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NQ1 - DAY TRDERS OUTLOOK GUIDE FOR 202-12-02Good Morning, I hope all is well. I always trade with the overall market trend. Here is my guide for the day. Likely Scenarios for Today Scenario A – Most Probable (≈60%): Bullish Grind with Pullbacks Price dips into 25,350–25,300, finds buyers at the EMAs. Momentum rebuilds. Slow grind upward toward 25,600 retest. You will see: MACD curling upward DI+ widening over DI- ADX flat or slightly rising Best play: Buy the pullback into hourly support. Scenario B – Rejection and Deeper Pullback (≈30%) If price loses 25,300, the market likely accelerates downward into: 25,150 (trend-support reset) Possibly 25,000 liquidation sweep The indicators would show: MACD bear cross DI- crossing above DI+ Oscillators breaking below midline This would be the only bearish scenario worth taking seriously. Scenario C – Immediate Breakout (≈10%) Price surges through 25,600 early in the session and runs momentum into: 25,720 25,850 as the extension But volume suggests this is less likely unless macro news triggers it. Today’s Bias Summary Trend: Bullish Momentum: Cooling ADX: Weak trend Structure: Rising into overhead supply Key battleground: 25,350 support vs 25,600 resistance Bias: Bullish continuation IF 25,300 holds. Bearish flush IF 25,300 fails. Hope you Enjoy!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by mindfullylost
NASDAQ - The Good The Bad The UglyGood Afternoon Everyone, I hope all is well. I have for you a 3 set analysis on what we can expect from the markets this week. Nasdaq TA completed on Weekly, Daily & 1Hour Time Frames. WEEKLY TREND (Dominant Macro Structure) Status: Long-term bullish Signals: Price inside a multi-month bull channel Slight channel edge break, but no reversal Momentum slowing → consolidation expected Weekly support zones are strong Weekly takeaway: The long-term trend is bullish, but entering a cooling/consolidation phase. Weekly = macro anchor. It strongly biases the market upward over time. DAILY TREND (Intermediate Structure) Status: Mixed / Transitioning Signals: Price broke down from daily bull channel Attempted to re-enter → rejected Sitting between the 50 EMA and 200 EMA Daily support zones are key Daily candles show indecision Daily takeaway: Trend is no longer strongly bullish. A corrective process or deeper retest is likely before continuation. Daily = controls medium-term direction and determines where the weekly trend re-engages. 1-HOUR TREND (Short-Term Structure) Status: Short-term bullish Signals: Price broke out of short-term bearish channel Formed a new, tight bullish channel Recently rejected at underside of long-term weekly channel Short-term support forming Price above 50 EMA & 200 EMA intraday 1H takeaway: Short-term momentum is bullish, but rejected at major higher-timeframe resistance. Needs support to hold. 1-hour = entry timeframe and shows how the daily trend is forming in real time. COMBINED MULTI-SCENARIO OUTLOOK Below are the 3 most realistic combined scenarios using all three timeframes together. They are ranked from most likely → least likely. SCENARIO 1 — Controlled Pullback → Higher Low → Trend Resumes Upward Probability: ★★★★☆ (60–65%) → Most Likely How This Unfolds (Multi-Timeframe Logic) Weekly: Staying bullish but consolidating Weekly support will eventually absorb selling Daily: Mixed trend resolves with a higher low above major support 50 EMA or support #1 holds 1-Hour: Pullback into short-term support Bounce signals bullish continuation Price Path: 1-hour pulls back to support Daily prints a higher low Weekly resumes its upward grind Price re-attempts to re-enter/top the long-term bull channel This scenario is ideal for: Swing longs Daily HL entries 1-hour EMA bounce setups Continuation plays into the top of the long-term channel Why most likely? Because every timeframe except the 1H is cooling, not reversing. SCENARIO 2 — Deeper Correction Into Major Support → Then Strong Bounce Probability: ★★★☆☆ (30–35%) This is your deeper pullback scenario but still bullish long-term. How It Unfolds (Multi-Timeframe Logic) Weekly: Sideways consolidation expands lower Price moves toward deeper weekly support zone Daily: Daily loses the 50 EMA Price moves toward the 200 EMA This forms a deeper corrective wave 1-Hour: Short-term bull channel breaks Price trends downward intraday 1H shows lower lows until 200 EMA daily zone is reached Price Path: 1H breakdown → pullback Daily breaks support #1, moves to support #2 Strong bounce at daily 200 EMA Weekly trend reasserts → new multi-week rally This scenario is ideal for: Buying the daily 200 EMA Position trades Mean-reversion long setups Why it happens? Because daily trend has weakened AND weekly momentum is slowing — deeper retests are common. SCENARIO 3 — Breakdown of Daily & Weekly Supports (Full Trend Reversal) Probability: ★☆☆☆☆ (5–10%) → Least Likely This would require multiple failures across all timeframes. How It Unfolds (Multi-Timeframe Logic) Weekly: Both long-term support zones break Weekly closes below the bull channel Daily: Price loses both support levels 200 EMA fails Lower highs and lower lows form 1-Hour: Sustained intraday lower lows Bearish channel resumes No re-entry attempts succeed Price Path: 1H → breakdown Daily → breakdown Weekly → full structural reversal Why unlikely? No topping pattern on weekly Macro trend remains bullish Daily structure is corrective, not reversal-based Buyers have not shown exhaustion at any major swing level I hope you found this useful! Enjoy your week!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by mindfullylost
NQ Week 48 T.A explained - BackSide (BS) FrontSide (FS) Inverse BS (Inv.BS) Inverse FS (Inv.FS) BS & FS levels are expected support when dashed lines, tested when dotted and resistance when solid lines. The inverse is true for the Inv. BS Inv. FS levels, they are resistance as dashed lines, tested as dotted and support as solid lines. Monthly timeframe is color pink weekly grey daily is red 4hr is orange 1hr is yellow 15min is blue 5min is green if they are shown. strength favors the higher timeframe. 2x dotted levels are origin levels where trends have or will originate. When trends break, price will target the origin of the trend. its math, when the trend breaks, the vertex breaks too so the higher timeframe level/trend that breaks, the more volatility there could be as strength in the orders flow in to fuel the move.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by StudyGuideTA
Thanksgiving NQ LevelsNasdaq-100 E-mini futures are trading near 25,318 this morning, showing a modest rise driven by growing optimism about a potential Federal Reserve rate cut in December. This momentum follows renewed strength in major tech names—especially AI-linked stocks—which has helped lift the broader Nasdaq Composite over the past several sessions. With expectations of lower rates, dovish Fed signals, and improving confidence in growth and tech sectors, the near-term outlook points toward continued upside or steady consolidation at current levels. However, gains may be capped if enthusiasm around AI fades or if upcoming economic data weakens the argument for rate easing. Happy Thanksgiving to you all Gobble, gobble!!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by DrScarves_N_Scalpels_Trades
FVG Reversal Play – NASDAQ 100 Futures [NQ1!]CME_MINI:NQ1! FVG Reversal Play – NASDAQ 100 Futures Signal: 🟢 BUY Entry: 25,106.00TP1: 25,327.75TP2: 25,376.00TP3: 25,500.00SL: 24,924.50 Insights: Price retraced into a Fair Value Gap (FVG) and sits near the 0.618–0.705 Fibonacci cluster, aligning with high-volume nodes on VRVP. RSI is recovering from oversold territory, MACD histogram shows bullish divergence, and price is near the 200 MA support zone. Strong confluence across all indicators suggests a potential bullish reversal from a liquidity sweep zone. 🌟 Trade Like Hunter (for professional edge) ✅ High-Probability Setup: VRVP shows volume concentration at entry zone MA acts as dynamic support RSI and MACD signal bullish momentum shift 📊 Risk-Reward Ratio: R:R ≈ 2.5:1 (TP2), up to 3.5:1 (TP3) 🔑 Liquidity Zone Confirmation: Entry aligns with imbalance zone and previous demand sweep 🧠 Market Psychology: Signs of accumulation post-selloff; potential breakout momentum building ⚡ Probability Score: 80% High Probability 📈 Scalability: Setup aligns with 1H and Daily timeframes for broader confirmation 🔒 Risk Disclaimer:Always use proper risk management. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Trade responsibly. @LunaGoldHunter
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by LonaGoldHunter
Trendline Break and Weak Retest Hint at Deeper PullbackI believe the market is currently forming a classic 1-2-3 pattern along the trendline. The price has already broken below the rising trendline, and the subsequent pullback failed to reclaim the previous high, which strengthens the bearish signal. If this structure continues to play out, the next step will likely be a clean break of the neckline, confirming a potential trend reversal. After the neckline is breached, the market may experience a short period of consolidation or a multi-day pullback before choosing its next direction.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by gary186
Algo's Logic: Why price moves ''crazy'' with red folder news?WHY PRICE MOVES LIKE THIS The market is not a chaotic auction of buyers and sellers seeking fair value; it is a highly engineered delivery system designed to seek and destroy liquidity. The current consolidation you see is not indecision; it is a 'Liquidity Coil'. The algorithm is purposefully compressing price action ahead of the 'Red Folder' events to engineer a 'Straddle Inducement'. By keeping the range tight, the Interbank Price Delivery Algorithm (IPDA) encourages retail traders to place tight buy-stops above the range and tight sell-stops below it. This creates two massive pools of liquidity—fuel for the machine. The news event is not the cause of the move; it is the 'Key' that unlocks this volatility. The initial move is almost always a 'Judas Swing'—a fraudulent manipulation designed to trigger one side of these stops (usually the sell-stops below) to harvest the necessary liquidity to fuel the *real* move in the opposite direction. We do not trade the news; we trade the algorithmic reaction to the liquidity harvest. THE THESIS The algorithm is currently in a 'Suspended State' of pre-event accumulation utilizing the impending volatility of the Macro Data Injection to engineer a classic 'Judas Swing' manipulation. The narrative is strictly governed by the 'Seek and Destroy' protocol: The market will utilize the news release to aggressively harvest the internal Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) resting below the 25,550.00 shelf to fuel the terminal expansion towards the external Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) at 25,900.00. THE EXECUTION VECTOR Entry: 25,525.00 (Buy Limit / Post-News Reclaim) Stop loss: 25,380.00 (145.00 points) Take profit: 25,950.00 (425.00 points) Risk to reward ratio: 2.93R THE CAUSAL RATIONALE The Pre-News Narrative (The Trap) Current price action (25,650.00) is a 'Volatility Compression' zone. The algorithm is holding price in a narrow range. Do not trade the drift. The drift is the bait. The algorithm is waiting for the 08:30 AM / 10:00 AM timestamp to unlock the high-velocity engine. The 'Red Folders' are simply the authorized time windows for the Market Makers to reprice the asset. The News Event (The Judas Swing) Upon the data release, expect an immediate, violent displacement. The highest probability vector is a 'False Bearish Breakout' (The Judas Goat). The algorithm will likely spike price DOWN into the 25,550.00 - 25,500.00 region. This serves two purposes: 1. Trigger the sell-stops of the overnight longs. 2. Induce breakout sellers to provide the necessary Buy-Side liquidity for the Smart Money to fill their long orders at a discount. The Post-News Expansion (The Real Move) Once the SSL is harvested and the 25,500.00 region (Bullish Order Block / FVG) is mitigated, look for an impulsive reclaim of the 25,600.00 level. This 'Sponsorship' signal confirms that the low is in, and the algorithm will switch to a 'Low Resistance Liquidity Run' targeting the clean highs at 25,900.00. THE INVALIDATION (THE OMEGA POINT) The bullish news model is ontologically corrupted if the news candle displaces below 25,380.00 and *sustains* acceptance there (15-minute close). A simple wick is not invalidation; it is a feature. But a closure below this level implies the macro data has triggered a 'Risk-Off' regime shift, targeting deeper discount arrays at 25,000.00. KEY TRAJECTORY WAYPOINTS Target 1: 25,750.00 | Type: Equilibrium / Initial Rebound | Probability: 90% Target 2: 25,900.00 | Type: External Buy-Side Liquidity | Probability: 75% Target 3: 26,100.00 | Type: Blue Sky Expansion | Probability: 40% THE SHADOW REALITY A 30% probability exists for the 'Bull Trap' scenario. In this reality, the news spikes price UP first into 25,850.00. If the first move is UP, fade it. The algorithm rarely gives the true move first during high-impact news.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Education
by TradeConfirmed
All-In-One Magnificent 7 — Market Strength Engine NQThe All-In-One Magnificent 7 indicator converts the combined percentage performance of AAPL, MSFT, AMZN, NVDA, TSLA, META, and GOOGL into a single market-strength signal. It displays the composite trend, moving-average direction, acceleration icons, significant change markers, and bullish/bearish bias zones — giving a real-time read on mega-cap leadership. This tool helps confirm directional bias for ES/MES, NQ/MNQ, SPX/QQQ, and intraday trades by showing whether the Magnificent 7 are strengthening, weakening, or accelerating. Ideal for futures traders, options traders, and anyone using market breadth for confirmation. This is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
CME_MINI:NQZ2025Education
by readysetfire