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E-mini S&P 500 Futures (Mar 2027)

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ESH2027 trade ideas

Day 11 — Trading Only S&P Futures — Mixed Signals, +$199Welcome to Day 11 of Trading Only S&P Futures! Today was all about adapting and not forcing trades. I’ve noticed I usually perform best later in the day, so I’ve been starting with smaller contracts to warm up. Profits started rolling in, but things felt different — market makers kept flipping structure and trying to trap traders. I was expecting more downside, but once I saw the MM games, I decided to protect profits and lock in +$199.20 instead of being greedy. 📰 News Highlights STOCKS END MOSTLY FLAT TO START THE WEEK AS INVESTORS LOOK AHEAD TO POWELL SPEECH, RETAIL EARNINGS 🔔 VX Algo Signals (9:30am – 2pm EST) 7:01 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! 9:58 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! 9:58 AM VXAlgo ES X3DD Sell Signal 11:30 AM VXAlgo NQ X1DD Sell Signal 12:30 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! 12:50 PM VXAlgo NQ X1DD Sell Signal 2:00 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! 🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow Above 6460 = Remain Bullish Below 6450 = Bearish
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DiYWALLST
ES - August 18th - Daily Trade Plan3:30am EST - Daily Trade Plan Update We had a tight range between 6467-6484 overnight and price broke the overnight low and have found buyers at the 6462 level. Pretty straight forward from here. We need to clear 6472 to retest the overnight high. IF, price loses 6460 we will most likely retest the 6453 level which was Friday's low. We would then be looking for a nice reclaim of this level to move higher. IF, price does not reclaim the 6460 level on the back test, we will most likely keep moving lower with 6429, 6408, 6390 are the next levels below with 6390 the weekly low from last week and should see a good pop back up the levels above. We can't keep moving higher unless we reclaim 6472 level. Initial Plan below - Also can be seen in the related publication section to the right. Our first support down is 6462 then 6453. Ideally, we can flush one of these levels, reclaim and move higher with this week's targets being 6522, 6540, 6562, then 6588. IF, price does pullback and can flush either 6452, 6426, 6390 as key areas to be tested and try to keep the bullish trend in play. IF, we lose 6390, that would be concerning in the short term, and price will need to find another yellow support line below for a reclaim back up the levels. Above 6390 and we should continue up the levels of 6522, 6540 with very bullish case up to 6588. I have posted my weekly view and can be viewed by clicking the link under related publications. We did meet our weekly targets last week as discussed in the weekly plan.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by jhill1618
6
ES (S&P 500 Futures) - Week Plan Aug 18–22Context (W/D/4H/1H/30M): ES is consolidating just under 6,500. Price is boxed roughly 6,466 ↔ 6,504/12 with a cluster of highs above and recurring demand tests below. Key Levels (zones, not single ticks): Resistance: 6,504–6,512 (near-term lid). Above that: 6,520–6,550 (weekly supply/“weak high”). Decision level: 6,492–6,495 (where control often flips intraday). Supports: 6,464–6,466 (first support) → 6,436–6,440 → 6,380–6,395 (deeper support). How to read it: Bull path: A firm break and hold above 6,504 favors a push toward 6,520 → 6,535 → 6,550. Bear path: Failure at 6,495 or a clean break below 6,464 opens 6,440 → 6,390. If price stays between 6,466 and 6,504, expect range behavior until a catalyst pushes it out. Scenarios (next week): Range continues: Chop between 6,466–6,512 until mid-week events. Upside break: Hold above 6,504 → test 6,520–6,550 (watch for reaction there). Downside break: Lose 6,464 with momentum → 6,440, then 6,390 if pressure persists. Key events (ET): Wed: Federal Reserve meeting minutes (afternoon). Thu: Weekly claims; flash PMIs; existing home sales (morning block). Thu–Sat: Jackson Hole economic symposium (watch for policy remarks). Notes: Levels are zones and may see initial reactions before acceptance or rejection. This post is for market commentary/education only.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
clear uptrend, with a resistance turned support (confirmed)=BUY1. a small entry of sellers followed by a strong sell off with an inability of buyers to really do much of anything, resulting in a lack of back and forth aka structure 2. buyers enter and slowly begin building momentum, the lack of volitility for me signals a disinterest by sellers rather than buyers coming in and taking out alot of selling volume 3. switch and test, ' Shelf ' of support seems to be established * what do I think is going to happen ? * this chart is very interesting in that there are really only 3 interesting areas , the sell off, the uptrend, and now the switch and test, which tested successfully I might add * this shelf of support alongside the defeat of the strong sellers from #1 signals a ton of space upward, a clear buy signal for me * once again I am wary , if there is this much conviction, usually price likes to whip the other way , luckily we have our handy dandy zones * we have a 71% follow through rate using the chaos theory indicator, if a candle closes, to the upside , to reach the next orange zone, so we will hope to not get wicked out and place a stop buy order. *expecting high volitility and big buyer interest, a buy stop is appropriate
CME_MINI:MES1!Long
by jacesabr_real
return to liquidity grab signals bull, else bear1. switching from strong volitlity into a running flow 2. establishment of interest from sellers 3.strong dump to (trigger sell stops ) from 2.1 ( buyers stopped out ) , take opposing position and use the extra volume to push past 2 , creating 4 and establishing a solid structure at 1 as the hard dump could not / was not interested in going below there, the dumpers who are our buyers now, they could possibaly have their stop loss just below #1 5. reaching zone end, and as per chaos theory we reached an expansion target, with MFI and RSI oversold it could be a push at least to the next expansion target, though this is not offical chaos but a more risky zone end ossolation play. * if I'm wrong. maybe it'll move heavy against me ? will add a position there just in case , sometimes everything points 1 direction just to go the other * Indicators used : - Chaos theory : available for free on my script page - RSI and MFI : available for free from community scripts
CME_MINI:MES1!
by jacesabr_real
ES - August 17/18 - Daily Trade PlanI have posted my weekly view and can be viewed by clicking the link under related publications. We did meet our weekly targets last week as discussed in the weekly plan. The plan for Sunday evening and into Monday is still looking for higher prices. Our first support down is 6462 then 6453. Ideally, we can flush one of these levels, reclaim and move higher with this week's targets being 6522, 6540, 6562, then 6588. IF, price does pullback and can flush either 6452, 6426, 6390 as key areas to be tested and try to keep the bullish trend in play. IF, we lose 6390, that would be concerning in the short term, and price will need to find another yellow support line below for a reclaim back up the levels. Above 6390 and we should continue up the levels of 6522, 6540 with very bullish case up to 6588. I will post an update Monday before 8am EST with overnight session price action and what we should be looking for during the NYSE session. Please follow for notifications when I post my daily trade plan and any updates throughout the session.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by jhill1618
ES - Weekly Trading Plan - August 18th-22ndLast week I posted that I was looking for 6452, 6482 as my weekly main targets. The high of the week was 6510. You can see on the 2hr chart that 6452.75 was back tested with strong institutional buying and then we continued higher. Price ended the week with a mild pullback to the 6461 level. Plan for next week is that we need to hold 6390, 6369. for us to continue higher. Ideally, we do not lose 6452 with 6426 being the breakout and 6390 the low of the week. IF, price does pullback and can flush either 6452, 6426, 6390 as key areas to be tested and try to keep the bullish trend in play. IF, we lose 6390, that would be concerning in the short term, and price will need to find another yellow support line below for a reclaim back up the levels. Above 6390 and we should continue up the levels of 6522, 6541 with very bullish case up to 6588. I will post a daily trade plan this week on the 15 min chart and will follow my plan to find areas that we should get level to level moves upwards. Follow so you can be notified when my daily trade plan is released.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by jhill1618
Liquididty grab points to potential big money positioning 1. **Pattern Recognition**: Identifying a transition from strong volatility into a running flow pattern. 2. **Seller Interest Established**: Lower low formation in response to the initial volatility spike, confirming seller presence at this level. 3. **Liquidity Grab and Reversal**: Strong dump designed to trigger sellers identified in point 2. Take the opposing (long) position here, using the increased volume from triggered sellers to push price past level 2, creating level 3. This establishes solid structure at level 1, as the dump showed no interest in breaking below it. The dumpers (now turned buyers) likely have stop losses positioned just below level 1. 4. **Zone End Target**: Approaching zone end with expansion target reached per chaos theory principles. With both MFI and RSI showing oversold conditions, expecting at minimum a push to the next expansion target. Note: This is an unofficial chaos theory application - a higher risk zone end oscillation play. **Risk Management Note**: If the analysis is wrong, price may move heavily against the position. Consider adding a hedge position as insurance, as markets sometimes present all signals pointing in one direction only to reverse completely.
CME_MINI:MES1!
by jacesabr_real
Day 10 — Trading Only S&P Futures | $200+ Goal HitWelcome to Day 10 of Trading Only S&P Futures! After waking up super early and not getting back to sleep, I spent most of my morning going through 13F filings to see where hedge funds are putting their money. The trading day started strong — market structure flipped bearish and price action followed perfectly. I missed the exact market bottom by just 2 points, but patience paid off. I eventually caught the reversal back to the 5-min MOB and closed the day with a +212.54 gain — hitting the $200 daily goal I’ve been aiming for all week. 📈 What you’ll learn How to stay patient after missing a perfect entry Using market structure & MOB zones together Why having a daily profit target helps discipline Combining trading with ongoing market research ⏰ Timestamps 0:00 — Intro & Day 10 Recap 0:50 — Early Start & Hedge Fund 13F Research 1:40 — Market Structure Sets the Tone 2:10 — Missing the Bottom by 2 Points 3:00 — Catching the Reversal at 5-min MOB 4:00 — Key Levels for Tomorrow 4:30 — Closing Thoughts 📰 News Highlights FED CHAIR CANDIDATE MARC SUMERLIN SUPPORTS 50BPS RATE CUT DUE TO INVERSION OF CURVE 🔔 VX Algo Signals (9:30am – 2pm EST) 8:30 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! 9:39 AM VXAlgo Market Structure flipped bearish - 9:31 9:40 AM VXAlgo NQ X1DD Sell Signal 11:00 AM VXAlgo NQ X1DD Sell Signal 12:40 PM VXAlgo NQ X1DD Sell Signal 12:50 PM VXAlgo NQ X3 Buy Signal 1:30 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! 🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow Above 6460 = Remain Bullish Below 6440 = Bearish
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DiYWALLST
ES - August 15th - Daily Trade Plan5:45am EST - Daily Trade Plan - Overnight Session Our overnight session opened around 6488 and have grinded up to 6508 (6pts shy of original target) and are currently back testing the 6488-6492 support that was a strong resistance the past couple of days. I expect price to hold the overnight session support in red; flush then reclaim this level to continue to our targets in green above (6514, 6525). We really want to hold the next level down at the 6473 yellow support and trendline in white. Below there we will want to get out of the way, let price find a level in yellow, flush, build a base and rally after reclaiming the nearest yellow support/resistance line on the chart. As mentioned, this week it is OPEX today. Can be a tricky trading day, so wait for price to come to the levels and work the plan as price dictates the direction it wants to go. I will update around 10am after NYSE open settles out.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by jhill1618
ES1! Plan — Fri Aug 15 | OPEX + U. Mich (10:00 ET). Key levelsES held above 6480 and is pressing into 6490s ahead of monthly OPEX and U. Michigan Sentiment at 10:00 ET. Yesterday’s hot PPI (3.3% YoY) keeps rates sticky; 6500 is a logical magnet/pin. Levels: • Sell zones: 6492–6495, 6502–6506 (watch 6500). • Buy zones: 6483–6486, 6476–6480, 6468–6472. A++ Setups (≥15-pt TP1): 1. Short 6492–6495 (or 6502–6506) on absorption + LH/ChoCH → TP1 6477–6480, TP2 6468–6472. 2. Long 6476–6480 (or defended 6483–6486) on absorption + HH/VWAP reclaim → TP1 6492–6495, TP2 6502–6506. Risk: Stop 6–8 pts beyond zones or ≥1.25× 1-min ATR past last swing. Scale 40–50% at TP1; BE+2 on balance; trail swings. Event risk: 10:00 ET U. Mich; late-day OPEX flows (14:00–16:00) and MOC around 15:50 ET. Not financial advice.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
Day 9 — Trading Only S&P Futures — Small Win, Staying DisciplineWelcome to Day 9 of Trading Only S&P Futures! Today was a slower day for me. I had a meeting in the morning, didn’t start trading until after 11, and took a loss right away on my first trade. Instead of forcing trades, I decided to step back, protect my gains from the week, and focus on other projects. I still managed to close the day +93.03, keeping my consistency goal intact. The endgame here is to build a system where I can copy trade 10 accounts at once, making $100–$200 per day. 📈 What you’ll learn Why stepping away can be a winning move Importance of avoiding revenge trading after a loss Long-term consistency over short-term action Vision for scaling to multiple accounts ⏰ Timestamps 0:00 — Intro & Day 9 Recap 0:40 — Why I Started Late Today 1:20 — First Loss & Market Read 2:00 — Decision to Step Back Early 3:00 — Consistency Over Aggression 3:30 — Key Levels for Tomorrow 📰 News Highlights Traders are still pricing in a 90% likelihood that the Fed will cut rates by 25bps next month despite the hottest PPI reading in three years. 🔔 VX Algo Signals (9:30am – 2pm EST) 8:32 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! 10:30 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! 10:57 AM VXAlgo NQ X1 Sell Signal 11:30 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! 11:50 AM VXAlgo NQ X1 Buy Signal (double signal) 12:30 PM VXAlgo ES X3DD Sell Signal 1:30 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! 1:40 PM VXAlgo NQ X1 Sell Signal 🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow Above 6460 = Remain Bullish Below 6440 = Bearish
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DiYWALLST
ES- August 14th - Daily Trade Plan7:25am EST Price has built up an overnight base between 6476 and 6490. PPI coming out this am and we could keep grinding higher or Ideally we get a loss of 6477 and reclaim to setup a nice opportunity for 10+ points and retest the 6502 high yesterday with potential upside targets of 6514, 6525, 6539. I will update my thoughts after PPI is released. I am first looking for a flush below overnight low and reclaim or we will need to see a quick flush of lower levels at 6452, 6437 or levels shown by the yellow support levels on the chart as areas we could flush and move higher. Below 6397 and we could continue lower. IF, price is falling fast, I would get out the way and let price find support at a level and put in a good base to build and work higher. My lean is we continue higher but first we need a flush to scare holders and push prices higher as we head into Friday OPEX. I could see us potentially spiking to 6502, 6514 after PPI then come back into the overnight range after the NYSE open. I won't be guessing or chasing, I will just be focused on how price acts and will wait for my entry to enter. IF, price loses 6437 area and doesn't reclaim, it might need to head to 6409 or 6391 area to setup a strong back test. Update around 10am EST.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by jhill1618
Tomorrow’s Playbook: Levels, News Bias & Scenarios 08/14/2025Summary: Bias = Neutral→Bullish while above 6,464–6,466 and the 15m 200-EMA (6,459). A clean 5m/15m acceptance above 6,491/6,500 favors continuation; otherwise expect a data-driven sweep into 6,475–6,468 to test demand. Scenarios & Triggers (rule-based) 1) Continuation breakout • Trigger: 5m close > 6,491 → probe 6,496–6,500. • Validation: 15m acceptance above 6,500 (no immediate rejection). • Targets: 6,502–6,505 first; stretch 6,512/6,520 if momentum persists. • Management: If price reclaims 6,491 from above after a retest, momentum likely intact. 2) Rotation to demand (buy-the-dip if structure holds) • Trigger: Rejection at 6,489–6,491 with 5m close back inside range. • Path: 6,482 → 6,475.5 → 6,468; watch order-flow absorption or an FVG fill inside 6,464–6,466. • Validation: Bullish 5m close from the box and 15m structure holds above 6,459. • Targets on bounce: Return to 6,489–6,491, then 6,496–6,500. 3) Bearish flip (lower-probability without data shock) • Trigger (strict): 15m bearish confirmation and sustained acceptance below 6,459 (15m 200-EMA). • Path: Open the door to a deeper mean-reversion leg toward prior breakout bases (next map would be built after the break). • Note: No shorts without that 15m confirmation per protocol. Educational only — not financial advice.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
Day 8 — Trading Only S&P Futures — From -400 to +155Welcome to Day 8 of Trading Only S&P Futures! Today was a battle of patience and discipline. I started the day with a -400 loss from an overnight short order that got stopped out before the market even opened. It was tempting to close up shop, but I traded small, stayed disciplined, and waited for the right setup. Once I saw the X7 Sell Signal align with X3 Bearish Structure, I sized up — turning the day from deep red to +155 before fees. 📈 What you’ll learn How to manage a big overnight loss without spiraling The importance of sizing down until confidence returns Using structure + signal alignment for A+ setups Patience in clawing back losses ⏰ Timestamps 0:00 — Intro & Day 8 Recap 0:40 — The Overnight Loss & Mindset Shift 1:40 — Clawing Back With Small Trades 2:20 — The X7 + X3 Bearish Alignment Trade 3:00 — Market News & Impact 3:30 — Key Levels for Tomorrow 📰 News Highlights DOW jumps over 400 points, VIX falls as stocks end higher on rate cut bets. 🔔 VX Algo Signals (9:30am – 2pm EST) 3:00 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! 9:30 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal 9:42 AM VXAlgo NQ X1 Sell Signal 10:00 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal 10:26 AM VXAlgo ES X7 Sell signal 10:30 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! 11:20 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal (double buy) 1:25 PM VXAlgo NQ X3 Buy Signal 2:13 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! 🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow Above 6440 = Remain Bullish Below 6410 = Bearish
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DiYWALLST
ES - August 13th - Daily Trade PlanWe built an overnight base between 6462 and 6475. We broke out of this and have grinded higher into the 6484 target we have been looking for this week. PPI coming out this am and we could keep grinding higher or Ideally we get a loss of 6462 and reclaim to setup a nice opportunity for 10+ points and retest the highs of the day and potential target 6492, 6503+. I will update my thoughts after PPI is released. I am first looking for a flush below overnight low and reclaim or looking at 6452, 6437 or 6424 level as shown by the yellow support levels on the chart as areas we could flush and move higher. Below 6397 and we could continue lower. My lean is we continue higher, but first need a flush to scare holders and push prices higher as we head into Friday OPEX. Update around 10am EST.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by jhill1618
12
Day 7 Trading Only S&P Futures — Trusting Structure Over GreedWelcome to Day 7 of Trading Only S&P Futures! Today was a mixed day with a small loss of -$16.65. I started strong, up $133 early on, but after a big push up, I expected the market structure to flip bearish and missed a key long entry. Later, I shorted the 6451 resistance but let greed get the best of me, holding too long and turning a winner into a loss. The key lesson? Trust the market structure and the double down (DD) signals — don’t fight the system. 📈 What you’ll learn Why trusting structure and signals beats guessing the market How greed can sabotage even well-planned trades The importance of taking profits on key moves Reading VX Algo signals for better trade timing ⏰ Timestamps 0:00 — Intro & Day 7 Recap 0:30 — Trading Wins & Mistakes 1:30 — VX Algo Signal Review 2:30 — Market News & Impact 3:30 — Key Levels for Tomorrow 🔔 VX Algo Signals (9:30am – 2pm EST) 8:29 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! 10:10 AM VXAlgo NQ X1 Buy Signal 10:20 AM VXAlgo NQ X1DD Buy Signal (double buy) 11:30 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal 11:50 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal 12:10 PM VXAlgo NQ X1 Sell Signal (double sell) 12:40 PM VXAlgo NQ X1 Sell Signal 📰 News Highlights S&P 500 closes at a new record high. 🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow Above 6410 = Remain Bullish Below 6390 = Bearish
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DiYWALLST
3