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CRUDEOILMM2023 trade ideas

Price action + RSI support = fresh buy opportunity in CrudeOil1!CrudeOil1! (1-Hour Timeframe) Technical Outlook CrudeOil1! is currently sustaining at the Fibonacci Golden Ratio level of 0.618, with the weekly pivot placed near 5640. Based on Fibonacci projections and price action, this 5640 zone appears to be a crucial area, as it aligns with a 2.8% retracement completion. On the 1-hour timeframe, the RSI is showing a decline but may take support near the current levels, adding further weight to this support zone. All technical indicators together suggest that the 5640–5650 zone could act as a strong support in the short term. If this support holds, we may see upside targets at 5715 and 5750, with the potential for CrudeOil1! to make a new high if the bullish momentum continues. Thank you.
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!Long
by FiveCircles
WTI Crude Oil Trading Analysis: 02-September-2025Week Ahead Plan: September 2-6, 2025 Analysis Period : August 26-30, 2025 Review | September 2-6, 2025 Outlook Market : WTI Crude Oil Futures (CL1!) Methodology : Dual Renko Chart System ($0.25/15min + $0.50/30min) Current Price : $64.00 (August 30, 2025) ________________________________________ Strategic Outlook & Market Setup Primary Scenario (70% Probability): Pullback First, Then Recovery What to Expect : Market opens lower Tuesday ($63.00-63.50 range) due to bearish signal on short-term chart. This creates a buying opportunity if support holds. Trading Plan: Tuesday Opening : Expect gap down - don't panic, this was anticipated Buy Zone : Look for entries between $62.00-63.50 (strong institutional support) Confirmation Needed : Wait for short-term trend to flip bullish again before buying Target : Still aiming for $66.50 but may take extra 3-5 days to get there Secondary Scenario (25% Probability): Sideways Consolidation What to Expect : Market trades in $63.50-64.50 range for several days while technical signals realign. Trading Plan: Strategy: Be patient - don't force trades in choppy conditions Wait For: Clear breakout above $64.50 with volume Risk: Could waste 1-2 weeks in sideways action Low Probability Scenario (5% Probability): Immediate Continuation Up What to Expect : Market gaps up above $64.25 and keeps rising. Trading Plan: Verify: Make sure both short-term and long-term signals turn bullish Caution: Be skeptical without strong volume confirmation Action: Can buy but use smaller position sizes until confirmed ________________________________________ Market Risk Factors & Monitoring Critical Support Level : $62.00 Why Important: Massive institutional buying occurred here - if it breaks, the bullish case is dead Action If Broken: Exit all long positions immediately, wait for new setup Probability of Break: Low (15%) but must be respected Key Events This Week : Tuesday: ISM Services data (economic health indicator) Wednesday: Weekly oil inventory report (could cause volatility) Friday: Jobs report (affects overall market sentiment) Warning Signs to Watch: Technical: Short-term trend staying bearish for more than 3 days Volume: Declining volume on any bounce attempts Support: Any trading below $62.50 for extended periods Time: No progress toward $66.50 target within 10 total trading days Positive Signs to Look For : Technical: Short-term trend flipping back to bullish (key confirmation) Volume: Above-average volume on any recovery moves Support: Strong buying interest at $62-63 zone Momentum: Clean breakout above $64.50 with follow-through ________________________________________ Forward-Looking Adjustments Modified Risk Management : Position Size: Use 50% of normal position size until both timeframes align bullish Stop Loss: Tighter stops at $62.75 (just below support zone) Entry Patience: Don't chase - wait for pullback to support levels Profit Taking: Be more aggressive taking profits at first target ($66.50) Revised Entry Strategy: Before Buying, Confirm ALL Three: Price: Trading at or near $62-63 support zone Technical: Short-term trend signal flips back to bullish Volume: Above-average buying interest visible Timeline Expectations : Days 1-3: Expect pullback/consolidation phase Days 4-5: Look for bullish confirmation signals Days 6-10: Resume advance toward $66.50 target if signals align Beyond Day 10: If no progress, reassess entire strategy Success Metrics: Minimum Goal: Protect capital during pullback phase Primary Target: $66.50 within 2 weeks (revised from 1 week) Risk Limit: Maximum 2% account loss if support fails Time Limit: Exit strategy if no directional progress within 10 days total Simplified Decision Framework : Green Light to Buy: Price near $62-63 + Short-term trend bullish + Good volume Yellow Light (Wait): Mixed signals, choppy price action, low volume Red Light (Exit): Price below $62, bearish trend continuing, time limit exceeded ________________________________________ Bottom Line : The bigger picture remains bullish, but short-term signals suggest a pullback first. Use any weakness to $62-63 as a buying opportunity, but only with proper confirmation. Be patient - the setup is still valid but timing may be delayed by a few days. ________________________________________ Document Classification : Trading Analysis Next Update : September 6, 2025 (Weekly Review) Risk Level : Moderate (controlled institutional setup) This analysis represents continued validation of a systematic, institutional-grade trading methodology with demonstrated predictive accuracy and risk control capabilities. This is a view that represents possible scenarios but ultimate responsibility is with each individual trader. Risk Disclaimer: Past performance does not guarantee future results. All trading involves risk of loss.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by mxb1961
A return to solid sellers in a downtrend paves the way for =SELL **1→3 Movement:** We've carved out a spicy lower low that absolutely demolished the buyers from that 2→3 upswing 💀. This makes the sellers from numero uno the absolute CHAD entity in this local structure 💪 **4→5 Action:** Sellers came back virtually unchecked (like they owned the place 😎) until they hit that overlapping resistance zone where both highs 1 and 3 are chilling together like old friends 🤝 ### What's the Vibe? 🔮 * **Continuation Theory:** We're probably heading down faster than my portfolio in 2022 📉. Those previous upswings (2→3 and that tiny pump before high 1) were equally one-sided and still got absolutely rekt. No reason to think this time hits different 🎯 * **Elliott Wave Gang:** This could be that legendary 5th wave finale 🌊, setting us up for a classic 3-wave correction. (Counting that pre-number-1 uptrend as wave 1 because we're sophisticated like that 🧐) * **Dow Theory Confirmation:** We're surfing a downtrend with a potential kiss goodbye at resistance 💋. Higher timeframes are aligned like planets in retrograde ✨ * **Divergence Party:** Hidden bearish divergence across RSI, MFI, and A/D indicators 📊 - the triple threat confirmation we love to see 🎪 ### Chaos Theory Stats (Because We're Built Different) 🌪️ * **64% Probability:** If price closes below a zone, there's a 64% chance it'll hit the next zone down. That's better than a coinflip, and we'll take those odds all day 🎲 * **Breakeven Placement:** Strategically positioned because if price returns to the zone above after hitting BE, we've got a 75% chance of revisiting entry (and nobody likes giving back profits) 💸 * **Zone Selection:** Next orange zone below is the target because we're methodical like that 🎯 * **Data Backing:** These stats are from the last 2,500 bars - not some random hopium, actual backtested edge 📈 **Trade Invalid:** If price closes above that orange zone lurking below this text ⚠️ --- *Not financial advice, just one trader's vibe check on the markets* 🚀💀
NYMEX:MCL1!Short
by jacesabr_real
Crude Oil MCX Futures — Weekly Positional Roadmap (1-5 Sep-2025)MCX:CRUDEOIL1! For positional and swing traders in Crude Oil MCX Futures, weekly levels provide a clear directional blueprint for the week ahead. Weekly Key Levels Zero Line: 5654 — This is the pivotal level dividing bullish and bearish sentiment for the entire week. Any 1 hour candle closed before or above with a high or low break, is a bias hint for the week! Positional Buy Setup: Remain buy-biased till 5627. Positions can be initiated above 5671 (Weekly Long Entry) and strengthened at 5663 (Add Long). Upside Targets: Weekly Take Profit Tgt 1: 5698 Weekly Take Profit Tgt 2: 5725 Long Exit: Closing Above 5647 — Consider booking positions near these levels if upward momentum stalls. Weekly Bearish Plan Short Setup: If Crude breaches and sustains below 5654, positional shorts can be considered with eyes on 5610 and 5583 for target levels. Short Exit: Cover or reconsider shorts if price rebounds above 5678. Tactical Guidance Weekly/Positional Traders: Use these levels for larger swing moves; wait for clear breakouts confirmed by 1 Hour candle closes for timing entries and exits, on pull back, make positions. Adapt position sizes and risk management to account for wider weekly swings compared to daily trades. Approach the week with a clear plan—these levels serve as checkpoints for positional trading rather than intraday scalps. Stay patient and disciplined for potential bigger moves this week. MCX:CRUDEOIL1!
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!
by ChartPathik
Light Crude Oil Futures (CL) – Trade Setup & Key Levels 🛢️ Light Crude Oil Futures (CL) – Trade Setup & Key Levels 📊 Analyzing Light Crude Oil Futures based on recent market structure and risk management parameters. 📌 **Entry Price:** $61.15 🔑 Key Levels to Watch: 🔹 **Exit Target:** +6.1% above entry → around $64.88 🔹 **Stop Loss:** -4.6% below entry → around $58.34 🔹 **Support Zone:** -7.3% below entry → around $56.66 🔹 **Resistance Zone:** +10.9% above entry → around $67.84 Crude Oil is consolidating in a medium-range channel. With the current entry, the risk-to-reward ratio favors a potential upside, while defined levels help manage downside risks. **Bullish View:** Price can aim for $64.88 first, and potentially retest the $67.80 resistance zone. **Bearish View:** If $58.34 fails to hold, we may see extended downside toward $56.66 support. ⚠️ **Note:** If price breaks below $58.34, expect further decline toward support. ⚠️ 🔔 **Be sure to follow updated ideas for Crude Oil Futures!** 🔔 ⏰ **Analysis Timeframe:** Daily & 4H perspective. ⚖️ **Always use a Stop Loss** for risk management! 🚨 💡 **This is just my market idea — follow your own strategy.** ✅ **Hit the 'Like' button** ✅ 🙏😊 & Share with fellow traders if you find it useful!
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by MarxBabu
Crude Oil Short After Finding A Recurring BehaviorAfter I cleared the CL chart, I immediately saw a behavior that we can use for a setup right now. You see that the highs got cracked, and then immediately price turns to the south. And since we are in a downtrend on Crude, we have a legit Short-Trade at hand. With the modified Shiff-Fork you see how nice CL is reacting at the U-MLH, where it get's rejected. This level also coincides with the crack level. I personally would love a pullback up to the crack-zone before shorting it. Maybe the trading Gods give us a gift on this Wednesday. Talking about Wednesday: today we get the Crude Oil EIA numbers, which will probably move the markets. However you plan is if you trade it, don't have FOMO. There are many more trades to come in your trading career. Have a happy hump day §8-)
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by Tr8dingN3rd
return to solid sellers inspires immediate =SELL market order **1→3 Movement:** We've carved out a spicy lower low that absolutely demolished the buyers from that 2→3 upswing 💀. This makes the sellers from numero uno the absolute CHAD entity in this local structure 💪 **4→5 Action:** Sellers came back virtually unchecked (like they owned the place 😎) until they hit that overlapping resistance zone where both highs 1 and 3 are chilling together like old friends 🤝 ### What's the Vibe? 🔮 * **Continuation Theory:** We're probably heading down faster than my portfolio in 2022 📉. Those previous upswings (2→3 and that tiny pump before high 1) were equally one-sided and still got absolutely rekt. No reason to think this time hits different 🎯 * **Elliott Wave Gang:** This could be that legendary 5th wave finale 🌊, setting us up for a classic 3-wave correction. (Counting that pre-number-1 uptrend as wave 1 because we're sophisticated like that 🧐) * **Dow Theory Confirmation:** We're surfing a downtrend with a potential kiss goodbye at resistance 💋. Higher timeframes are aligned like planets in retrograde ✨ * **Divergence Party:** Hidden bearish divergence across RSI, MFI, and A/D indicators 📊 - the triple threat confirmation we love to see 🎪 ### Chaos Theory Stats (Because We're Built Different) 🌪️ * **64% Probability:** If price closes below a zone, there's a 64% chance it'll hit the next zone down. That's better than a coinflip, and we'll take those odds all day 🎲 * **Breakeven Placement:** Strategically positioned because if price returns to the zone above after hitting BE, we've got a 75% chance of revisiting entry (and nobody likes giving back profits) 💸 * **Zone Selection:** Next orange zone below is the target because we're methodical like that 🎯 * **Data Backing:** These stats are from the last 2,500 bars - not some random hopium, actual backtested edge 📈 **Trade Invalid:** If price closes above that orange zone lurking below this text ⚠️ --- *Not financial advice, just one trader's vibe check on the markets* 🚀💀
NYMEX:MCL1!Short
by jacesabr_real
CL1! — Bearish: back inside the descending channel, watching theThesis (1h): Price had been sliding within a broad descending channel (grey). The counter-trend recovery shaped a rising channel (orange). Yesterday’s attempt to resume the advance from the lower orange boundary failed and turned into a bull trap; sellers pushed price back inside the grey channel. Bears confirmed control at the red line (resistance/retest). Map: Clear supply pressure after the failed bounce. While price stays below the red line, the base case is a drift toward the channel median (the “magnet”). A momentum extension could target the lower band later; not the main case yet. Invalidation: Sustained acceptance back above the red line and into the orange channel would neutralize the bearish read. Educational only. Not financial advice.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by supplyanddemandtrading
Lower Highs Signal Weakness: Crude Oil Bears Eye $61 Support The recent attempt to rally stalled around $65–66, failing to break above the mid-Bollinger band resistance. Multiple long upper wicks show selling pressure on rallies. Price is moving closer to the lower band after failing to hold above the middle band. The market shows weak upside momentum and dominant selling pressure. As long as price stays below $65.50, bears maintain control. If $61.00 support breaks, downside targets are $59.00, then $57.00.
NYMEX:CLV2025Short
by Sahrin