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"Second verse, same as the first!"A throwback to 1965's Herman's Hermits "I'm Henery the Eighth, I am". This is the same chart as yesterday's only using a Daily Chart. I want to emphasize the power of the market forces at work right now. I want you to see and feel the history being made. It is unfolding day upon day, week upon week and month upon month before our eyes and upon our charts. Cup 1 is also a Daily double bottom, bouncing on the 50-day sma shortly after the 50 has crossed the 200-day sma. Not only that but it has two hammers bouncing on the 50 and a Bull Engulfing Candle and decent volume. Cup 2, aka Monster Head & Shoulders, aka Ajax, which has been dominating our charts for some time, has two hammers on strong Support (aka "glorious" Hector's footing for defeating Ajax in a splendid battle). Don't miss the volume that came in on Friday, 9/26. China's Temper Tantrum, Friday, 10/10, while big in size, cannot withstand The Fourth Industrial Revolution Bulls. Isn't it interesting that it is part of two cups - the bottom of Cup 3 and the top of Cup 4? Communist China cannot stop the forward march of Free Market Capitalism. Truth defeats Falsehood! Indeed, we traders shall have a new dance floor, and our capital will have a new ballroom.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by Sidgate
5
NASDAQ 100 (NQ1!): Wait For Valid Buys! #nasdaq Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Oct. 20-24th. In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: NASDAQ (NQ1!) NAS100 The NASDAQ had ranged last week, but had a bullish end on Friday. I suspect we may see some continuation to the upside this week. Wait for confirmation before taking valid buys setups. I don't see a reason to look for sells. A bearish break of market structure would be a good reason. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!Long
by RT_Money
2
''...a barrow by the wide Hellespont.''"And some one shall one day say even of men that are yet to be, as he saileth in his many-benched ship over the wine-dark sea: 'This is a barrow of a man that died in olden days, whom on a time in the midst of his prowess the glorious Hector slew.' So shall some man say, and my glory shall never die." As we knew from a prior post, Hector would win this rematch of an ancient duel on the Trojan plains. Hector, Prince of Troy, with his feet firmly set, appears to have slain Ajax - the human fortress, Ajax - the Monster Head & Shoulders. Translation of Homer's Iliad attributed to T. Murray Are we out of this Bloody Battlefield once and for all? I don't know. Many who know far more than I predict the markets will continue to chop and at some point, toward year's end and throughout 2026 will continue higher. There are others that see a looming recession. One thing we do know for sure - we can clearly see Support and Resistance, VPOCs and Prior VPOCs, Cups and their Handles and Buy the Dip areas. And we have several trade plans that work in a bull market. Our Strong Support for the time being has moved higher. "...the glorious Hector" has a new plain upon which to firmly set his feet and do battle.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by Sidgate
4
Bullish continuation for NASDAQ? 📊 CME_MINI:NQZ2025 Analysis – Oct 18, 2025 🧠 Market Context: Price recovered back into Premium of range (the upper part of the current weekly range) after the drop to 24,158. Creating an inside week that managed to provide a Bullish close. Inside Week consolidated in an 1H frame. Price currently upper band (Premium) of 1H consolidation. Trapped Sellers at discount of 1H range which happens to be previous week Opening Gap High area. Lack of US scheduled Red Folder news until Friday morning. 8:30am 📕 Core CPI m/m 📕 Weekly wick 50% at 25196 📕 CPI y/y 9:45am 📕 Flash Manufacturing PMI 📕 Flash Services PMI Price referencing areas between 25,050–25,210. Premium of a weekly range. 🔼 There are several thing to note here: 🎯 Daily wick 50% at 25121.75 🎯 Weekly wick 50% at 25196 🎯 A Daily REQ Close and Open ( Origin of Weekly Short) at 25354.00 🎯 And REQ (Relative Equal) Highs and ATHs (All Time Highs) at 25394.00 Price can continue to explore Premium of weekly range using these as targets but keep in mind the potential for weakness and reversal formations along these levels. High timeframe bias as well as structure still Bullish, keeping in mind that Price is currently within a Bearish Range (Friday October 10, 2025) Mondays PA and range might clarify wether Bias will remain Bullish, or if there will be any more signs of weakness and reversal formations. 🔻 There are several thing to note on the short side here: 🙁 Trapped Sellers ( Passive Liquidity) at discount of 1H Range and accumulation or Lower Band. 📉 Week Opening Gap (Reference partially) at discount of bigger range 📉 Weekly Low at 24410.00 📉 Previous Weekly Low at 24158.50 🧩 Context: Still questioning whether Fridays drop could be labeled as Price displacement and considered signal, or Rebalance. The difference will be noticed Mon-Tues. Still uncertain on 💲 Dollar TVC:DXY Pending Bullish continuation confirmation or reversal back into chop.
CME_MINI:NQZ2025Long
by JP_Tru
4
NQ Range (10-13-25, Week 3)Week 2 of 7 week forecast did have a 4.85% /1,200 point drop, when? During the Reg Session. When did it lift back up or retrace 70% of the drop? The next Overnight Session. Friday the 10th had double the normal volume, broke of of the Churn Zone (top to bottom, move). We are now sitting at ML (mid level) of the CZ. The White Arrow is the range to watch for this week, above is your long stall short set ups and below are short trades (as long as NAZ is under bottom CZ level). We have a O/N Rig Gap Open range to watch (lower chart), look for a retest here or at ML range. Seems that the same games are the battle: O/N Rig lifts, Tweets, BTD/FOMO (long only) impulse addicts, etc. Will update as we go and just understand that Friday's Reg Sessions 1 day drop erased 19 Snail Long days with 1 Tweet. Just be careful with any Long Trade that starts to STALL OUT.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by MAZing
23
Nasdaq Futures (NQ) Targeting Wave (5) Upside Nasdaq Futures (NQ) advances steadily toward completing the cycle that originated at the April 7, 2025 low. The index targets a fresh all-time high. This rally develops as a textbook impulsive structure. Wave (3) culminated at 25,275. Wave (4) then corrected lower and finished at 24,166.26. The 1-hour chart captures this progression clearly. The internal structure of wave (4) took the form of an expanded flat. Wave A ended at 24,984.75. The Index then rallied in Wave B to 25,394. Wave C completed the pattern with a decline to 24,166.26. Wave (5) now drives the index higher. From the wave (4) low, wave 1 rose to 25,179.5 and formed a leading diagonal. Wave 2 pulled back to 24,410. The advance then nested with wave ((i)) peaking at 25,368 and wave ((ii)) finding support at 24,804.75. This nesting confirms the underlying bullish trend. Provided prices hold above 24,166.26, any near-term dip should attract buyers at the 3, 7, or 11 swing levels, aligning with structural support zones. Upside momentum remains intact. The minimum target extends from the October 21, 2025 high. An inverse Fibonacci retracement of 123.6% to 161.8% yields a range of 25,490 to 25,701, consistent with classic wave extensions.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Elliottwave-Forecast
NQ Week 43Updated levels for week 43 BS & FS levels are expected support when dashed lines, tested when dotted and resistance when solid lines. The inverse is true for the Inv. BS Inv. FS levels, they are resistance as dashed lines, tested as dotted and support as solid lines. Monthly timeframe is color pink weekly grey daily is red 4hr is orange 1hr is yellow 15min is blue 5min is green if they are shown. strength favors the higher timeframe. 2x dotted levels are origin levels where trends have or will originate. When trends break, price will target the origin of the trend. its math, when the trend breaks, the vertex breaks too so the higher timeframe level/trend that breaks, the more volatility there could be as strength in the orders flow in to fuel the move.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by StudyGuideTA
Bond Market Overview in Global TradingIntroduction The global bond market is one of the largest and most influential components of the financial system, often considered the backbone of global capital markets. Bonds—also known as fixed-income securities—represent loans made by investors to borrowers, typically governments, municipalities, or corporations. In return, the borrower agrees to make periodic interest payments (coupons) and repay the principal at maturity. With a total value exceeding $130 trillion globally, the bond market surpasses the global equity market in size. It serves as a vital mechanism for governments to finance deficits, corporations to raise capital, and investors to achieve stable income streams. In global trading, bonds play a key role in portfolio diversification, interest rate management, and economic stability. 1. The Structure of the Global Bond Market The bond market can be broadly divided into sovereign bonds, corporate bonds, and municipal or supranational bonds. These segments cater to different types of issuers and investors: 1.1 Sovereign Bonds Sovereign bonds are issued by national governments to fund public spending, infrastructure projects, and fiscal deficits. Examples include U.S. Treasuries, UK Gilts, German Bunds, and Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs). They are considered the safest instruments in their respective countries, especially when denominated in a nation’s own currency. The U.S. Treasury market is the largest and most liquid, serving as a global benchmark for interest rates and risk-free returns. 1.2 Corporate Bonds Corporations issue bonds to finance operations, mergers, or expansion without diluting ownership through equity issuance. Corporate bonds typically carry higher yields than government bonds due to increased credit risk. They are classified as: Investment Grade Bonds: Issued by companies with strong credit ratings (e.g., Apple, Microsoft, Nestlé). High-Yield or Junk Bonds: Issued by companies with lower credit ratings, offering higher returns to compensate for default risk. 1.3 Municipal and Supranational Bonds Municipal bonds (or “munis”) are issued by states or local governments, primarily in the U.S., to finance public infrastructure like schools, hospitals, or transportation systems. Supranational organizations—such as the World Bank, IMF, or Asian Development Bank—also issue bonds to support global development initiatives. These bonds are typically low-risk due to strong institutional backing. 2. How the Bond Market Works 2.1 Primary Market The primary market involves the initial issuance of bonds. Governments issue bonds via auctions, while corporations issue through underwriters in public or private placements. The primary market provides direct funding to issuers. 2.2 Secondary Market Once issued, bonds trade in the secondary market, where investors buy and sell existing bonds. Prices fluctuate due to changes in interest rates, inflation, credit ratings, and market sentiment. Major secondary markets include the U.S. Treasury market, the London bond market, and electronic platforms like Tradeweb and MarketAxess. Liquidity in these markets ensures that investors can easily adjust portfolios and manage risks. 3. Key Features and Metrics Understanding the global bond market requires familiarity with core concepts: 3.1 Coupon Rate The coupon rate is the fixed or floating interest rate paid by the bond issuer to the bondholder. For instance, a 5% coupon bond with a $1,000 face value pays $50 annually. 3.2 Yield Bond yield reflects the effective return an investor earns. It varies inversely with bond prices—when interest rates rise, bond prices fall, and yields increase. Common types include: Current Yield Yield to Maturity (YTM) Yield Spread (difference between yields of two bonds) 3.3 Duration and Convexity Duration measures a bond’s sensitivity to interest rate changes. Longer-duration bonds experience greater price volatility. Convexity refines this measure, accounting for nonlinear changes in prices relative to yields. 3.4 Credit Rating Credit rating agencies—such as Moody’s, S&P Global, and Fitch—assess the creditworthiness of issuers. Ratings range from AAA (highest quality) to D (default), guiding investors on risk levels. 4. Participants in the Global Bond Market The bond market brings together a diverse set of participants: Governments: Issuing debt to fund national spending or manage monetary policy. Corporations: Raising long-term capital for expansion. Institutional Investors: Pension funds, insurance companies, and sovereign wealth funds seeking stable returns. Central Banks: Managing monetary policy by buying or selling bonds (quantitative easing or tightening). Retail Investors: Accessing bonds through ETFs or mutual funds. In global trading, institutional investors dominate due to the market’s scale and complexity, though retail participation has grown with digital bond platforms. 5. Global Bond Market Instruments The diversity of instruments reflects varying risk appetites and investment horizons: 5.1 Fixed-Rate Bonds These bonds pay a constant coupon over their lifetime. They offer predictability, making them popular among conservative investors. 5.2 Floating-Rate Notes (FRNs) Coupon payments adjust based on a benchmark rate (e.g., LIBOR, SOFR). FRNs protect investors from rising interest rates. 5.3 Zero-Coupon Bonds Issued at a discount, these bonds pay no periodic interest but return the face value at maturity. They appeal to long-term investors seeking capital appreciation. 5.4 Inflation-Linked Bonds Examples include U.S. TIPS and UK Index-Linked Gilts, which adjust coupon and principal payments for inflation, preserving real returns. 5.5 Convertible Bonds Hybrid securities allowing investors to convert bonds into equity under certain conditions. These offer growth potential alongside fixed-income stability. 5.6 Green and Sustainable Bonds These fund environmentally friendly or socially responsible projects. The green bond market has surged past $2 trillion, reflecting global ESG investment trends. 6. Importance of Bonds in Global Trading Bonds serve several crucial functions in international finance: 6.1 Capital Formation They enable governments and corporations to raise large amounts of capital efficiently. 6.2 Benchmark for Interest Rates Sovereign bonds—especially U.S. Treasuries—serve as global benchmarks for interest rates, influencing mortgage rates, corporate debt costs, and derivatives pricing. 6.3 Portfolio Diversification Bonds typically have low correlation with equities, reducing overall portfolio volatility. 6.4 Safe Haven Investment During economic uncertainty, investors flock to high-grade government bonds, particularly U.S. Treasuries, as a refuge from market turbulence. 6.5 Monetary Policy Tool Central banks use bond markets to influence liquidity and interest rates. For example, through open market operations or quantitative easing (QE). 7. Factors Influencing Bond Prices and Yields Bond performance depends on macroeconomic and market dynamics: 7.1 Interest Rates The most critical factor—bond prices move inversely to interest rates. When central banks raise rates to combat inflation, existing bond prices fall. 7.2 Inflation Higher inflation erodes the purchasing power of fixed returns, reducing bond attractiveness unless yields rise accordingly. 7.3 Credit Risk Downgrades in an issuer’s credit rating or default concerns can cause sharp price declines, especially in corporate or emerging market bonds. 7.4 Currency Movements Global investors face exchange rate risk when investing in foreign bonds. A weaker local currency can erode returns. 7.5 Economic and Political Stability Geopolitical tensions, wars, or policy uncertainty often drive investors toward stable, developed-market bonds. 8. Major Global Bond Markets 8.1 United States The U.S. bond market, led by Treasury securities, is the most liquid and widely traded globally. Corporate bond trading is also highly active, supported by transparent regulations and deep investor demand. 8.2 Europe The Eurozone bond market includes government bonds from Germany, France, and Italy, as well as Eurobonds—international bonds denominated in euros but issued outside the Eurozone. 8.3 Asia-Pacific Japan, China, and India have growing bond markets. Japan’s low-yield JGBs influence global interest rate dynamics, while China’s bond market—now the world’s second largest—has opened to foreign investors via programs like Bond Connect. 8.4 Emerging Markets Countries like Brazil, Mexico, Indonesia, and South Africa issue sovereign and corporate bonds that offer higher yields but carry elevated currency and credit risks. 9. Technological and Regulatory Developments 9.1 Digital Bond Trading Technological platforms have transformed bond trading from traditional over-the-counter (OTC) methods to electronic trading networks. Platforms such as Bloomberg, MarketAxess, and Tradeweb enhance transparency, liquidity, and efficiency. 9.2 Blockchain and Tokenization Blockchain technology allows tokenized bonds—digital representations of bond ownership on secure ledgers. These innovations promise faster settlement, lower costs, and greater accessibility. 9.3 ESG and Sustainable Finance Regulations Regulatory bodies in the EU and other regions are promoting green disclosure frameworks, ensuring transparency in ESG-linked bonds. 9.4 Monetary and Fiscal Coordination Global bond markets increasingly reflect coordinated central bank actions, as seen during COVID-19 stimulus efforts and post-pandemic tightening cycles. 10. Challenges and Risks Despite its stability, the bond market faces key challenges: Rising Interest Rates: As central banks tighten monetary policy, bond prices decline, causing capital losses. Sovereign Debt Crises: Excessive government borrowing (e.g., Greece 2010, Argentina 2018) can trigger market shocks. Liquidity Risk: In less developed or high-yield markets, bonds may be hard to sell quickly. Currency Volatility: Cross-border investors face exchange rate fluctuations that impact returns. Climate Risk: Environmental disasters and transition risks can affect bond valuations, especially for sectors with high carbon exposure. 11. The Future of the Global Bond Market The future trajectory of the global bond market will be shaped by technological innovation, sustainable finance, and monetary policy evolution. Digital Bonds and tokenized securities are expected to revolutionize issuance and settlement. Green and social bonds will continue expanding, aligning finance with climate goals. Artificial intelligence and data analytics will enhance credit risk assessment and trading strategies. Interest rate cycles post-2025 will redefine global yield curves as inflation stabilizes. Furthermore, greater participation from retail investors and emerging economies will democratize bond investing, creating a more balanced and inclusive market. Conclusion The global bond market is an intricate, dynamic, and essential part of the international financial system. It serves as a source of funding for governments and corporations, a tool for investors to earn stable income, and a mechanism for central banks to execute monetary policy. In an era of technological transformation and shifting geopolitical landscapes, the bond market’s role remains indispensable in balancing risk, facilitating investment, and promoting economic growth worldwide. As sustainability, innovation, and global integration advance, bonds will continue to anchor financial stability and serve as a foundation for responsible global trading.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!Education
by GlobalWolfStreet
NQ1 - Sentiment Bearish Is A Buy SignalOvernight slump below support will leave a gap in the market... And currently printing a lower wicked candle below support - signalling buy pressure. As I covered in the video; very fast dumps more often complete not begin waves. At my local sports club I am being asked about the "Trump crash" that they heard of in the news and will this be the " big crash." Obviously this is because the news told them of the enormous overnight losses. This is a buy signal I think. And the overnight slump will likely prove to be an echo / ripple of Friday smackdown. The out of hours gap would appear to increase the odds of a bounce and less likely to be a Breakaway Gap 👍. This analysis is shared for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before making any trading decisions.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by dRends35
Jacob's LadderAn Amped Up Pawn for a King. Are you ready for some more? -1 MNQ @ 24999.50; Position: -1 +2 MNQ @ 25000.00; Position: +1 +2 MNQ @ 25110.00; Position: +3 -2 MNQ @ 25015.00; Position: +1; Profit: +28.18 +2 MNQ @ 25120.00; Position: +3 -2 MNQ @ 25025.00; Position: +1; Profit: +28.18 +2 MNQ @ 25130.00; Position: +3 -2 MNQ @ 25035.00; Position: +1; Profit: +28.18 +2 MNQ @ 25140.00; Position: +3 -2 MNQ @ 25045.00; Position: +1; Profit: +28.18 -1 MNQ @ 25050.00; Position: 00; Profit: +08.18 Total Profit: $120.90 From the above table our average Long Position was +2. We just traded a span of 50 points and made $120.90. And we have a Pawn we sold @ 24999.50. For now, that Pawn is a drag on profits. We all know that PX doesn't go straight up. Pullbacks are part of the PX action. At some time, we will be able to buy back that Pawn for a profit. If the PX never pulls back to 24999.50 that's OK. We will pick up other Pawns along the way and we will redeem them for profit. I typically redeem them for 200 points. The typical way of trading +2 MNQ would look like this: qty 2 x 50 points - 1.82 commission = $98.18. Don't forget the stop loss. You must have a stop loss. Or so they say. End of story. Compare that with our profit of $120.90 120.90 - 98.18/98.18 x 100% = 23.14116% We made an extra 23.14116%. That adds up to real $$$. Add to that some Pawns you buy back along the way and we're flush. But that is not the end of the story. We did not use any stops. Not one. It is more blessed to give than to receive.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by Sidgate