Trade ideas
Could we see another drop before price starts to rise again?Price is currently resting inside a 4hr bearish FVG and I also have the 50% range of that 4hr imbalance in the dark green line. Aware of the completely filled weekly FVG that price is currently above and expecting for price to climb even lower below and leave a immediate rebalance on the monthly timeframe. Below that is the quadrant levels for previous months wick which would be from August price action. Those are levels that I would consider high probable to retrace to continue higher.
NQ & ES Premarket Comment Monday 13-10-2025 Good morning everyone,
Following the recent market crash, we’re now left with unfilled gaps both above and below current price levels. As a result, the market is currently trading within an equilibrium zone — a balanced range — after opening significantly higher and leaving a large imbalance behind.
Personally, I don’t expect further downside from here. However, given that today is a U.S. market holiday, I wouldn’t advise active trading. Still, since I’m committed to providing analysis on every open session, here are the scenarios I’m watching:
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Daily Bias: Neutral
Possible Scenarios:
1. Scenario One: At the open, price could pull back to find support near the NWOG level. As this unfolds, we’ll likely notice bearish price action showing short-term weakness — breaking through support levels while struggling to gain acceptance above resistance zones. This will signal that the market is testing liquidity pockets before making its true directional move. Once the initial volatility fades and the noise settles, the price action should reveal its true intention. If price then reclaims the equilibrium point (purple line) with conviction, we could see a bullish reversal to the upside.
2. Scenario Two: Alternatively, price may continue to grind higher gradually without offering meaningful pullbacks or discounted entries.
If the first scenario unfolds, we’ll be looking for short opportunities down into the purple line, and then transition to long setups once we see a clean reclaim below and back above that equilibrium area.
If the second scenario plays out, we’ll remain on the sidelines, as any participation under such structure would expose us to unnecessary risk.
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Trade Focus
Try to capture either the red (bearish) move or the blue (bullish) move — and leave everything else aside.
Avoid forcing trades in the middle of the range; stay patient and let the market commit to a clear directional bias before engaging.
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Technical Guidance
As the market opens, we’ll monitor the initial price action closely. After the recent volatility and structural resets, today’s best move may simply be to observe. Let the market show its hand first — watch how liquidity is engineered and absorbed.
Smart traders avoid overtrading on days like this — just as a cat avoids a dog.
Remember: it’s always better to have a day with no profits than a day with losses. Stay disciplined, remove ego from decision-making, and use today as a learning opportunity — both for your trading career and your personal development.
Don’t get influenced by social media noise — most traders out there are still lost in volatility. Be patient, stay sharp, and wait for the market to present clean, high-probability setups aligned with your plan.
PF
NDX/NQ1 - Futures in Trouble!Good Morning Every,
Hope all is well. On Friday we say a 3 1/2 drop on the NASDAQ. Not a good sign, that is a large drop for a daily. This all in response to the turf war between China & USA that could revive itself. This morning futures rebounded however the lack of conviction had them bounce off the 9EMA and travelling downwards again. This suggest that investors sentiment is still airing on the side of caution.
I am short-term short until trends show otherwise.
Trade safely!
Enjoy
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 10/13/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2025
- PR High: 24752.25
- PR Low: 24541.75
- NZ Spread: 470.25
No key scheduled economic events
+0.4% weekend gap up retracing 50% of Friday's 892 point range
Session Open Stats (As of 12:15 AM)
- Session Open ATR: 370.30
- Volume: 75K
- Open Int: 284K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -2.3% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 26020
- Mid: 23571
- Short: 21939
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NASDAQ 100 (NQ1!): Still Bullish! Wait For Valid Buys!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Oct. 13 - 17th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: NASDAQ (NQ1!) NAS100
The NASDAQ dumped last Friday with the Trump tariffs on China announcement. His latest tweet seems to have lowered the temperature on the tension. The markets have opened with a gap up.
The plan: look for valid buy setups, and stay with the overall trend. Avoid selling this market.
Simple.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
The NQ dumped to a 4 hour order block created Sept 14th 11pm ESTThe NQ dumped to a 4 hour order block that was created Sunday Sept 14th 11pm EST
Could be coincidence and would make sense to reverse (if it does Monday), but this chart looks TOO Perfect .
Insider Trading at the highest level?
Just looks to perfect to be organic.
I will have my longs in at open, see you at open! : )
Weekly engulfing candle A Trump tariff announcement produced a huge engulfing candle, lets see what happens this week?
Trump's form is he always undo's his threats pretty quickly so be careful, but this market was over stretched and crying for a correction.
Is this enough?
will the buy the dip buyers return?
Earnings season is here and
we have interest rate cuts looming ...
So volatility is here for a while
be careful out there
A Pawn for a King: Freefall - Extra Content I love charts. I know you can see the beauty and intricacies of this one and how it relates to our A Pawn for a King trading plan.
What a terrific money-making freefall. What a magnificent double bottom, bouncing on the 50- day sma. If you don't get excited observing this - you better check to see if you still have a pulse.
I am compelled to publish this chart as a sequel to my prior idea. They go together like peanut butter and jam.
I'm guessing there is a vpoc near the neck of that monumental W. I'm only able to get 21 or 22 days of svps on my chart. Does anyone know how to get more?
Isn't it a thing of beauty that the 50-day sma checked the 10.10. freefall? That's something to get excited about.
Let's see what happens. Whenever and wherever it bounces, we are ready to pounce with an arsenal of Breakout Trades, Buy the Dip Trades, Buy the Pivot Trades and A Pawn for a King Trades.
Some day. Some Golden Day...
A Pawn for a King: Freefall - Panic time? No way! This is where we stick the landing and win the gold!
Why is Paul Bunyan often depicted as a smiling, cheerful character? Why is he portrayed as a confident I can do this man? We all know why. It is because he is a man who is good at what he does, a man who can proudly say look at what I have accomplished, not in a braggadocios way but in a way of feeling delight in a job well done. It is his force multiplier - his great size and strength - that enable him to be so. We admire him for his character. We are drawn to him for his character. He realizes his full potential in life using his innate unique abilities and opportunities in a cheerful and humble attitude.
Let us now apply Bunyan's example to further illustrate the benefits of A Pawn for a King trading plan using the price action on Friday, 10.10.2025 as an example of its simplicity and its built-in force multiplier.
Let us pick up with our real-life example where we left off on my prior published idea. Everything is real. Only the names have been changed to protect the innocent.
Let us recall how the trade started. We waited for a good bounce on a strong support. Then we entered the trade by buying 2 MNQ contracts @ 24,994.5 and we sold 1 MNQ contract @ 24,994.
We then added 22 points to each of those entries - we bot 2 contracts @ 24,994.5 + 22 = 25016.5 and we sold 2 contracts @ 24,994 + 22 = 25016. Do NOT miss the subtlety. Our first trade we sold ONE contract. On this second and all subsequent trades, we will sell TWO contracts. This subtlety is the key to this plan. It is the force multiplier. When the pull back happens, and we all know it will, we have a secret weapon that enables us to do away with those awful things called stop losses, I meantersay, who's in this to lose? Instead of that losing proposition we have Paul Bunyan. We are Paul Bunyan!
We left off with $1,247.38 profit and we have just sold 2 contracts @ 25,390 and we bot 2 contracts @ 25,390.5. We are still 1L.
The px plummets. Do we plummet as well? NO WAY! We've got a force multiplier! That initial ONE contract we sold at the outset.
So, what do we do? That is a very simple question to answer. We wait for the next bounce at a strong support. This hasn't happened yet. We have a strong support in the area of 24,100 - 24,000. Whenever and wherever that bounce happens, we start the A Pawn for a King plan again. We sell 1 contract, and we buy 2 contracts $.50 above that. Remember how we were 1L when the px plummeted? Well now we are two long and no stop loss got in our way.
Now the force multiplier comes in. Let's say it bounces at 24,000 and we sell 1 contract @ 24,000 and we buy 2 @ 24,000.50. We add 22 points to each number, and we sell THREE contracts @ 24,000 +22 = 24,022 and we buy THREE contracts @ 24,000.50 + 22 = 24022.50.
The dark orange lines on my charts are vpocs. If you're not familiar with them learn about them and have them as a key part of your strategy. They are very powerful px magnets, places where buyers and sellers have met in the past and therefore very likely to meet again. Think strong support. Watch and wait for a good bounce on a strong support. Be patient. It will happen and you will be locked and loaded.
I hope you can see that rather than getting stopped out of a trade we turned our initial -1 contract into a force multiplier. In essence we just turned that px plummet into a gain of whatever that plummet was.
If we do get in again @ 24,000.5 this is what it will look like: 25,390.5 (our last entry) - 24,000.50 = 1,390 points x $2.00 per point - $1.82 (commission and fees) = $2,778.18. Did we lose that? No way. We made sure our account could handle the margin required for that. The intraday margin requirement for 1 contract is $100.00 with NinjaTrader and the Initial Margin requirement, although it varies, is usually about $3,400.00.
What if the px does not get back up to 25,390.5 before roll-over? That is when you will take a loss. But you will have made so much profit in the meantime, that won't matter much.
What if the px never bounces but just keeps falling? If that is the case, you'll have much greater problems than $$$. It will be time to put your head between your legs and kiss your sweet ass good-bye.
If you conclude that the best time to start this plan with real $$$ is right after roll-over time, you would be right. That is one of the wonders of demo trading. Also, some practice will be most necessary for you to master the subtleties of this plan.
As always, thank-you for your time in reading this. Forgive any typos or math errors. For some strange reason this fellow doesn't always catch them in time. Stay tuned for further notes. Or shall we call them afterthoughts?
Bullish MONDAY Price dipped into the long term weekly FVG
And respected it now. My thoughts are Monday could be a bullish day where price start to rally back up because we are in a very deep discount right now and have lots of range to cover so I think we could see some upside objectives.
also if we open and Gap down then there’s a big change we continue lower but I hope that is not the case because it would become a full on market crash. this is a minor correction nothing major
Key levels for reversals back to the upsideI’ve marked key levels where I believe the market could potentially reverse to the upside, allowing the bull run to resume. Of course, fundamentals and news can quickly change the market’s direction, but this represents my current technical analysis that I’ll be monitoring closely.
NQ UpdateFutures dropped afterhours when Trump announced 100% tariffs on China, so expect a gap down Monday.
Funny thing is, I wasn't very bullish because of that open gap, I added to my KSS puts this morning before the market got Trumped. Was wondering if that was a mistake for about 5 minutes, lol. Lucky or not, timing is everything. Wish it was announced yesterday morning when I had even more puts. Oh well.
In any case, RSI and MFI both went oversold, I was expecting MFI to go oversold which is why I did not go long on stocks this morning. Can't use 3hr indicators during a tank, the market will whipsaw it's way down just like April. Daily indicators might be of some help if this spring repeats.
I also suspected something fishy going on, retail was weak all week, which is why I was shorting KSS, along with the H&S pattern I posted. HD has been tanking for an entire month, there are always people that have inside info, probably Trumps brokers, lol. I'm sure he's feeding info to his family and friends, it's the biggest inside trader scam EVER.
NQ Range (10-06-25, Week 2)Churning in the Churn Zone, back at Mid Level (ML) of range. Watch the 2 yellow dash levels, break to upper/lower churn range is redirect or counter move. Example, White arrow range play stall at 425 should reject to start or lower yellow arrow. Reverse that should NAZ drop to the start or yellow arrow (unless it is the big one). Still favoring the SHORT side and not chasing any upward moves. Go Fed, Tweets, Next Stimulus, Wash ST Capital Management & Margin Services, etc. Just seems like the lift on fumes is good set up for the counter move (if you can play that, example Wash St Hedge Fund). Ya think? No, why not?
Liquidity Sweep on 4H TF know to mark out all the session highs and lows, the one-hour highs and lows, and the four-hour highs and lows, and then wait for a liquidity sweep, then wait for a break of structure, inverse fair value gap, or a 79% extension closure? And then following that, look for a fair value gap getting filled, order block, breaker block, equilibrium getting filled, and then scale down to the one-minute time frame, look for a break of structure, inverse fair value gap, or 79% extension closure, looking for the trend to continue in the right direction, and then take profits at the previous draws on liquidity that haven't been hit yet
NASDAQ - LONG SETUPTechnical Context
The NASDAQ futures confirmed a breakout and acceptance above the previous H1 dealing range, maintaining strong bullish efficiency.
The breakout originated from the Aggressive Demand zone, aligned with the vPOC + VAL confluence (Deep Discount Demand), where strong positive delta initiated the impulse.
Price is now approaching the LVN (25,175–25,200) — an area that previously acted as imbalance and may now serve as support.
If the market retraces into this zone, it will test whether institutional buyers remain active within the prior demand structure.
Execution Plan
Bias: Long
Entry Zone 1: 25,175 – 25,200 (LVN retest)
Entry Zone 2: 25,000 – 25,030 (Deep Discount Demand – vPOC + VAL)
Take Profit 1: 25,365 (previous high)
Take Profit 2: 25,450 (extension target)
Trigger: Price compression and reaccumulation inside the demand zone
Technical Note
Entry should focus primarily on the LVN (25,175–25,200).
Compression analysis at this level must be handled carefully to confirm whether the movement represents true reaccumulation or passive absorption.
If price skips the LVN and retraces quickly toward the Deep Discount Demand (25,000–25,030), the setup becomes cleaner and easier to validate, as this zone holds the original impulse and stronger order flow.
At the moment, it remains uncertain whether the market will retrace or build a new value area above current levels, continuing the trend without a deeper pullback (>37.5%).
📅 Note: Friday’s NFP (Payroll) could trigger volatility and distort short-term efficiency.






















