Galaxygroup: Ethereum + AI — dAI Team in Ethereum FoundationIn the evolving blockchain landscape of September 2025, the integration of AI into Ethereum marks a pivotal shift, positioning the network as a foundational layer for AI economies. The Ethereum Foundation's newly launched dAI Team, announced on September 15, 2025, focuses on bridging AI agents with blockchain through standards like ERC-8004, enabling verifiable, autonomous transactions without intermediaries. With Ethereum trading at $4,521, this development signals enhanced utility for dApps and potential price catalysts. From Galaxygroup, a leading analytics platform specializing in Web3 metrics and AI signals, we analyze AI integration via ERC-8004, dApp signals (RSI, MACD), and forecasts for ETH reaching $5,000. Data as of September 16, 2025—opportune for traders ahead of the Devconnect conference in November.
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AI Integration in Ethereum: ERC-8004 and dAI Team
The dAI Team aims to make Ethereum the settlement layer for AI agents, allowing them to discover, verify, and transact securely. ERC-8004, a key focus since February 2025, is a proposed standard for proving AI agent identity and trustworthiness, ensuring tamper-proof interactions and reputation systems. The team will present the finalized ERC-8004 at Devconnect in Buenos Aires this November, fostering AI-driven dApps for payments, coordination, and decentralization.
Impact: ERC-8004 enhances Ethereum's role in AI economies, potentially boosting TVL in AI-integrated DeFi by 30% as agents automate trades and governance. On-chain: Early adoption shows +15% transaction volume in AI-related contracts, with whale interest in ETH up 10%.
dApps Signals: RSI and MACD for AI-Integrated Ethereum
Galaxygroup analyzes key Ethereum dApps and AI proxies (e.g., Fetch.ai FET, SingularityNET AGIX, and ETH itself) using RSI for momentum and MACD for trends, based on the April 2025 uptrend.
ETH ($4,521): Support at $4,350–$4,450 (50% Fibonacci retracement). Resistance at $4,760–$4,900. RSI at 58 (bullish momentum above 50, healthy without overbought). MACD: Bullish crossover (histogram +0.15), signaling accelerating impulse—entry on dips for 10–15% upside. On-chain: Gas fees down 20% post-Pectra, AI dApp TVL +25%.
FET (AI Proxy dApp): Support at $2.50–$2.70 (38.2% Fibonacci). Resistance at $3.00–$3.20. RSI at 62 (strong trend). MACD: Histogram +0.12, divergence bullish—target 12% to $3.20 amid ERC-8004 hype. On-chain: AI agent transactions +30%, integrations with Ethereum up 15%.
Ethereum AI Aggregate (e.g., AGIX/ETH proxies, ~$1.20 equivalent): Support at $1.10–$1.15 (61.8% Fibonacci). Resistance at $1.30–$1.35. RSI at 55 (neutral-bullish divergence). MACD: Squeeze in Bollinger Bands—breakout signal for 8–12% gains. On-chain: dAI Team announcements drove +20% volume in AI contracts.
Overall: RSI 56–60 across AI dApps, MACD bullish—enter longs at Fibonacci supports for Q4 15–20% rally, correlating 0.7 with ETH.
Galaxygroup Forecasts for ETH: Path to $5K
Galaxygroup's AI models project ETH at $5,000 by year-end, a 10.6% rise from $4,521, driven by dAI Team momentum and ERC-8004 adoption. Short-term: Post-announcement rally to $4,760 (RSI >60 trigger), with November Devconnect as a catalyst for $4,900. Long-term: AI integration boosts Ethereum's utility, with TVL exceeding $1 trillion (up 20%) and yields 5–7% in AI-DeFi pools. Risks: Regulatory scrutiny on AI agents; hedge with stablecoins. Bullish sentiment at 71%, with MACD confirming uptrend—$5K achievable if Bitcoin holds $115K.
Conclusion: Trade Ethereum AI with Galaxygroup
Ethereum's AI integration via the dAI Team and ERC-8004 positions it as the backbone for AI economies, with dApp signals (RSI/MACD) flashing bullish for ETH to $5K. Galaxygroup's tools deliver precise on-chain forecasts.
Ready to invest? Join Galaxygroup for AI alerts and demo access. What's your ETH target? Comment below!
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ETHUSD.P trade ideas
Petrodollar & Oil Trade Mechanisms1. Origins of the Petrodollar System
1.1 Oil and the Bretton Woods Order
After World War II, the Bretton Woods Agreement (1944) created a global financial system where most currencies were pegged to the U.S. dollar, and the dollar itself was pegged to gold at $35 per ounce. This made the dollar the cornerstone of world trade. Since oil was becoming a critical global resource, it naturally started being priced in dollars.
1.2 The Collapse of Bretton Woods
In 1971, President Richard Nixon ended the convertibility of the dollar to gold. This “Nixon Shock” meant the U.S. dollar was no longer backed by gold, leading to concerns about its stability. At the same time, oil demand was booming worldwide, and the U.S. needed a way to preserve the dollar’s dominance.
1.3 U.S.–Saudi Deal and Birth of Petrodollars
In 1974, the U.S. struck a historic deal with Saudi Arabia, the world’s largest oil exporter and de facto leader of OPEC (Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries). The agreement included:
Saudi Arabia pricing its oil exclusively in U.S. dollars.
Investing surplus revenues in U.S. Treasury securities and financial markets.
In return, the U.S. provided military protection and security guarantees.
Other OPEC members followed suit. This was the birth of the petrodollar system, where oil exports globally were priced and traded in U.S. dollars. The result: demand for dollars surged worldwide, cementing the U.S. currency as the world’s reserve currency.
2. How the Petrodollar System Works
2.1 Dollar-Denominated Oil
Under the petrodollar system, any country wishing to buy oil must first acquire U.S. dollars. This creates constant global demand for dollars, ensuring its strength and liquidity in foreign exchange markets.
2.2 Recycling of Petrodollars
Oil-exporting nations like Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and the UAE generate huge dollar revenues. These dollars are then recycled in two ways:
Investment in U.S. assets: Treasuries, bonds, real estate, and equities.
Loans to developing countries: Petrodollar surpluses often flow into global banks, which lend them to countries in need of capital.
This cycle—oil buyers purchasing dollars, exporters reinvesting dollars—sustains global financial flows.
2.3 U.S. Strategic Advantage
Because oil trade requires dollars, the U.S. enjoys unique privileges:
Ability to run persistent trade deficits without collapsing currency value.
Financing government spending through foreign purchases of U.S. debt.
Strengthening its geopolitical influence by controlling financial channels linked to the dollar.
In essence, the petrodollar acts as a form of “hidden tax” on the world, since global demand for dollars supports U.S. economic power.
3. Oil Trade Mechanisms in Practice
3.1 Global Oil Markets
Oil is traded in both physical markets and futures markets:
Physical market: Actual crude is bought and sold, usually under long-term contracts or spot deals.
Futures market: Contracts on exchanges (like NYMEX or ICE) allow traders to speculate or hedge against oil price movements.
Both markets are dominated by U.S. dollar pricing benchmarks such as:
WTI (West Texas Intermediate) – benchmark for U.S. oil.
Brent Crude – benchmark for international oil trade.
3.2 Shipping & Logistics
Oil trade relies heavily on maritime transport. Tanker routes like the Strait of Hormuz, Suez Canal, and Strait of Malacca are chokepoints critical to supply. Insurance, shipping contracts, and freight charges also link back to dollar-based systems.
3.3 Role of OPEC and Non-OPEC Producers
OPEC, founded in 1960, has historically coordinated oil output to influence prices. But newer players like Russia, the U.S. (via shale oil), and Brazil also play major roles. Despite these shifts, the dollar remains the settlement currency.
3.4 Derivatives and Financialization
Beyond physical barrels, oil is increasingly a financial asset. Banks, hedge funds, and institutional investors use futures, options, and swaps to speculate or manage risk. The fact that all these instruments are denominated in dollars further entrenches the petrodollar.
4. Geopolitical Implications of the Petrodollar
4.1 Dollar Hegemony
The petrodollar is a cornerstone of U.S. financial dominance. Control over oil trade means:
U.S. sanctions become extremely powerful (cutting nations off from dollar-based transactions).
Countries are incentivized to hold dollar reserves.
American banks and financial institutions dominate global capital flows.
4.2 Middle East Politics
The U.S.–Saudi alliance is at the heart of the petrodollar system. U.S. military presence in the Middle East has often been tied to protecting oil flows and ensuring dollar-denominated trade.
4.3 Wars and Petrodollar Resistance
Countries that attempted to bypass the petrodollar often faced geopolitical pushback:
Iraq (2000): Saddam Hussein switched oil sales to euros. The U.S. invasion in 2003 reversed this.
Libya (2010): Muammar Gaddafi proposed a gold-backed African dinar for oil. NATO intervention soon followed.
Iran: Has long sought to sell oil in euros, yuan, or barter arrangements, facing heavy U.S. sanctions.
4.4 Rise of China and Yuan Internationalization
China, the world’s largest oil importer, has pushed for alternative arrangements:
Launching Shanghai crude oil futures denominated in yuan.
Signing oil-for-yuan agreements with Russia, Iran, and others.
Promoting the “petroyuan” as a challenger to the petrodollar.
5. Economic Effects of the Petrodollar System
5.1 On the U.S.
Benefits: Cheap financing, stronger global financial role, ability to run deficits.
Risks: Overreliance on dollar demand can mask structural weaknesses in U.S. manufacturing and trade.
5.2 On Oil Exporters
Oil-rich nations earn vast revenues, but dependence on dollars ties them to U.S. monetary policy. Petrodollar inflows can also create “Dutch Disease”—overdependence on oil revenues at the expense of other sectors.
5.3 On Importing Countries
Nations must secure dollars to pay for oil. This can create vulnerability during dollar shortages, especially in developing countries, leading to debt crises (e.g., Latin America in the 1980s).
5.4 On Global Finance
Petrodollar recycling has fueled global liquidity. But when oil prices collapse, dollar inflows shrink, causing volatility in emerging markets and banking systems.
6. Challenges to the Petrodollar System
6.1 Shift Toward Multipolarity
The world is moving toward multipolar finance, with alternatives like:
Petroyuan (China).
Digital currencies and blockchain settlements.
Barter systems (oil-for-goods agreements).
6.2 U.S. Sanctions Overuse
While sanctions are a powerful tool, their frequent use pushes countries to seek alternatives to dollar-based trade. Russia, Iran, and Venezuela are examples of nations turning to non-dollar settlements.
6.3 Renewable Energy Transition
As the world moves toward renewable energy and electric vehicles, long-term oil demand may decline. This could erode the centrality of the petrodollar in the global system.
6.4 De-dollarization Movements
Countries like BRICS members (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa) are actively promoting alternatives to dollar dominance. The creation of BRICS financial frameworks could reduce reliance on the petrodollar.
Conclusion
The petrodollar system has been one of the most powerful and enduring mechanisms in the modern global economy. It links the world’s most traded commodity—oil—to the U.S. dollar, reinforcing American financial dominance for nearly five decades. Oil trade mechanisms, whether through physical barrels, futures contracts, or financial derivatives, all flow through this system, shaping the destiny of nations.
However, the petrodollar is not invincible. Geopolitical rivalries, overuse of U.S. sanctions, the rise of China, and the gradual energy transition toward renewables are all eroding its absolute dominance. While the dollar is unlikely to lose its central role overnight, the world is clearly moving toward a more multipolar currency system for energy trade.
The story of the petrodollar is not just about oil or money—it is about power, politics, and the architecture of the global economy. Its future will depend on how nations navigate energy transitions, financial innovations, and geopolitical shifts in the decades to come.
Ethereum: The Long Game, The Smart AccumulationEthereum Long-Term Bull Thesis with Accumulation Perspective
Ethereum remains at the core of the smart contract revolution, and the long-term structure continues to validate the bullish thesis. With scaling solutions gaining traction, institutional participation increasing, and ETH’s utility expanding across DeFi, gaming, tokenization, and beyond, the macro case for higher valuations over the coming years is undeniable.
From a price-structure perspective, ETH has broken above critical resistance and is sustaining momentum near multi-year highs, underscoring the strength of the current cycle. I remain firmly bullish on Ethereum’s long-term trajectory, viewing it not just as an asset, but as the backbone of the evolving decentralized economy.
That said, corrections are part of any healthy uptrend. Should the market provide a pullback, I’m eyeing the $3,200–$3,500 zone as a major accumulation area. This range is reinforced by strong confluence of historical support, key trendline intersections, and prior consolidation bases visible on both the daily and 4H charts. In my view, this zone represents where value buyers will reload in anticipation of Ethereum’s next leg higher.
In essence, my outlook does not change with short-term fluctuations: I am a long-term believer in ETH’s growth story. A correction into the $3,200–$3,500 accumulation zone would not be weakness — it would be opportunity.
Summary: Long-term bullish, unwavering conviction. Any dip toward the $3,200–$3,500 range is a gift for accumulation in an asset that I believe will continue to redefine digital finance.
The first step towards 5k - ETH weekly update Sep 15 - 21thDear investors and traders,
Ethereum is currently in the second wave of the minute cycle within the larger third wave unfolding in the minor cycle.Zooming into the fractal structure of the mentioned second wave, we can easily recognize the double three pattern as shown on the chart. My primary expactation therefore is a combination of a flat structure as a minuette wave w and a following zig zag a minuette wave y. I have chosen this scenario, because it's typical for altcoins to retrace their wave two a bit deeper then assets do normally. Also, the flat structure hasn't corrected this second wave too far, making a larger pullback likely. The zig zag probably made his subminuette wave a and should retrace now to levels of around 4.6k. The alternative scenario would be, that this second wave is already completed and with that we would be looking forward to 5k. For the alternative scenario to be completed, we need ETH to climb higher than the previous high of the minuette wave x.
Moving on to the liquidity analysis, we can see why this is my primary scenario: A massive amount of liquidity sitting just above the with the red line shown low of the minor wave two. I think we are going to drop again in the direction of this liquidity, but I hope it is going to melt down as people fear to get liquidated. The drawn in price target surely isn't where the liquidity sits, but it's where most fibonacci levels come together. The Orderbook is relatively empty in nearer space, but there is a large amount of short orders sitting at 5k.
Derivative data shows us turbulent funding rates because of people trying to catch this drop with large leverage market orders and getting liquidated, making the funding rate apparently to come back, maybe because they fear to loose more money now. Open interest stagnates, which is on the one hand positive because there are no more short positions adding up but this also means on the other hand that there are no long positions coming in. One thing I also noted in relation to people trying to catch the drop and burning themselves is that the liquidations are declining, which is indicating the leverage is decreasing.
Coming to exchange flows, the exchanges currently record an inflow of ethereum meaning that people are probably moving their coins from wallets to the exchange to sell them, which is a bearish signal. Also notable is that the exchange reserve is increasing, also indicating that people sell their ethereum.
The seasonality of ethereum shows us that the current Q3 was doing exceptionally well for ethereum and looking forward Q4 is also going to be green with a probability of 60%. September in the past was rather bearish then bullish, flipping the probabilities to a 40% probability to get a positive result. Nonetheless, the average return of September is 7%, which sparks hope.
Looking to Blackrock and other whales and entities, we can clearly see that Blackrock sold a part of it's ethereum (10k ETH) just slightly before the top and not buying again till now indicating the bottom is not in yet. The ETFs is still getting inflows, showing institutions accumulating ethereum.
All in all I am long and I think that the anticipated lows are optimal prices to establish swing long positions. Crucial for a impulsive move and the transition from a minute wave two to a minute wave 3 is the decline of liquidity at the low of the minor wave two.
ETH head and shoulders?I hope I am wrong but it looks like ETH is forming a head and shoulders pattern. This coming week is decisive in determining if ETH will break out past $5k and reach new ATH's or if it will decline into a bear market.
The supply zone appears to begin at $4.6k and the nearest real demand zone is down at $2.5k.
I will be price watching closely this week as it is a decisive one. Best of luck, be careful.
Thoughts?
Why ETH Rejected $4,955 & May make a new High at $5,500This is just for educational purposes and not a signal.
This Trend-based extension analysis is just to demonstrate why price rejected at $4,955.
You can also see how many time price resisted the 0.382 and the trend line within the Fib tool before the final breakout post-ATH.
You can also see the reaction at 0.618 with the previous day's very aggressive Bullish candle.
This explains how important 0.382, 0.618 & 0.5 fib levels are.
I hope this analysis helps
ETHUSD / – Bullish Breakout from Consolidation Zone!Ethereum (ETHUSD) has broken out of a well-defined consolidation area , as seen on the 4-hour chart. After a prolonged period of sideways movement between approximately $4,214.58 and $4,460, price action has decisively moved upward, signaling increased bullish momentum.
Key Zones:
*Buyers Area: Around $4,062.24 – previously respected as a support zone.
*Immediate Zone: Near $4,214.58 – acted as a base before the breakout.*Sellers Ground:** From $4,828.89 up to the recent high of $4,955.90– potential resistance area based on prior price rejection.
Targets Ahead:
The breakout has created a bullish structure with potential short-term targets at:
Target 1: $4,599.86
Target 2: $4,659.79
Target 3: $4,728.29
These levels are marked based on historical price action and Fibonacci alignments.
Technical Notes:
Break Order: A breakout move above the consolidation zone, supported by higher lows and stronger bullish candles.
Trendline Support: A rising trendline is supporting the current bullish structure.
Market sentiment appears to have shifted favorably following the breakout.
This chart is for educational and illustrative purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to trade.
ETHUSD bullish sideways consolidation supported at 4,100The ETHUSD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 4,100 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 4,100 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
4,450 – initial resistance
4,730 – psychological and structural level
5,070 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 4,100 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
3,990 – minor support
3,830 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the ETHUSD holds above 4,100. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Ethereum Wave Analysis – 12 September 2025- Ethereum reversed from support area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 4750.00
Ethereum cryptocurrency recently reversed up from the support area located at the intersection of the support level 4250.00 (which has been reversing the price from the end of August), 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from August and the lower daily Bollinger Band.
The upward reversal from this from the support area (strengthened by the two intersecting up channels) started the active wave B.
Ethereum cryptocurrency can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 4750.00 (target for the completion of the active wave B.).
ETH/USD – Testing Resistance Zone🔴 SHORT below $4,335 – target $4,278
Ethereum trades at $4,328, stalling under resistance at $4,334–4,340. SMA200 sits at $4,319. Support rests at $4,278. RSI flat near 55, showing no strong momentum. A rejection at resistance could trigger pullback.
📖 Keywords: #ETHUSD #Ethereum #CryptoReversal #AltcoinWatch #ShortSetup
Ethereum Accumulation and Bullish SetupEthereum is currently trading sideways, indicating an accumulation phase. On Monday, price swept equal lows and formed a long-wick bullish candlestick. The 4-hour chart shows two engulfing candles that cleared liquidity on both sides.
Technically, the market remains bullish and is consolidating. If momentum continues, ETH/USD may target the equal highs near $4,500. A confirmed close above the immediate support at $4,384 would validate this bullish outlook.
Will Ethereum lead next Altseason? ETF & Fusaka update in focus!Ethereum ETFs have recently seen significant inflows, outpacing Bitcoin ETFs, just ahead of the upcoming Fusaka upgrade in November.
Ethereum recently broke above its previous record high, a move that was anticipated in earlier analysis, and is pulling back before shooting higher. For a sustained move higher, a strong breakout with increased volume and momentum is needed. There are signs of momentum exhaustion, so traders should watch for confirmation before expecting further upside.
A classic cup and handle formation opens the door to $6,200 if resistance is cleared, with key support at $4,115 (previous resistance now acting as support) and a deeper pullback exposing $3,500. But this would not necessarily change the long-term bullish outlook.
Indicators to Watch
Bitcoin Dominance:
Bitcoin’s market dominance is currently around 55%, suggesting the market is still Bitcoin-led, and a true “altseason” may be at its early stage.
Total Crypto Market Cap:
Watch for breakouts in the total crypto market cap (TOTAL3 - excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum) and the formation of bullish patterns for confirmation of a broader market uptrend.
Altcoin Season Index:
The index remains below the threshold for a full altseason but is rising, indicating that Ethereum and other altcoins are not broadly outperforming Bitcoin but are nearing breakout.
Short/Medium-Term Outlook:
Expect continued consolidation or a possible pullback before any sustained move higher if support above $4,115 holds firm.
Long-Term Outlook:
As long as Ethereum holds above the 50% retracement level, the long-term trend remains positive. A confirmed breakout above resistance could signal the next major upward phase.
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ETH at Critical Resistance: Break $4500 or Consolidate?
ETH at Critical Resistance: Break $4500 or Consolidate?
Ethereum (ETHUSD) recently saw a significant rally followed by a notable correction, finding substantial support within the $4000 to $4100 "Fib Golden Level" and a descending trendline acting as dynamic support.
Currently, the price is consolidating above this critical support area, forming a series of swings within what appears to be a broader trading range, but is repeatedly encountering an "Immediate Resistance" at $4500.
A crucial challenge for ETHUSD is to decisively clear this $4500 immediate resistance before any substantial bullish breakout can be confirmed, with the next significant hurdle identified as the "Flipping Zone" at $4650.
Until these key resistance levels are overcome with conviction, Ethereum is expected to continue its current consolidative phase; a breakthrough above $4500 is essential to signal renewed up-ward momentum and negate further downside pressure.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
ETHUSD protracted sideways consolidation support at 4,100The ETHUSD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 4,100 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 4,100 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
4,450 – initial resistance
4,730 – psychological and structural level
5,070 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 4,100 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
3,990 – minor support
3,830 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the ETHUSD holds above 4,100. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.