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USD Dollar Basket Index DXZ5 Exp 08/12/2025 23:59USD Dollar Basket Index DXZ5 Exp 08/12/2025 23:59USD Dollar Basket Index DXZ5 Exp 08/12/2025 23:59

USD Dollar Basket Index DXZ5 Exp 08/12/2025 23:59

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USDX trade ideas

US Dollar Index (DXY) – Institutional Structural OutlookMacro Context The Dollar Index is currently holding within a weekly demand zone after a prolonged distributive phase. The market is evaluating whether this region will act as a structural accumulation base or if deeper liquidity levels will be tested. Confirmation from COT reports will be crucial to validate institutional positioning. Technical Structure Breakout & Acceptance: The last major breakout is still respected, with price now consolidating above demand. Demand Layers: Three clear demand zones are mapped: Current Demand – where the market is attempting to accumulate. Deep Discount Demand – a deeper structural level where liquidity could be absorbed if the first zone fails. Extreme Deep Discount Demand – ultimate defensive layer, aligned with long-term rebalancing. Accumulation: Price is building a smaller accumulation range, signaling potential preparation for an institutional move. Projected Scenarios Primary Bias (Accumulation/Long): If confirmed by COT, current accumulation may trigger a structural recovery of the Dollar, strengthening against weaker counterparts (AUD, NZD). Invalidation: A clean break below the current demand would open the path towards deeper demand zones, reframing the context as continuation of distribution. Confirmation & Monitoring COT Reports: Weekly positioning will confirm whether institutional players are indeed accumulating or still unwinding Dollar exposure. Volatility Index (VIX + EVZ): As timing filters for breakout confirmation. Macro Drivers: Next Fed communications and global liquidity flows remain critical catalysts. ⚖️ Institutional Note: The DXY is at a decision point – smaller accumulation is visible, but validation from institutional flows (COT) is essential before considering a structural recovery.
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by philipemav
dxy 4hTrading Perspectives for the Upcoming Week In this series of analyses, we have reviewed short-term trading perspectives and outlooks. As can be seen, in each analysis there is a significant support/resistance zone near the current asset price. The market’s reaction to or break of this level will determine the future price trend up to the next specified levels. Important Note: The purpose of these trading perspectives is to examine key price levels and the market’s potential reactions to them. The analyses provided are by no means trading signals!
TVC:DXY
by esmaeilesmaeilzade_fx
DXY is setting for another dropPre FOMC move on DXY bearish as with 0.25% to 0.5% rate cut decision as significantly impacted dollar index which on press conference, price finally rejected from the lower level 96.20 As with the weekly close coming in few hours, price approaching another key level of resistance, weekly and monthly giving a high probablity to reject back again to the support level as the resistance consist of 3 higher timeframe confulences, monty and weekly resistance alogn with weekly 10ema combining with break of series of lower highs and break of the combinations could lead the price to drop to the support. at 96.20
TVC:DXYShort
by ForexWizard01
What Was Important for the US Dollar Index (DXY) This WeekWhat Was Important for the US Dollar Index (DXY) This Week The long-awaited event — the Fed’s first rate cut of 2025 — has taken place. What is particularly important to note is the price action on the US Dollar Index (DXY) chart. The value of the USD against a basket of other currencies made a two-step move, forming a pin-bar candle with a long lower shadow: → Arrow 1: When the Fed actually announced the easing, the dollar weakened as expected on this “dovish news.” → Arrow 2: But at the subsequent press conference, Fed Chair Jerome Powell delivered a series of “hawkish” remarks that shifted the market mood and drove the dollar higher. He stressed that this cut does not mark the beginning of “a series of continuous rate reductions,” and that further decisions will be taken “based on incoming economic data.” Powell also stated plainly that the option of a more aggressive 50-basis-point cut had not gained sufficient support among FOMC members. Therefore, the “down-then-up” move highlights a sharp change in trader sentiment within a short timeframe, as expectations failed to materialise. Technical Analysis of the DXY Chart In our 9 September analysis, we confirmed the relevance of: → the descending channel (shown in red) defined by a sequence of lower highs and lower lows; → the intermediate QL and QH lines, which divide the channel into quarters. Notably, at Wednesday’s low the price: → touched the QL line, underscoring its strength; → formed a clear Liquidity Grab pattern (in the terminology of the Smart Money Concept methodology). From the perspective of Richard Wyckoff’s method, Wednesday’s low may be viewed as a Spring pattern, which preceded a Mark-Up phase of rising prices. How Might Events Unfold Next? Given the above, we could assume that the hawkish tone could serve as a longer-term factor for the DXY index. The 97.55 level appears to act as resistance, but it is possible that we may see an attempt to break through it, with the next target being the QH line. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:DXY
by FXOpen
2
Dollar Weekly WrapThe dollar ripped to fresh lows early in the week on the FOMC spark and is now set to close with a heavy bearish rejection candle. Next week’s macro stack: Tue – U.S. PMI flash Thu – Q2 GDP final and Durable Goods Fri – Personal Income/Spending and PCE Price sits just below a five-week liquidity shelf around the 98.00 area. Technically the market is oversold near the lower range, so high probability to target next week 98ich highs and lower on cross pairs. lets see how it will play out!
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by CORE5DAN
US DOLLAR War Map stays simple right nowThe dollar’s been sliding for months, but we finally saw the range lows taken out after the FOMC spike, and that sets up the next move. Here’s how I’m reading it: Rotation lower is still the logical path unless politics or surprise news change the game. On the DXY chart, I’m watching for a heavy-volume node to act as a target for a short-term pullback higher. For cross-pairs, that means I’ll look for short setups while using the recent bullish dollar lows as day-to-day reference points. Key level to watch: around 98.7, where heavy bearish order-flow has been building. If the market keeps moving, it’s a straightforward trade plan: stay positive, take intraday signals, and let the bigger down-cycle play out.
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by CORE5DAN
DXY (US Dollar Index) AnalysisPrice is currently trading near 97.60 – 97.90, which is a strong resistance zone. I’ll be waiting for bearish confirmation here before expecting downside momentum. 🔻 If sellers hold this level, we could see DXY drop further, aligning with bearish pressure on USD across correlated pairs (EURUSD bullish, GBPUSD bullish, Gold bullish). Key Levels: 🔴 Resistance: 97.60 / 97.90 🟢 Target Zone: 95.00 📌 Trading Plan: Wait for rejection at 97.60 – 97.90 before entering. Look for sell setups targeting 95.00. Correlation: Bearish DXY supports bullish momentum in major USD pairs. ⚠️ Risk management is key. Always wait for confirmation before taking positions.
TVC:DXYShort
by Fm254
Dollar Bloodbath = Risk On Assets Rally?Dollar Fundamentals: The dollar posted modest gains on Friday due to higher T-note yields, which have strengthened the dollar’s interest rate differentials. The University of Michigan US Sep consumer sentiment index fell more than expected to a 4-month low causing the weakening of the dollar. Limiting the upside in the dollar are the increased expectations for Fed easing through year-end. The dollar is also being undercut by concerns over Fed independence, which could prompt foreign investors to dump dollar assets as President Trump attempts to fire Fed Governor Cook, and by Stephen Miran’s intention to be a Fed Governor. What Can We Expect Going Forward? - Due To High Resistance Over Multiple Weeks, There Will Be Massive Levels Volatility, Aiming To Trap The Retail Traders - Next Week Wednesday Will Determine How Volatile Dollar Will Be. Anything More Than A .25 Basis Point Decline Will Cause Turmoil For Dollar. - This Will Lead Risk-On Assets (e.g. GBPUSD, EURUSD, AUDUSD) Rallying Up Into Premium Arrays Prices To Keep An Eye On: - 99.078 (Last Line Of Defence) - 96.377 Major Sellside Liquidity - Medium-Term Draw To 95.716 - 94.313 HTF Array GBPUSD Fundamentals : UK gross domestic product remained unchanged in July after growing 0.4% in June, the Office for National Statistics said, as manufacturing output, which makes up 9% of the economy, dropped by 1.3% on the month. The BoE is widely expected to keep its benchmark Bank Rate unchanged on September 18, after a split decision to lower the rate to 4% in August. What To Expect Going Into Next Week? - Increased Volatility - Trigger HTF Stop Losses - Unusually High Levels Of Manipulation Price Points To Keep A Eye On: - 1.35950 Buyside Liquidity - 1.36760 - 1.37036 Longer Term Premium Array - 1.34458 Mean Threshold (Last Line Of Defence)
TVC:DXYShort
by LegendSince
USD Index Technical Outlook – Key Buy & Sell LevelsThe U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is currently trading inside a clear downward channel, showing a bearish market structure. Price is hovering near 98.23, just below the key resistance zone between 98.5 – 99.2, where Fibonacci retracement levels (0.382, 0.5, and 0.618) also align, making it a strong supply area. As long as price remains below this zone, the bias stays bearish, with potential downside targets at 97.5 and then 96.5, in line with the channel support and Fibonacci extensions. However, if buyers manage to push above 99.2, it would signal a possible trend reversal and shift the outlook towards bullish continuation. Overall, the structure suggests that the U.S. Dollar Index is more likely to face rejection near resistance and continue lower in the short term. 🔴 Sell Zone (Short Setup) - 98.50 – 99.20 is a strong resistance area where price aligns with the Fibonacci retracement (0.382 – 0.618) and the upper channel trendline. - Sell Trigger: If price shows rejection (bearish candles, wicks, or reversal patterns) within this zone. 🟢 Buy Zone (Long Setup) - 97.50 – 96.50 area is the channel support and also near Fibonacci extension levels. - Buy Trigger: Look for bullish confirmation (bounce, bullish engulfing, or rejection wicks). Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
TVC:DXYShort
by SibiSh