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GOLDGUINEA1! trade ideas

Macro Data can keep Gold Pushing! Key Levels: Daily High (DH): 3899.5 Monthly High (MH): 3899.5 Daily Low (DL): 3820.4 Weekly High (WH): 3824.6 Weekly Low (WL): 3717.7 📊 Technical Outlook Price is currently trading near 3890, holding strong after yesterday’s impulsive bullish move. If we see a clean break back above yesterday’s high, continuation toward DH / MH 3899.5 looks highly probable. The recent structure continues to support bullish pressure with higher highs and shallow retracements. 🌍 Macro Watch All eyes are on the U.S. Government shutdown threat tonight at midnight. If Congress fails to reach an agreement, volatility in safe-haven assets like gold could spike. A shutdown scenario would likely support continued bullish pressure on gold as risk sentiment shifts. 🎯 Trade Idea Watching for a reclaim and hold above yesterday’s high → confirmation for bullish continuation. Short-term target: 3899.5 (DH / MH) liquidity. Failure to hold above could open a retrace back toward 3820–3824 support zone (DL / WH). ✅ Summary Bias remains bullish as long as price holds near/above yesterday’s high. Macro uncertainty (government shutdown) could act as a catalyst, so staying nimble and risk-aware is key. ⚡️What do you think — does gold have enough momentum to clear 3899.5, or will macro risk force a deeper retrace first?
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
13
Has Gold Reached Its Fullest Potential?Has gold reached its fullest potential? It depends on the US dollar. As we can see when dollar declines, gold went up. i) From 2001 to 2011, when dollar was down, gold went up. ii) From 2017 to 2020, when dollar was down, gold went up. iii) And from 2022 to current, when dollar is down, gold is up. With de-dollarization, this also means gold may have more upside potential. Mirco Gold Futures and Options Ticker: MGC Minimum fluctuation: 0.10 per troy ounce = $1.00 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
COMEX:GC1!Long
by konhow
1
Gold Futures (MGC) – Pushing Into New HighsPrice continues to climb into all-new highs with very little pullback, showing clear bullish momentum. However, structure is getting thin, and momentum could begin to exhaust soon. 🔹 Current Bias: Bullish — until 4H structure breaks. 🔹 Key Levels: ‣ W-H: 3928 ‣ D-H: 3916 ‣ D-L: 3861 ‣ Daily FVG: 3820–3720 💡 Notes: Price has yet to rebalance the large Daily FVG below. If we sweep external liquidity above 3928–3935 and fail to close strong, that could set up a pullback or even a deeper correction into the Daily FVG zone. Volume profile shows thin structure between 3860–3820 — if momentum fades, that area could act as a magnet for price. For now, the bullish pressure remains intact — but I’m watching closely for exhaustion signs or a liquidity grab setup at the highs. #GoldFutures #MGC #FuturesTrading #ICT #PriceAction #SmartMoney #DayTrading #NOFOMO
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
Long trade 30min TF overview Trade 4 – Active Trade Idea Direction: Buyside trade Date: Fri 3rd Oct 2025, 9.00 am Entry: 3900.8 Profit Level (TP): 3967.3 (+1.70%) Stop Level (SL): 3837.0 (−1.33%) RR: 5.16 Narrative: Setup aligns with sweep/trigger/entry model. Market respected the prior demand zone and left a clean FVG + liquidity pool below. EMA/WMA structure is turning bullish. Fibonacci extension targets 1.618 – 2.618 zones (3921–3967). 5min TF overview Summary Gold continues to display a buy-side bias following accumulation and successful retests of the demand zone. Multiple trades have been logged, and the current narrative favours further upside towards the 3960–3970 range, provided the 3837 support level holds. In addition, the potential U.S. government shutdown may prompt investors to seek safer havens such as Gold, which could further support this continuation trajectory.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by davidjulien369
Gold Futures (MGC) – No Pullback, Just Pure StrengthPrice never offered a clean pullback yesterday — just an aggressive continuation straight through prior structure. That type of behavior usually signals either institutional repricing or momentum fueled by broader uncertainty (like the ongoing U.S. government shutdown risk). 🔹 Bias: Bullish until a clear break of intraday structure 🔹 Current Levels: ‣ W-H: 3922.8 ‣ M-H: 3899.5 ‣ D-L: 3909.0 💡 Notes: Price is extremely extended, but until we see evidence of rejection or a 1H BOS (break of structure), the path of least resistance remains up. I’m watching closely for a controlled pullback into demand — ideally near 3920–3900 — to join the next wave higher. Still keeping an eye on news risk tonight; if the shutdown proceeds, volatility could spike and disrupt the structure. #GoldFutures #MGC #FuturesTrading #SmartMoney #DayTrading #PriceAction #NOFOMO
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
Gold Cant stop...Wont Stop....Price continues pressing into new highs with no meaningful pullback, showing strong safe-haven momentum amid rising geopolitical tension. Watching for signs of exhaustion near current highs — ideally a liquidity sweep above the Daily High (DH) before any structural shift confirms. No rush to fade strength. Waiting for: A clean displacement break below intraday structure. Retest of an unmitigated FVG or imbalance for potential short. Until then, bullish continuation remains in control. Bias: Neutral → Bullish (waiting for confirmation) Setup on Watch: Liquidity Sweep + SSB (Shift in Structure Break)
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
How To Spot Stagflation?One way is by looking at the copper-to-gold ratio and the crude oil-to-gold ratio. • Gold reflects real money and investor confidence. • Copper tracks recession. • Crude oil represents inflation pressures. When real money is under threat, the economy slows, and inflation rises at the same time, we have stagflation. This is the worst-case scenario for any economy. Fortunately, we are not experiencing it yet, though the risk remains. What could trigger it? Copper Gold Ratio - A downward trend signals slower growth and potential recession. This does not mean copper prices are falling; rather, if both copper and gold are rising but copper is climbing at a slower rate than gold, the ratio will continue to trend lower. Crude Gold Ratio - As of now, the trend is still down, indicating that inflation remains under control. However, if crude oil starts moving higher, and its percentage change exceeds that of gold, the ratio will turn upward. Currently, inflation already seems to be pointing upward, and if the copper-gold ratio also rises, inflation is likely to trend higher than its current level. Video version: Therefore, stagflation = slow growth (copper-gold ratio) + high inflation (crude-gold ratio). Keep a close watch on the direction of copper and crude oil. Copper Oil Futures & Options Ticker: HG Minimum fluctuation: 0.0005 per pound = $12.50 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
COMEX:GC1!Long
by konhow
4
Gold Options Check-In: Are the Big Players Cashing Out?A quick look at the latest CME options data for Gold shows some interesting signals. It looks like the bulls might be getting tired. The Big Signal: We're seeing big trading volume, but the number of actual open positions (Open Interest) has barely changed. Calls: 27,274 contracts traded, but only +2,933 new positions were opened. What this means: This isn't new money flooding in. It's big players shuffling their decks and taking chips off the table. What's happening with Calls? 🔼 Traders are closing out their winning bets on strikes like $3850, $3800, and 4000 The Takeaway 🎯 The market sentiment is shifting from bullish to neutral & defensive. Big players are: Cashing out their profits on call options. This kind of activity is a sign that an uptrend could be running out of steam. However, another leg up for gold is still possible. The argument for this scenario is the presence of a futures hedge within many of PUT spread portfolios. The logic works like this: if the asset's price continues to rise, profits are taken on the futures leg, and the position is closed. This profit can then make the put spread a breakeven trade, essentially providing downside protection for free, even if the price keeps rallying. As for me, main bias: short at upper ER (if you're unfamiliar with the ER concept, check out my profile for a detailed post on Expected Range).) Entry on touch. Risk kept small.
COMEX:GCZ2025Short
by ClashChartsTeam
Gold Futures Bullish Setup – Entry at Demand Zone1. Channel Formation The price is moving inside a rising parallel channel (blue lines). Recently, the price broke below the midline (dashed blue) of the channel, indicating short-term weakness. 2. Trade Setup: Long (Buy) Position The chart indicates a bullish outlook, expecting a price reversal from the demand zone. 🔹 Entry Zone Entry Price: ₹116,251 – ₹116,277 This is marked with a grey zone, which aligns with a support area and previous consolidation. 🔻 Stop Loss (SL) Stop Loss Price: ₹115,705 – ₹115,729 Placed just below the lower boundary of the support zone to protect against a false breakout. 🎯 Target (TP) Target Price: ₹119,331 – ₹119,338 (LABA target point) This lies above recent highs and near the upper boundary of the channel, suggesting continuation of the bullish trend. 3. Risk-Reward Ratio The blue shaded box indicates a reward zone. The trade has a favorable Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) > 2:1, which is considered a strong setup. 🧠 Interpretation & Strategy The red curved arrow indicates expected price action: a short-term pullback into the demand zone, followed by a bullish bounce toward the target. The structure suggests a buy-the-dip opportunity within an ongoing uptrend. ⚠️ Key Takeaways Component Value (INR) Entry Zone 116,251 – 116,277 Stop Loss 115,705 – 115,729 Target 119,331 – 119,338 Trend Bullish inside channel Risk/Reward Favorable (>2:1) ✅ Conclusion This setup represents a bullish continuation pattern. If price revisits the highlighted demand/support zone, and forms bullish reversal candles (e.g., hammer, bullish engulfing), it could offer a high-probability long entry toward the upper end of the channel near ₹119,338.
MCX:GOLD1!Long
by LABA_GOLD_TRADING
Gold Update 29SEP2025: Top Is Soon, Then PullbackGold Futures are following the projected path closely The first target at $3,900 is now just "miles" away This level could mark the top of wave (3) of ((5)) After that, we might see a pullback to around $3,660 in wave (4) of ((5)), which typically revisits the low of the smaller wave 4 On the 4-hour chart, RSI shows bearish divergence, as it fails to confirm the new high at $3,859 with a lower peak Despite this signal, the market could still reach the $3,900 level Once wave (4) of ((5)) completes, we can reassess and project wave (5) of ((5)) — which might form as a triangle or another complex correction.
COMEX:GC1!
by aibek
Gold - A shifted move in play and up to 4K🔱 Here’s a shifted move in play 🔱 What exactly is a shifted move? You see the parallel lines next to the white fork? Those are the shifted lines. Now, if you observe how price behaved at the white fork, you’ll notice it was a bit sloppy at the L-MLH, and again at the Centerline after reaching it. But when we add the dotted parallel lines to the chart and measure the distance from the overshoot at the L-MLH, we find a beautiful support at the Shifted Centerline. The usual target would be the U-MLH. So, could the target also be shifted? And what does that tell us? Well, if you’re long on Gold, you might want to take some profit at the Shifted U-MLH and let the rest ride up toward 4K—if there’s enough gas in the goose. For me, a re-entry long would be a pullback to the Centerline—either the original or the shifted one—with a small stop just below some structure. Let me know what you think ho far Gold will go in the comments. 😊 Thanks for boosting, thanks for following 🙏
COMEX:GC1!Long
by HowToChart
4
Gold Approaching the $4,000 Target: A Campaign Five Years in theGold continues to advance toward a key target level that was first identified in 2019. The metal is now just seven points away from $4,000, marking significant progress in a multi-year campaign. In 2019, a position was opened in GLD (the gold ETF) based on Point and Figure (PNF) chart counts that revealed two major price targets. The first target was above $2,000, which gold reached before entering a very prolonged trading range. The second projection pointed to levels above $4,000—the target now within reach. That original GLD position remains open, as the price action continues to align with the projections from the Point and Figure analysis. Gold currently sits just seven points from the $4,000 mark. The expectation for gold to move above $4,000 has been in place for quite some time, and the market is now positioned at this critical juncture. There are specific levels that need to be overcome for gold to successfully breach the $4,000 threshold. The current market structure includes what appears to be a last speculative move up. The most recent triangular reaction in gold's price structure is notable for being the largest one in the current campaign. This larger consolidation pattern indicates that supply is now influencing price more significantly, particularly after an opposing force has entered the market. When an opposing force comes into the market in this manner, the swing structure pattern suggests a specific sequence: a reaction followed by a climactic run. The question now is whether this pattern could carry gold above the $4,000 target. So far, gold remains on the trajectory toward exceeding $4,000. The combination of the Point and Figure count projections from 2019 and the current swing structure dynamics support the view that gold is positioned for this move. The coming price action at and around the $4,000 level will determine whether this campaign, which began over five years ago, can achieve its second major target.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by Wyckoff_Analytics
Gold’s Epic Breakout | Parabolic Curve with Flag & Pennant SetupWhat a run for Gold (GC1!) — a powerful move years in the making. After a long, flat base from Sept 2020 to March 2024, gold finally broke out and has been trending with incredible momentum ever since. If you missed the initial breakout, there were multiple clean reentry setups along the way — offering low-risk, high-reward opportunities. Each pullback to the 10- or 20-week line formed classic bull flags and pennants, providing continuation entries within a larger parabolic curve structure. The overall pattern shows acceleration — each base gets shorter, steeper, and accompanied by expanding volume, the hallmark of a strong parabolic trend. So while the macro trend is parabolic, the buy points were tactical — small, high-probability continuation setups that allowed traders to compound gains without chasing.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by Momentum_Trading_Strategy