NAS100 trade ideas
NAS100 Long Setup | Demand Zone ReactionPrice action on NAS100 has pulled back into a key demand zone after sweeping liquidity below short-term support ($$$). This area also aligns with previous imbalance fills, suggesting buyers may look to defend it once again.
📊 Technical Outlook
Price swept liquidity under prior support and tapped into demand.
Long idea is valid with risk defined below demand zone.
If buyers hold this zone, upside continuation is likely toward the 23,500–23,700 region.
🌐 Market Sentiment
Seasonality Risk: September is historically the weakest month for U.S. equities, often marked by heightened volatility.
Investor Sentiment: Surveys show mixed outlook — Fear & Greed Index remains in “Greed” (64), while AAII still reports more bears than bulls.
Macro Headlines: Fed uncertainty, tariff rulings, and over-reliance on tech remain short-term risks.
⚖️ Summary
Technically, NAS100 is sitting in a prime buy zone — liquidity grab + demand reaction setup. However, fundamentals still suggest caution, as September volatility could trigger deeper sweeps before a meaningful rally.
👉 For me, it’s a buy from demand with controlled risk. If bulls defend, we could see momentum shift back upward.
💬 What do you think — will bulls hold this level, or will September’s volatility push NAS100 even lower?
NASDAQ Index Analysis (US100 / NASDAQ)At today’s market open, the NASDAQ index started to decline and is currently heading to test the key support level at 23,000.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
If the price breaks below 23,000 and holds, it is likely to move lower towards the next support level at 22,700.
🔺 Bullish Scenario:
If the price rebounds and breaks above 23,260, holding above it may support further upside toward 23,350.
NASDAQ Eyes 23,565 Pivot as PCE Report LoomsNASDAQ – Update
The Nasdaq slipped on Friday as traders turned cautious ahead of the highly anticipated PCE inflation report, the Fed’s preferred gauge that could heavily influence the September rate decision. The release, expected before the bell, will likely set the near-term trend.
Technical Outlook:
The index reversed from resistance, showing signs of pressure ahead of the data.
A 1H close below 23,565 will confirm bearish continuation toward 23,435 → 23,295 → 23,170, especially if PCE comes in hotter than expected.
If the report is softer, bullish momentum may resume, targeting the ATH at 23,870, with extended resistance at 24,090.
Key Levels:
Support: 23,565, 23,435 – 23,295 – 23,170
Resistance: 23,690 – 23,870 – 24,090
📌 Bias: Neutral ahead of the PCE release. Expect high volatility and wait for confirmation at the pivot level before positioning.
NAS100 UPDATE - VERY IMPORTANT READ!Dear Friends in Trading,
INVESTING LIVE - IMPORTANT:
Equities start to get hit by bond market rumblings
The blow up in long-end yields is biting at broader market sentiment now
Stocks down
S&P 500 futures are now down 0.5% as markets are seeking shelter amid the blow up in bond yields. European indices are also sinking lower across the board with the DAX now down nearly 1% with the CAC 40 also turning early gains to losses now. It's all coming undone as we see long-end yields surge higher all across major economies.
France's 30-year yields are now above 4.50% for the first time since 2011 and that follows suit from the situation in the UK here. And as warned there, it was only a matter of time before the spillover impact hits at stocks today. And it's not just in Europe, we're seeing the same in Japan and also the US as well. From last week: The US yield curve continues to steepen post-Jackson Hole
These are testing times and if there's ever a good reason for a correction in stocks, this would be it.
Elsewhere, gold is also being dragged back down on the day as traders are seeking safety in the US dollar at the moment. The precious metal has pared earlier gains to $3,478 now. But if it is a case of truly focusing on the blow up in yields with a steepening of the yield curve, I reckon the play will be to buy gold on dips for the long haul.
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
NAS100- OPPORTUNITY OF A LIFETIMETeam, I was patiently wait for the NAS100 hit 23200 - liquidity sweep before entering
NOW lets jump on board at 23220-23200 with STOP LOSS AT 23120
Target 1 at 23315 - take 50% partial and bring stop loss to BE
NEXT target at 23365-95 - take 30%
the rest at 23415-23550
LETS GO AND MAKE MILLION TOGETHER.
Nasdaq Under Pressure as Rally StallsThe Nasdaq is showing signs of weakness after its recent surge toward record highs. Profit-taking, especially at the end of the month, has weighed on tech stocks, while the broader market digests Powell’s dovish signals from Jackson Hole.
Despite optimism around potential rate cuts, valuations in the Nasdaq remain stretched, leaving the index vulnerable to corrections. Rising bond yields, even if off their peaks, are still creating headwinds for high-growth sectors.
Geopolitical concerns and renewed tariff discussions add another layer of uncertainty. At the same time, several heavyweight tech names have already reported earnings, removing a key driver of recent upside momentum.
Technically, the index is testing short-term support. If this level fails, a retracement toward 21,500 or even the 50-day moving average could follow. The daily chart has started to print rejection candles, hinting that buying pressure is fading.
While the long-term trend remains intact, short-term risks are building. Unless the Nasdaq can reclaim its highs quickly, a pullback looks increasingly likely as markets rebalance and investors take a more cautious stance.
NAS100 Bullish OutlookHi there,
The NAS100 on the H2 chart appears bullish, following the (B) sequence to HH (C), then potentially pulling back up to 24,431, with two price targets. Price is stretched and unstable. Volatility seems thin but bullish over the H4 and the daily timeframes.
There will need to be monitoring.
Happy Trading,
K.
NAS100 H4 | Bearish drop offNAS100 has rejected off the sell entry of 23,475.21, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to the downside.
Stop loss is at 23,575.82, which is a pullback resitance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 23,110.94, which is a swing low suport that is slightly below the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
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US100 – London Session Trade LevelsMarket Context
The Nasdaq-100 is currently trading within a consolidation pattern after being rejected around ~23,700. Momentum has slowed, and the market is searching for direction. During the London session, the focus is on intraday reactions around key levels. These zones may act as catalysts for either continuation or short-term reversals, depending on price action.
Sell Zones
23,465–23,480 (Asia high / sideways formation)
This zone represents the top of the Asian range and extends from a sideways structure.
A retest during London hours may trigger short-term selling momentum, especially if volume fades compared to Asian trading.
23,558–23,579 (4H consolidation)
A clear resistance area from the latest 4H consolidation, where several bullish attempts were previously absorbed.
If price fails to break this area with strong momentum, it is likely to act as a solid supply zone.
Buy Zones
23,320–23,338 (Yesterday’s low / sideways formation)
Represents yesterday’s low and a key intraday balance point.
If price dips into this area during London hours and shows absorption (e.g., long wicks / stronger CVD on the bid), it may serve as a springboard for a bounce.
23,115–23,140 (Strong 4H demand)
The strongest buy zone on the chart, aligning with both a structural support level and a prior reaction zone on 4H.
A test of this zone may indicate a “capitulation move,” where stronger buyers could be waiting.
Market Update and Sentiment Analysis
Overall Assessment
The Nasdaq-100 (US100) currently finds itself in uncertain territory. The technology sector, historically the driving force behind the index’s performance, faced headwinds toward the end of August. Rotation into small-cap equities, rising uncertainty ahead of key macroeconomic data and the Federal Reserve’s rate decision, as well as weak technical signals, are all contributing to a mixed sentiment picture.
Market Developments
End of August: The Nasdaq-100 closed the month down approximately –1.2%, bringing the index to around 23,415. Despite the pullback, year-to-date performance remains up by roughly 10–11%.
Sector Rotation: The small-cap segment (Russell 2000) gained 7.3% in August, significantly outperforming the Nasdaq-100. The shift away from technology reflects both concerns about AI profitability and expectations of future rate cuts, which traditionally favor smaller companies.
Earnings Pressure: Weak earnings from companies such as Dell, Nvidia, and Marvell Technology disappointed the market. Margin pressure within the tech sector has raised concerns about growth prospects.
Macroeconomic Context
Data Sensitivity: The market is displaying extreme sensitivity to employment and inflation data. Even minor deviations in key figures can trigger significant price movements.
Federal Reserve: Investor attention is focused on the Fed’s upcoming rate decision. Expectations of a rate cut later in the year serve as a supportive factor, though uncertainty remains elevated.
Historical Pattern: September has traditionally been the weakest month for the Nasdaq index. This increases the risk of additional volatility in the weeks ahead.
For the London session, the focus is on short intraday moves around well-defined supply and demand zones. Given the broader negative bias in the market, traders should be extra cautious with longs — confirmation and strong absorption signals are key before entering buys.
Nasdaq “Tug of war”
Nasdaq 100 has recently shown a significant shift in momentum on the 4hour chart, with bearish pressure taking hold. After a strong upward trend, the index has experienced a sharp decline, now consolidating within a critical range. The key to the next major move lies in the defence or failure of the defined support and resistance levels.
Current Market & Price Action
The price action clearly indicates a period of bearish dominance, marked by a substantial selloff from recent highs. The price is currently contained below a key resistance level at 23,515.6, which had previously acted as support. This consolidation phase is critical and suggests a tug of war between bulls and bears. The current price hovers around 23,406, leaving both a bullish reversal and a bearish continuation as plausible outcomes.
The Bearish Case : Reaching for 23,000
If the price continues to face rejection at the 23,515.6 level, the path of least resistance is to the downside. The next major target for sellers is the significant support zone between 23,000 and 22,900. This level is not only a major psychological number but also represents a strong structural support zone from previous price action.
A confirmed break below the current consolidation range, particularly the 23,331.4 level, would signal a continuation of the downtrend. A move to the 23,000-22,900 zone represents a potential drop of approximately 1.36%, as measured on the chart. Traders should watch for a decisive break of this support, which could trigger a much larger sell off.
The Bullish Case:
Reclaiming Momentum
For the bullish narrative to resume, the index must convincingly break and hold above the 23,515.6 resistance. A strong close above this level on the 4hour chart would invalidate the immediate bearish outlook and signal a potential reversal. If this occurs, the next logical target would be the higher resistance at 23,757.2, marking a potential recovery of the recent losses.
This bullish scenario would likely be fueled by a positive catalyst, such as favorable economic data or dovish comments from the Federal Reserve, which the market is currently anticipating. A successful break and retest of 23,515.6 would serve as a key entry signal for buyers aiming for higher levels.
Key Contextual Factors
Recent economic data and Federal Reserve policy expectations are likely to be major drivers for the Nasdaq's next move. As of early September, a rate cut by the Federal Reserve is heavily priced in, with some analysts predicting a move in the upcoming FOMC meeting. Any surprises to this expectation, either in a more hawkish or unexpectedly dovish direction, could trigger significant volatility. The tech heavy Nasdaq is particularly sensitive to interest rate policy, as it impacts company valuations and financing.
Summary and Outlook
Nasdaq 100 is at a pivotal point. The price is currently trapped between the 23,515 resistance and the 23,331 support.
* Bearish Trigger: A sustained break below 23,331.4 could lead to a test of the 23,000-22,900 support zone.
* Bullish Trigger: A decisive break above 23,515.6 could target the 23,757 resistance.
Given the recent price action and broader market uncertainty, the immediate risk appears to be to the downside. However, the market's direction will be confirmed by which of these critical levels is breached first.
NASDAQ holding the 4H MA200 can initiate the next rally.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since mid May and currently is consolidating on its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line). Based on the 4H RSI we might be on a similar Higher Low as on May 30, having previously made a Channel Up bottom near the 1D MA50 (red trend-line).
The Bullish Leg that followed this Low was +6.80%, so we have our Target tailored on it at 24500.
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Bullish bounce off 61.8% Fibonacci support?US100 is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 23,289.88
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 22,983.03
Why we like it:
There is a multi-swing low support.
Take profit: 23,729.56
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
NAS100USD – Holding 23,350 Support, Eyeing 23,700The Nasdaq 100 found demand at the 23,350 support zone, holding the level after recent downside pressure. Price is now consolidating, with bulls looking for a potential push back toward the 23,700 resistance zone.
Support at: 23,350 / 23,100 🔽
Resistance at: 23,700 / 23,880 🔼
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: A sustained hold above 23,350 could fuel momentum toward 23,700.
🔽 Bearish: A breakdown below 23,350 exposes 23,100 as the next key support.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
NASDAQ Index Analysis (US100 / NASDAQ)At today’s market open, the index tested the 23,320 support level, with a higher probability of retesting the 23,180 area before bouncing upward.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
If the price breaks below 23,320 and holds beneath it, the index is likely to test 23,180.
🔺 Bullish Scenario:
If the price rebounds and breaks above 23,500, holding higher, this could support a continuation towards 23,620 as an initial target, followed by 23,700.
NAS100 - Trade Setup📊 NAS100USD – Multi-Timeframe Outlook
🔎 Monthly (1M)
Price moving inside a bullish wedge structure, with resistance tested near 25,200.
Support trendline holding firm, confirming strong macro bullish pressure.
Larger structure suggests Wave (5) still has room to expand toward 26,000+ if demand zones continue to hold.
🕰 Weekly (1W)
Elliott count clear: (1) → (2) → (3) extended, now correcting into (4).
Demand/FVG zones around 20,400 – 21,000 remain the critical swing support.
Next wave (5) projection aims at 25,000 – 26,000.
⏱ Daily (1D)
Structure consolidating within daily support, reacting from demand.
Breakout above 23,900 – 24,000 reactivates bullish impulse.
Invalidation lies below 22,950, where daily demand would fail.
⏳ 4H
Clear corrective retracement into daily demand (23,200 zone).
Long setup forming:
Entry: 23,222
Stop: 22,942
Target: 23,989
R:R ≈ 2.75
Short-term price action likely resolves higher into Wave (5) unless invalidation breaks.
🎯 Trade Plan
Bias: Bullish continuation into Wave (5)
Entry Zone: 23,200 – 23,300 (daily demand)
Targets: 23,989 (short-term), 25,200 – 26,000 (swing)
Invalidation: Daily close below 22,950