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BTIF2026 trade ideas

BTC Daily Recap & Game Plan – 15.08.2025BTC Daily Recap & Game Plan – 15.08.2025 📊 Market Sentiment Overall sentiment remains bullish, supported by expectations of a 0.25% rate cut in the upcoming FOMC meeting. A weakening USD and increasing global risk appetite are creating favorable conditions for further upside in crypto assets. 📈 Technical Analysis Price has started retracing into the daily swing level and the 0.5 Fibonacci zone, as anticipated in my previous Bitcoin daily update post (linked in the attachment, please check). We have now seen a 1H break of structure following liquidity grabs. 📌 Game Plan I will be looking for an entry around the $118,800 level, as there is a 1H demand zone that could support a move higher. 📋 Trade Management Entry: $118,800 SL: $117,000 TP: $121,600 💬 Like, follow, and comment if you find this setup valuable! Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always do your own research before making any financial decisions.
CME:BTC1!Long
by UA_CAPITAL
BTC Daily Recap & Game Plan 14.08.2025BTC Daily Recap & Game Plan 14.08.2025 📊 Market Sentiment Overall sentiment remains bullish, supported by expectations of a 0.25% rate cut in the upcoming FOMC meeting. A weakening USD and increasing global risk appetite are providing favorable conditions for further upside in crypto assets. 📈 Technical Analysis Price ran to all-time highs and faced rejection there. The close below the all-time high level indicates that price may now seek opposite-side liquidity (buyers). Historically, Bitcoin often consolidates within a range after running all-time highs, collecting more liquidity before continuing upward. 📌 Game Plan I expect two possible scenarios: 1️⃣ Run the daily swing low and hit the equilibrium of the range at $118,645, then bounce and move up towards $121,750. 2️⃣ Run the 12H swing low and hit the 0.75 level of the max discount range at $116,325, then bounce and move up. 🎯 Setup Trigger I will be watching for a 4H break of structure when either scenario occurs. 📋 Trade Management Stop-loss: Below the 4H swing low that confirms the break of structure. Target: TP1 at $121,750 and possible new highs. Targets will be updated depending on structure. 💬 Like, follow, and comment if you find this setup valuable! Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The content is for informational and educational purposes only and reflects personal opinions.
CME:BTC1!
by UA_CAPITAL
1
MBT (Micro Bitcoin Futures) Trade Setup – 3H TimeframeBullish Setup at Key Support Level with Declining Selling Pressure MBT has recently encountered resistance at the 122000-123500 zone, which previously marked its all-time high on July 14, 2025. The subsequent pullback to the 118650-119400 support area presents an intriguing bullish opportunity, particularly given the declining negative volume that suggests waning selling pressure. The 3-hour chart reveals a compelling technical setup, with the current price action testing a crucial support zone. What makes this setup particularly interesting is the moderate but decreasing negative volume during the recent decline. This volume characteristic often indicates accumulation and suggests that buyers are defending this support level. Illustrative Setup: A Buy Limit order positioned at 118650 capitalizes on the bottom of the current support zone. The Stop Loss at 116855 is strategically placed below both the August 9 price gap and the prevailing uptrend line, which would clearly invalidate the bullish thesis if breached conjointly. A Take Profit target at 122765, representing the midpoint of the recent high zone (122000-123500), offers an attractive 2.29:1 reward-risk ratio. Key considerations: The combination of declining selling volume, clear support zone, and the presence of an upward trendline since August 6 provides multiple technical confirmations for this bullish setup. However, traders should remain vigilant of broader market conditions and consider implementing partial profit-taking strategies given the significant distance to the target. This analysis is provided solely for educational and entertainment purposes and does not constitute any form of financial or investment advice. Always manage your risk and trade responsibly.
CME:MBT1!Long
by The_Smart_Tiger
Bitcoin – wave 5 Targets (Elliott Wave + Fibonacci) Bitcoin appears to be in the final wave 5 of the current bullish cycle. After breaking the 38.2% Fibonacci extension target, focus shifts to the next major levels: 61.8% extension ≈ $133,245 100% extension ≈ $169,620 161.8% extension ≈ $228,470 Historically, wave 5 often tops between 61.8% and 100% extensions, but strong parabolic runs can push to 161.8%. Key watch: a sustained break above $133K would significantly increase odds of exploring $170K+
CME:BTC1!Long
by hezediel
2
Bitcoin Technical Update It’s been nearly a month since our last look at CRYPTOCAP:BTC , and the uptrend from April is still firmly in place. 📈 🔹 Price recently bounced sharply from the trendline, supported by the 55-day MA (blue line). 🔹 Immediate upside focus: 123,615 (July high) 🔹 Fibonacci checkpoints: approx. 127K & 134K 🔹 Longer-term target: 145,000 The weekly chart suggests this is a “midpoint” move — using the flagpole measurement from the breakout, we’re eyeing that 145,000 level. Stops? I’d now raise them to just under the uptrend at 115,000 Trend intact. Momentum alive. Disclaimer: The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
CME:BTC1!Long
by The_STA
Bitcoin CME Closing Price: The Key to Next Week’s TrendIn this video I cover the CME closing price and go through a plan which includes a gap to the upside and a short squeeze before gravitating to the downside for lower targets . I also give a bias for higher prices if the VAH is claimed . This idea is modelled on the daily time frame and can play out over the course of the following week or more . I also look at the Eth/Btc pair and the Btc dominance chart and marry whats happening on those charts with this idea . When looking at BTC I use order flow software to further support my bias and the confluences I present in the chart. If you have any questions then leave them below . Support my work with a boost and Safe trading
CME:MBT1!
by SJTRADESFUTURES
3
BTC Fills Key CME Gap — Eyes Now on What’s Next✅ The CME gap between 115700–114300 has officially been filled — a level many traders were watching closely. What happens here could shape BTC’s next major move 🎯 Will we see consolidation, reversal, or continuation? Price action at this level deserves attention. 🕵️ Worth noting: one more unfilled gap remains at 92500–91900 📉 While CME gaps aren’t guaranteed to fill, history shows they often do — and traders are tracking that lower level. 👀 Watch this zone closely — market memory is strong around gap fills. What’s your bias from here? Not financial advice.
CME:BTC1!
by coin_mastermind
Bitcoin New Support at 100,000Bitcoin’s trend has been growing from strength to strength — and it’s likely to stay that way. Why? This trend isn’t driven purely by speculation; it’s supported by strong fundamental reasons. One of the most widely debated topics in finance today is the comparison between Bitcoin and gold. While both are viewed as stores of value, their long-term roles may diverge significantly. Yes, gold and bitcoin have been moving up in near perfect synchronization with inflation. Gold is traditionally seen as an inflation hedge, and since June 2022 — when inflation peaked at 9% — we’ve seen both gold and Bitcoin trend higher up to the present day. Instead of asking why the Fed isn’t cutting interest rates despite the decline in CPI, perhaps we should ask: why the Fed prefers to maintain rates at the current level. What are they seeing with the data and the developments? When both gold and Bitcoin hold steady at these elevated levels, it suggests that investors still believe the threat of rising inflation remains valid. In all bull markets, the path is never straightforward — it’s often jagged along with volatility. What distinguishes a continuing bull market - is the formation of higher lows along its timeline. However, like gold which we recently discussed, Bitcoin may be approaching a medium-term resistance. In this first week of this year tutorial, we observed an inverted hammer in the last month of 2024, suggesting a potential correction in Bitcoin, but yet seeing support at around 82,000 level. As anticipated, the inverted hammer was followed by a correction here toward our support level at around 82,000, with some false breaks along. From that point, the market resumed its upward climb. Now, it appears to be encountering resistance again. Still, as long as the market continues to form higher lows, and the threat of rising inflation still remain, the bull trend should remain intact. This is how the projection might look when mapped with a trendline. We observed that the primary parallel trendline is reacting in relationship to each other. Next I would like to explore its secondary channel. Please don’t interpret this as a literal path. Instead, I hope it serves as a guideline to help you form your own projections as the market evolves. Gold is preferred by older generations, central banks, and conservative investors. Deeply entrenched in traditional finance and cultural value systems. Cryptocurrency has a rapid adoption by younger investors, tech-native users, and institutions. Millennials and Gen Z are more likely to trust cryptographic assets than governments or fiat systems. I will keep an open mind to both inflation hedge asset and their instruments. Its video version for this tutorial: Disclaimer This analysis is based on technical studies and does not constitute financial advice. Please consult your licensed broker before investing. Mirco Bitcoin Futures and Options Ticker: MBT Minimum fluctuation: $5.00 per bitcoin = $0.50 per contract CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CME:BTC1!Long
by konhow
2
Crypto Week Unleashes a BTC Blitz & Sparks the Altcoin Catch-UpTotal crypto market capitalization has reached a new record high, driven by Bitcoin’s stunning rally. Other major coins, notably Solana and Ethereum, remain below their previous peaks. These price records coincide with what President Trump has dubbed “Crypto Week.” Market insiders are preparing for an altcoin season as the BTC Fear & Greed Index moves into the greedy zone. As we’ll note in this paper, things are different this time around, with certain digital assets better positioned to lead. It examines the outlook for Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana and XRP in light of the crypto bills under consideration in the US. It also explains how inter-asset spreads, which capture relative value between digital assets, can help investors position with reduced risk. Crypto Week Triggers Surge. Will Sentiment Wane Now? The week of July 14, 2025 was dubbed “Crypto Week” in Washington, D.C., featuring a string of pro-crypto legislative milestones. The U.S. House of Representatives advanced three major bills – the CLARITY Act (defining crypto market structure and exchange regulations), the GENIUS Act (establishing federal rules for stablecoins), and an anti-CBDC measure – aiming to provide the clear regulatory framework the industry has long sought for. President Trump, who embraced the moniker of “crypto president,” backed these efforts and swiftly signed the stablecoin GENIUS Act bill into law. This legislative push signalled a historic shift in attitudes, positioning the U.S. to “make America the crypto capital of the world,” as lawmakers claimed. Crucially, the stablecoin law (the GENIUS Act) could unlock new liquidity for digital assets. It creates a legal framework for U.S. dollar–pegged stablecoins, allowing banks, nonbanks and credit unions to issue their own dollar-backed coins under clear guardrails. Stablecoins – the lifeblood for trading and DeFi – already play a major role by enabling instant crypto transactions, and their use has grown rapidly despite past regulatory uncertainty. With regulatory certainty, fresh stablecoin supply from traditional institutions may enter the market, increasing on-ramps for investors and flow of capital into crypto. In theory this is a bullish development, as expanding the fiat-backed liquidity pool can support higher valuations across assets. However, it’s important to note that these U.S. laws are not yet in effect – the stablecoin act will take time to implement even after signing, and the other bills still require Senate approval or further progress. The optimism of “Crypto Week” has been rapidly priced in by the market, but the practical impacts (e.g. banks actually launching stablecoins or increased U.S. stablecoin adoption) will materialize only gradually over coming months. In the meantime, traders should temper excitement with patience, as regulatory change tends to influence markets with a lag. At the same time, the recent surge in stablecoin supply is undeniable and has come on the back of additional flows to the asset class all year through broader institutional adoption. BTC and XRP at ATH; SOL and ETH Lag Bitcoin rallied through Q2 2025 to crest a new peak of $123,000, driven by institutional demand—including record spot ETF inflows totalling $19 billion (YTD) and positive regulatory signals. XRP echoed this strength, surging past $3.60 to reclaim its 2018 peak after major asset managers filed for XRP based ETFs amid clearer legal status post CLARITY Act. By contrast, Ethereum and Solana, despite gains of +35% and +24% respectively in Q2, remain roughly 20–30% below their all time highs (ETH ~$4,800; SOL ~$260). SOL’s rebound owes much to network growth and memecoin activity, and but its institutional narrative remains secondary. ETH’s rally has been supported by rising staking participation and DeFi activity, yet it lacks the concrete ETF catalyst that buoyed BTC and XRP, until now. Source: Mint Finance Analysis Net ETF flows this year have been dominated by strong inflows into BTC ETFs, with only a few brief outflow periods. Notably, over the past few weeks, ETH ETF inflows have also accelerated. Might this signal a shift in momentum, with previously lagging assets poised to rally? It’s possible; however, in a broader market downturn, these same assets could suffer disproportionately. How can investors strategically navigate this environment and position themselves around underperformers? Relative Value Spreads Using CME Micro Futures Relative value spreads allow traders to express a view on one asset relative to another while remaining neutral to directional moves in either. This strategy is particularly useful when price direction is uncertain but some assets are clearly outperforming others. Using CME’s Micro Crypto suite, investors can deploy these spreads on major digital assets with deep liquidity and lower margin requirements than outright positions. Recent inter-asset spread performance shows most altcoins outperformed Bitcoin during “Crypto Week” The BTC / XRP ratio declined 30 percent as XRP rallied more strongly than Bitcoin. The BTC / ETH ratio fell 30 percent, while the BTC / SOL ratio fell 22 percent—the smallest decline among the three pairs. Over the longer term, declines in the BTC / ETH and BTC / SOL ratios reflect nearly a year of altcoin underperformance. As altcoins catch up, the strong momentum in BTC / ETH makes it a viable spread for investors, especially given accelerating inflows into ETH ETFs. The following hypothetical spread consisting of a long position in 32 x CME micro ETH futures (August) and short position in 1 x CME micro BTC futures (August). CME offers margin offset of 40% for this spread as of 22/July. XRP-based spreads have been heavily influenced by the US election and regulatory developments. Investors seeking to express an outperformance view backed by recent legislative progress can consider the XRP / SOL spread, which has shown strong momentum over the past week The following hypothetical spread consists of long 1 x CME micro XRP futures (August) and short 2 x CME micro-SOL futures (August). CME offers a 15% margin offset for this spread as of 22/July. MARKET DATA CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme . DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
CME:BTC1!
by mintdotfinance
Survival First, Success LaterThere was once a stone that lay deep in the heart of a flowing river. Every day, the water rushed past it, sometimes gently, sometimes with force. The stone wanted to stay strong, unmoved. It believed that by holding its ground, it could outlast the river. For years, the stone resisted. It didn’t want to change. It believed that strength meant standing still, no matter how hard the current pulled. But slowly, almost without noticing, the stone began to wear down. The river wasn’t trying to destroy it. The water wasn’t cruel. It was simply doing what rivers do - moving, shifting, carving its own path. One day, the stone realised it wasn’t the same shape anymore. It was smoother now, smaller in places. It hadn’t won by resisting. It had survived by adapting. It had learned to let the river shape it without breaking it apart. The stone couldn’t control the river. All it could do was endure without letting itself be shattered. Trading is NOT so different. The market moves like a river. It doesn’t care if you want it to go left or right. It doesn’t reward those who stand rigid against its flow. It rewards those who learn when to hold their ground, when to let go, and how to survive the constant pull of forces bigger than themselves. This is NOT a story about rivers and stones. It’s a story about YOU. About learning to endure without breaking. About understanding that survival comes not from fighting the current, but from learning how to live within it. Much like the stone, every trader begins with the same illusion, that strength means control, that certainty can be conquered with enough knowledge or willpower. But time in the markets teaches you otherwise. It shows you, again and again, that survival isn’t about resisting the flow. It’s about learning to move with it, to protect yourself from the inevitable storms without being broken by them. And so, this is where the real story of trading begins. Trading often appears simple from a distance. You buy, you sell, you make a profit, and then you repeat the process. But anyone who has spent enough time in the markets will tell you the truth. This isn’t a game of certainty. This is a game of survival. The market humbles you early. It doesn’t care how much you know, how brilliant you think you are, or how much confidence you bring. The market doesn’t reward ego; it breaks it down piece by piece. Almost everyone starts with the same mindset. You want to win. You want to make money. You believe you can figure it out if you study hard enough, work smart enough, hustle more than the next person. But eventually, reality steps in. You begin to understand this game isn’t about knowing where the price will go next. It’s about knowing where you will stop, where you will cut a loss, where you will step aside and wait. The traders who survive are not the ones who chase perfection or seek to predict every move. They are the ones who learn how to lose properly - small losses, controlled losses. Losses that don’t bleed into something bigger, mentally or financially. Most people can’t do that. They fight the market. They fight themselves. They refuse to accept small losses, believing they can somehow force a different outcome. Those small losses eventually snowball. Blowups rarely come from one bad trade. They come from ignoring the small signs over and over again. The market isn’t cruel. It’s just indifferent. It’s your responsibility to protect yourself. Good trading isn’t loud. It isn’t exciting. It isn’t full of adrenaline and big calls. Good trading is quiet, repetitive, and frankly, a little boring. It’s built on discipline, not drama. Your job is to manage risk, protect your capital, and let time do its work. There is no holy grail. There is only process. A process you can repeat with a clear head, day after day, year after year, without losing yourself in the noise. Wins will come. Losses will come. Neither defines who you are. What defines you is how you respond. ⦿ Can you stay calm after a red day? ⦿ Can you follow your plan even after a mistake? ⦿ Can you sit on your hands when there’s nothing to do and trust the work you’ve already done? Patience, in the end, is the real edge. Most won’t have it. They’ll bounce between strategies, searching for certainty where none exists. They’ll burn out chasing shortcuts. They’ll forget that progress comes through small, steady steps taken over years, not through chasing big wins. Trading is a mirror. It reflects your fear, your greed, your impatience. It shows you who you really are. Ignore what it reveals and you’ll keep paying for the same lesson until you finally learn it. In the end, this game isn’t about the market. It’s about YOU. ⦿ Learn to protect yourself. ⦿ Learn to sit with boredom. ⦿ Learn to lose well. ⦿ Learn to wait without losing faith. If you can do that, the market has a way of rewarding you in time.
CME:BTC1!Education
by johntradingwick
17
Bitcoin and Upcoming TrendBitcoin’s trend has been growing from strength to strength — and it’s likely to stay that way. Why? This trend isn’t driven purely by speculation; it’s supported by strong fundamental reasons. One of the most widely debated topics in finance today is the comparison between Bitcoin and gold. While both are viewed as stores of value, their long-term roles may diverge significantly. Yet, they’ve been moving in near-perfect synchronization, with potential resistance ahead, but their trend still remain intact — and here’s why. Mirco Bitcoin Futures and Options Ticker: MBT Minimum fluctuation: $5.00 per bitcoin = $0.50 per contract Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CME:BTC1!Short
by konhow
Bitcoin Breakout: Charting the Next TargetsWe’re taking another look at #Bitcoin, which has surged higher and broken above its long-term channel — a move that’s caught the attention of many market watchers. 🔍 Key technical insights: ✅ The recent consolidation appears to be a midway pause in the uptrend. By measuring the preceding flagpole and projecting from the breakout, we derive an overall target near $145,000. ✅ Using Fibonacci extensions: • From the September 2023 low to the March 2024 peak, projected off the July 2024 low, we see an interim resistance around $127,000. • A secondary extension from the July 2024 low to the January 2025 high, projected off the March 2025 low, points to approximately $134,500. 📊 The broader bull trend remains intact while Bitcoin holds above its 55-day moving average. For those seeking tighter risk parameters, the 4-hour chart with cloud analysis suggests initial support around $119,500. ⚠️ As always, it comes down to your individual risk tolerance. (This is not investment advice.) 💬 I’d love to hear your perspectives: • Are these targets on your radar? • Where do you see Bitcoin heading next? Disclaimer: The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
CME:BTC1!Long
by The_STA
2