Gold Futures
No trades
Trade ideas
Reaching upper levelGold reaching upper level from a volume perspective
Will it break out or continue to consolidate?
MGC LongsPrice is forming a rounded double-bottom structure right on the rising trendline (blue), suggesting buyers are quietly stepping back in after multiple rejections from the lower demand zone (4,050–4,060).
We’re currently pushing into a key mid-range resistance at 4,085–4,095. This level has acted as a heavy decision zone for several sessions, so I’m watching for one of two things:
Primary Bias (Bullish)
A controlled pullback into the 4,060–4,065 demand zone
Buyers hold structure above the trendline and EMAs
Break and hold above 4,090
Then continuation toward 4,110 → 4,130 liquidity pockets
The white projection illustrates the ideal retest-and-continue scenario.
Key Notes
EMAs are beginning to curl up and tighten — early sign of momentum shift
Liquidity sits above 4,105–4,115 from prior wicks
Clean invalidation below the trendline / demand at 4,050
Overall, this is a reversal-structure forming at higher-timeframe support, with a potential push into the next major supply zone if intraday demand continues to hold.
Gold (30m) – NPC Volatility Zones After Range CompressionGold Futures (COMEX), 30m using NeuroPolynomial Channel (NPC)
After the recent range compression, Gold is sitting inside a nonlinear stabilization pocket rather than a momentum phase.
Current Statistical Position:
• Price hovering near NPC Core Cluster
• Distance from lower stress band: ~1.2%
• Distance from upper expansion band: ~2.0%
• Compression vs prior leg: ~0.58
NPC Volatility Map:
• Upper Expansion Zone: +1.8% → +2.3%
• Core Equilibrium: Current range
• Lower Rejection Band: −1.2%
• Breakdown Re-Entry Zone: −2.6%
Scenarios (not predictions):
Holding above core → rotation towards upper band
Losing core → retest lower volatility zone
This is a structure + probability map, not a trade signal.
GOLD BEARSThe price is testing the upper boundary of the trend channel; I'm anticipating a reversal to the downside and will look for a short position, unless there is a strong bullish breakout followed by a retest of the channel as new support.
XAU/USD Prophecy: Will 4200 Shine Bright?Greetings, Traders! Market Prophecy: XAU/USD in Action
Gold isn’t just sparkling—it’s plotting moves like a secret agent with Fibonacci codes! Here’s what the charts are whispering:
🔍 The Setup
XAU/USD has strutted its way to the 50% Fibonacci level, but if history is any guide, gold loves to go the extra mile—often stretching beyond 61.8% like it’s chasing a bonus level in a video game. Translation? There’s still some golden runway left for the bulls.
📈 The Technical Drama
On the 1-hour timeframe, we’ve got a trendline breakout—cue the fireworks!
The 30-minute chart? Resistance smashed like a piñata at a birthday party.
Now, all eyes are on the 4107 level. If price breaks this resistance, expect a pullback that could be your golden ticket for a long entry.
🎯 The Target
If the bullish momentum keeps flexing, we’re eyeing 4200 as the grand finale. Think of it as gold’s victory lap.
💡 Trading Idea
Break → Pullback → Long → Profit. Simple, but with style. Just remember: markets can be as moody as a cat, so manage your risk like a pro.
If you found this helpful, hit LIKE & COMMENT ❤️
XAU/USD Weekly Drama: Resistance vs. Persistence!Welcome back to Market Prophecy...
Gold (XAU/USD) recently broke below its support level and the lower trendline, signaling bearish pressure. However, the price failed to breach the critical $4,000 mark, indicating strong buying interest at lower levels.
For the upcoming week, the bias shifts toward a bullish outlook, with the first key resistance located at $4,106.43. A confirmed breakout above this resistance and the trendline will serve as a strong entry signal for long positions.
Trading Plan:
Breakout Confirmation: Wait for price to close above $4,106.43 and the trendline.
Pullback Opportunity: If the breakout occurs, monitor for a retracement back to the support zone for an optimal entry.
Upside Target: The next major resistance is projected near $4,200, which will act as the primary profit target.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: Previous breakout zone
Resistance: $4,106.43 (initial), $4,200 (target)
good luck all
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal**
Thanks a lot for your support
Gold Futures – Compression Before Explosion?Gold (GC1!) is coiling tightly just above the $3,998 level, teasing a big move as it hugs the 0.618 fib zone at $3,921. It’s the definition of compression — and when gold coils like this, something always gives.
📍 Key levels on the radar:
$3,998 – Current pressure zone
$3,921 – Fib support + breakout base
$3,602 – Worst-case flush if demand fails
$4,489 – Fibonacci extension target if this rips
We’ve got an ascending pitchfork, clean market structure, and a massive range breakout setup. These kinds of patterns don’t sit idle for long.
Gold remains a beast in uncertain macro conditions — don’t underestimate what happens when fear, rates, and inflation mix.
Trading Wisdom 📜
The bigger the coil, the nastier the move. Don’t focus on direction — focus on readiness. Gold pays those who stay patient and deadly.
Disclaimer: What you read here is not financial advice — it’s high-level market philosophy from the FXPROFESSOR himself. Risk is real, and your capital is your responsibility. Learn, adapt, evolve.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Gold Bearish OutlookExpecting CSE:GC TVC:XAU to be bearish for the rest of the month
- Seasonals lean bearish till EOM
- Commercials are highly short while Small traders are highly long
- OI relatively high
- CLEAR Market structure break
- CLEAR IRL to ERL target
Thursday1. How do I read the open and close price of each candle after it prints?
2. Can I get out of a trade before it stops out? Like right before it stops out.
3. Was there any way to have made this trade a winner?
Gold Mega MCX Futures — Inverse Head & Shoulders - Pattern TradeMCX:GOLD1!
By Chart Pathik | 20 November 2025
Gold Mega MCX Futures — Inverse Head & Shoulders Breakout Suggests Positional Bullish Reversal
Market Overview
Gold Mega MCX Futures
have constructed a textbook Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern on the 15-minute chart, indicating a notable bullish reversal opportunity after an extended downtrend. This structural pattern reflects gradual absorption of supply, leading to a strong recovery scenario for positional traders.
After testing the lows near 121,800 (forming the head), gold has rebounded to repeatedly test resistance at the neckline around 124,455. The right shoulder completed with a swift reversal, and prices are now pressing against breakout territory. Sustained closes above the 124,455 neckline confirm classic breakout conditions for a multi-session rally.
Technical Structure and Pattern Logic
The Inverse Head & Shoulders structure, observed here, is a high-probability bullish reversal setup favored by institutional participants at the end of persistent downtrends.
The "head" forms at the extreme swing low (121,800), with each "shoulder" forming on higher lows, reflecting indifference turning into accumulation and finally conviction.
The pattern's neckline resistance is sharply defined at 124,455, which, when broken decisively, unlocks the full post-breakout measured move potential. Early aggressive entries are possible on high-volatility tests of the right shoulder at 123,255, setting up for add-on positions if a neckline breakout occurs.
Breakout Validation and Volume Confirmation
Key volume expansion on rallies above the neckline is crucial for confirming the breakout. A surge in open interest or strong momentum during/after a breakout candle provides additional confirmation and increases the probability of a sustained move.
Pattern Target Projection
Pattern Target: 128,100
This target is projected by measuring the distance from the neckline (124,455) to the head (121,800), then adding it above the neckline breakout.
Key Levels to Watch
Early Entry: 123,255 (for aggressive traders on pullbacks toward the right shoulder)
Break-Out Entry: 124,455 (confirmation on a convincing breakout and close)
Stoploss (Positional): 121,800 (well below head formation, protecting capital and structure)
Pattern Target: 128,100 (full measured move from bottom to neckline)
Scenario Analysis
If gold closes above 124,455:
Momentum is likely to accelerate toward 128,100, with the trend reinforced by any volume spike and reduced selling pressure at higher prices.
If gold fails at the neckline and closes back below 123,255:
A failed breakout or pattern trap could lead to a retest of 121,800 or even a deeper corrective phase if macro sentiment or global cues turn adverse.
Broader Market Context
This reversal setup comes as broader market volatility in precious metals fades and macro conditions appear stabilizing. Physical demand, safe-haven flows, and a potential resurgence in global risk aversion could further support the bullish thesis.
Historical Significance
The Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern is respected by traders for timing momentum shifts at major turning points. A similar structure triggered a sharp rally in gold Mega MCX Futures during Q4 2020, and the post-breakout rally then lasted for several weeks.
Market Psychology and Trader Positioning
This pattern shows a market transitioning from capitulation and fear (the head), through reluctant bullishness (shoulders), to widespread conviction (neckline breakout).
Large players will often accumulate around the shoulder and neckline and then aggressively push prices through resistance once weak hands exit.
Outlook
In the coming sessions, a sustained breakout above 124,455, validated by strong candle closes and higher volume, should favor multi-session long positions targeting 128,100. Pullbacks into the 123,255–124,455 area are accumulation zones for swing or positional traders.
Chart Pathik View
This pattern marks a structural turning point after a corrective phase. Patience on retests, strict risk management with stoploss at 121,800, and riding the full pattern target are the ideal tactics.
As gold transitions from a downtrend into a potential expansion phase, structure, discipline, and measured scaling are essential to positional success.
Last time this Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern on MCX Gold Futures produced a similar outcome was in June 2020, leading to a 10% rally in the following weeks.
GC UpdateLooks to me like gold is forming a big pennant, more than likely a continuation pennant.
Certainly not acting like it;s topped out.
Gold Takes out Swing High??If we can break the previous resistance, Thad be in indication buyers are in control. A simple pullback off a 15m would be an ideal entry
Gold Looks 50/50, Will it show a bearish momentum?Gold! Gold! Gold! I called you thrice, please drop.
GoldBoth symbols look bullish to me, even though the overall price has been moving down — they’re targeting mitigated areas that usually don’t hold for long.
Gold1! Weekly Chart Bearish Scenario- NFAGold1! Weekly Chart Bearish Scenario- NFA
*Bullish till we reach 50% level
* Expecting bearish reaction from 50% of last week candle wick , great for a Short side Intraday Trade
Gold Holds $4000Gold has retraced lower from last week’s high, though it is holding above 4000 for now. Two bullish pinbars have also formed on the daily chart, hinting at a potential swing low. A break above yesterday’s high could see bulls target the 4200 handle, with a move through the 4250 high bringing the 4300 handle and monthly S1 into view.
However, keep in mind the weekly chart may be forming a Wave B within a broader ABC correction. I’ll also be watching for signs of a swing high on the daily chart and a potential resumption of the move lower from the record high. A 100% projection of Wave A from B implies a downside target near 3800.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index.
The Calm Before the Expansion — Gold Pre-Setup MapGold rejecting the Asian Range low and showing early signs of reversal. Missed the London setup after oversleeping, but tonight I’m watching for a retrace back into the H1 FVG + lower HVN. That pocket sits just under 50% of yesterday’s Asian range and lines up with weekly volume sitting just outside of value. If price pulls back into that zone and shows displacement, I’m looking for continuation to the upside and potential expansion toward the H4 FVG above. Premature breakouts tonight may be traps.
Looking for the Sweep leading into a bigger Play! Price bled lower through the entire Asian session after yesterday’s late breakdown, continuing the move away from the prior value area. We’re now trading inside a cluster of intraday inefficiencies with clean liquidity sitting below at 4013 and the psychological 4000 level.
My focus going into London and NY is patience.
Asia’s slow descent is typically a continuation phase, not the actual entry. I want to see:
A sweep of 4013 or 4000
A clear displacement reaction
A retrace back into a fresh M5–M15 FVG
Then structure confirming continuation or reversal
Until that happens, this remains a bearish environment with untested Weekly imbalance still below. If buyers don’t defend 4013 with force, the algo will likely reach for the 4000 liquidity pocket next.
Staying reactive, not predictive.
London will reveal whether this breakdown continues or sets the trap for a reversal.
