US100 trade ideaUS100 in bullish trend, After bull back and fib 0.38 level retract back toward its bullish direction.
Market insights
NAS100 Walk us Through.
Gosh, that's a very brief description. Could you please tell your audience a little bit more about what you're publishing
US NAS 100DO YOU KNOW WHATS BEHIND THIS OR OTHER IDEAS?? in bio..
Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
Nasdaq December Rally starting?Institutionals have been leaving some traces of what its about to happen. Are we ready to surf the wave?
What if it doesn't wave and it was all a bear trap?
Stay tuned!
NAS100 Retest of POC: Bullish Break or Deeper Correction?I'm keeping a close eye on NASDAQ (NAS100) right now 📉📈. We’re seeing a deep pullback—a strong retracement that makes everyone ask the classic question:
Does this want to keep pushing lower and give us a bearish weekly candle, or is it gearing up to hold a level and rally back with the higher-timeframe trend?
For me, I’m a trend-continuation trader. Even if the weekly candle prints bearish, I’m not interested in selling into higher-timeframe strength. I’d rather stay patient and stick with the bigger trend direction 🧭.
Here’s the key level I’m watching:
If NAS100 can break back above the Volume Profile POC (Point of Control) — which is basically the high-value area acting as support right now — then I’ll be looking for long opportunities.
But if price breaks below the POC, that invalidates the idea and I’ll step aside. No need to force anything 👍.
Not financial advice ⚠️
Distribution or Reload?CAPITALCOM:US100 keeps grinding inside the same premium band we’ve been tracking.
The 4H chart shows price repeatedly tapping into the premium PD arrays but failing to secure a clean breakout. Buyers are active, but they’re not strong enough to reclaim the upper liquidity shelf.
Your OG system reacted cleanly again:
• TrendMaster (4H) held as dynamic support on every dip, but it’s starting to flatten, showing we’re consolidating at the top.
• FlowMaster is printing reduced momentum on the latest pushes into premium zones.
• ScalpMaster (15M) nailed the intraday rejection perfectly, marking early short signals right after the PD Array tap.
Overall, price is respecting every OG zone point to point.
🟣 Short-Term View (15M–1H)
Structure is still choppy inside the premium band, but intraday momentum favors a corrective move.
Short bias unless 25,700 is reclaimed with strength.
Targets to the downside:
• 25,640
• 25,610
• 25,580 liquidity pocket
Invalidation
• A clean break and hold above 25,700 would switch intraday flow back into premium expansion.
🔵 Mid-Term View (4H)
Higher-timeframe trend remains bullish overall, but we’re extended into premium territory and showing early signs of distribution.
As long as TrendMaster holds above
25,450–25,500, bulls maintain control
on the midterm.
A deeper pullback into discount arrays would actually be healthy before the next leg up.
Midterm targets if discount is tapped:
• 25,300
• 25,150
• 25,000 major demand zone
A breakout above 25,780 would unlock continuation toward new highs.
📌 Summary
US100 is compressing at the top.
Your OG system is showing exhaustion on premium taps, favoring short term corrections while the mid term trend stays bullish until key support breaks.
Perfect environment for reactive trading:
Fade premiums intraday, accumulate in discounts on the HTF.
NSDQ100 wait-and-see mode ahead of tonight’s FOMCMarkets remained in wait-and-see mode ahead of tonight’s FOMC decision, keeping equity moves muted. The S&P 500 slipped -0.09%, with futures flat this morning, signalling no strong pre-Fed risk appetite for US equities, including tech.
Key Macro Drivers for NDX
US 10yr yields rose +2.4bps to a 3-month high, continuing the global bond selloff.
Higher yields remain a headwind for long-duration tech stocks, keeping upside in the NASDAQ capped.
Australia’s 10yr yield hit a late-2023 high, confirming that the global tightening in bond markets is still broad-based.
Elsewhere, Franco-German spreads tightened, offering limited relief for global risk sentiment.
Fed in Focus
Markets are pricing a ~90% probability of a 25bp Fed rate cut tonight, which would be the third consecutive cut since September.
Since the last meeting, unemployment has risen to 4.4%, reinforcing the case for near-term easing.
However, inflation concerns are creating deep policy divisions, meaning forward guidance for 2025 is likely to remain intentionally vague.
Powell is unlikely to clearly signal additional cuts, especially with succession uncertainty growing as Kevin Hassett is seen as a leading candidate to replace him.
Implications for NASDAQ 100
Near-term direction hinges on Powell’s tone, not the cut itself.
Dovish guidance → NDX upside via yields pullback.
Cautious / inflation-focused tone → further yield pressure and likely NDX consolidation or downside.
Until the press conference, NDX is likely to remain range-bound with headline-driven volatility tonight.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Anchor Candle MethodAnchor Candle Method: How To Read A Whole Move From One Bar
Many traders drown in lines, zones, patterns. One simple technique helps simplify the picture: working around a single “anchor candle", the reference candle of the pulse.
The idea is simple: the market often builds further movement around one dominant candle. If you mark up its levels correctly, a ready-made framework appears for reading the trend, pullbacks and false breakouts.
What is an anchor candle
Anchor candle is a wide range candle that starts or refreshes an impulse. It does at least one of these:
Breaks an important high or low
Starts a strong move after a tight range
Flips local structure from “choppy” to “trending”
Typical traits:
Range clearly larger than nearby candles
Close near one edge of the range (top in an up impulse, bottom in a down impulse)
Comes after compression, range or slow grind
You do not need a perfect definition in points or percent. Anchor candle is mostly a visual tool. The goal is to find the candle around which the rest of the move “organizes” itself.
How to find it on the chart
Step-by-step routine for one instrument and timeframe:
Mark the current short-term trend on higher timeframe (for example 1H if you trade 5–15M).
Drop to the working timeframe.
Find the last strong impulse in the direction of that trend.
Inside this impulse look for the widest candle that clearly stands out.
Check that it did something “important”: broke a range, cleared a local high/low, or started the leg.
If nothing stands out, skip. The method works best on clean impulses, not on flat, overlapping price.
Key levels inside one anchor candle
Once the candle is chosen, mark four levels:
High of the candle
Low of the candle
50% of the range (midline)
Close of the candle
Each level has a function.
High
For a bullish anchor, the high acts like a “ceiling” where late buyers often get trapped. When price trades above and then falls back inside, it often marks a failed breakout or liquidity grab.
Low
For a bullish anchor, the low works as structural invalidation. Deep close under the low tells that the original impulse was absorbed.
Midline (50%)
Midline splits “control”. For a bullish anchor:
Holding above 50% keeps control with buyers
Consistent closes below 50% shows that sellers start to dominate inside the same candle
Close
Close shows which side won the battle inside that bar. If later price keeps reacting near that close, it confirms that the market “remembers” this candle.
Basic trading scenarios around a bullish anchor
Assume an uptrend and a bullish anchor candle.
1. Trend continuation from the upper half
Pattern:
After the anchor candle, price pulls back into its upper half
Pullback holds above the midline
Volume or volatility dries up on the pullback, then fresh buying appears
Idea: buyers defend control above 50%. Entries often come:
On rejection from the midline
On break of a small local high inside the upper half
Stops usually go under the low of the anchor or under the last local swing inside it, depending on risk tolerance.
2. Failed breakout and reversal from the high
Pattern:
Price trades above the high of the anchor
Quickly falls back inside the range
Subsequent candles close inside or below the midline
This often reveals exhausted buyers. For counter-trend or early reversal trades, traders:
Wait for a clear close back inside the candle
Use the high of the anchor as invalidation for short setups
3. Full loss of control below the low
When price not only enters the lower half, but closes below the low and stays there, the market sends a clear message: the impulse is broken.
Traders use this in two ways:
Exit remaining longs that depended on this impulse
Start to plan shorts on retests of the low from below, now as resistance
Bearish anchor: same logic upside-down
For a bearish anchor candle in a downtrend:
Low becomes “trap” level for late sellers
High becomes invalidation
Upper half of the candle is “shorting zone”
Close and midline still help to judge who controls the bar
The structure is mirrored, the reading logic stays the same.
Practical routine you can repeat every day
A compact checklist many traders follow:
Define higher-timeframe bias
On working timeframe, find the latest clear impulse in that direction
Pick the anchor candle that represents this impulse
Mark high, low, midline, close
Note where price trades relative to these levels
Decide: trend continuation, failed breakout, or broken structure
This method does not remove uncertainty. It just compresses market noise into a small set of reference points.
Common mistakes with anchor candles
Choosing every bigger-than-average candle as anchor, even inside messy ranges
Ignoring higher timeframe bias and trading every signal both ways
Forcing trades on each touch of an anchor level without context
Keeping the same anchor for days when the market already formed a new impulse
Anchor candles age. Fresh impulses usually provide better structure than old ones.
A note about indicators
Many traders prefer to mark such candles and levels by hand, others rely on indicators that highlight wide range bars and draw levels automatically. Manual reading trains the eye, while automated tools often save time when many charts and timeframes are under review at once.
Nasdaq Outlook: 25,800 Resistance, FOMC, and HolidaysNasdaq redirected gains back toward the 25,800 mark, a level that could confirm another surge to record highs above 26,300, or signal extended consolidation depending on the upcoming FOMC tone and ongoing concerns around tech sector overvaluation.
On the daily time frame, Nasdaq is hovering just below 25,800 resistance — the final barrier before retesting the 26,300 record high. A breakout above that level could unlock upside targets of 27,000 and 27,700.
However:
• If prices fail to hold and bearish sentiment emerges, a drop back below 25,200 is expected to extend declines toward 24,800, 24,400, and 23,900.
• The 23,900 level also acts as a potential double top neckline if prices pull back again from the 26,000 zone. A clean break below 23,900 would confirm a double-top formation, targeting 23,500 and 22,900.
These levels are derived using the Fibonacci extension tool based on the 2025 peak, the 23,900 low, and the 25,800 high.
While individual charts suggest consolidation risks, the divergence between gold and silver, alongside the contracting price action in the Dow Jones since 2020, adds caution regarding further highs until clear confirmations emerge.
- Razan Hilal, CMT
USNAS100 Consolidation Positive Holds Strong range momentumUS100 shows price action moving within a rising channel after recovering from previous lows. The market is currently trading near 25,686, approaching a key resistance zone around 25,800 – 26,205. This area has been marked as the upper boundary where price may face rejection or potentially break out.
Technically US Stocks closed out the trading week with slight gains on Friday as the latest flurry of economic data kept elevated expectation for federal reserve interest rate cut next week intact,
Remember if Price could hold above support and continue upward along the upper channel, targeting the major resistance at 26,205 Price may dip back into the support zone before attempting another move upward.
You may find more details in the chart,
Trade wisely best of luck buddies.
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis thanks for supporting.
NASDAQ formed its 1st 4H Golden Cross in 7 months!Nasdaq (NDX) completed last Friday its first 4H Golden Cross formation in more than 7 months (since May 01). This is taking place while the index is inside a Channel Up, making a V-shaped recovery from the November 21 Low.
The last time all the above conditions were fulfilled was exactly during the May Golden Cross. With the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) as its Support, the index eventually hit its previous All Time High (ATH).
As we've entered the Fed week, we can finally see this move to the ATH Resistance, so our short-term Target on Nasdaq remains 26200.
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Nas to ATHHere is the evidence from the chart supporting a "dip to POC and rally" scenario rather than a drop to VAL as I previously thought could happen:
firstly the change in Momentum (Min Delta Analysis)
The most telling clue is the Min Delta row (the lowest point of net selling during the session).
Previous Days: In the middle of the rally, sellers were able to push Delta down slightly (e.g., -1,291 or -273) before buyers took over.
Latest Session (Far Right int table ): The Min Delta is +1,479.1. This is extremely bullish. It means that from the moment the session opened, aggressive buyers were so dominant that the cumulative delta never even went negative.
my view is that Sellers are currently too weak to push price down deep. A drop to 25,100 would require significant selling pressure that simply isn't present right now.
secondly building a Floor with POCs
The Point of Control has been stepping up clearly, acting as a support ladder:
key points: Breakout started after 25,300 - Consolidated at 25,575 (held for two sessions) - Current POC moved up to 25,685.
If the price pulls back, it will likely find strong support at the 25,575 node (the high-volume ledge) or, at worst, the breakout origin at 25,300
in my view the The Likely Scenario
More Likely: Price dips into the 25,575 – 25,685 area (current and previous POCs) where passive buyers are waiting to reload, followed by a continuation up.
Less Likely: A drop to 25,300. This level is now far below the active auction. For price to visit there, we would need to see a day with massive negative Delta (e.g., -5k or more) to erase the last four days of buying progress.
Nasdaq : 24,000 Holds Strong — Next Stop 25,800?Price action on the Nasdaq 100 is telling a clear story: 24,000 (AVWAP + HVN confluence + Round number) is acting like a magnet for institutional buyers.
This suggests that accumulation is happening at these levels, positioning for a potential run toward 25,800 if momentum holds.
Are we front-running a breakout, or should we wait for confirmation above 25,000 first?
$BTC - $DXY -$SPX - $NDX - $GOLD 11/12/2025 forecastWhile the past days saw a fairly moderate negative energy across an index at a time, things will now complicate. As we're looking for both CRYPTOCAP:BTC , TVC:GOLD and NASDAQ:NDX (the latter still waiting to properly discount the incoming negative days) to witness huge peaks of negative energy, at 3:49 am UTC and particularly at 7:50 am UTC being the hardest one, volatility will further increase as we get towards 12/12/2025.
Nasdaq Buy Area Buy Nasdaq once retest IFVG , Algo 2 is running in Daily time frame
expecting big candle once break this breaker
US NAS 100DO YOU KNOW WHATS BEHIND THIS OR OTHER IDEAS?? in bio..
Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
US100 Daily Chart AnalysisSimilar to DJI, US100 Showing:
🔹 Price testing channel resistance
🔹 Rejection seen from the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement zone
🔹 Previous uptrend support line now acting as resistance
🔹 RSI showing early signs of exhaustion near key 60–70 zone
🔹 Bearish divergence forming potential — caution advised
All these confluences hint at a possible pause or reversal unless we get a strong breakout with volume confirmation.
#US100 #NASDAQ100 #PriceAction #RSI #Fibonacci #ChartAnalysis #TradingView #ChartsDriven
US100: Nasdaq 100 Maintains Bullish Structure Into Fed WeekUS100: Nasdaq 100 Maintains Bullish Structure Into Fed Week
US100 remains in a bullish structure for now. The price has broken out of the triangle pattern, signaling an increase in bullish momentum.
With market optimism still high regarding a potential FED rate cut, the probability of further upside remains elevated.
However, with the FOMC meeting approaching, volatility is expected to rise significantly. This makes short-term targets more reasonable, as market behavior can shift quickly once speculation around the news intensifies.
Short-Term Targets:
🎯 25,930
🎯 26,080
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
NAS100 Trade Set Up Dec 10 2025Price has swept PDH in Asia session then swept Asia lows in London now i will expect price to sweep London highs and/or tap into supply to then continue its bearish trend to PDL and demand
NDX100 Analysis🔹 Rejection seen from the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement zone
🔹 Previous uptrend support line now acting as resistance
🔹 RSI showing early signs of exhaustion near key 60–70 zone
All these confluences hint at a possible pause or reversal unless we get a strong breakout with volume confirmation.
US 100 Index – Potential Crunch Time for the Santa Rally!The US 100 has edged 0.2% lower to start this pivotal week as traders adjust positioning ahead of the final Federal Reserve meeting of 2025. This is a meeting at which the US central bank is widely expected to cut interest rates by 25bps and with markets pricing around a 90% chance of this happening it could be argued that anything else would be a major shock to the financial system.
Putting that to one side, there could also be challenges for traders to navigate even if the Fed does cut rates as expected, and this is where assessing the price action once the decision is released at 1900 GMT on Wednesday could be crucial.
The US 100 has rallied strongly from its November 21st low at 23834 up to current levels around 25650 at time of writing (0700 GMT). This 1800-point rally coincided with Fed policymakers talking more positively regarding their views on the potential for a further ‘near term’ rate cut, so it could be argued that this is now already priced into US stock indices.
More specifically, the US 100 is up around 21.5% year to date and consideration may need to be given to how motivated investors may be to add to their directional exposure versus locking in gains on what has been a strong 2025 performance.
With this as the backdrop moving into the next 36 hours of trading, assessing the current technical trend, alongside identifying potential key support and resistance levels could help to determine whether a Santa rally or a nasty case of ‘bah humbug’ volatility is more likely moving into the final 3 weeks of 2025.
US 100 Index Technical Update: Stalling Against 25772 Resistance?
The US 100 index has staged an impressive 8.4% recovery from the 23834 November 21st low, yet the latest phase of strength may be stalling against potential resistance at 25772. This level, equal to the November 5th session high, has repeatedly capped attempts at fresh price strength throughout November and early December, as the chart below illustrates.
While much will depend on future price activity, traders may now view the 25772 resistance as something of a pivotal level. A successful close above 25772 might be required to open the way for further price strength. However, if 25772 continues to cap prices on a closing basis, the latest upside momentum may be seen as slowing with scope for downside weakness to emerge.
What Next if 25772 Is Broken on a Closing Basis?:
With resistance at 25772 potentially pivotal to future price activity, closing breaks above this level may now be required to sustain a push toward higher levels. Such moves, while not guaranteeing continued upside, could encourage further attempts to extend the latest strength.
Successful closes above 25772 could open the possibility of moves towards 26277, which is the October 30th upside extreme, and if this level were to also be broken, on further toward 27208, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci extension.
What Next if the 25772 Resistance Continues to Hold?:
With the 25772 resistance still intact on a closing basis, it is notable that the new week has once again seen selling pressure emerge around this level. The concern now for the bulls is that the longer 25772 continues to cap price strength, the greater the risk that downside momentum could begin to materialise.
If price weakness does emerge, trader focus may then shift to support offered by the rising Bollinger mid‑average, which currently stands at 25151. A closing break below 25151 could then raise risks of a deeper retracement of the November/December strength, with potential to test 25067, which is the 38.2% retracement, possibly even 24596, a level equal to the 61.8% retracement.
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Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
USNAS100 | Bearish Bias Dominates Below Key LevelsUSNAS100 – Technical Overview
USNAS100 edged higher ahead of the JOLTS job openings report, the final major labor indicator before the Federal Reserve decides on interest rates tomorrow.
Markets are pricing an 89% probability of a 25 bps rate cut, suggesting strong expectations for policy easing.
USNAS100 holds a bearish bias for today, with momentum remaining weak as long as the price stays below 25730.
A 1H close below 25570 will confirm continuation of the bearish trend toward 25430, with deeper downside possible.
However, if the market closes a 1H candle above 25840, bullish momentum will return, opening the way toward 25985 and 26170.
Key Levels
Pivot Line: 25690
Support: 25570 · 25430 · 25210
Resistance: 25830 · 25980 · 26170
NAS 100Am bullish until the target high is swept. I'll drop any lowertimeframe buys when I spot one.
