NQ1! trade ideas
NASDAQ Long 7.30.25Price had hit a weekly +ob on 7.29.25, and the current day (7.30.25) had not taken the previous day high or low, but looked like it wanted to distribute into the pd wick equilibrium premium level. After 10 AM closed as a bullish candle, signifying higher price, I entered iat 11 AM on the 10 AM candle equilibrium. Price hit the 75% BE and Final TP with 1.28 RR.
Rejection Brewing, is MNQ About to Bleed Below POC? My morning trade wasn't shit but as with any asset price decides no matter the analysis. That said I'm watching MNQ for a potential bearish setup building beneath the Point of Control (23,485.25).
Here’s the game plan:
- Price is hovering just above POC after failing to follow through from the bounce.
- EMA structure is weakening, waiting for a 9/21 EMA bearish crossover below VWAP to confirm momentum shift.
- If we break and reject from POC/VWAP, I’ll be looking for a short opportunity targeting 23,450 → 23,420 (aligned with channel lows and fib levels).
- Give it 30 minutes — Let price confirm the break and structure cleanly before taking the entry.
This entire move would confirm distribution at value and trend continuation into lower range extremes.
If I'm Wrong:
A reclaim and hold above 23,510 with EMAs curling up negates the setup.
Bias:
Bearish Probability: 70%
Waiting on clean confirmation from structure and momentum shift.
VWAP Rejected, POC Respected, Let the Squeeze BeginMNQ just gave us a cheeky little rejection wick right off VWAP and the POC classic London session move. After flushing into prior structure, price left a long lower wick and a tiny body candle, signaLling seller exhaustion. We're also bouncing right off a trend line that’s held since last week, and the 21/9 EMAs are starting to flatten, hinting at a potential shift.
What makes this even more interesting is how cleanly price tapped the POC (23,486), respected it, and then started grinding back up. That kind of level-to-level respect usually means algo eyes are on it and I'm here for it.
I’m long from 23,491 with a stop just below 23,474, targeting a move into 23,544 for TP1, and possibly 23,652 if momentum carries. It's a structured setup, built off VWAP, POC, Fib mid, and ORB timing. Not a moonshot call just a solid base hit play with clean risk defined.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/30/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 23474.75
- PR Low: 23449.25
- NZ Spread: 57.0
Key scheduled economic events:
08:15 | ADP Nonfarm Employment Change
08:30 | GDP
10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories
14:00 | FOMC Statement
- Fed Interest Rate Decision
14:30 | FOMC Press Conference
AMP temp margins increase anticipating vol spike for economic events
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 7/30)
- Session Open ATR: 232.98
- Volume: 16K
- Open Int: 281K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -0.6% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 23811
- Mid: 22096
- Short: 20383
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
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In the name of the Father, and of the Son, and of the Holy Spirit. Amen.
Glory to Thee, our God, glory to Thee.
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Holy God, Holy Mighty, Holy Immortal, have mercy on us.
Glory to the Father, and to the Son, and to the Holy Spirit: now and ever and unto ages of ages. Amen.
All-holy Trinity, have mercy on us. Lord, cleanse us from our sins. Master, pardon our iniquities. Holy God, visit and heal our infirmities for Thy name's sake.
Lord, have mercy.
Glory to the Father, and to the Son, and to the Holy Spirit: now and ever and unto ages of ages. Amen.
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#Nasdaq - #/NQ - #ICT Model AnalysisBased on my analysis, #NQ is likely to raid one of the liquidity lines below before initiating a rally toward one of the FVGs or inverse FVGs above. This move may serve as an accumulation before a potential sell-off begins.
Do your diligence and study more; technical analysis is just the probabilities overview.
NQ: 226th trading session - recapVery interesting price action today. It was really a setup that I look out for: I call it the "push & pull" situation. It basically means that we get a (bullish) push, we see loss of momentum and then we try to look out for the reversal (=pull). This basically just goes off of market theory and fundamental price action: One side gets really excited and buys/ sells a lot, then after the push happened they lack buyers/ sellers - so then the other side takes over.
It's a bit more complicated that that (+ all the technical factors like all time highs and POI's etc.) but it is a cool setup to look out for.
And obviously, I only look for a bullish push followed by a bearish pull - I only sell short.
Why Are Markets Rising Despite the Tariffs?Because of the
1) Set timeline on finalizing the tariff rates and
2) The ongoing negotiations,
They aimed at striking a balanced deal between the U.S. and its trading partners.
The Liberation Day tariffs were announced on 2nd April, and markets initially crashed in response. However, just seven days later, on 9th April, the U.S. postponed the higher tariff increases for most countries by 90 days. Since then, markets have rebounded and even broken above their all-time highs set in December last year.
Now that the dust is settling with the expiration of timeline and ongoing negotiations, the big question is:
Where will the markets head next?
Mirco Nasdaq Futures and Options
Ticker: MNQ
Minimum fluctuation:
0.25 index points = $0.50
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
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NQ Short (07-28-25)The F-M Long Rig is active with a Gap Up and Pump/Dump play. Just notice KL 486 and how/when the NAZ gets above. In O/N, the Reg Session and previous hits at 23,440 got rejected and is why you are seeing the move in the off session. The BTD/FOMO chase is active, Pump/Dump near Open today for next move.
Tuesday Long Trade for the NASDAQ 7/29I'm feeling ultra bullish on NQ right now. Ideally, I want to see price carve out an inverse head and shoulders or a double bottom—either could serve as a springboard to new highs. I took two longs this morning and captured solid gains off the weekly opening gap. Would love to see one final wick into that zone before we blast off.
Long Entry:23,476.75
Target: Break of the Highs | Trailing SL
Today's trades:
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/29/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 23531.00
- PR Low: 23503.00
- NZ Spread: 62.5
Key scheduled economic events:
10:00 | CB Consumer Confidence
- JOLTs Job Openings
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 7/29)
- Session Open ATR: 233.38
- Volume: 17K
- Open Int: 280K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -0.2% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 23811
- Mid: 22096
- Short: 20383
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Bias is still Bullish However its month end Overall bias is still strong bullish, do note that its coming to end of month, either we pull back a bit or continues higher till end of month then pullback. Losing 23350 and 23300, probabilities of moving lower will higher since we had short squeeze move last Friday. Max Pain is 23020 can be use as a guide off futures movement.
NASDAQ 100 LOOKING OVERBOUGHT RIPE FOR A CORRECTION?Hey Traders so today was looking at the Nasdaq 100 and it seems like it's approaching overbought territory at all time highs.
Of course no one knows what earnings season will bring and seasonally historically August is normally a good month for stocks.
So if we look at previous rallies market seems to correct eventually 3% or 4%. I think that is actually healthy for the market also.
So if your bullish watch for 3% correction and buy back in around 22,800-23,000 put a stop under support at around 22,000-22,500. Hopefully the market won't make it that far on a sell off so odds of getting stopped out are low I think.
However if you are Bearish I don't reccommend selling at All Time High. Best odds for stronger selloff I think is waiting until September as it is historically the weakest month of the year for stocks seasonally.
Good Luck & Always use Risk Management!
(Just in we are wrong in our analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.)
Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃
Clifford
NQ : Scalping levelsHere's a very likely scenario on the NQ trade. Once the price grows back, you can take short pullbacks from these levels.
Be careful on trading on the news. It is better not to trade in them. Also, the levels are unlikely to work in illiquid times.
I will post the results of the levels and my trades in the comments if everything will be according to the scenario.
NASDAQ - Fair Value GAP On NASDAQ , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 23450.00.
There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again.
(FVG) - Fair Value GAP and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade.
Happy trading
Dale