Monthly Analysis: Ethereum (ETH), Issue 277 (FreThe analyst believes that the price of ETHUSD will decrease within the time specified on the countdown timer. This prediction is based on a quantitative analysis of the price trend.
___Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
ETHPROS_TPG8CJ.USD trade ideas
ETH PERPETUAL TRADE SELL SETUP ,Short from $4350ETH PERPETUAL TRADE
SELL SETUP
Short from $4350
Currently $4350
Stoploss $4750
Targeting $4220 or Down
(Trading plan ETH go up to $4420
will add more shorts)
Follow the notes for updates
In the event of an early exit,
this analysis will be updated.
Its not a Financial advice
Be careful - ETH weekly analysis Sep 1 - 7ththereum currently presents two possible interpretations. Either we remain in a corrective structure within Intermediate Wave 4, or we are already forming a 1–2 setup at the Minute degree, which would imply the start of an impulsive rally. My primary scenario, however, favors the correction. The reason is simple: despite the current bullish news flow, the internal structure does not provide enough confirmation for me to adopt the 1–2 setup as the main count.
The order book shows notable order clusters around $4.2k and additional orders at $4k, while the liquidation heatmap highlights significant liquidity at the $4k level. Of course, shorter-term liquidity and orders exist above current price, but the fact that the recent pump occurred as a typical “Sunday pump” makes me cautious about taking longs in this environment.
Derivative data supports the cautious stance. Open interest has stabilized, while funding rates have slipped back into negative territory. This suggests bearish sentiment is still dominant. When combined with the liquidity sitting above current price, the bearish argument is further reinforced.
Additionally, it is worth noting that Fetch.ai has recently broken its bullish structure, and from experience, other altcoins often follow such bearish turnarounds. For now, I am short positioned. Key levels to watch include the 0.618 retracement of the supposed Minute Wave 2, which could act as a potential reversal zone. However, once the low of Minute Wave 1 is broken, I expect the path toward $4,000 to open up.
ETH PERPETUAL TRADE ,SELL SETUP Short from $4415ETH PERPETUAL TRADE
SELL SETUP
Short from $4415
Currently $4415
Stoploss $4820
Targeting $4325 or Down
(Trading plan ETH go up to $4530
will add more shorts)
Follow the notes for updates
In the event of an early exit,
this analysis will be updated.
Its not a Financial advice
ETHUSD protracted sideways consolidation support at 4,100The ETHUSD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 4,100 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 4,100 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
4,450 – initial resistance
4,730 – psychological and structural level
5,070 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 4,100 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
3,990 – minor support
3,830 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the ETHUSD holds above 4,100. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
ETHUSD bullish sideways consolidationThe ETHUSD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 4,100 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 4,100 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
4,450 – initial resistance
4,730 – psychological and structural level
5,070 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 4,100 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
3,990 – minor support
3,830 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the ETHUSD holds above 4,100. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
ETH Drop Price TargetsHello Traders.. Well I think we hit a local top.. Could it eak out one more wave up sure.. But I think it needs a decent down move to gather liquidity if its going to stay bullish in the long term. Here I show some price target levels and corresponding drops in the past. What do you think?
ETH to $5,000 - Whales Are Withdrawing & Storing in Cold WalletsEthereum , After ETH failed to break the strong support around $4,000 – $4,100,
a double bottom pattern has formed, signaling the beginning of a potential major rally toward $5,000.
What strengthens this bullish outlook is the recent on-chain and exchange data:
Ethereum balances on major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase have dropped significantly.
Between August 23 and September 5:
Around 700,000 ETH left Binance
Around 900,000 ETH left Coinbase
In total, exchange reserves dropped by more than 2.6 million ETH over the last two months.
This massive decline in ETH reserves usually means that investors are moving coins into private wallets for long-term holding — an accumulation signal, not selling.
When exchange supply shrinks while demand remains steady (or increases), it often triggers a Supply Shock, pushing prices higher.
What does this mean?
➡️ Big players and whales are withdrawing ETH into cold storage.
➡️ This reduces the immediate sell-side liquidity and opens the door for a potential Supply Shock.
With lower supply and strong demand (especially with Ethereum upgrades and growing institutional interest), the natural outcome is: higher prices.
🎯 Logical next target = $5,000
Reminder:
The market is always driven by supply, demand, and whale behavior. That’s why liquidity flow is often more important than any indicator.
Question for you:
Do you see this exchange outflow as a clear sign of an upcoming rally?
Or do we still need confirmation on the chart first
✅ Write a comment with your favorite altcoin hit the like button, and I'll provide my analysis in the reply. Trading is simpler with the right coaching.
My analyses are personal opinions, not trade setups.
Thank you for your support, and I wish you successful trades 🌹
ETH/USD: ETH on the Edge!ETH is currently trading around $4,390–$4,430 after a summer rally and a modest pullback, reflecting broader crypto weakness linked to shifting U.S. rate-cut expectations. Demand from spot ETH ETFs has been a key support factor, with inflows continuing steadily and several trackers reporting multi-billion-dollar monthly additions.
On-chain activity also remains robust, with DeFi TVL, daily transactions, and active addresses near 2025 highs, indicating that real usage underpins price action. The completion of the Pectra upgrade and upcoming scalability improvements further support medium-term confidence, while macro developments remain the main swing factor, as crypto reacts to Fed guidance and broader risk appetite.
Technically, $4,300–$4,350 provides immediate support, with deeper support at $4,150–$4,200, while resistance sits at $4,600, above which $4,950–$5,000 becomes achievable. In the next 2–6 weeks, ETH is likely to trade in a range of $4,200–$4,950, with ETF inflows and strong on-chain metrics cushioning dips, though a decisive close above $4,600 would open a run toward $4,900–$5,000, and a close below $4,300 risks probing $4,150–$4,200.
Into Q4, the outlook remains constructive but choppy, with potential to retest and break $5,000 if flows persist and macro conditions remain favorable. Key risks include a macro downside surprise, ETF outflows, and technical or regulatory setbacks.
Market participants should watch ETF flow prints, on-chain activity, and U.S. rates data, as these will heavily influence ETH price action. Overall, near-term trading likely remains choppy between $4,200 and $4,950, with $4,600 acting as pivotal resistance and $4,300 as immediate support, while ETF inflows and real usage favor buy-the-dip behavior, and macro developments will determine whether ETH can sustainably challenge $5,000.
Eth to 4k!?Ethereum seems to be grinding through a corrective pullback, and the price action around 4K is shaping up to be the next major test. If this dip continues to unfold in a corrective fashion, the area of interest (AOI) and levels of interest (LOIs) shown on the chart are where I’ll be watching closely.
The wave count remains clean here. We’ve got confluence stacking around the 4K region, with support zones lining up against standard Fibonacci retracement levels. If price tags those areas while printing corrective structure, it keeps the bigger bullish roadmap intact.
On the upside, 4.5K is the level that keeps capping bulls. Ethereum’s failed attempts to break through highlight its strength as resistance. If price makes another push and finally clears that ceiling, I’d have to reassess whether I’ve leaned too bearish in this pullback. A decisive reclaim would show just how much momentum buyers have left in the tank.
Key Outlook:
4K region = next AOI for a corrective test
3,888 and 3,502 = deeper LOIs if selling pressure extends
4.5K break = potential shift back into aggressive bullish territory
For now, patience is key. If ETH prints corrective structure into these downside levels, the larger Elliott Wave framework still points toward a bullish continuation. But without a strong break above 4.5K, the market hasn’t proven the bulls are back in control....yet
Ethereum Holds Ascending Support – Eyes on 4,881 and Beyond🔥📈 Ethereum Holds Ascending Support – Eyes on 4,881 and Beyond 🚀💡
In my last video update, I walked you through Bitcoin and Ethereum’s structures 🎥 — and Ethereum continues to impress. Despite the September chop, ETH is holding its ascending trendline beautifully and consolidating above key supports.
🔹 Current Support Zone: 4,286 – trendline support. As long as ETH defends this level, the bullish case remains intact.
🔹 Upside Targets:
• 4,551 – first resistance to clear
• 4,881 – key Fibonacci extension
• 5,508 – higher target if momentum continues
• 6,443 – long-term bullish objective
📉 Bearish Risk: A break below 4,286 exposes downside levels at 4,005 , and deeper supports at 3,789 – 3,629 .
What I like here is how Ethereum is consolidating in a healthy structure after its breakout from “clashing resistances” earlier this summer. The trendline is holding, the fib levels are aligning, and the market has room to expand higher.
As I said in the Live video just now ( ): Bitcoin is in its ascending channel but facing RESISTANCE RIGHT NOW, and Ethereum is showing strength on its own path. Both are tradable — but ETH might just be leading the way this September.
Market can go sideways more, but Ethereum i see support(long over/short under that key level at 4286!)
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Remember to live with Love and respect for yourself and for others.🌟🤝📈
Ethereum likely to continue Bullish Trend in 4h chartEthereum's market structure on the 4-hour chart continues to paint a predominantly bullish picture, suggesting the potential for a significant upward move in the near term. The foundation of this optimism is built upon a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows, the quintessential characteristic of a healthy uptrend. This pattern indicates that buyers are consistently stepping in at elevated levels, demonstrating sustained demand and pushing the price to new local peaks with each successive wave.
However, this bullish primary trend is currently experiencing a counter-trend consolidation, manifesting as a descending triangle formation. This pattern typically forms when the price meets consistent resistance around a specific level (in this case, forming a flat top), while the pullbacks become progressively shallower, creating a descending trendline for the lows. Crucially, the formation of this pattern within a larger uptrend is often interpreted as a bullish continuation pattern rather than a reversal.
Supporting this thesis is a noticeable decline in selling pressure, as evidenced by weakening volume on the downward swings within the triangle. This suggests that bears are losing conviction, allowing the market to absorb supply efficiently. The convergence of these factors implies that the secondary corrective trend (the consolidation) is likely concluding, paving the way for the primary bullish trend to resume its dominance.
A decisive breakout above the triangle’s upper resistance could trigger a powerful move north. In such a scenario, Ethereum has a clear upside target projected around the $4850 region. Conversely, should a temporary pullback occur, the key support level to watch is near $4050. A hold above this level would keep the broader bullish structure intact, while a break below could signal a longer and deeper period of consolidation.
ETHUSD | Reversed 0.5R ATR Setup(Unfortunately, my original post with the exact entry was hidden due to a house rule violation. This repost only shows a later entry, as I had to publish it again after the fact.)
Setup: 0.5R target | 2 ATR stop | 1 ATR take profit
Entry idea:
Multiple confluences line up for a quick trade. Price found support at a major level, broke several trendlines to the upside, and is now retesting resistance. A safe 0.5R target is in play.
Confirmations:
• RSI trend break to the upside → market showing strength
• Elliott: 1D 5-wave structure completed, followed by an ABC correction → points to continuation higher
//This setup follows my high-probability reversed approach.
I focus on consistency with 80%+ win rate instead of chasing 1:2 or 1:3 risk-reward trades.
Why?
Because a 0.5R target reduces trade time dramatically — no need to sit in positions for hours or days. Less time in trades = less stress, fewer mistakes, more consistency.//
Disclaimer: This idea is for educational purposes only. Please do not place trades solely based on this setup.
Ethereum: Undervalued Powerhouse or September Slump? Ethereum: Undervalued Powerhouse or September Slump? Breakout to $5K on the Horizon?
Ethereum (ETH) has held steady around $4,300 this month amid a choppy crypto market, down about 15% from its August all-time high but showing resilience with a modest 0.52% gain today to $4,328.5. Early September saw over $500 million in outflows from spot Ethereum ETFs, reversing summer inflows and fueling doubts about institutional appetite.
Yet, with analysts eyeing a potential rally to $9,000–$12,000 by year-end 2025 driven by ETF rotation and broader adoption, is ETH the undervalued blue-chip crypto ready for a rebound, or will seasonal weakness cap its upside? Let's dive into the fundamentals, charts, and key levels to navigate this pivotal moment.
Fundamental Analysis
Ethereum's core drivers remain tied to its ecosystem growth and macroeconomic tailwinds, but recent ETF flows have introduced volatility. As the backbone for DeFi, NFTs, and layer-2 scaling, ETH benefits from rising staking rewards and network upgrades like Dencun, which have boosted efficiency.
Analysts project ETH could hit $5,194 by late September, with long-term forecasts up to $12,000 in 2025 if institutional demand surges via ETFs. However, sticky inflation and Fed policy uncertainty could delay rate cuts, pressuring risk assets like crypto.
- **Positive:**
- Record ETF inflows in July–August signal growing institutional interest; recent positive territory returns hint at rotation back to ETH.
- Staking growth and adoption in DeFi (e.g., Aave, Uniswap) underscore undervaluation, with ETH's market cap at ~$520 billion versus Bitcoin's dominance.
- Broader trends like AI-blockchain integration and regulatory clarity (e.g., potential spot ETFs for challengers like Sui) bolster ETH's utility.
- **Negative:**
- $500M+ ETF outflows in early September reflect profit-taking and risk-off sentiment amid U.S. labor market weakness.
- Seasonal September weakness in crypto, compounded by geopolitical risks, could extend the correction if Bitcoin falters.
Technical Analysis
On the daily chart, ETH is coiling in a tight symmetrical triangle pattern after bouncing from the $4,320–$4,325 support base, with volume picking up on the upside. This consolidation follows a descending channel breakdown, but the hold above key EMAs suggests building momentum for a potential impulse wave higher. Current price: $4,328.5, with VWAP at $4,300 providing intraday support.
Key indicators:
- **RSI (14-day):** Hovering at 48, neutral but nearing oversold territory— a dip below 40 could signal a strong bounce. 📈
- **MACD:** Histogram in negative territory, but the signal line crossover is imminent, hinting at bullish divergence if volume confirms. ⚠️
- **Moving Averages:** Price above the 21-day EMA ($4,280) but testing the 50-day SMA ($4,350)—a sustained hold here avoids short-term bearish pressure.
Support/Resistance: Firm support at $4,320 (recent low and 200-day EMA), with major resistance at $4,500 (August high). Patterns/Momentum: The triangle apex nears; a bullish breakout above $4,500 could target $4,800–$4,952, while failure risks a retest of $4,200. 🟢 Bullish signals: Accumulation on hourly charts. 🔴 Bearish risks: Death cross if 50-day SMA flips below 200-day.
Scenarios and Risk Management
- **Bullish Scenario:** A clean break above $4,500 on ETF inflow news or positive macro data (e.g., softer PCE) targets $4,800 initially, then $5,000–$9,000 by Q4. Buy on pullbacks to $4,320 support for optimal entry.
- **Bearish Scenario:** Drop below $4,320 eyes $4,200 (psychological level); a full death cross could accelerate to $3,800. Avoid longs if Bitcoin slips under $60K.
- **Neutral/Goldilocks:** Range-bound $4,200–$4,500 if data remains mixed, ideal for scalping or options plays.
Risk Tips: Set stops 2–3% below support ($4,200) to cap losses. Risk no more than 1–2% of portfolio per trade. Diversify with BTC or stablecoins to hedge crypto correlations—avoid overexposure in this volatile September.
Conclusion/Outlook
Overall, a bullish bias emerges if ETH reclaims $4,500 and ETF flows reverse, positioning it as an undervalued play with 100%+ upside potential into 2025 amid institutional rotation.
But watch today's crypto volatility and upcoming Fed signals for confirmation—this fits the classic September Effect of weakness before Q4 rallies. What's your take? Bullish on ETH's rebound or sitting out the slump? Share in the comments!
Eth's next leg up, following Bitcoin's 2020 exampleThis is an attempt to zoom out over very big time-frames and consider how Eth could enter a new super-cycle and ATH.
The assumption is that Ethereum will follow a similar path Bitcoin did in 2020, where the price similarly broke out of a multi-year descending resistance line formed from that supercycle's ATH, carving out a logarithmic bull channel to the next supercycle's ATH.
Several key differences exist. For instance, Eth's current multi-year descending resistance is longer than Bitcoin's was at the time. Furthermore, Bitcoin's initial breakout of that resistance did not coincide with the formation of a new ATH, as we have already done with Ethereum.
In this chart, we assume that the April Bull channel represents this leg up to the next supercycle ATH. We would expect 2021 resistance to get tapped, possibly at the same time as the log bull channel's bottom support line is tapped.
Bitcoin & Ethereum ICT Market Analysis | Liquidity Levels to WatIn this week’s crypto market outlook, I break down the total market cap, Bitcoin (BTC), and Ethereum (ETH) using the ICT trading strategy.
📊 What’s inside:
- Key ICT liquidity levels for BTC & ETH
- Market cap structure and directional bias
- My trade outlook for the week ahead
This video is designed to help traders understand the bigger picture and plan their setups with ICT concepts in mind.
👉 Comment below: Do you think BTC will hold above current liquidity, or sweep lower before moving up?
#Crypto #Bitcoin #Ethereum #ICTTrading #CryptoAnalysis #BTC #ETH