NQ: 238th trading session - recapPosting this late on purpose - needed to reflect and istg I'm NOT biased: This setup was mediocre, and I payed the price for taking it
Trade ideas
Nasdaq Bounces Off Demand Zone: Opportunities for a Bullish Rev.Yesterday, the Nasdaq experienced a notable rebound from the daily demand zone around 23,201, signaling buying interest at that level. However, as the EU trading session commenced, the index quickly shifted to a bearish impulse, reflecting ongoing market uncertainties and cautious sentiment among traders.
Key Levels and Opportunities
Despite the short-term pullback, the chart presents a compelling opportunity for traders to consider a "buy low" approach near the next demand zone at approximately 22,983. If the market finds support there, it could set the stage for a recovery, with the potential for the Nasdaq to rally back toward the 24,000 mark or even higher.
Market Outlook and Analyst Projections
Analysts remain optimistic about the index’s prospects, with many projecting a strong finish to the year. The Nasdaq, known for its volatility and lucrative trading opportunities, continues to attract traders seeking to capitalize on its upward momentum. As always, projections are optimistic, but the current technical setup suggests that there could be a favorable risk/reward ratio for those willing to position for a rally.
Final Thoughts
In a market characterized by rapid shifts and unpredictable moves, identifying key demand zones and monitoring reaction levels is crucial. The upcoming sessions could provide a prime entry point for those looking to buy dips, with the potential for the Nasdaq to forge ahead into the year’s final stretch with gains.
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Nq & Es Key levels & Scenarios 21-08-2025Good morning everyone,
My overall bias remains bearish, but at the moment we are trading within a discount area. This means that with the market open at 09:30 NY time, we may see potential high-probability long setups, with the main target being the SIBI on the daily chart.
So while the broader bias is to the downside, it is important to also take advantage of short-term moves to the upside, as price may need to rise first before continuing lower.
Wishing you all a successful trading session.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis reflects personal market observations and is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice.
DG rundown of a trade setup and bottoming processAs always the focus shall be on two timeframes : In the chart above (NQ September contract), the daily TF is on the left and 60M TF on the right. We have inserted manually key weekly and monthly levels (HTF terminations) in order to monitor/confirm a potential bottoming process. This is done automatically with the All-in-one indicator.
The bottoming process is defined as a first close above the upcoming or “live” EBOT. Remember also that a Zone/Area holds when the close is in the Zone/Area. And only then Area 1 needs to become strong support, then Area 2 needs to follow by becoming support.
You can see on the hourly chart how the first candle demonstrated a strong down flow (long range; huge distance between open and close; close almost at extreme).
As we are not at a key HTF area but in between, we do nothing and wait for the close. The hourly will need 2-3 hourly candles closes before confirming a bottoming process (2-3 rule on all timeframes). Price is also far away from the PLdot so we also need to wait for the PLdot to "catch up" with price.
Second hourly candle is also down with good flow, albeit smaller range so potentially first indication of minor change of flow, reaching key terminations (weekly and monthly) and closing below the upcoming EBOT so no bottoming yet.
However, the PLdot is “swinging” downwards which could be interpreted as a first sign of an exhaust. Both of candle 1 and 2 are c-waves down.
Next candle is finding support @ key HTF areas and closes above the upcoming EBOT and stops the c-waves down. This candle also allowed the PLdot to catch up with the price.
This candle goes for the PLdot refresh, first to the live EBOT, then static EBOT then the live PLdot and finally static PLdot which confirms the refresh of new energy that pushes the price to close lower than the static PLdot almost at the place of the live PLdot. Remember how the closes are always important and how the live energy is always most relevant at the end of the time frame – for the hourly candle that would be in the last 30-15 minutes before the candle closes. So, a first safe entry would be LONG at the close of this candle. The conservative stop loss could be the static EBOT while another option would be the live EBOT.
A more aggressive entry would be to go down to the 5 minutes timeframe and monitor around the HTF terminations the flow there and notice the spot where the c-waves stop (yellow box). Stop loss would be the blue line in this case.
The fourth candle is a congestion entrance candle that provide a target of two PLdots back around 23362 which aligns with the daily static EBOT. This would be the target for the trade.
The fourth candle closes below the ETOP so no c-waves yet, and the candle afterwards manages to close above the PLdot, still confirming the trend and finally
the fifth candle starts a c-wave, hits the planned target
Duration in trade - 4h (four candles after entry).
What is next:
We are in a daily PLdot refresh coming from the static EBOT. Either the refresh fails to break static EBOT and the daily down c-wave continues. The 60 minutes needs to start up c-waves in this area in order to confirm up-flow, otherwise the daily needs to have the 2-3 candles (2-3 days) to confirm bottoming. Daily is still in a c-wave down. As you can see, the daily needs to go through exactly what the hourly did in this example in order to start its bottoming process.
You can use this on any timeframe, monitor and learn.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/21/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 23342.50
- PR Low: 23313.25
- NZ Spread: 65.25
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
- Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing PMI
09:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
- S&P Global Services PMI
10:00 | Existing Home Sales
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 8/21)
- Session Open ATR: 289.20
- Volume: 29K
- Open Int: 280K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -2.9% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 24382
- Mid: 23239
- Short: 22096
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ - 2025 August 20 after the close
If we regain the downtrendline we go back to restest 23,500 and if we cant hold above the trendline we will try to retest todays lows.
Seeing how quickly the dip was bought back today I would lean towards a break back above the downtrend and retest of 23,500.
Nq Long OpportunitiesPrice found support at a cluster slightly lower than the one I highlighted this morning. It then broke through the blue zone (BISI) and moved down to the daily low.
Once that level was taken out, notice the strong reaction: price quickly reversed to the upside, providing an excellent long opportunity for a profitable trade.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis reflects personal market observations and is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice.
NASDAQ 100 Futures: Bearish Momentum Accelerates Below Key LevelThe NASDAQ 100 Futures are in a confirmed downtrend , having decisively broken below the critical 23,600 "Key Level for Direction Change." Price is currently targeting the "Good Support" zone around 23,100, following a rejection from recent "Pre-Market Highs" and "Lows."
E mini Nasdaq 100. NYSE. 20.08.2025, WednesdayCME_MINI:NQU2025
Outlined the daily Institutional Order flow. And the Market Efficiency Paradigm
DG Rundown on NQ Trade – Key Points to RememberTip 1: Focus on Two Timeframes
Prefer swing trading. Zoom out. Use weekly as your focal timeframe and daily to understand what the weekly is doing in terms of strength, support, and resistance.
In the chart above (NQ September contract), the weekly is on the left and daily on the right .
We start with last week’s analysis by answering:
1. Where is price?
The weekly candle closed in Area 5 , below the upcoming EBOT . Closes are key in DG.
2. What is it doing?
(Is there a weekly/monthly top/bottom? How many days are left? What’s the envelope direction? Is PLdot swinging? Is flow shifting? Is it entering congestion, continuing a trend, or exhausting?)
Price had been in a c-wave for the last two weeks, closing above ETOP.
First August candle showed strong upward flow : wide range, close at the extreme, PLdot slope increasing, and opposite to July’s down candle.
That August candle negated July’s down flow and was confirmed by the second August candle.
This flow also reshaped the channel structure .
Tip 2: Structure Holds When No Lower TF C-Waves Start
When a candle closes in Area 5, exhaust zone, or higher, the next candle often treats that zone as support instead of resistance. That’s what happened with the s econd August candle – it found support and pushed higher.
However, that same candle closed below the upcoming ETOP , which is a key warning.
Tip 3: A Zone Holds When the Close Is in the Zone
Price attempted to push above Zone 5 but was rejected, closing back in Area 5. That meant Area 5 was holding and flipping downwards .
Flow also shifted: smaller range, closer open/close, no close at extremes.
In DG, a topping pattern unfolds in 3 steps (3 candles on weekly):
Touch exhaust upper limit + close in exhaust
Bounce from ETOP but no exhaust close
Reject from Area 5 + close below upcoming ETOP
By this definition, NQ’s weekly chart may be in a topping process, with ETOP now likely acting as strong resistance.
3.What’s Next?
We could expect a rollover to the downside at least for a PLdot refresh .
Daily Price Action
Friday’s candle = Congestion entrance with a projected target ~23,722 (2–3 Pldots back).
Monday’s candle hit that target but failed at the daily PLdot.
Tuesday’s candle touched the daily static PLdot again and confirmed the downward flow → a daily c-wave down.
Daily action confirms that for the weekly to top, the daily must print c-waves down – and that’s what we’re seeing.
Tip 5: 60-Minute C-Waves Are Key for Flow
Flow shifts usually start on lower TFs, but 60m is the most reliable.
On the hourly, the down flow slowed at the weekly static PLdot.
Confirmation came when 60m candles failed to close above ETOP – meaning the flow was still down.
The 2–3 candle rule for topping/bottoming applies to all timeframes.
Tip 6: LTF C-Waves Can Break HTF Terminations
When a higher timeframe level (PLdot, ETOP, EBOT) breaks, velocity increases and candle ranges expand.
Here, 60m c-waves broke the weekly PLdot, driving price lower into the weekly EBOT area.
What’s Next? (Scenarios)
Bottoming begins only when:
Area 1 (Exhaust) becomes strong support,
Then Area 2 becomes strong support.
This usually triggers only a PLdot refresh , which may occur at EBOT, live PLdot, or static PLdot.
If the refresh fails to break static EBOT, the down c-wave continues.
If daily channel bottom acts as resistance, 60m must first exhaust and re-enter its channel before a retrace or further breakdown.
What happens after the PLdot refresh is decisive for the next move (“definition of done”).
Entry idea:
When 60m looks like it’s bottoming at a key daily area → drop to 15m/5m for entries.
Time Element – Crucial for Execution
Big moves tend to align with time-of-bar closes:
1H → last 30–15 minutes
15m → last 2 minutes
5m → last 1 minute
Daily → last few hours
Weekly → Friday afternoon
Avoid arbitrary entries. Be systematic: flow + time + structure = higher probability trades.
NQ - If you're curious to where Nasdaq is going todayNot much to babble.
This is my intraday Chart.
TGT at the Centerline...where else? §8-)
Trade save. NO FOMO!!!
Gap Fill & Reversal Long IdeaI am anticipating a strong move through the August Monthly Open, with price sweeping the lows and targeting the 4H gap at 23,303.50. Once that level is tagged, I’ll be watching for signs of a reversal, ideally an inverse head and shoulders formation to shift bias back to the upside.
My target: a clean push toward the NDOG zone at 23,478.00
Nq ShortAfter taking a short position with the target I previously shared, I am now looking for a potential long opportunity — applying a scalping approach on Nasdaq.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis reflects personal market observations and is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice.
NQ short After yesterdays big move lower into the US open driven by under performing mega cap stock and possible profit taking ahead of Jackson Hole later this week, we've broken through the previous uptrends confirmed higher low and have left behind some nice levels to retrace back into.
Well confirmed hourly trendline
Low volume area and previous support turned resistance
Fibonacci retracement 50-61.8%
Lower timeframe entry/trigger (TBC)
This trade would need to be taken with caution and fairly strict in-trade management as price has entered a slightly higher TF fib retracement against the trade direction
Would only be looking to enter the trade if a clear entry point is provided and broken. This could be the break of a counter trendline or preferably the breakout of a 5min higher low and a retest of a short term fib retracement
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/20/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 23485.50
- PR Low: 23450.00
- NZ Spread: 79.5
Key scheduled economic events:
10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories
14:00 | FOMC Meeting Minutes
Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM 8/20)
- Session Open ATR: 282.07
- Volume: 38K
- Open Int: 287K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -2.9% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 24382
- Mid: 23239
- Short: 22096
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
19 August 2025Clean shorts presented several times today.
Same inversion FVGs.
For the first time I took 1h inversion short.
Need to focus on leaving the trades alone.
NQ 4H Bounce off the 200EMAI trade time based LQ primarily so the idea is pretty self explanatory. Hit me up if you want to talk about it
NQ: 237th trading session - recapNo scalp today either. I'm starting to worry again due to lack of trades. Some months I don't even trade at all, which is NOT GOOD.
I need to do something about that...
$MNQ - 08/19/2025H4 Close Below > Bearish
M15 -FVG > Bearish
M5 IFVG > Bearish
M1 FVG Entry > Bearish
Time > H4 10 AM Open
Future Analysis Nas & Dow 08/18/25Hey there ✌
Until now, I was mainly known among German-speaking traders, as I have been conducting my swing trades in Nasdaq futures (performance +110%, win rate 60%, average RR 2.83 in 42 trades) for about 7 months and my swing trades in Dow Jones futures (performance +103%, win rate 53%, average RR 6.58 in 19 trades) here at TV in an open, transparent manner and in advance.
For my analyses, I use a unique approach in which I embed price action and volume into a market mechanical structure to determine where institutional trading is most likely to have its average positions. I trade four different zones:
PDZ (Priority-Demand): Long-Level
PSZ (Priority-Supply): Short-Level
PDBZ (Priority-Demand-Break): Short-Level
PSBZ (Priority-Supply-Break): Long-Level
My approach only works when I have a crystal-clear market structure. I don't trade in ranges because I lack a clear market structure or market trend. True to the motto “It's better not to trade than to trade badly,” I only made 42 trades on the Nasdaq in seven months and 19 trades on the Dow in four months.
I also use the zones presented here as key levels for my intraday trading.
I love talking about the markets and exchanging ideas with other traders of all levels, and I know that there are many different approaches to successful trading. That's why I want to bring a little more positivity to the toxic trading industry, where everyone always thinks that only their own way works. So feel free to comment and ask me questions 🙌🙌
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Performance Nasdaq (NQ/MNQ)
Total number of trades: 42
Starting Balance: $15'000.00
Net Gain/Loss: $16'531.74 (110.21%)
Balance: $31.531.74
Win: 59.52%
Average winning trade: $870.76
Average losing trade: -$308.07
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Performance Dow Jones (YM/MYM)
Total number of trades: 19
Starting Balance: $5'000.00
Net Gain/Loss: $5'180.42103.61%)
Balance: $10'180.42
Win: 52.63%
Average winning trade: $600..13
Average losing trade: -$91.21
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You can find detailed journals of all trades from the two portfolios shown here, including links to the respective trade recommendations/analyses, in the link in my bio.
Nq & Es Key Levels 19-08-2025Good Morning everyone.
Looking at the charts today, we notice that the situation has not changed much compared to yesterday—we are still trading around the same levels. This means that directional bias remains unclear, making it important to see how the market opens at 09:30 in order to reassess.
We are currently in a zone where price could either rise sharply before falling, or drop first and then recover. Therefore, after the market opens:
If price moves down, I will look for long opportunities.
If price moves up into the key levels I have marked on the chart, I will look for short setups.
Things may become clearer after 10:00, where higher-probability setups could form.
At the moment, we are trading within a premium zone, which naturally favors short positions. However, caution is required as market conditions can shift quickly during the session.
On the chart, I’ve highlighted the sensitive key levels I’m watching.
I wish you all good and disciplined trading.
Breakout on NQNasdaq seem to be ready to break in either direction.
With the hourly counter trend failing to reach the lower end of the channel indicating a possible lack in bearish momentum.
Or a solid support level put in place with price creating lower highs (Descending triangle) to break lower.
FED talks towards the end of the week will likely be the deciding factor on which direction and the trigger to enter in either direction.
There are two main events this week for the FED: FOMC minutes on Wednesday and the Jackson Hole symposium from Thursday to Saturday with Jerome Powell speaking on Friday afternoon.
We'll be looking for Hawkish commentary to support higher rates for longer amid slightly elevated inflation and continued uncertainty around tariff implications. US equities down
Or further confirmation that the FED in ready to commit to a more dovish monetary policy stance. The recent FED meeting saw two committee members voting for a rate cut, against the majority and market are starting to pice in 3 cuts by year end amid a weaker labour market. US equities up
