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Ethereum Perpetual futures, quoted, settled & margined in US DollarEthereum Perpetual futures, quoted, settled & margined in US DollarEthereum Perpetual futures, quoted, settled & margined in US Dollar

Ethereum Perpetual futures, quoted, settled & margined in US Dollar

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ETHUSD: Financial and Market ReportPremise: This report provides a detailed, professional analysis of Ethereum (ETH), the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization. Data are sourced from reliable providers such as CoinMarketCap, Etherscan, DeFiLlama, Glassnode, and web research current to 2025. On-chain data are separated from market analysis and qualitative opinions. Citations are indicated inline for traceability. Forecasts are based on historical trends and macro scenarios and do not constitute financial advice. All values are in USD. 1. Asset Overview Project Summary, Underlying Technology, History and Team / Key Contributors Ethereum is a decentralized open-source blockchain that serves as a platform for decentralized applications (dApps), smart contracts, and ERC-20/ERC-721 tokens. The underlying protocol has used Proof-of-Stake (PoS) since 2022 (The Merge). ETH is the native network token. The chain supports the EVM (Ethereum Virtual Machine) for executing Turing-complete code. History: Vitalik Buterin’s whitepaper (2013), ICO in 2014 raising $18.3M in BTC, mainnet launch 30 July 2015 (Frontier). Key upgrades: Constantinople (2019), London (2021 — EIP-1559 fee burning), The Merge (Sept 2022 — PoS, ~99.95% energy reduction), Shapella (2023 — staking withdrawals), Dencun (2024 — proto-danksharding for L2 scalability), Pectra (May 2025 — account abstraction and increased blob throughput). Core contributors include Vitalik Buterin, Charles Hoskinson (ex-Cardano), and Gavin Wood (Polkadot). Development coordination is led by the Ethereum Foundation (non-profit), with contributions from ConsenSys and a global developer community. Primary Use Case, Tokenomics and Governance Primary use case: Layer-1 platform for DeFi (lending, DEXs), NFTs (digital art, gaming), asset tokenization and dApps (social tokens, supply chain). Dominant L1 for smart contracts with >$93B TVL in DeFi. Tokenomics: Max supply: Unlimited (no hard cap). Circulating supply: 120.7 million ETH (as of Oct 2, 2025). Emission schedule: Post-Merge issuance reduced ~90% to ~972,000 ETH/year (staking issuance). EIP-1559 burns base fees, making supply potentially deflationary during high network activity. Since 2022 4.5M ETH burned; net supply modestly up (+0.8% annualized since 2021). Governance: Primarily off-chain via community processes (Ethereum Magicians, All Core Devs Calls) and on-chain via EIPs. No centralized control; protocol changes require multi-stakeholder consensus. 2. On‑Chain Data and Economic Metrics Total Supply, Circulating Supply and 3‑Year Changes Total supply equals circulating supply (120.7M ETH). From 2022–2025 supply grew ~0.8% annually despite burns, as PoS issuance exceeded burns during low activity periods. Annual snapshots: 2022 (post‑Merge): ~120.2M ETH (+0.2% net). 2023: ~120.4M (+0.17%; 1.7M issued vs 1.3M burned). 2024: ~120.6M (+0.17%; deflationary in Q1, inflationary Q2–Q4). 2025 (Q3): 120.7M (+0.08%; 540,958 ETH issued vs 465,657 ETH burned YTD). Year Starting Supply (M ETH) Net Issuance (ETH) Burn (ETH) Ending Supply (M ETH) Change % 2022 120.0 +972,000 -1,200,000 120.2 +0.2% 2023 120.2 +972,000 -1,300,000 120.4 +0.17% 2024 120.4 +972,000 -1,400,000 120.6 +0.17% 2025 (YTD) 120.6 +540,958 -465,657 120.7 +0.08% Sources: Ultrasound.money, Etherscan. Key On‑Chain Metrics Active addresses (daily): 553,404 (24h; 2025 avg ~500k). Daily transactions: 1.82M (24h; 2025 avg ~1.5M; 2022 peak 734k/day). On‑chain volume: ~$4–5B/day (24h recent). Average fees: 0.65 Gwei (~$0.06/tx; 2025 average ~$3.78/tx post‑L2). Staking rate: ~29% of supply staked (35M ETH; ~1M validators). Usage Metrics DeFi TVL: $93.493B (Ethereum chain). Smart contracts deployed: ~41M (historical), ~11B interactions. NFT metrics: Volume ~$10–15B/year (2025), with peaks on OpenSea (Wyvern protocol). Economic Indicators Market cap: $537.23B. Fully diluted market cap: $536.01B. MVRV ratio: ~2.4 (elevated unrealized profits; >3.5 = bull extremes, <1 = bear). SOPR: ~1.05 (slight net on‑chain profits). NVT ratio: High (~100–150), indicating premium to transaction volume (analogous to P/E). Holder turnover: Low (~0.1–0.2/yr — HODL behavior). % held by beacon/exchanges/whales: ~54.6% in Beacon Deposit Contract; top exchanges: Coinbase 4.93M ETH, Binance 4.23M ETH; addresses >1% supply ≈30%. Sources: Glassnode, CoinMarketCap. 3. Market & Price Analysis Price Performance (last 12 months) and Notable Historicals Oct 2024–Oct 2025: price range $1,471 (Apr 2025 low) to $4,831 (Aug 2025 high), ~+35.41% YTD. Average volumes: $45.46B/24h. 2025 performance: +191% from lows, with significant Q1 volatility. Historical Volatility and Benchmark Comparison 30‑day volatility: ~50–60% (2025), higher than BTC (~40%). Beta vs BTC: ~1.2 (ETH more sensitive to macro shocks). Outperformed crypto index (CMC 200) by ~+15% YTD. Liquidity and Market Depth Top exchanges by volume: Binance (5% volume, $2.27B/24h), Bybit ($640M), Coinbase ($566M), OKX ($635M). Bid‑ask spread: ~0.025% (tight). Depth: ~$15–16M within ±0.1% price. OTC desks account for significant institutional flows (~20–30%). 4. Technical Analysis (Brief) Key Support & Resistance Daily timeframe: Support $3,900–$4,000; Resistance $4,200–$4,263. Weekly timeframe: Support $3,825; Resistance $4,600–$4,800. Indicators & Recent Patterns RSI (14): 45.7 (neutral; oversold ~34; >50 bullish). MACD (12,26): Negative (signal bearish momentum but weakening). Moving averages: Price below EMA 20/50 ($4,263/$4,212), above EMA 200 ($3,500); recent 50/200 death cross. Price pattern: Sideways channel $3,800–$4,500; potential volume breakout; corrective double zigzag (W‑X‑Y). Note: Subjective analysis; not trading signals. 5. Fundamental & Network Analysis Roadmap, Partnerships, Recent Upgrades and Audits Roadmap emphasizes scalability (Fusaka 2025 for PeerDAS, targeted +10x L2 throughput; Glamsterdam 2026 for Verkle trees). Recent: Pectra (May 2025, account abstraction, EIP-3074 wallet functionality). Integrations with major L2s (Arbitrum, Optimism). Auditing promoted by Ethereum Foundation (examples: SEAL audits); EIP-7907 (2025) introduced DoS protections. Direct Competitors and Competitive Position Competitors: Solana (very high TPS, higher revenue but outages), BNB Chain (large active user base, low fees), Polygon (L2/commit-chain). Ethereum remains the dominant EVM-compatible L1 leader for DeFi/NFTs, but faces competition on speed and cost. Specific Risks Smart contract vulnerabilities (reentrancy, oracle manipulation — e.g., Penpie hack 2024 ~$27M). Regulatory risk (token utility classification, scrutiny of staking/ETFs). Centralization concerns (54.6% in Beacon Deposit Contract; top addresses concentration; centralized L2 sequencers). Dependence on external oracles and bridges (single‑point failures, bridge exploits). Sources: Ethereum whitepaper, audit reports, industry articles. 6. Outlook & Scenarios Qualitative Forecasts (1–3 years) Conservative (2026–2028): $6,000–$8,000 (slower adoption, tighter regulation). Base case: $10,000–$12,000 (DeFi/NFT growth, ETF inflows ~$27.6B; burn > issuance during high activity). Optimistic: $15,000+ (strong institutional adoption, Fusaka delivering throughput; TVL >$150B, staking 40%). Trends: increased corporate staking ($7.65B), L2 scalability, RWA tokenization. Primary Drivers Positive: ETF inflows, scalability upgrades (PeerDAS), increased DeFi/NFT adoption, macro crypto bull cycles. Negative: L1 competition (Solana revenue growth), low network activity (burn < issuance), regulatory/tax developments. Risk Mitigation Strategies Diversify into L2s and select competing L1s. Use hardware wallets for custody; split staking from hot wallets. Employ multiple oracles and require audits before contract deployment. Use stop‑losses for volatility; stake portion (20–30%) for yield (3–5%). 7. Conclusion & Recommendations Risk/Reward Summary ETH offers high upside potential (possible +100% over 1–3 years) due to DeFi dominance and structural deflation mechanics, but carries high risk (~50% volatility, regulatory and smart contract threats). Risk/return profile: high, suited to risk‑tolerant investors. Operational Recommendations Investors: accumulate under $4,000 for long‑term hold (1–3 years); take‑profit target $6,000 (2026); stop‑loss $3,500. Holders: stake 20–30% to earn yield; monitor MVRV <1 as accumulation signal. Time horizon: mid‑term bull (2026+). Strengths & Weaknesses Strengths: mature ecosystem (TVL $93B), L2 scalability path, EIP‑1559 deflationary mechanism potential. Weaknesses: higher base‑layer fees, staking centralization, oracle/bridge dependencies. Sources: CoinMarketCap, Etherscan, Glassnode, Ethereum.org, DeFiLlama, CoinDesk, arXiv, CryptoSlate.
BITFINEX:ETHUSDLong
by dPEngineering
1
ETHUSD - Logarithmic Trend D1Hello, dear traders. An interesting trend has formed on Ethereum in the logarithmic chart. Earlier, we clearly identified a double bottom on the second cryptocurrency. Now we can see that the price is close to rebounding from the support level. The main thing is to find an upward reversal pattern on H1 or H4. The targets are the 1.382 and 1.618 Fibonacci levels. That's $8,000 and $11,000. What do you think? Will Ethereum hold the support levels and will there be an altseason for this asset?
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by borschenkovitc
1
Ethereum Not Dead- i know some peoples think ETH will go to 250$ or 500$, so wait for it... - I've always maintained that I'm not a fan of ETH because of its scalability limitations and centralization, for that reason ETH needs some messy L1...L2...etc.. - That said, my opinion doesn’t matter much, ETH is here to stay. The Ethereum ecosystem hosts thousands of projects; I’d say it’s too big to fail. - i used Bitstamp exchange to look further back in the chart's history. - i simplified this monthly chart so much that even a 10 year old kid could understand it, just check the RSI low levels and compare it with previous years. Again, check the max RSI level for the previous ATHs. - i won't discuss where to buy because, whether you get ETH at $1,800 or $1,500, the bull run for ETH and Altcoins hasn't started yet. Happy Tr4Ding !
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by thecryer
5
Ethereum Elliott Wave Daily Analysis : Target 4500Ethereum (Timeframe: 4H) 1. Price Action & Trend The chart shows a completed bearish wave that ended around zone (i) near the $3,700 level. From this point, Ethereum started a clear upward move with strong bullish candles, suggesting the beginning of a new impulsive wave according to Elliott Wave Theory. The first expected target for the current move is the key resistance area at $4,500, which represents a major technical level (the previous high .. clear horizontal line). 2. Support & Resistance Nearest Support: $3,950 – $4,000 pivot zone of the latest bullish move. Main Resistance: $4,500 both psychological and technical barrier. 3. Supporting Indicators Momentum: The strong bullish candles reflect renewed buying demand. Short-Term Trend: Bullish as long as price holds above $4,000. ✍️ Conclusion: Analysis suggests that Ethereum is in the process of extending its bullish wave, potentially targeting the $4,500 zone in the coming sessions. Any corrective pullback toward $4,000 remains a critical level to watch 👍 Don’t forget to boost this trading idea if you found it helpful, and follow me for more daily crypto insights and trade signals. Please note: This is not financial advice – I’m only sharing my personal trades. Always do your own research before taking action. Best of luck 🌹
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by Crypto-Treasure
$ETH.X Wave count & Fib levels CRYPTOCAP:ETH 📊 Wave count & Fib levels suggest we could be in the middle of a corrective move before another impulsive leg higher. ✅ Potential accumulation zone highlighted (around $3.6–3.8K). 🎯 Targets: $5.8K → $7.1K → $8.4K if the structure holds. This is not financial advice — just sharing my personal charting roadmap. Always DYOR and manage risk carefully. Would love to hear how others are planning their ETH strategy here 👇 #Ethereum #Crypto #ElliottWave
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
Ethereum Simple Analysis: Back to $4,000 or $4,300 next?After dropping from $4,700, ETH has actually held up better than BTC. Now it’s sitting at a key decision point — retesting the Value Area Low (VAL) at $4,155, which marked the base of August’s rally from $3,400 to $4,900. The bigger picture still leans bullish. ETH is holding above the anchored vWAP from July (~$3,857), the average entry point of that entire rally. Staying above means the market is still backing the trend. Lose it, and sentiment flips. 📌 Levels to watch: $3,857 (anchored vWAP support) $4,155 (VAL battleground) $4,300 (critical resistance) $3,720–$3,777 (volume gap support) The fight now is simple: Reject $4,155 → confirms weakness, ETH stays trapped under resistance. Reclaim $4,155 → opens the door to rotate higher, with $4,300 as the real test. Why $4,300? Because it’s both the Point of Control (POC) and anchored vWAP from the latest decline - meaning that it's both the most traded price level AND the average price since its decline. Key takeaway: We are currently testing key resistance. Watch closely for a reaction and if we reclaim $4,155, expect the real test at $4,300.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by AlchemyMarkets
$ETH Market OutlookCRYPTOCAP:ETH Market Outlook Ethereum is currently consolidating, with a critical downside level at $4,000. If $4,000 does not hold, the next supports are $3,500 and $2,400. The $2,400 scenario remains highly unlikely, as it would imply a full retracement of the previous rally. In contrast, a pullback to $3,500 represents a 50% correction of the last upward move—a realistic outcome that would signal a temporary setback rather than a trend reversal, potentially setting the stage for continued upside momentum. At present, CRYPTOCAP:ETH is trading within a range and sitting near the midpoint. Should this level break, the bottom of the range becomes the next logical target. ⚠️ Always DYOR.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDShort
by CryptoNikkoid
4
Symplegades Part II – Ethereum at the Threshold of Breakout or B⚔️🌉 Symplegades Part II – Ethereum at the Threshold of Breakout or Breakdown 💥🧭 In the previous post, we explored Ethereum’s mythical challenge — the Symplegades, or Clashing Rocks. That post resonated, and now… here comes Part II. ETH is once again caught in a narrowing passage, this time defined by: 📌 $2,805 – $2,911 resistance overhead 📌 $2,616 – $2,565 support just below 💡 Pectra could be the fuel to break out — or just another wave that crashes on the rocks. The chart shows the potential for both: ➡️ A clean breakout could spark a move to “Destination 1” (~$4.8K) ⚠️ A rejection here might drag us back under $2.6K, even toward $2.1K and $1.8K zones The Pectra breakout box is clear. But the market won’t hand it to us easily. It rarely does. 🧠 With Vitalik still “asleep,” it’s a tight spot. But if this move gathers momentum? We could be at the very start of Ethereum’s next wave. 📽️ The full video posted earlier today dives into this thesis and why macro + micro signals are conflicting but critical. 📊 Stay tuned — Bitcoin post is up next. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
by FX_Professor
2