1. We’re in a “compressed spring” phase
Capital is moving into stablecoins, not altcoins.
This usually means the market is waiting for direction.
It’s like the market is inhaling but hasn’t exhaled yet.
2. Altcoins are dropping, but not capitulating
Alts are falling without panic, and BTC isn’t strongly trending.
This shows traders are:
moving to stablecoins
waiting for BTC to stabilize
avoiding risk during volatility
This behavior is typical before a rotation into altcoins.
3. Bitcoin is still the trend setter
Altcoins behave the same way as always:
BTC falls → alts bleed harder
BTC pumps → alts lag
BTC stabilizes → alts run
Stability is the key.
4. What I expect
If BTC trades sideways for 3–10 days,
➡️ capital will rotate into altcoins, and fast.
Stablecoins are already “loaded” and waiting to flow back in.
This is the usual pattern after major BTC volatility.
5. What could block an altcoin rally?
macroeconomic stress
a new BTC selloff
stablecoin outflows
major negative news
Currently, none of these look severe.
6. Final outlook
We’re in a pre-altseason phase.
BTC stabilization is the last missing trigger.
Stablecoins are the fuel waiting to enter the market.
If BTC holds key support and moves sideways,
➡️ I expect capital rotation into altcoins in days to weeks.