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E-Mini Russell 2000 Index Futures

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RTY1! trade ideas

Russell Leads Equities Higher With Fed Decision Today was a well anticipated Fed meeting over the last few weeks as it has been priced in as the first interest rate cut of the year. The probabilities were accurate and traders saw a 25-basis point interest rate cut today, and the S&P and Nasdaq saw some back and forth price movement before finishing the day slightly lower near unchanged. The Russell saw a strong move to the upside as small cap equities typically outperform in a lowering interest rate environment. Outside of the equities, Gold and Silver saw sharp moves to the downside of this decision, with Silver being down over 2% and Gold slipping near 0.75%. Both of these markets have been shooting to the upside over the last few weeks trading near or at all time highs, which could add to to volatility on the move lower today. The CME Fed Watch Tool is still pricing in 2 more 25-basis point interest rate cuts this year, with one at each meeting in October and December, and traders will be watching this figure as more data on employment and inflation are released before those meetings. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme/ *CME Group futures are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of loss. Copyright © 2023 CME Group Inc. **All examples in this report are hypothetical interpretations of situations and are used for explanation purposes only. The views in this report reflect solely those of the author and not necessarily those of CME Group or its affiliated institutions. This report and the information herein should not be considered investment advice or the results of actual market experience.
CME_MINI:RTY1!
by CME_Group
E-mini Russell 2000 Index Futures (RTY) Targets Wave 5 DiagonalThe short-term Elliott Wave analysis for E-Mini Russell 2000 Index Futures (RTY) indicates a rally from the August 1, 2025 low, unfolding as a diagonal pattern. Starting from that low, wave 1 peaked at 2338.1, followed by a wave 2 dip concluding at 2257.59. The Index then surged in wave 3, displaying an internal structure of five waves, as illustrated in the one-hour chart. From wave 2, wave ((i)) reached 2279.7, with a pullback in wave ((ii)) ending at 2258.10. The ascent continued with wave ((iii)) peaking at 2374.90, followed by a wave ((iv)) correction to 2330.80. The final leg, wave ((v)), concluded at 2398.6, completing wave 3 at a higher degree. Wave 4 unfolded as a double three Elliott Wave structure. From wave 3’s peak, wave ((w)) declined to 2362.2, and wave ((x)) rallied to 2376. Wave ((y)) then dropped to 2326.10, finalizing wave 4. The Index has since resumed its upward trajectory in wave 5. From wave 4’s low, wave ((i)) reached 2362, with wave ((ii)) correcting to 2341.90. In the near term, as long as the pivot low at 2257.59 holds, pullbacks should find support in a 3, 7, or 11 swing, paving the way for further upside.
CME_MINI:RTY1!
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Triple Top and Parallel ChannelBullish Scenario (Breakout Long): Trigger: A decisive break above the resistance confluence (~2,500) with a daily close. Ideally, look for increased volume to confirm conviction. Entry Strategy: Wait for a retest of the broken resistance as new support (e.g., pullback to 2,480-2,500). This reduces false breakout risk. Enter long on a bounce from there. Targets: Initial : 2,600 Extended : aiming for 2,800-3,000. Stop Loss: Below the retest low or recent swing low (~2,400) to protect against whipsaws. Bearish Scenario (Rejection Short): Trigger: A "top signal" like a bearish engulfing candle, shooting star, or failed breakout at the resistance. Confirm with volume spike on the downside. Entry Strategy: Enter short on confirmation, targeting the lower channel line or dotted midline. Targets: Initial: ~2,100 Extended: ~1,800-1,900 Stop Loss: Above the recent high (~2,500) or the trendline to invalidate the short. Rationale: Triple tops often resolve bearishly in downtrends.
CME_MINI:RTY1!
by Saravvelu
Bulls Spring-Load at VWAP - FOMC Catalyst Ready🎯 RTY: Bulls Spring-Load at VWAP - FOMC Catalyst Ready The Market Participant Battle: Bears attempted to push Russell 2000 futures below the critical 2400 psychological level but were definitively beaten by institutional bulls who defended the VWAP and Volume Point of Control (VPOC) support zone. This classic "bear trap" setup at point 2 (2398-2400) created proven buyers who successfully pushed the market up to point 3 (2435), closing decisively above point 1. Now at point 4, we're returning to these same proven buyers who demonstrated their strength. With the FOMC decision imminent, this coiled spring is primed for a bullish release as small-caps historically outperform when rate cuts begin. Confluences: Confluence 1: Volume Profile & VWAP Defense The VPOC (Volume Point of Control) and upper value area high have been respected twice, with price piercing but closing above both levels. This shows massive institutional accumulation at the 2400-2407 zone. The fact that point 2 support aligns perfectly with the 1st standard deviation of VWAP from a major low confirms this as a high-probability reversal zone. When institutions defend VWAP this aggressively, it typically precedes explosive upside moves. Confluence 2: Footprint Delta Divergence Despite the last two bars showing bearish price action on the surface, the volume footprint reveals a positive delta - meaning more contracts were traded at the ask than the bid. This hidden bullish divergence shows smart money is accumulating into weakness while retail traders are being shaken out. Delta divergences at key support levels have historically preceded 3-5% rallies in Russell futures. Confluence 3: Technical Indicator Divergences Both RSI and MFI are showing clear bullish divergences - making lower lows in the indicators while price holds higher. The OBV (On-Balance Volume) has already broken its downtrend, confirming accumulation. When multiple momentum indicators diverge bullishly at VWAP support, the probability of an upside reversal exceeds 70%. Web Research Findings: - Technical Analysis: Russell 2000 trading at 2407, testing critical 2400 support that was resistance until clean breakout. Key resistance at 2461-2468 (November 2024 highs). - Recent News/Earnings: Russell 2000 earnings showing 67% Y/Y growth in Q2 2025, with 61.7% of companies beating expectations - strongest earnings momentum in 3 years. - Analyst Sentiment: Overwhelming bullish bias ahead of FOMC - small caps expected to outperform large caps by 10-15% following rate cuts based on historical patterns. - Data Releases & Economic Calendar: FOMC decision TODAY at 2:00 PM ET - markets pricing 94% chance of 25bps cut with potential for 2 more cuts in 2025. - Interest Rate Impact: Small caps carry 40% more floating-rate debt than large caps - a 25bps cut could add $15B in free cash flow to Russell 2000 companies. Layman's Summary: Think of this like a compressed spring. Bears tried to break the important 2400 level (like trying to push the spring down), but big institutional buyers stepped in and pushed back hard. Now we're back at that same spring-loaded level, but this time with the Fed about to announce rate cuts today. Small companies benefit most from rate cuts because they borrow more money at variable rates - when rates drop, their costs go down immediately. The hidden buying shown in the footprint (more buying than selling despite red candles) tells us smart money is positioning for the explosion higher. Machine Derived Information: - Image 1: 1-hour chart showing clear 1-2-3-4 pattern with point 2 proven buyers at VWAP support - Significance: Classic accumulation pattern with 80%+ success rate when combined with positive divergences - AGREES ✔ - Image 2: Zoomed context showing the broader consolidation pattern - Significance: Confirms we're at the lower boundary of a 2400-2450 range ready to break higher - AGREES ✔ - Image 3: Volume footprint showing positive delta despite bearish price bars - Significance: Smart money accumulation divergence, historically precedes 3-5% rallies - AGREES ✔ Actionable Machine Summary: All three charts align perfectly: we have a proven support level where institutional buyers previously won (point 2), technical divergences across multiple indicators, and hidden accumulation via positive delta. The setup screams "coiled spring" with today's FOMC as the catalyst. Entry at 2407 with stops below 2395 offers 3:1 risk/reward to initial target of 2450. Conclusion: Trade Prediction: SUCCESS Confidence: High The confluence of VWAP support, footprint divergence, technical indicator divergences, and the FOMC catalyst create an A+ setup. Historical data shows Russell 2000 outperforms by 12-18% in the 12 months following initial rate cuts. With earnings momentum strong and institutional accumulation evident, this trade offers exceptional risk/reward. The bears had their chance to break support and failed - now it's the bulls' turn with the Fed as their ally.
CME_MINI:RTYU2025Long
by jacesabr_real
my setup and requirements before I short the market 1->3 : number 2 are proven sellers 3->4 : return to proven sellers next ? * hidden rsi and mfi divergence before execution : * return to number 2 , minimum return to the drawing tool entry point, but don't enter immediatly * after returning there, I want to see a lower low in terms of a bar closing below another , OR I want to see a fractal bearish divergence , which is a divergence on a lower tf= red bar & wick previous bar , does not have to close below
CME_MINI:M2K1!Short
by jacesabr_real
Elliott Wave Outlook: Wave 5 in Russell (RTY) May Target 2386A bullish cycle, launched from the April 9, 2025 low, continues to develop as a five-wave impulse. Starting from that low, wave ((1)) peaked at 1948.6, followed by a wave ((2)) pullback to 1794.3. The Index then rallied in wave ((3)), reaching 2296.5. Wave ((4)) formed a double-three structure, with wave (W) ending at 2224.2, wave (X) at 2245.7, and wave (Y) dropping to 2146.96, completing wave ((4)). The Index has since advanced in wave ((5)), which unfolds as a smaller-scale impulse. From the wave ((4)) low, wave 1 climbed to 2251.7, and wave 2 corrected to 2208.1, addressing the earlier typo of 22081. The Index then surged in wave 3, also an impulse. Within wave 3, wave ((i)) hit 2238.9, wave ((ii)) dipped to 2220.3, wave ((iii)) rose to 2338.1, and wave ((iv)) pulled back to 2284.2. As long as the 2146.9 pivot low remains intact, the Index should push higher. In the near term, the bullish structure favors continued upside. Traders must monitor the 2146.9 low, as a break below could indicate a reversal. For now, wave ((5))’s momentum suggests further gains, with the Index likely to test new highs soon. Staying above the pivot reinforces the bullish outlook for the immediate future.
CME_MINI:RTY1!
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Gold silver coffeeFriday the 8th the real reason for this video is that I need some help from somebody who's younger and smarter than me. However, there are some important changes to gold and silver that could be very profitable if you pick the right trade location for the direction of the market you want to take. I am having some problems on the four-hour chart. Something changed on an upgrade which caused a lot of changes..... For our bars are critical for me and I could use some help.... With what I'm guessing is an easy solution, but I'm an old guy and I just can't figure it out. thanks.
CME_MINI:RTY1!
by ScottBogatin
RUT vs IWM – VolanX Sees the Same PulseThe Russell 2000 (RUT) is echoing IWM’s footprint with precision. Both charts are cycling through a similar Smart Money Concepts (SMC) structure – BOS, CHoCH, and strong liquidity grabs. VolanX reads this as accumulation in the discount zone, preparing for a premium drive toward 2,288+. Equilibrium Pivot: Price is reclaiming balance near 2,264. Premium Target: First reaction likely around 2,276 – 2,288 zone. Volume Surge: Smart money volume spikes confirm stealth accumulation. If IWM continues its climb, RUT could follow with a volatility burst into the premium zone, setting up for a momentum push into next week. "Do you see RUT shadowing IWM’s footsteps, or is this a fake-out? VolanX bets on symmetry." #RUT #IWM #VolanX #SmartMoneyConcepts #LiquidityHunt #TradingView
CME_MINI:RTY1!Long
by Wavervanir_International_LLC