the market, CME may choose to drop price to free up stuck liquidity at the 92K Level.
Triple Gap and yearly BounceThere's quite a bundle of supports here and if we get a bounce the target will most likely be the unclosed CME gap at 117k. The price could still go a bit lower but I don't think by that much. I don't expect this rally to be as strong as the last BTC idea I had but I expect alts to go up if we get a bounce here
BTC CME - One final push down to close the gap?There is unfilled CME gap at $91,700 that remains unfilled. Could we have one more push down to fill it?
Bitcoin Holds 90k (For Now), 70k A Real PossibilityMy bearish bitcoin target outlined in the middle of October came to fruition this week. I update my levels and technical reasoning as to how it could still head for 70k after a potential bounce.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index
The Pattern That Looked Bullish… Until It Didn’t1. The “Too Good to Be True” Setup
You’ve seen it a hundred times — that shiny W-shaped pattern that screams reversal.
Traders spot it, celebrate it, and rush in before it even completes.
But not every double bottom deserves a standing ovation. Sometimes, what looks like a powerful comeback is actually the calm before another dip.
2. Meet the Real Players: FO vs. UFO
Behind every pattern hides a tug-of-war between two invisible forces:
FO (Filled Orders): Where buyers already did their job. The gas tank’s empty.
UFO (UnFilled Orders): Where fresh buyers are still waiting. That’s where the real fuel sits.
In our current setup, price bounced from an FO zone that already spent its energy.
The next UFO zone — the untouched demand — sits lower.
Translation? The market might need one more leg down to refuel before any real rally begins.
3. The Bear Hiding Inside the Bull
Chart shapes can lie.
Order flow doesn’t tend to.
When price sits on an FO support and the next UFO level is far below, odds tilt toward a break, not a bounce.
It’s like jumping on a trampoline that’s already been stretched too far — it might not spring you up again this time.
4. Rethink “Confirmation”
Pattern traders often buy the moment they spot symmetry. Smart traders wait for liquidity confirmation — the moment unfilled demand actually engages.
If that doesn’t happen, all you’ve got is a good-looking shape on a tired level.
5. The Real Lesson
Patterns attract attention.
Order flow reveals intent.
Patience separates analysis from impulse.
The next time a chart whispers “reversal,” ask yourself: Is it running on new energy or recycled hope?
Want More Depth?
If you’d like to go deeper into the building blocks of trading, check out our From Mystery to Mastery trilogy, three cornerstone articles that complement this one:
🔗 From Mystery to Mastery: Trading Essentials
🔗 From Mystery to Mastery: Futures Explained
🔗 From Mystery to Mastery: Options Explained
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
#BITCOIN pathways for the halveningroute 1
or route 2
or a new pathway (Most likely)
next April we will be at $50k
BITCOIN : WEEKLY TRADE STRUCTUREAttention all chart warriors, candlestick whisperers, and Fibonacci fanatics!
If you're reading this trade plan, congratulations — you've officially entered the realm of market prophecy
Here is my view on the current BTC/USD trade structure. Looking at the weekly chart, the price has successfully broken out of resistance and the trendline. Therefore, the current decline is a correction before a potential upward move resumes. However, if the price manages to break below the support level of 90862.16, this structure will change
good luck all
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal**
Thanks a lot for your support
_Bitcoin CME Gap Update
CME Gap is open and almost ready to fill ranging at 92,600 - 92,115 panda fam possible one reason why price aggressively drop in recent days, week, & months. 🚩
Same time panda fam yung main own strat natin na PBr1 also at 95,835 - 93,525 possible price will bounce same time but wag lang sana bounce agad we need some liquidity hunt muna sa baba para ma fill at bounce yun yung much better movement para pwede tayo mag expect ng possible reversal bounce on next IMPULSE rally ✍️
Conclusion always watch and observe our PBr1 that is our ideal keylevel of bouncing point maganda ang pinapakita ng price movement ngayon confluence and backed by PBr1 and CME Gap 🔥
BTC’s Toxic Relationship with Support LevelsMarket Prophecy is back
Price made a rejection on the weekly timeframe and successfully broke through daily support at 98,920. Now, it looks like BTC might pull a classic move—retracing to the 50–61.8% Fibonacci zone, just like its previous wave—before continuing its dramatic dive toward the next support at 81,490. Traders call it ‘price action.’ I call it emotional damage
good luck all
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal**
Thanks a lot for your support
BTC (MBT) on the way ot 86'000Price reacted very well at the white and red fork lines (see arrows).
We have left the white centerline, and now price is hovering around the red one. If we get an open and close below it, we’ll have a new target: the WL1 of the white fork, which unsurprisingly, lines up with the red L-MLH.
Rough times ahead...
Bitcoin is ready for another rally!Hi traders, how are you? today Bitcoin has fully-filled the CME gap, this is a good reversal point for the entire crypto market IMO. This 30% drop was expected, and healthy for the market overall, now bears are exhausted, and it's time to go up.
Fear and greed index today is at 11
MAX PAIN ---> TIME TO BUY
BTC —THE GAP IS FINALLY CLOSED.We can officially breathe. That CME gap that dragged the market down for weeks — finally filled today. Price tapped it, job done.
Now the fun part begins.
1️⃣ Selling pressure is gone.
As long as the gap was open, the market kept getting pulled down.
Closed → the main bearish magnet is gone.
2️⃣ Perfect spot for a reversal.
We completed the technical “obligation.”
The best bounces often start exactly here.
3️⃣ Alts might finally wake up.
While BTC was crawling to fill the gap, alts were dying.
Now the road is open we might finally see green.
4️⃣ Next scenarios:
— Hold support → move toward 100–102k.
— Break it → down to 86–88k (and collective screaming 😂).
5️⃣ Panic is over.
Gap filled.
TA worked.
Market structure became much cleaner.
Summary:
Gap closed.
Technical debt paid.
Bounce territory unlocked.
Bitcoin’s battle to stay above $100KLast time Bitcoin was at $100K, it ran up another $24K over the course of about 3 weeks. That retest of that price was a single day’s price action. Bitcoin has been hovering around $100K this entire week after falling. If it breaks below and closes then I can see some major selling pressure coming in immediately after due to fear. I’m going to focus on the price action this upcoming week because it should be making a decision to move away from $100K or fall below for the first time in a while.
Market Structure 101: Navigating Price ActionMost traders jump directly into indicators, oscillators, or patterns. Yet every chart has a deeper foundation that determines direction long before any tool is applied. Market structure is that foundation. When you understand how price forms highs, lows, and transitions between them, you stop reacting to noise and start reading the market’s intent. It is the base layer that allows you to build a clear, consistent bias.
Price moves because buyers and sellers interact around key levels. Structure highlights where momentum strengthens, weakens, or reverses. By tracking how highs and lows evolve, you can identify trend, consolidation, and shifts in direction with far more clarity than any indicator can offer. Market structure is objective. It gives you a rule-based lens to interpret movement across all timeframes.
Understanding Highs and Lows
There are four structural components every trader must recognize.
Higher High (HH): Price breaks above a previous high, showing buyers in control.
Higher Low (HL): Price pulls back but stays above the prior low, confirming trend continuation.
Lower High (LH): Price rallies but fails to reach previous highs, indicating weakening demand.
Lower Low (LL): Price breaks below the previous low, signaling sellers taking control.
These sequences are the building blocks of trend identification. When mapped correctly, they remove guesswork and reveal underlying momentum.
Identifying Uptrends and Downtrends
Uptrend: A sequence of HHs and HLs. Buyers consistently push price higher and defend higher floors.
Downtrend: A sequence of LHs and LLs. Sellers control direction, rejecting higher prices and driving the market downward.
A trend remains intact until structure breaks. This is why experienced traders avoid predicting reversals and instead follow structural evidence. When the market prints new HHs and HLs, the bias remains long. When LLs and LHs appear, the bias rotates short.
Ranges and Consolidation
Markets do not trend all day. Much of the time, they move sideways. A range occurs when highs and lows stay relatively equal, creating a horizontal zone with equal highs and equal lows. This is where compression happens. Liquidity builds above the range highs and below the range lows, and trend often resumes only after one side of the range is taken.
In ranges, structure becomes neutral. Bias is formed only when price breaks out and retests with confirmation.
Break of Structure(BOS) and Trend Shift
A break of structure occurs when the market violates the pattern of the existing trend. In an uptrend, a break occurs when price prints an LL. In a downtrend, a break occurs when price forms an HH. This signals a potential shift in momentum.
Breaks of structure matter because they identify turning points without relying on subjective signals. They show where one side loses control and the other gains traction. They also create clear invalidation points for risk management.
How to Read Structure Across Timeframes
Market structure becomes even stronger when used across multiple timeframes. The higher timeframe sets the primary bias. The lower timeframe provides entry precision.
Weekly or Daily: Structural trend and major zones.
4H or 1H: Execution windows and key shifts.
15m and 5m: Entry confirmation.
When all levels of structure align, the probability of a clean move increases significantly.
Avoiding Common Mistakes
Many traders misread structure by focusing on every small fluctuation. Structure is defined by meaningful swings, not micro noise. Another common error is assuming a single HH or LL immediately reverses a trend. Context matters. Breaks followed by continuation and retests confirm the shift. A disciplined trader waits for structure to become clear instead of acting on isolated candles.
Turning Structure Into a Bias
Structure simplifies decision-making.
If the market is printing HH and HL formations, you prioritize longs.
If it is printing LH and LL formations, you seek shorts.
If highs and lows are equal, you wait for a breakout.
Bitcoin: Two Development Scenarios from Gap Closure ZoneCurrent Situation
Bitcoin has completed a sharp decline and is located in the critical gap closure zone. The chart shows two key technical elements: a resistance level in the upper part of the range and a high volume zone (HIGH VOLUME ZONE) significantly below current prices. Price has stopped precisely in the gap area, creating conditions for institutional players to make their decision.
Primary Scenario: Bounce from Gap Closure Zone
An immediate reversal upward from current levels is possible with subsequent movement toward key resistance. Gap closure often acts as a price magnet and correction completion point. If limit players are ready to defend this zone, a strong bounce is possible without testing lower levels.
Target Levels:
Movement toward the upper boundary of the range
Test of key resistance where price was previously stopped
Alternative Scenario: Test of High Volume Zone
Price may continue declining toward the high volume zone (HIGH VOLUME ZONE) located significantly lower. This area represents interest for forming a long-term reversal, as high volume concentration indicates institutional position accumulation. A more powerful and sustainable reversal upward is possible from here.
Key Levels of Alternative Scenario:
HIGH VOLUME ZONE — area for potential long-term reversal
Possibility of forming a strong base for upward movement
Trading Plan
For Primary Scenario:
Monitoring price reaction in current gap closure zone
Entry into long positions upon formation of reversal patterns
Target: movement toward key resistance
For Alternative Scenario:
Waiting for decline to high volume zone
Looking for signs of selling absorption in HIGH VOLUME ZONE
Entry into long positions with more aggressive risk/reward ratio
Risk Management
Primary scenario: stop-loss below gap closure zone accounting for possible false breakout
Alternative scenario: stop-loss below high volume zone with margin for stop liquidation
Recommended to split capital between two possible entry points
BTCUSD LongNow or never for BTC.
I’m bullish from this level but I think it’s possible the peak might be in - so the yellow path would be what I can see happening in the case.
Alternatively if the peak is not in I can see it heading up to $140k and possibly peaking around there.
The Pivotal Moment of 2025Bitcoin Futures have tested the 50 weekly MA multiple times, in the last 2 years. Every intance, within that time frame, temporarily wicked below it but closed at or above it. Today, if this cycle is still to remain alive, it must reclaim that 50 MA. This weekly close is extremely important. CME:BTC1!
