NQ Range (10-13-25, Week 3)Week 2 of 7 week forecast did have a 4.85% /1,200 point drop, when? During the Reg Session. When did it lift back up or retrace 70% of the drop? The next Overnight Session. Friday the 10th had double the normal volume, broke of of the Churn Zone (top to bottom, move). We are now sitting at ML (mid level) of the CZ. The White Arrow is the range to watch for this week, above is your long stall short set ups and below are short trades (as long as NAZ is under bottom CZ level). We have a O/N Rig Gap Open range to watch (lower chart), look for a retest here or at ML range. Seems that the same games are the battle: O/N Rig lifts, Tweets, BTD/FOMO (long only) impulse addicts, etc. Will update as we go and just understand that Friday's Reg Sessions 1 day drop erased 19 Snail Long days with 1 Tweet. Just be careful with any Long Trade that starts to STALL OUT.
Trade ideas
NQ Range (10-20-25, Week 4)NAZ is traveling within the Churn Zone, looking for a Breakout. Favoring a lower move prior to an upside Breakout. Scalping Shorts to KL's until "all hell breaks loose". Lower CZ currently is providing U Turns with the BTD/FOMO's redirecting the NAZ. The O/N, Dead Zone Lifting while the Open Drive continues to sell off. We have seen double Pump/Dumps after any O/N drop or Open Drive sell off. Will update as we go.
NQZ2025 Return to Wick 50% then liquidity purgeOn the 4h chart, I see price close above the 50% of a 4h Order Block and above a 1h gap. I think the market has a high probability of treating the gap as an inversion, that, with the confluence of DXY purging shorts and the weekly wick 50%.
Therefore, the next likely target is the liquidity resting above.
NASDAQ 100 (NQ1!): Wait For Valid Buys! #nasdaq Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Oct. 20-24th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: NASDAQ (NQ1!) NAS100
The NASDAQ had ranged last week, but had a bullish end on Friday. I suspect we may see some continuation to the upside this week.
Wait for confirmation before taking valid buys setups.
I don't see a reason to look for sells. A bearish break of market structure would be a good reason.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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''...a barrow by the wide Hellespont.''"And some one shall one day say even of men that are yet to be,
as he saileth in his many-benched ship over the wine-dark sea:
'This is a barrow of a man that died in olden days, whom on a time
in the midst of his prowess the glorious Hector slew.' So shall some man say, and my glory shall never die."
As we knew from a prior post, Hector would win this rematch of an ancient duel on the Trojan plains. Hector, Prince of Troy, with his feet firmly set, appears to have slain Ajax - the human fortress, Ajax - the Monster Head & Shoulders.
Translation of Homer's Iliad attributed to T. Murray
Are we out of this Bloody Battlefield once and for all? I don't know. Many who know far more than I predict the markets will continue to chop and at some point, toward year's end and throughout 2026 will continue higher. There are others that see a looming recession.
One thing we do know for sure - we can clearly see Support and Resistance, VPOCs and Prior VPOCs, Cups and their Handles and Buy the Dip areas.
And we have several trade plans that work in a bull market.
Our Strong Support for the time being has moved higher.
"...the glorious Hector" has a new plain upon which to firmly set his feet and do battle.
Bullish continuation for NASDAQ?
📊 CME_MINI:NQZ2025 Analysis – Oct 18, 2025
🧠 Market Context:
Price recovered back into Premium of range (the upper part of the current weekly range) after the drop to 24,158. Creating an inside week that managed to provide a Bullish close.
Inside Week consolidated in an 1H frame.
Price currently upper band (Premium) of 1H consolidation.
Trapped Sellers at discount of 1H range which happens to be previous week Opening
Gap High area.
Lack of US scheduled Red Folder news until Friday morning.
8:30am
📕 Core CPI m/m
📕 Weekly wick 50% at 25196
📕 CPI y/y
9:45am
📕 Flash Manufacturing PMI
📕 Flash Services PMI
Price referencing areas between 25,050–25,210. Premium of a weekly range.
🔼 There are several thing to note here:
🎯 Daily wick 50% at 25121.75
🎯 Weekly wick 50% at 25196
🎯 A Daily REQ Close and Open ( Origin of Weekly Short) at 25354.00
🎯 And REQ (Relative Equal) Highs and ATHs (All Time Highs) at 25394.00
Price can continue to explore Premium of weekly range using these as targets but keep in mind the potential for weakness and reversal formations along these levels.
High timeframe bias as well as structure still Bullish, keeping in mind that Price is currently within a Bearish Range (Friday October 10, 2025) Mondays PA and range might clarify wether Bias will remain Bullish, or if there will be any more signs of weakness and reversal formations.
🔻 There are several thing to note on the short side here:
🙁 Trapped Sellers ( Passive Liquidity) at discount of 1H Range and accumulation or Lower Band.
📉 Week Opening Gap (Reference partially) at discount of bigger range
📉 Weekly Low at 24410.00
📉 Previous Weekly Low at 24158.50
🧩 Context: Still questioning whether Fridays drop could be labeled as Price displacement and considered signal, or Rebalance. The difference will be noticed Mon-Tues.
Still uncertain on 💲 Dollar TVC:DXY Pending Bullish continuation confirmation or reversal back into chop.
Monster Head and Shoulders 2.0We made it through this choke point recently and were shooting for the moon. Ji Jinping made a real dumb move Friday and the markets panicked. The whole world knows he's holding a 7-2 offsuit - a losing hand in polka. The panic is over. The px is coiling. The trend is unmistakable. The support is rock solid. We are in an historical bull market unleashed by the Fourth Industrial Revolution and fueled by an environment of deregulation, tax cuts and a business-friendly administration. Today Powell all but said the Fed will cut interest rates at their next meeting 10.28-29. How will you play your next move?
Our job description as day traders is to take and manage risk. To that end I sold 10 contracts picked up under the choke point. I bot 3 contracts at 24930 and sold 1 contract at 24929.5. If the px retreats to the support level, I will buy it back. As the px goes up, I will sell those 3 contracts every 19.5 points and buy three more at 20 points.
How will you play your hand?
NQ & ES Premarket Comment Tuesday 14-10-2025Good morning everyone.
Today, we are trading within a Discount Zone, while the daily bias remains bullish.
Possible scenarios:
1. Price could move above the purple line, encounter resistance at that level, and then retrace slightly.
2. Alternatively, price may continue to push higher, targeting yesterday’s high — which I consider the more probable scenario.
In either case, our focus will remain on long opportunities. Once price breaks above the purple line, we will move our stop-loss to break-even and ideally secure a partial take-profit at that level.
As the session opens, we’ll closely monitor the initial price action. Once volatility stabilizes and as long as price remains within our predefined levels, we will look to enter longs with the following targets:
·First target: the purple line
·Second target: yesterday’s high
It’s important to allow market conditions to align with the parameters of your personal trading model.
This practice not only enhances discipline, but also reinforces your professionalism and consistency as a trader.
PF
NQ1 - Liquidity Sweeps = Bearish WedgeNQ1
Nasdaq is printing layers of slightly higher highs which is somewhat printing a bearish wedge.
So we might get some dump action soon.
I took profit on my CFD position and may re-enter at support or when the chart improves.
This analysis is shared for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research and consider that crypto is a dangerous market.
NQ Rejection Setup @ 24,550 | Strong Support Formed on D-ProfileThe NQ formed a D-shaped Volume Profile on Friday, signaling temporary balance between buyers and sellers. A strong rejection of lower prices created a significant volume cluster and a Fair Value Gap at 24,550. I’m watching for a pullback to this level for a potential long entry.
Expecting for news to move price lower into the New Week OpeningMy bias going into Thursday's trading is bearish. I do still believe price has unfinished business inside that New Week Opening Gap. We also have the monthly wick high resting just shy below as well. Currently inside a daily Fair Value Gap and I have the quadrant levels of that Gap as well drawn out with the green line representing the Consequent Encroachment. Will see if price is holding to my bias and will look for short entries.
NASDAQ - SELL EVERYTHING - buy back at cheaper prices Nasdaq and the broad markets have printed a local peak. Time to sell, and buy back 20% lower. Maybe better in individual names. Stop loss is the $24,600 area. $20,300 is the target buy back area. The analysis is graphical, stare at it till it make sense. Good Luck.
Powell Signals the End of QT — Relief Rally or the Calm Before?First, let’s look at the key points from Powell’s remarks at the 67th Annual Meeting of the National Association for Business Economics (NABE):
* The future path of monetary policy will depend on the assessment of data and risks.
* The balance sheet remains a vital tool of monetary policy.
* Fed officials will discuss the composition of the balance sheet.
* Balance sheet reduction (QT) could come to an end in the coming months.
* Inflation remains on an upward trajectory.
* The labor market shows signs of notable downside risks.
From this set of statements, my conclusion is that if the Fed and Powell start speaking more decisively about ending QT and halting balance sheet reduction, it would be highly significant.
It would indicate that the Fed is becoming increasingly concerned about the future of the labor market — and likely signals more aggressive and deeper rate cuts ahead.
Halting the balance sheet reduction while simultaneously cutting rates could provide some support to the U.S. economy and ease pressure on equities and financial markets.
However, if QT is paused but unemployment continues to rise, we should expect a sharp downturn in financial and equity markets.
Overall, given Powell’s dovish tone, my trading bias remains bearish, unless a strong technical reversal emerges.
That said, the U.S.–China trade tensions currently carry even greater importance in shaping market direction.
NQ1 - Sentiment Bearish Is A Buy SignalOvernight slump below support will leave a gap in the market...
And currently printing a lower wicked candle below support - signalling buy pressure.
As I covered in the video; very fast dumps more often complete not begin waves.
At my local sports club I am being asked about the "Trump crash" that they heard of in the news and will this be the " big crash."
Obviously this is because the news told them of the enormous overnight losses.
This is a buy signal I think.
And the overnight slump will likely prove to be an echo / ripple of Friday smackdown.
The out of hours gap would appear to increase the odds of a bounce and less likely to be a Breakaway Gap 👍.
This analysis is shared for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before making any trading decisions.
NQ Week 43Updated levels for week 43
BS & FS levels are expected support when dashed lines, tested when dotted and resistance when solid lines.
The inverse is true for the Inv. BS Inv. FS levels, they are resistance as dashed lines, tested as dotted and support as solid lines.
Monthly timeframe is color pink
weekly grey
daily is red
4hr is orange
1hr is yellow
15min is blue
5min is green if they are shown.
strength favors the higher timeframe.
2x dotted levels are origin levels where trends have or will originate. When trends break, price will target the origin of the trend. its math, when the trend breaks, the vertex breaks too so the higher timeframe level/trend that breaks, the more volatility there could be as strength in the orders flow in to fuel the move.
LQ sweep 15 min to Open Range GapThis trade was taken on the NASDAQ 100 (NQ1!) on the 15-minute timeframe. The setup was based on Smart Money Concepts, following a clear liquidity sweep and a shift in market structure. Price had been moving bullish in a corrective phase after a previous downtrend. As the market reached the 25,000 area, it took out the buy-side liquidity above the recent highs, trapping long positions. Shortly after that sweep, a bearish break of structure confirmed a potential reversal.
I entered short after price retraced back into the supply zone, which also aligned with a fair value gap and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level of the last bearish impulse. The entry was confluenced by a trendline break and strong rejection from a premium area, indicating that smart money was likely distributing positions. My stop loss was placed just above the liquidity sweep high, while my take-profit target was set at the next major liquidity pool and discount zone around 24,440–24,480.
The position moved strongly in my favor shortly after the entry. The trade respected structure perfectly and hit the projected target area. The setup delivered a solid risk-to-reward ratio of around 1:5 to 1:6. At the time of the screenshot, I had a realized profit of +$19,869.31 and an unrealized profit of +$25,675.00, meaning part of the position was still running.
Overall, this was a clean and high-probability short setup following SMC principles: liquidity grab, break of structure, retracement into a fair value gap, and a continuation into the next liquidity pool below.
FUTURES CONTRACT MNQZ2025 I am back, For next week we will have a high probability of a bearish price, but it is possible that it may reach the week's high of $25,250 and then start dropping to the $24,790 level, looking for sales this week.
Para la proxima semana tendremos una alta probabilida del precio bajista, pero la posibildad es que vaya a tomar el maximo de la semana $25250 y posteriormente vaya bajando al nivel de $24790, buscar ventas en esta semana