NAS100 trade ideas
US100 - New Highs are coming!Market Context
The US100 is trading within a strong bullish structure after bouncing from a well-defined support zone. Price has been respecting key levels on the way up, forming fair value gaps (FVGs) that act as stepping stones for continuation. The overall picture points to a market that is building momentum for a potential liquidity grab higher.
Support Zone & Initial Rally
The chart shows a strong support zone at the lows, which provided the foundation for the current bullish impulse. Once price tapped into this area, buyers stepped in aggressively, leaving behind multiple bullish imbalances on the way up. This confirms that institutional interest is present at these levels.
Fair Value Gaps & Structural Strength
On the rally, price created overlapping FVGs, including a bullish fair value gap and an inversion fair value gap (IFVG). Importantly, candles never closed below the primary FVG — reinforcing its validity as strong demand. This means that even if price retraces, these areas will be closely watched for re-entries.
Liquidity Grab & Next Move
Above current price action lies a clear buy-side liquidity (BSL) level. The market is likely to target this zone, either directly from current levels or after a retest into the stacked FVGs. A liquidity sweep above the highs would be the natural continuation of the bullish structure, unlocking the potential for new short-term highs.
Final Thoughts
The US100 is showing a textbook bullish setup: strong support, healthy retracements, and unmitigated FVGs acting as demand. As long as the lower support holds, the expectation remains for a run into the BSL above.
If this analysis brought value, drop a like — and let me know: are you waiting for the retest, or do you think the market runs the highs straight away?
NAS100 – Liquidity Sweep & Short Setup (1H + 15M Scaling)After an aggressive bullish run, NAS100 swept last week’s high and immediately shifted structure (ChoCH).
This confirms external liquidity has been taken and market sentiment is turning bearish.
🔎 Trade Narrative
1. Liquidity Sweep → Last week’s high taken.
2. ChoCH → Order flow shifted bearish after sweep.
3. POIs in Play:
1H Supply Zone → First entry short (early exposure, confirmation).
15M Refined POI → Sell limit placed (precision scaling inside the 1H zone).
4. Target → Previous Day’s Low (PDL) as the next liquidity pool.
📐 Execution Plan
Entry 1: Short from 1H POI ✅
Entry 2: Sell limit at refined 15M POI ✅
Stop Loss: Above 1H supply sweep candle.
Take Profit: Previous Day’s Low (PDL).
Risk Management: Total risk capped at 1% across both entries.
🧠 Institutional Logic
Scaling entries across HTF + LTF zones provides:
Higher TF confirmation ✅
Lower TF precision ✅
Blended entry for better RR ✅
⚖️ Bias: Bearish
Targeting PDL unless price structure shifts bullish again.
NAS100 (Nasdaq) Key Levels and Probable Draw on LiquidityA clear bullish market structure driven by an aggressive upward displacement.
This energetic move to the upside has created several price inefficiencies, or gaps, which are areas where price delivery was one sided.
Currently, price is consolidating in a premium range, above the equilibrium of the recent impulse leg.
The logical draw on liquidity, or the ultimate target for this bullish momentum, is the distinct old high labeled as the "d cisd level" (Daily change in the state of delivery).
The market is likely reaching for this level to clear out any resting buy side orders.
Before reaching that ultimate target, a retracement is a high probability event.
Price may pull back to rebalance the inefficiency at the "4h cisd level", which should now act as a significant support area.
This would represent a move back into a relative discount, offering a more favorable entry for buyers aiming for the highs.
Should this level fail, a deeper retracement into the larger green zone labeled "OTE" would signify an optimal entry point within the overall bullish leg.
The narrative remains bullish as long as these key lower levels of support are respected.
The alternative path would likely have led to chasing price in a premium, resulting in a poor risk to reward entry. PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 CME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:MNQ1!
NAS100 - Stock Market, Waiting for Inflation Index?!The index is above EMA200 and EMA50 on the one-hour timeframe and is in its long-term ascending channel. If the drawn upward trend line is maintained, we can expect Nasdaq to reach its previous ATH. In case of its valid breakdown, its downward path will be smoothed to the specified demand zone, where it can be bought with appropriate risk-reward.
U.S. equities closed lower on Friday after a volatile session, capping off a turbulent week in negative territory. Initially, weaker-than-expected employment data fueled optimism that the Federal Reserve would move toward further rate cuts. However, growing fears of an economic recession quickly overshadowed that optimism and pushed the indexes into the red.
Following the labor market report, expectations for a 25-basis-point rate cut at the Fed’s September meeting are now virtually certain. The main question, however, is how fast subsequent cuts might unfold. Some analysts have even floated the possibility of a surprise 50-basis-point cut on September 17. Fed Chair Jerome Powell, speaking at the Jackson Hole symposium, stressed that risks stemming from labor market weakness may now outweigh inflation risks—a factor that could justify a shift in the central bank’s policy approach.
Nick Timiraos, a prominent Wall Street Journal reporter closely tracking Fed policy, noted that the sharp slowdown in job growth over the summer has likely cemented the Fed’s decision to cut rates by 25 basis points in the upcoming meeting.
Still, he made no explicit mention of a 50-basis-point move. While markets have raised the probability of that scenario to 14%, Timiraos believes the main focus remains on a more moderate reduction. He also observed that the latest jobs report has deepened uncertainty over the pace and scope of cuts beyond September—a challenge that policymakers and markets will grapple with in the months ahead.
Barclays Bank now projects the Fed will lower rates three times in 2025—each time by 25 basis points in September, October, and December. This is an upward revision from its earlier forecast of just two cuts in September and December.
President Donald Trump once again lashed out at Fed policy in a post on his social media platform, writing: “Jerome Powell should have cut rates long ago. But as usual, he has acted too late.”
Meanwhile, mounting concerns over ballooning fiscal deficits—not only in the U.S. but also in countries like Japan, France, and the U.K.—have placed added pressure on long-dated bonds. The yield on the 30-year U.S. Treasury briefly climbed to a one-and-a-half-month high last week. At the same time, the Treasury Department plans to issue new three-year, ten-year, and thirty-year securities next week, an event that could further fuel volatility in the bond market.
The coming week will be light in terms of data volume, yet the few scheduled releases will carry significant weight as inflation once again takes center stage. On Wednesday, the Producer Price Index (PPI) for August will be published. Forecasts suggest both the headline and core readings will show sharp declines compared to July.
On Thursday, the European Central Bank (ECB) will hold its policy meeting, where markets currently expect the deposit rate to remain unchanged at 2.15%. Shortly afterward, traders will turn their attention to the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August, along with weekly jobless claims data—closely monitored for signs of potential weakness in the U.S. labor market.
Finally, on Friday, the preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index will be released. This survey has been a particularly important gauge of inflation expectations this year, offering deeper insights into how U.S. households perceive price trends.
The PPI, which reflects changes in goods prices at the factory gate, often provides more forward-looking signals than the CPI. As shown in July’s data, any unexpected surge in August’s numbers could temper investors’ optimism about the pace of rate cuts. For now, the impact of tariffs on goods prices appears limited, while the Fed’s main concern remains the risk of renewed inflationary pressures in the services sector. According to the Cleveland Fed’s Nowcast model, headline inflation rose 0.1% in August to reach an annualized rate of 2.8%, while core inflation held steady at 3.1%.
USNASDEQ 100 Futures are Price consolidation High Top US100 futures are higher on Wednesday, extending gains after a cooler-than-expected US Producer Price Index (PPI) report. The data eased inflation concerns, supporting risk sentiment. Oracle (ORCL) shares are surging, up more than 30% in pre-market trading following strong earnings and upbeat guidance.
The index remains bullish in structure. Price is expected to test the support area near 23,200. As long as the index holds above this level, momentum favours a move higher toward 24,200 in the next leg up.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck.
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Support.
USD100 BULLISH CONTINUATION IDEA 📈 Bullish Continuation Idea
🔹 Technical Analysis
Trend Bias: All higher timeframes confirm a bullish continuation trend.
Key Structure: On the H4 timeframe, price formed a higher low (HL) at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, supporting the bullish bias.
Profit Target: First TP at the -27% Fibonacci extension (24,000 – 24,070 zone).
Liquidity Targets: Markets typically hunt liquidity (daily highs/lows, swing points, equal highs/lows). The prior swing high on the daily provides additional confluence for this target.
Lower Timeframe Structure: H1 shows bullish HH/HL structure. Price fully mitigated the recent H1 Fair Value Gap (FVG) and swept the recent data low, possibly offering a strong entry zone for continuation upwards.
🔹 Fundamental Analysis
While N100 often moves independently of news, key events can act as catalysts:
Wednesday 09/10/2025 – Core PPI (Low-Moderate Impact):
If PPI prints lower as expected, this should fuel bullish momentum.
No major rallies or crashes expected, but could provide continuation fuel.
Thursday 09/11/2025 – CPI Y/Y (High-Moderate Impact):
Historically, N100 reacts inversely to bullish CPI prints.
Based on past CPI releases (08/12/25, 07/15/25, 06/11/25, 02/12/24), expect a possible short-term dip before resuming the trend.
Best opportunities may come after NY open liquidity grabs.
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer
This is not financial advice – just my personal analysis. If we all knew exactly where the market was going, we’d all be millionaires. Trade cautiously and always prioritize risk management.
Happy Trading ❤️
NASDAQ WILL FALL TO 22400 end even moreSo the economy in the US is weakening with every DATA released daily...this is not an easy situation for the FED to cut rates... the dollar is rising, although it should have fallen with anticipation that the FED cuts rates, gold is falling, oil prices are skyrocketing, US10Ys is on the rise...
Just to make sure you get me right, I am not mixing Nasdaq with economy, BUT, do not forget about FED and about MONEY which is borrowed with high rate in the hope of rate cut...now imagine what would happen if the next DATA, namely PCE and PCI come hotter, and i am pretty sure it will...all that borrowed "expensive" (with current rates) money will be dumped out of window...and that money sits ALSO in stock market, crypto, Gold etc...
Trading is not always about higher highs or technical trendlines; it is also about geopolitics, the economy, and monetary policy...
By the way, the current uptrend, which started from 22980 on Friday the 22nd of August, is broken today...another indicator for the upcoming bearish explosion
NAS100 H4 | bullish momentum to extendNAS100 has reacted off the buy entry at 23,720.82, which is a pullback support and could bounce from this level to the take profit.
Stop loss is at 23,572.15, which is a pullback support.
Take profit is at 24,065.29, which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
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ZGM | NASDAQ SNIPER ZONES FOR LONGTERM BASED ON SNR Nasdaq Trade !
NASDAQ H4 BREAKOUT THE SELL TRENDLINE FIRST , AND BOX OF RBS CALLED (RESISTANCE BECOME SUPPORT) HAVE A X SETUP
X SETUP EXPLAINED !
The Sell TL Broke And Nasdaq Have A Buy TL Thats Means Its The XSetup
X SETUP + QM SETUP + SUPPORT
FOLLOW US FOR MORE KNOWLEDGE AND TRADE IDEAS
Beyond the Chart – NAS100 Through Technicals & Fundamentals⚖️ CAPITALCOM:US100 Fundamental Impact today
• The core driver is the US CPI (inflation) + Unemployment Claims at 3:30 pm.
• Expect increased volatility on NAS100 around that time:
• ✅ Lower CPI + weaker jobs → Bullish NAS100 (rate cut hopes).
• ❌ Higher CPI + strong jobs → Bearish NAS100 (higher for longer Fed).
1. Bearish Continuation (Main Scenario)
• Rejection from the bearish FVG + BB zone → downside continuation.
• Targeting:
• 23,750 short-term liquidity sweep.
• Then 23,700–23,650 (discount FVG).
• Extended target: 23,540 (major discount PD array).
2. Deeper Retracement / Liquidity Sweep (Alternative Scenario)
• Price might push slightly above the bearish FVG / BB zone (~23,900–23,930) to sweep late shorts.
• Then reversal down, same targets as scenario 1.
3. Bullish Recovery (Less Likely for Now)
• If price reclaims above 23,950–24,000, structure shifts bullish again.
• Potential revisit of 24,100+ liquidity above the HH.
⸻
⚖️ Bias
• For now, bias is bearish unless 23,950–24,000 is broken with strength.
• Volume histogram also shows selling momentum increasing after the rejection.
NAS100 - Potential outcome this week.Dear Friends in Trading,
“I share only my perspective. In this industry, learning never ends, but progress comes when we learn from mistakes without repeating them.” - ANROC
1) Can trend hold?
2) I believe risk appetite is diminished due to unstable geopolitical tensions.
Keynote:
The potential for an IR cut this month is good - Is this good or bad for shares in Equities?
📈 Why a rate cut can be good for stocks:
Cheaper borrowing → Companies can finance expansion, buybacks, or refinance debt at lower costs, boosting profitability.
Encourages spending → Consumers borrow more cheaply (credit cards, mortgages, auto loans), which can lift company revenues.
Asset reallocation → Lower yields on bonds make stocks look more attractive, so investors may shift capital into equities.
Weaker dollar → Helps U.S. exporters because their goods become more competitive abroad.
📉 Why a rate cut can be bad for stocks:
Signal of economic weakness → Often, the Fed cuts rates when growth is slowing or risks are rising (recession fears, financial stress). Stocks may fall if investors focus on the reason for the cut.
Diminished confidence → If markets think the Fed is “behind the curve,” sentiment can worsen.
Sector differences → Financial stocks (banks, insurers) may get hurt because their net interest margins shrink.
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
US30 & NAS100 - Potential TargetsDear Friends in Trading,
How I see it for Monday & Tuesday: 8-9 Sept.
1) Potential Targets for US30
2) Potential Targets for NAS100
Keynote: BE SAFE!
Wednesday to Friday is stacked with High Impact Data.
I personally will be focusing on catching setups for this week before Wednesday.
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
USNAS100 Holds Above 23,690 – Bulls Eye 23,870 ATHUSNAS100 – Overview
The Nasdaq 100 remains in bullish momentum while trading above the pivot at 23,690, with the next target near the ATH at 23,870.
Technical Outlook:
📈 As long as price holds above 23,690, bullish momentum is expected toward 23,860 → 23,940 → 24,090.
📉 A confirmed 1H close below 23,690 would shift bias bearish, opening the way to 23,600 → 23,500 → 23,280.
Key Levels:
Pivot: 23,690
Resistance: 23,860 – 23,940 – 24,090
Support: 23,600 – 23,500 – 23,280