NQ KEY LEVELS - 16th APRIL 2025Key levels marked by using low volume nodes for potential key levels where we may see price react.
MNQ1! trade ideas
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 04/15/2025MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 04/15/2025
📈19130 19280
📉18670 18520
Thanks to all my followers! Truly appreciate the support!
Please like and share for more NQ levels Tues & Thurs 🤓📈📉🎯💰
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed higher on the daily chart. It held above 18,360 at the close, and today’s candle formed a golden cross as the MACD crossed above the Signal line, creating a potential buy signal. However, this signal will only be confirmed if the candle closes as a solid bullish bar, so it's too early to say that a buy confirmation has been established.
On the weekly chart, although the index has not yet reclaimed the 5-week MA, it has gapped above it. Overall, the index appears to be forming a box range between the 3-week and 10-week MAs, and if further upside occurs, we could potentially see a move toward the 60-week MA. However, since the MACD and Signal line on the weekly chart are still sloping downward, there's a high possibility of a medium-term pullback even if the index rallies to the 10-week MA.
On the daily chart, the index is still meeting resistance at the 20-day MA, and the key point now is whether the MACD completes the golden cross or turns downward again. Since the index has managed to hold above 18,360, the potential for a rebound remains open. Buying during pullbacks near the lower wick remains a favorable strategy.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD is turning upward after finding support at the Signal line, forming a potential third wave of buying. In short-term timeframes, buying on dips remains favorable.
This week, the Retail Sales data is scheduled for Wednesday, and the U.S. markets will be closed on Friday. Please keep that in mind for risk management.
Crude Oil
Crude oil closed higher in a narrow range on the daily chart. On the weekly chart, a long lower wick formed, finishing with a doji candle, suggesting indecision. Last week, oil was rejected at the 3-week MA, forming an upper wick. If it rallies this week, it could target the 5-week MA. The $65 level, near both the 5-week and 240-week MAs, remains a strong resistance zone, making it a potentially favorable area to consider short trades.
On the daily chart, oil has entered a box range between the 5-day and 10-day MAs. Though the MACD and Signal line still point downward, oil is currently holding within a supportive range. There is a possibility the MACD could begin to turn upward, so keeping both bullish and bearish scenarios open is advisable.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD is still rising after a golden cross but remains below the zero line, suggesting a potential for another pullback. Overall, monitor intraday movements and continue to trade within the range.
Gold
Gold closed higher, setting a new all-time high. The weekly chart formed a strong bullish candle, resuming its upward trend. Buying near the 3-week MA remains favorable. As the price has overshot the previous target of $3,216, we’ve now entered an overshooting zone, making it difficult to define the next resistance. Therefore, caution is advised for short positions, and it’s best to focus on buying the dips.
On the daily chart, the new all-time high generated a bullish signal, and buying near the 3-day MA is recommended. Gold may enter a sideways consolidation phase while aligning its moving averages. In that case, buying near the 5-day MA may also be considered, but avoid chasing the price higher.
The MACD has made another golden cross, and it’s important that the MACD doesn’t create a divergence by failing to surpass its previous peak. Avoid shorts, and stick with buy-the-dip strategies. On the 240-minute chart, buying momentum remains strong. The RSI is in overbought territory, so again, avoid shorting and focus only on buying during pullbacks.
Market Outlook
Compared to the last two weeks of high volatility, this week is expected to be more subdued. After a period of extreme moves, the market is likely to consolidate and seek direction. Rather than swinging for home runs, it's better to focus on small base hits and steadily build profits.
Wishing you a successful trading week!
If you like my analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
For additional strategies for today, check out my profile. Thank you!
Price Fall under VWAPi knew for sure price was catching up momentum at my orange zone now waiting for the "what goes up must come down" sarnario
2025-04-15 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: I always refuse to interpret more into trading ranges than necessary. We have nested triangles. Just wait for the breakout. I have a bad feeling for bears, since today’s bad news could not push markets down, always a bad sign for bears.
current market cycle: bear trend valid until bear trend line broken but trading range a bit more likely right now. At least on lower time frames.
key levels: 16000 - 20000
bull case: Bulls need higher highs above 19000 to test 19250 and then the huge buy climax at 19384. If they get it, that means the bear trend line is broken and the bear trend is over and we will likely see a short squeeze for the ages. Huge day tomorrow.
Invalidation is below 18740.
bear case: Bears have to defend the bear trend line or they can just give up until we see 20000 or higher. Lower lows below 18600 would be a decent start tomorrow and next target then is 18750. Below is the elevator down to 18000 or lower. I would like a weekly close below 18000 very. much.
short term: Neutral 18900 - 19000. Invalidation prices for both sides are clear. Be patient and wait for the big breakout.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-03-16: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish, given in my year-end special. W3 overshot it by 1000 points. Now my bearish bias is gone and I will wait how this unfolds. Big uncertainty for this year but I think this selling is overdone and big bois are buying with both hands below 17000.
trade of the day: Shorting 19000 was good multiple times.
NQ Short (04-15-25)NAZ rejected at the Diablo, again. No Pass go Short and a passing of KL is a Long. 19,400 is the zone to watch, should the Overnight Magic Traders get the NAZ that high. If O/N can't do it I highly doubt the Reg Session will as it usually sells off. NAZ on the edge of the channel and has not done much since the 20 minute 2,000 point pop from Uncle Bunker.
NDX Update below
NQ: 171st trading session - recapWas definitely more into the market today than usual, which is really good.
I feel like I can get the bag with this. In theory it is really the simplest way to make money:
I got my strategy, follow it and execute your plan. I don't really know why I doubt myself and the plan I wrote down, it's perfect. Take your trades, get the funded account, and execute your plan on picture perfect setups. It is pretty simple, yeah. Lock in.
NQ Range (04-14-25)Will stay with Range and the Friday for Monday. The chart below is the NDX, red line is Diablo with yellow arrow, white arrow is Danger Zone. The move away from the DZ was a 20 minute 2,000 point move. One of the best U Turns in recent 5-10 years and well manufactured, to boot. Look at all Mega Cap Tech stocks, you can see they (major indexes also) are under a similar Trend Line. When the NAZ gets pinned between a Diablo TL & DZ, or U Turn needed support level, the games/tricks come out (like we are seeing now). Passing the TL (Diablo) up usually will take off like a rocket or snail lift for weeks (but will not drop). No pass and rejection will retest the DZ and look for anything to hold it (like a Friday- Monday sideways to Long). Under the DZ and we just keep dropping. Highly doubt the significant drop takes place as we are approaching "Buy in May and Go Away". Unless the old "Sell in May and Go Away" decides to return.
NDX
From down $300-400 to only -$30Today I took some L's early on and was down $300-400 I made it back with some plays that were decent but not A+ and I ended the day down $-30. I decided to stop trading for the rest of the day to save my mental capacity and preserve capital I missed an A+ Setup not long after but overall I am happy with that
NQ: 170th trading session - recapYurr, I'm back actually trading again. Last week was so bad because price action was SO UGLY AHHHHHH. It's still not ideal, especially on the higher timeframes, sh*t looks like a heart rate monitor.
But yk, I gotta start trading someday again yk.
Might aswell be now.
nasdaq rallies to 32kgood morning,
i don’t usually post publicly, especially not about the stock market, but today feels like the right moment. i wanted to share my updated outlook for the nasdaq over the next year or so.
this was originally a member-only idea i shared back in september. you can check out the original post here:
---
the whole idea was based on a leading diagonal pattern, followed by a sharp wave 2 that resets sentiment and shakes out early optimism. this kind of move tends to scare most people out before the real run begins. from there, the setup calls for a parabolic wave 3 that carries us all the way to the grand cycle wave 5 target, around 32k (chart attached)
👇
---
the reason behind this move is actually pretty straightforward... a short squeeze into the end of the cycle, a weakening dollar, falling interest rates, looser tariff policy, and everyone’s favorite fuel: quantitative easing. while rates haven’t fallen yet and tariff policies are still tight, major shifts are on the horizon. i believe those shifts will trigger a parabolic rally.
and there’s one more catalyst behind this push, the ai boom. i believe artificial general intelligence will be cracked before the year is over, and the market is already beginning to price that in, starting now.
🌙
Nasdaq Technical Analysis. What Makes Nasdaq a Trader’s Favorite📊 Nasdaq Technical Analysis – Week 15, 2025
This week’s Nasdaq structure suggests a high probability of sideways movement between 19,500 and 18,700,
despite recent macro-driven volatility.
Key headlines include: – U.S. tariff adjustments & China’s 125% retaliation
– March CPI hitting the lowest level since early 2021
– Bond market instability and capital outflows
From a technical perspective:
🔹 volatility on the weekly is overheated — suggesting reduced volatility ahead
🔹 Fibonacci 0.618 near 20,084 may act as short-term resistance
🔹 Ideal long zone sits between 18,600 and 18,700, with invalidation below 18,500
(by 12H closure)
🔹 Ideal long zone sits between 18,000 and 18,300, with invalidation below 17,900
(Just a touch of 17,900 might invalidate this idea)
This analysis includes trendline setups held since 2023, confirming the value of clean charting.
A full structure review from Yearly to 4H charts is included.
No news-based guesswork. Just structured, chart-driven insight.
📌 If this chart aligns with your bias, feel free to save, comment, or follow.
Is NASDAQ Futures Set to Continue Its Bullish Momentum? Key Leve
- Key Insights: Nasdaq Futures are off to a strong start with a 1.4% gain,
bolstered by optimism in the tech sector and risk-on sentiment. However,
caution is advised as mid-week reversals could emerge, driven by
macroeconomic events and Federal Reserve commentary. Traders should monitor
yields, tech earnings, and sector tailwinds closely.
- Price Targets:
- Target Level 1 (T1): 19,400 (~3.2% higher), indicating a breakout
opportunity tied to bullish sentiment.
- Target Level 2 (T2): 19,800 (~5.3% higher), representing extended upside
momentum if T1 is breached.
- Stop Level 1 (S1): 18,200 (~3.2% lower), key downside protection in case of
a midweek reversal.
- Stop Level 2 (S2): 17,700 (~5.9% lower), deeper support for risk control
against volatility.
- Recent Performance: Nasdaq Futures gained 260 points, up 1.4% amidst strong
market sentiment, buoyed significantly by technology stocks. Weekend Wall
Street Futures also rallied 2-3%, signaling robust market positioning and
optimism leading into the new trading week.
- Expert Analysis: Analysts attribute current bullishness to the technology
sector’s leadership, strong earnings outlook, and broader risk-on appetite
reflected in correlated assets like Bitcoin. However, higher Treasury yields
(4.5%) could temper growth stocks later in the week as borrowing costs rise.
Investors are urged to monitor inflation data and sector developments for
recalibration.
- News Impact: Apple options activity hints at potential upcoming catalysts,
while Nasdaq ETF trends in QQQ suggest sustained bullishness with resistance
levels aligning to Futures analysis. Federal Reserve commentary and
inflation data may pose key risks, especially for rate-sensitive tech
stocks.
