US30 (DOW JONES) – 4-Hour Timeframe Tradertilki AnalysisMy friends,
I have analyzed US30 on the 4-hour timeframe.
My friends, if US30 reaches the levels between 47,361 and 47,192, I will open a buy position.
My target will be the 48,429 level.
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Trade ideas
US30 Price consolidation bullish sequenceUS30 Price consolidation bullish sequence price action is shaping a potential continuation phase Price is currently testing a resistance zone,
Technically a rising trendline is supporting the price a well-defined ascending trendline has been respected multiple times price recently bounced from it and is still trading above it — indicating upward structure remains intact.
However if the maintain bullish structure we could expect price continuation to upwards side a major resistance will be 48,015 to 48,500 to find in upside.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of luck buddies.\
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US30 H4 | Falling Towards Key SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price is pulling back toward our buy entry, which has been identified as an overlap support zone.
Buy Entry: 46,865.48
Strong overlap support
Stop Loss: 46,504.50
Pullback support
61.8% Fibonacci retracement
Take Profit: 48,049.73
Pullback resistance
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DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Confirmed BoS
With the yesterday's fundamental US news releases and
Trump's speech, US30 bounced strongly.
The market violated a significant daily resistance cluster
and closed above that.
It opens a potential for more growth to a resistance based
on a current All-Time High.
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WARNING! 22 States Already In Recession.What the map is actually saying
This map claims that as of October 2025, 22 states are either:
Already in recession (red)
At high risk of recession (also red)
“Treading water” (yellow — basically flat growth)
Only the green states are shown as still expanding.
What this really means
This is a state-level business cycle indicator. States can slip into recession long before the national data officially confirms a U.S. recession.
Why? Because:
State economies depend heavily on specific industries (energy, tech, manufacturing, tourism).
Those sectors can crash regionally without the whole country being in recession—yet.
So a cluster of red states = early warning signal.
The big takeaway
When half or more of the states show contraction, historically, the national recession follows within months.
It means:
Job growth is stalling.
Local tax revenues are falling.
Credit conditions are tightening.
Businesses are cutting spending.
Consumers are slowing down.
In simple terms:
When enough states catch pneumonia, the U.S. national economy gets sick. You have been WARNED!
GTFO and STFO!
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DOW JONES formed its first 4H Golden Cross since August. BullishDow Jones (DJI) has been trading within a 6-month Channel Up and today it formed its first 4H Golden Cross since August 15. Coming off a Higher Low bottom 2 weeks ago on the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), we are currently on the new Bullish Leg of the pattern.
The last one rose by +7.26%, roughly the % amount of the previous two as well, so our immediate Target remains 49000 as we've shown on last weeks analysis.
This time we also see an over-extended Target if the end-of-year rally lasts a bit longer, on the 1.382 Fibonacci extension at 49500, as this level has been hit on every Bullish Leg of this pattern.
If the 1D RSI though hits its Lower Highs Zone (red) earlier, it might be a good idea technically to book profits before those Targets are reached.
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US30 – MARKET OUTLOOK | December Optimism Meets Key Data RisksUS30 (Dow Jones) – Technical Overview
The Dow Jones posted a modest gain on Tuesday, rising 185 points, as traders embraced a bit of December optimism. Even small upticks count in a holiday month—especially with markets looking for positive momentum amid mixed macro signals.
Volatility is expected to increase ahead of today’s ADP employment data, which may influence risk sentiment across equities.
Technical Analysis
US30 maintains bullish momentum while trading above 47560, with upside targets at 47720 and 47855.
A breakout above these resistance zones may extend the move toward 48020.
However, a 1H or 4H close below 47460 will shift momentum into a bearish correction, opening the way toward 47230 and 47100.
Pivot Line: 47560
Resistance: 47710 · 47860 · 48020
Support: 47460 · 47230 · 47100
US30 – PREMIUM OUTLOOK | Momentum Shifts at Key Resistance ZoneUS30 – Technical Overview
US30 continues to show bearish momentum as long as price remains below 47920 and 48020, with downside targets at 47720 and 47560.
Price action in this zone remains sensitive, and sellers maintain control while the index trades under these resistance levels.
However, if the market closes a 1H candle above 48020, this would signal a shift in momentum and open the way for a bullish move toward 48410.
Key Levels
Pivot Line: 47920
Support: 47730 · 47560 · 47460
Resistance: 48020 · 48320 · 48410
previous idea:
US30 Bullish Plan! Layered Entries + Clean Targets Mapped🔥 DOW JONES (US30) BULLISH PULLBACK - THIEF STRATEGY LAYER ENTRY! 🔥
📈 Asset: CAPITALCOM:US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average CFD)
🎯 Bias: BULLISH - Strong Uptrend, MA Pullback Play
⏰ Timeframe: Day Trade / Swing
🛡️ Strategy: "THIEF LAYERING" - Multi-Level Limit Order Entry for Optimal Risk/Entry
📋 TRADE PLAN: THIEF'S LAYERED BULLISH PULLBACK
✅ CONDITION:
Bullish structure intact ✅
Price pulling back towards key Moving Average support ✅
This is a "Buy the Dip" setup for continuation.
🎯 ENTRY STRATEGY (THIEF LAYER METHOD):
Use MULTIPLE BUY LIMIT ORDERS to scale into the trade.
Suggested Layers (Adjust based on your capital):
➡️ Layer 1: 47,300
➡️ Layer 2: 47,400
➡️ Layer 3: 47,500
You can increase or decrease layers based on your own analysis.
⛔ STOP LOSS (THIEF OG's NOTE):
Initial SL: 47,200 (below key structure)
⚠️ IMPORTANT: Adjust your SL based on YOUR OWN RISK & STRATEGY. I am not responsible for your SL. Trade at your own risk.
🎯 TAKE PROFIT (ESCAPE THE POLICE BARRICADE!):
Primary Target: 48,100
This zone acts as strong resistance + overbought + potential trap.
Escape with profits before the "police" (sellers) arrive!
⚠️ NOTE: You can take partial profits earlier. This is YOUR choice - manage your own trade!
📊 RELATED PAIRS TO WATCH:
TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index): ⚠️ INVERSE CORRELATION
Strong TVC:DXY = Pressure on CAPITALCOM:US30 (typically).
Watch for DXY weakness to confirm bullish CAPITALCOM:US30 momentum.
SP:SPX (S&P 500) / NASDAQ:NDX (Nasdaq 100): ✅ POSITIVE CORRELATION
If SPX/NDX are strong, likely supports CAPITALCOM:US30 rally.
Weakness here may limit CAPITALCOM:US30 upside.
TVC:VIX (Volatility Index): ⚠️ FEAR GAUGE
Rising TVC:VIX = Risk-off mood, may cap equity gains.
Stable/Low TVC:VIX supports bullish move.
EUR/USD & GBP/USD: ⚠️ DOLLAR SENSITIVITY
USD pairs can signal broad USD strength/weakness, impacting PURPLETRADING:US30.
📌 KEY NOTES FOR THIEF OG's:
This is a LAYERED ENTRY strategy - patience is key.
Adjust ALL levels based on your account size & risk tolerance.
Watch related markets for confirmation or warning signs.
YOU are responsible for your trades - manage them actively!
👍 LIKE & FOLLOW if you find this useful!
🔔 TURN ON NOTIFICATIONS for more THIEF STRATEGY setups!
💬 COMMENT below with your adjustments or questions!
#TradingView #US30 #DowJones #TradingStrategy #DayTrade #Bullish #Pullback #StockMarket #TradingIdeas #CFD #IndexTrading #ThiefStrategy #LayerTrading
DJIA - Bullish Breakout - 2 Ways To Get InvolvedMy number four top trading idea of the week comes from the Dow Jones. Renewed optimism in the markets—partly fueled by the fading AI-panic narrative—has driven nearly six consecutive bullish sessions. The one day that didn’t close bullish actually left behind a beautiful structure shelf, giving traders a logical level to protect stops if looking for a bullish continuation.
In this video, we’ll break down two ways to get involved—either through a breakout or a pullback—and discuss the pros and cons that come with each approach so you can choose the tactic that best fits your trading style.
Please leave any questions, comments, or trading ideas below!
Be on the lookout for Top Trading Idea #3 heading your way soon!
Akil
US30 | Breakout Confirmation RequiredUS30 – Technical Overview
US30 is currently consolidating between 47450 and 47560, awaiting a clear breakout to define the next direction.
A 1H or 4H close below 47450 will confirm bearish momentum, opening the way toward 47240 and then 47080.
However, a 1H — and especially a 4H — close above 47560 will signal continuation of the bullish trend toward 47850 and 48000.
Pivot Line: 47450
Support Levels: 47230 · 47080
Resistance Levels: 47700 · 47860
US3O showing strong bullish momentumUS30 is trading in a steady upward channel after breaking out of its previous consolidation range. Price is holding above support and showing strong bullish momentum.
As long as it stays above the current breakout zone, the market is positioned to push higher toward the next psychological level around 48,205. Buyers remain in control, and any pullbacks into the trendline support may attract fresh buying pressure.
If the price test the support level after again price range bullish from the current range we could expect price remains chance for bullish pattern.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck buddies.
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis thanks for supporting.
us30 1h🔹 Overall Outlook and Potential Price Movements
In the charts above, we have outlined the overall outlook and possible price movement paths.
As shown, each analysis highlights a key support or resistance zone near the current market price. The market’s reaction to these zones — whether a breakout or rejection — will likely determine the next direction of the price toward the specified levels.
⚠️ Important Note:
The purpose of these trading perspectives is to identify key upcoming price levels and assess potential market reactions. The provided analyses are not trading signals in any way.
✅ Recommendation for Use:
To make effective use of these analyses, it is advised to manually draw the marked zones on your chart. Then, on the 5-minute time frame, monitor the candlestick behavior and look for valid entry triggers before making any trading decisions.
US30 SELL 4HUS30 (Dow Jones) Technical Analysis – 4H Chart
chart shows a well-structured bearish scenario, followed by a medium-term bullish reversal setup. combining Fibonacci retracement levels, time cycles, moving averages, and projected wave paths to map the market direction.
Below is a detailed breakdown:
1️⃣ Current Market Structure
Price recently reached a local top near 48,127.
After this, the chart suggests expect a significant downward correction.
Price is fluctuating above the:
Green MA (short-term)
Red MA (medium-term)
Blue 200 MA (long-term)
projected path shows a breakdown below these moving averages soon.
2️⃣ Fibonacci Levels (Important Zones)
From the recent high, your Fibonacci retracement levels are:
0.25 → 46,699
0.5 → 45,274
0.75 → 43,950
These levels align with your expected downward waves.
Major Support Zone
Large green zone near 41,700 – 42,200
This is where your final bearish wave ends
It also overlaps with a long-term Fibonacci cluster
This suggests it is the target bottom of the correction.
3️⃣ Bearish Projection (Red Wave Path)
chart shows multiple downward swings:
Initial drop from 48,127 → 45,274
Bounce to retest resistance
Deeper decline toward 44,000 – 43,500
Another bounce
Final capitulation to 41,700
🟥 Final Bearish Target:
~41,700
This matches the blue horizontal support line.
🔹 Duration of Bearish Cycle
174 bars (~41 days)
This suggests the decline completes around late January 2026.
4️⃣ Bullish Reversal Phase (Green + Black Path)
After reaching the bottom around 41,700, your chart shows two phases:
Phase 1 – Strong Rebound (Black Path)
A sharp rally into early February:
First rally to around 44,500 – 45,000
Short-term pullback
Then continuation higher
Phase 2 – Trend Recovery (Green Path)
Long-term green path shows:
A steady upward channel
Price aiming toward 48,000 – 49,000 again
The green dotted lines show alternative bullish scenarios
🔹 Total Recovery Time
258 bars (~58 days)
Targeting mid-March 2026 for a full recovery.
5️⃣ Interpretation of Moving Averages
Price will break below the moving averages during the correction.
Long-term recovery will push back above the:
50 MA (green)
100 MA (red)
200 MA (blue)
This confirms a trend reversal after the bottom is hit.
6️⃣ Summary of Your Outlook
📉 Short-Term Bias: Bearish
Price expected to drop from the top
Multiple lower highs / lower lows
Target bottom: 41,700
📉 Medium-Term Bias: Consolidation & Reversal
Strong bounce after the bottom
Wave structure suggests accumulation
📈 Long-Term Bias: Bullish
Recovery back toward all-time highs
Market structure returns to an uptrend by March 2026
✔️ Final Conclusion
chart suggests a full cycle:
Top formation near 48,127
Multi-wave decline (target 41,700)
41-day bearish cycle
Strong bullish reversal
Full recovery within ~58 days
This is a very clean Elliott-wave-style projection supported by Fibonacci and time cycles.
us30 buy ideaWe are looking at the US30 chart on the H4 timeframe for a buy setup. The current area where the market is trading (47270.1 – 47118.2), as soon as this zone breaks to the downside, there is a demand flip zone below (46586.5 – 46328.4). When the market comes down to this zone, we will move to the M15 timeframe and look for a buy signal from the refined zone on the M15 timeframe, and then we will take a buy trade.
Dow Jones (US30) a break of 47,759 will confirm downside momentu
The rally was sold in the dip was bought, resulting in a doji-style candle being posted at the high. This highlights investor indecision at current levels.
Big Picture analysis suggests we are currently trading within the BC leg of a Butterfly formation. This pattern will be invalidated on a move through the previous swing high of 48,460. Formation will be completed on a move to 43,946.
The trend of higher highs and the previous change of structure is located at 47,759.
It should be noted that the US2000 has just hit a 261.8% extension level
Conclusion: the value trade is to the downside. A break of 47,759 will confirm downside momentum. (edited)Friday, 5 December 2025 06:45
Bullish continuation setup?Dow Jones (US30) is reacting off the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a swing high resistance.
Pivot: 47,730.53
1st Support: 47,204.31
1st Resistance: 48,435.66
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