Bitcoin Supply Inflation VS M2 Money Supply InflationOver the last few months, inflation has been a hot topic.
As a result, I thought it would be great to emphasise the most important aspect of Bitcoin's monetary policy: scarcity.
For the first time ever, we can precisely see the maximum supply of a asset than can perform as our global reserve currency.
Given the halving event that occurs every four years (210,000 blocks), the inflation rate of Bitcoin's supply is steadily approaching zero. This is evidently shown via Glassnode''s data for Bitcoin Supply GLASSNODE:BTC_SUPPLY . After the third halving event, Bitcoin's inflation rate was approximately 1.8%
In recent years, Bitcoin has a lower inflation rate when compared to the current inflation rate of the M2 money stock.
Over the long term, this is extremely bullish.
We can expect more capital to be injected into Bitcoin and the rest of the cryptocurrency market as adoption continues.
Trader Dončić
M2SL trade ideas
M2 - Monetary PolicyFurther Expansion is ahead.
Price Instability.
A Macro Environment unseen in Centuries.
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Longer-Term the Trend is clear, M2 never recedes
it only expands.
Timing the next move in Equities... will be tied to
later moves far higher.
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Probability - 100%
The Dow has Extensions to 62,200.
Something to Consider
Growth Cycle Analysis of USD Supply.This is not entirely about a trade, moreso a thought experiment of the future to come.
After the great 2020 coof liquidity crisis a brief and severe expansion of the monetary supply occurred in order to bail out the entire economy. This seems to be followed by an equivalent expansion rate mirrored by the 1971 expansion. The marked difference this time is that the interest rate is 0. To reign this in would require negative rates, or capital controls, AND a major collapse (which I do not think will be permitted).