NQ Range (12-15-25)After the drop back into the Churn Zone, we have a NAZ Triangle of Range. Upper circle is the break under 10/22 TL, Mid circle is near mid CZ and Diablo pop on 12/1 and lower circle is CZ bottom and U Turn Target. Open Range (Reg Session) is shaded zone (yellow arrow), white arrow is break out to retest Diablo and lower yellow will be to KL 24,910. Watch the counter moves (Spikes) prior to actual larger moves, Overnight Pump/Dump at Open Drive and of course the Tweets during the Dead Zone. IDS27 Friday Open to current Chart:
Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100 Index Futures
No trades
Market insights
NQ Short (12-12-25)25,623 is Mid Level of recent range, we have seen 2 Long Trap lock ins that drop after Reg Session BTD/FOMO lifts into now a Gap open and lower O/N Session. Sometimes the Gut Feeling Indicator is the best. Orange TL seems to be the KL to watch. Yellow is lower and White is higher, the Edge Trades in opposite direction are working until a breakout. Looking for the same play today and waiting for the BTD/FOMO crowd to bail, I am pretty sure that Santa, Easter Bunny and Plus Plus Plus Plus Plus are not real.
NQ Short (12-11-25)The yellow arrow is from my Monday Post, the Short Trade at KL 828 was a classic Edge Trade in the opposite direction at a Key Level. NAZ move back to mid level of the 1,000 point Churn Zone. Just felt that balance would show up and recent weak PA up was setting up a Long Trap. The Orange TL is what to watch and started back on 10/22. NAZ may rotate around, short under and long above. IDS27 view below
NQ Range (12-17-25)Not what it seems, have to follow the crumbs of Tricks. On 12/26 NQZ hit KL 24,910 and is now at 25,245 (White Arrow). This is the actual PRICE of NQ, which is under Channel and 200 plus points lower. NDX will gap open higher (and above danger zone), that was the goal today. Knowing the Tricks may help with your next trade, which should be Short (at some point).
NDX Chart
IDS27 Chart
NASDAQ: Dip Buy Time! Wait For Valid Buy Setups!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Dec. 15 - 19th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: NASDAQ (NQ1!) NAS100
The NASDAQ is is still bullish, despite the leeriness toward AI and tech stocks. Profits were taken Friday, causing a bearish close on the day. But there are supporting structures for higher prices nearby, and I will personally be watching for price to contact those areas and look for valid market shifts to signal buys are in order!
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
NQ Short (12-09-25)Basically same idea as Monday, not expecting much until Fed Decision. The O/N did use some failed auctions to pump the NAZ above nearside Danger Zone of 25,620-40 to upper resistance and KL 25,735, we are back under DZ at this time. Range today may be 630-730 for next move should the NAZ stay above 25,580, under play lower KL's.
NASDAQ 100 (NQ1!): Bullish! Look For Valid Buys Only!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Dec. 8 - 15th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: NASDAQ (NQ1!) NAS100
The NASDAQ is showing bullish order flow, and it has been strong over the past couple of weeks.
Trading above 25,600 is making looking for shorts a no no.
A weakened US Dollar supports the idea of higher prices.
Wait for valid buy setups.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
NQ1! (Nasdaq 100) has entered the terminal phaseThe Nasdaq 100 has entered the terminal phase of its 20 day institutional dealing range and is currently executing a distribution program within the premium quartile. The failure to sustain price acceptance above the 25,700.00 Volume Imbalance suggests the algorithm is preparing for a mean reversion event to rebalance the monthly ledger.
The present price action represents a classic 'Bull Trap' at the upper boundary of the range where retail momentum is being absorbed by institutional limit sell orders ahead of a repricing to equilibrium.
Entry: 25,550.00 (Sell Limit)
Stop loss: 25,880.00 (330.00 points)
Take profit: 24,850.00 (700.00 points)
Risk to reward ratio: 2.12R
CME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:MNQ1! IG:NASDAQ
The Opportunity
The 20 day IPDA lookback reveals that price is oscillating within a defined premium distribution block between 25,350.00 and 25,850.00. The market has expended significant energy to reach this valuation but has failed to close the daily candles above the key Volume Imbalance at 25,700.00.
This rejection signature implies that the 'Santa Rally' narrative has been utilized to engineer exit liquidity for smart money positions accumulated at the lows. The algorithm is an efficiency engine and it cannot justify a new macro expansion leg without first revisiting the internal range equilibrium to capitalize the move.
The Entry
Initiating a short position in the 25,550.00 to 25,600.00 zone aligns with the institutional logic of selling the upper 25% of the monthly range. This zone offers the highest statistical edge as it places the entry directly against the 'Ceiling' of the current volatility profile while targeting the 'Floor' of the recent expansion.
The Volume Imbalance acts as a natural defensive barrier for the stop loss as the algorithm will typically respect this array during a distribution phase.
The Invalidation
The bearish causal chain is ontologically corrupted if price achieves a daily close above the 25,880.00 range high. Such an event would signify a 'Blue Sky' breakout and a shift in regime from range bound to trending.
If the market accepts price above this threshold it implies that the premium valuation has become the new floor and the algorithm is targeting the 26,000.00 psychological level.
Key Trajectory Waypoints
Target 1: 25,350.00 | Type: 75% Range Quartile | Probability: 70% | ETA: 24 Hours
Target 2: 24,850.00 | Type: Range Equilibrium (50%) | Probability: 60% | ETA: 2-3 Days
Target 3: 24,400.00 | Type: NWOG / Discount Target | Probability: 40% | ETA: Next Week
The Shadow Reality
A 35% probability exists for the antithetical reality: The Range Expansion.
In this scenario the current consolidation is a 'High Tight Flag' and the algorithm ignores the equilibrium requirement to force a squeeze into the 26,000.00 level immediately.
This reality is confirmed if price holds above 25,650.00 for two consecutive 4 hour closes.
25076 is a super level. Watch for further drops if it breaksSee all the arrows where this level got respected. Some sessions it was the perfect bounce on CME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:MNQ1! and other sessions, it was the level that caused an instant flush down or rocket up. I suspect price to hover around this level and either accumulate before a complete reversal or trap some bulls before a drop down to mid 24000s. I'd set the next max bounce level around 24649 if we give up this level.
Set your TradingView alerts and see what happens around this level. You can put alerts on your horizontal line if you really want to. See image below.
One last thing: if you see the 4 hour chart a little more zoomed in you'll notice an inverse cup and handle:
This should give another 200 point flush at the very minimum. If you are really eager to catch a bounce, watch this demand zone at 24816.
Short NQLaunched an anchored VWAP from the swing low (11/21/25 pre-mkt):
-Traded constructively (finding support above the +1 deviation band) for about 17 trading days
-Lost steam, started trading below +1 dev band; support became resistance (Mon 12/8 pre-mkt)
-Fell below VWAP this morning (Fri 12/12 10am-ish)
.....and until it escapes that red box, it's a short for me.
Short NQ
TX ICT/SMC Based NQ1 Short, Liquidity level based SL,TPI am looking at at a short position after a retracement back into the POI range. Before this I saw technical analysis confirmations with a double sweep of liquidity, BOX, and short signal however I like to wait for confirmation before entering based on the TX ICT/SMC Indicator logic. TP, recent high, SL recent low liquidity level.
FuturesOne ORB, Long, NQ1, HTF Bias EntryFor this Idea, I am looking at a Long on NQ1.
Price has already wicked the ORB high,
and are in a bullish bias this morning based
on my HTF analysis, so I am predicting we
will see price move back up, CLOSE above the
FuturesOne ORB high and I would enter a long
trade on the close.
SL at a recent low within the ORB range, and TP
at a HTF key liquidity level I determined.
NQ UpdateMFI touching oversold and RSI is close.
I did not short anything Friday because it might hit oversold Sunday night and reverse up. Also, Supreme Court decision on tariffs could happen as soon as this week, though most are anticipating end of the month or possibly Jan.
The market will pop big when it happens and wipe out puts in minutes, so I'm just going long when things get oversold.






















