I'm surprised to see such resilience in the RE market. As an investment banker in the field, I can tell you that things are turning sour really quickly. Banks are closed and projects are increasingly hard to sell without massive discounts as buyers try to cope with increased financing costs. Many developers will go bust in the coming quarters due to high leverage...
I've seen so many patterns like this one. Present times seem to offer a rather good short entry. Needs confirmation or tight SL
NVIDIA is looking good for a sweet short. The exponential breakdown reminds me of the end of so many bubbles... 72$ is a Big target. Whether we long from here will depend on the future macro landscape. B R I N G T H E B E A R !
Tesla facing heavy resistance zone The formation of a local top in the upcoming weeks wouldn't surprise me lets see...
US 2/10 yield spread approaching macro support. TA bottom might be slowly forming too (need confirmation) Expecting the spread to reach 0 before the summer while the rest will be history buckle up
USDJPY to new highs based on the policy (no) decision of the BOJ. One caveat: it is way to obvious
Netflix approaching area of interest (high of the post user-surprise gap) Good area to consider a short with a tight SL R/R is good in my opinion
Bitcoin fractal (from 2021 top) on French 10Y government bond yield Pretty accurate so far lets see how it goes
This pattern is extracted from the US2000 H1 price action. It matches the NDX/XLP ratio quite perfectly so far, suggesting more de-risking across markets. A good short opportinity with a tight stop loss in place
I do not see 10 Yr French gov. bond yield break the resistance of this bearish canal. Paris CBD offices trade at c.2.7% yield which implies an already compressed spread. Further compression would likely cause a RE crash and a recession. This is true for RE and probably for other sectors too. Declining yields could result from a variety of factors though i do not...
Using several fractals from similar macro-economic periods to forecast mid to long term gold prices. 1,450 $ seems like a reasonably strong support and an interesting entry opportunity for long-term minded investors. If we get there i would expect gold prices to starts a new, generational bull run, fueled by monetary debasement.
I'm watching this pattern (from October 2020) in case the market decides to turn upwards following the FOMC meeting tonight (not a huge probability in my opinion). I'm personally not a huge believer when it comes to seeing new ATHs but who knows... a slightly dovish tone from the crazy dude followed by quickly deteriorating economic data could -...
Would be a great opportunity to be able to accumulate here, between the 200W moving average and the base line of the log growth model. Let's see if BTC dumps to these levels..
Based on equity valuation vs 10Y returns projections 2022-23 probably off
I applied fingerprint matching techniques + long-term log curves extension to overlay btc cycles and extrapolate the second half of the current cycle. I expect BTC to peak at $180k in mid-august 2022 (15 August would be cool > french bank hollidays, perfect to get drunk and celebrate) and eth to peak at 19k$ Also expect a significant alt season around august 2021...