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GOLDPETALH2026 trade ideas

Macro Data can keep Gold Pushing! Key Levels: Daily High (DH): 3899.5 Monthly High (MH): 3899.5 Daily Low (DL): 3820.4 Weekly High (WH): 3824.6 Weekly Low (WL): 3717.7 📊 Technical Outlook Price is currently trading near 3890, holding strong after yesterday’s impulsive bullish move. If we see a clean break back above yesterday’s high, continuation toward DH / MH 3899.5 looks highly probable. The recent structure continues to support bullish pressure with higher highs and shallow retracements. 🌍 Macro Watch All eyes are on the U.S. Government shutdown threat tonight at midnight. If Congress fails to reach an agreement, volatility in safe-haven assets like gold could spike. A shutdown scenario would likely support continued bullish pressure on gold as risk sentiment shifts. 🎯 Trade Idea Watching for a reclaim and hold above yesterday’s high → confirmation for bullish continuation. Short-term target: 3899.5 (DH / MH) liquidity. Failure to hold above could open a retrace back toward 3820–3824 support zone (DL / WH). ✅ Summary Bias remains bullish as long as price holds near/above yesterday’s high. Macro uncertainty (government shutdown) could act as a catalyst, so staying nimble and risk-aware is key. ⚡️What do you think — does gold have enough momentum to clear 3899.5, or will macro risk force a deeper retrace first?
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
12
Gold Futures (MGCZ5) – H4 Gap in PlayPrice pushed aggressively bullish all day yesterday with little to no pullbacks. That momentum left behind a fresh H4 Fair Value Gap (FVG) sitting just above the Weekly High (WH) level. If we see a pullback into this area, it could offer a solid setup for continuation higher. ⚠️ Key considerations: If buyers stay strong, price may run liquidity above 3863.7 (D-H) before any meaningful retracement. If sentiment shifts, a deeper draw into the Daily FVG below 3764 remains on the table. With global uncertainty (military meetings, de-dollarization, possible U.S. shutdown), volatility risk is elevated. 🎯 Game Plan: Watch the H4 FVG near WH for rejection / entry signals. Bias remains bullish while above 3785 (D-L). Break below D-L opens the door toward the Daily FVG.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
6
Gold Update 29SEP2025: Top Is Soon, Then PullbackGold Futures are following the projected path closely The first target at $3,900 is now just "miles" away This level could mark the top of wave (3) of ((5)) After that, we might see a pullback to around $3,660 in wave (4) of ((5)), which typically revisits the low of the smaller wave 4 On the 4-hour chart, RSI shows bearish divergence, as it fails to confirm the new high at $3,859 with a lower peak Despite this signal, the market could still reach the $3,900 level Once wave (4) of ((5)) completes, we can reassess and project wave (5) of ((5)) — which might form as a triangle or another complex correction.
COMEX:GC1!
by aibek
How To Spot Stagflation?One way is by looking at the copper-to-gold ratio and the crude oil-to-gold ratio. • Gold reflects real money and investor confidence. • Copper tracks recession. • Crude oil represents inflation pressures. When real money is under threat, the economy slows, and inflation rises at the same time, we have stagflation. This is the worst-case scenario for any economy. Fortunately, we are not experiencing it yet, though the risk remains. What could trigger it? Copper Gold Ratio - A downward trend signals slower growth and potential recession. This does not mean copper prices are falling; rather, if both copper and gold are rising but copper is climbing at a slower rate than gold, the ratio will continue to trend lower. Crude Gold Ratio - As of now, the trend is still down, indicating that inflation remains under control. However, if crude oil starts moving higher, and its percentage change exceeds that of gold, the ratio will turn upward. Currently, inflation already seems to be pointing upward, and if the copper-gold ratio also rises, inflation is likely to trend higher than its current level. Video version: Therefore, stagflation = slow growth (copper-gold ratio) + high inflation (crude-gold ratio). Keep a close watch on the direction of copper and crude oil. Copper Oil Futures & Options Ticker: HG Minimum fluctuation: 0.0005 per pound = $12.50 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
COMEX:GC1!Long
by konhow
4
Gold Futures Weekly Outlook (MGCZ5)📍 Key Levels on Watch Friday’s High (D-H): 3814.5 Friday’s Low (D-L): 3764.2 → New support Weekly High (WFH): 3824.6 Weekly Low (W-L): 3717.7 Daily FVG Below: 3746.3–3735.2 🧭 Technical Outlook Price is currently sitting right at the 50% midpoint of Friday’s move. Friday’s Low (3764.2) is the key inflection point: If defended → bullish continuation toward 3814.5 and possibly 3824.6. If broken → expect a quick flush into the Daily FVG (3746–3735) before buyers step back in. Volume profile shows a low-volume pocket below 3770, which could accelerate moves down into that Daily FVG if support fails. 🌍 Macro Context De-Dollarization trends continue to support Gold in the longer term. Geopolitical tensions (military leadership meetings this Tuesday + ongoing global conflicts) = potential safe haven demand. US Political Risk: Government shutdown threats and loss of traction for the Trump administration add uncertainty → historically supportive for Gold. Safe Haven Flows: When global stability is questioned, Gold is a direct beneficiary. 🎯 Scenarios to Watch Bullish Case: Friday’s low holds → retest of 3814.5 and possibly new weekly highs above 3824.6. Bearish Case: Break of 3764.2 → fast move into Daily FVG (3746–3735). Watch for liquidity sweep & reversal setup inside that FVG. 📌 My Plan Bias leans bullish this week given the macro backdrop. BUT — I’ll wait for price to show its hand around Friday’s low before committing to either continuation or discount entries. Staying flexible: both scenarios mapped, execution will be clean.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
Gold - A shifted move in play and up to 4K🔱 Here’s a shifted move in play 🔱 What exactly is a shifted move? You see the parallel lines next to the white fork? Those are the shifted lines. Now, if you observe how price behaved at the white fork, you’ll notice it was a bit sloppy at the L-MLH, and again at the Centerline after reaching it. But when we add the dotted parallel lines to the chart and measure the distance from the overshoot at the L-MLH, we find a beautiful support at the Shifted Centerline. The usual target would be the U-MLH. So, could the target also be shifted? And what does that tell us? Well, if you’re long on Gold, you might want to take some profit at the Shifted U-MLH and let the rest ride up toward 4K—if there’s enough gas in the goose. For me, a re-entry long would be a pullback to the Centerline—either the original or the shifted one—with a small stop just below some structure. Let me know what you think ho far Gold will go in the comments. 😊 Thanks for boosting, thanks for following 🙏
COMEX:GC1!Long
by HowToChart
4
Tracking Stagflation with this Ratio - Crude, Copper, Gold RatioHow to Spot Stagflation? One way is by looking at the copper-to-gold ratio and the crude oil-to-gold ratio. • Gold reflects real money and investor confidence. • Copper tracks recession. • Crude oil represents inflation pressures. When real money is under threat, the economy slows, and inflation rises at the same time, we have stagflation. This is the worst-case scenario for any economy. Fortunately, we are not experiencing it yet, though the risk remains. What could trigger it? Copper Oil Futures & Options Ticker: HG Minimum fluctuation: 0.0005 per pound = $12.50 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
COMEX:GC1!Long
by konhow
2
GC 9/2615min TimeFrame. I didn't post yesterday but I updated the levels as if I did and made them dotted as "tested" dashed lines = "untested" dotted 2x = origin levels where trends originate / bridge&Flip scenarios. Yesterday we saw how pandora's box operates by laddering into a wedge. We'll watch as it breaks tomorrow. at a quick glance it looks like a 15min timeframe is where $ is at. I didn't follow the breadcrumbs into the 5min timeframe but sure there are levels down there influencing price and break out scenario better than the 15min timeframe but we'll still see it breakout.
COMEX:GC1!
by StudyGuideTA
Gold Futures Bullish Setup – Entry at Demand Zone1. Channel Formation The price is moving inside a rising parallel channel (blue lines). Recently, the price broke below the midline (dashed blue) of the channel, indicating short-term weakness. 2. Trade Setup: Long (Buy) Position The chart indicates a bullish outlook, expecting a price reversal from the demand zone. 🔹 Entry Zone Entry Price: ₹116,251 – ₹116,277 This is marked with a grey zone, which aligns with a support area and previous consolidation. 🔻 Stop Loss (SL) Stop Loss Price: ₹115,705 – ₹115,729 Placed just below the lower boundary of the support zone to protect against a false breakout. 🎯 Target (TP) Target Price: ₹119,331 – ₹119,338 (LABA target point) This lies above recent highs and near the upper boundary of the channel, suggesting continuation of the bullish trend. 3. Risk-Reward Ratio The blue shaded box indicates a reward zone. The trade has a favorable Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) > 2:1, which is considered a strong setup. 🧠 Interpretation & Strategy The red curved arrow indicates expected price action: a short-term pullback into the demand zone, followed by a bullish bounce toward the target. The structure suggests a buy-the-dip opportunity within an ongoing uptrend. ⚠️ Key Takeaways Component Value (INR) Entry Zone 116,251 – 116,277 Stop Loss 115,705 – 115,729 Target 119,331 – 119,338 Trend Bullish inside channel Risk/Reward Favorable (>2:1) ✅ Conclusion This setup represents a bullish continuation pattern. If price revisits the highlighted demand/support zone, and forms bullish reversal candles (e.g., hammer, bullish engulfing), it could offer a high-probability long entry toward the upper end of the channel near ₹119,338.
MCX:GOLD1!Long
by LABA_GOLD_TRADING
Gold Options Check-In: Are the Big Players Cashing Out?A quick look at the latest CME options data for Gold shows some interesting signals. It looks like the bulls might be getting tired. The Big Signal: We're seeing big trading volume, but the number of actual open positions (Open Interest) has barely changed. Calls: 27,274 contracts traded, but only +2,933 new positions were opened. What this means: This isn't new money flooding in. It's big players shuffling their decks and taking chips off the table. What's happening with Calls? 🔼 Traders are closing out their winning bets on strikes like $3850, $3800, and 4000 The Takeaway 🎯 The market sentiment is shifting from bullish to neutral & defensive. Big players are: Cashing out their profits on call options. This kind of activity is a sign that an uptrend could be running out of steam. However, another leg up for gold is still possible. The argument for this scenario is the presence of a futures hedge within many of PUT spread portfolios. The logic works like this: if the asset's price continues to rise, profits are taken on the futures leg, and the position is closed. This profit can then make the put spread a breakeven trade, essentially providing downside protection for free, even if the price keeps rallying. As for me, main bias: short at upper ER (if you're unfamiliar with the ER concept, check out my profile for a detailed post on Expected Range).) Entry on touch. Risk kept small.
COMEX:GCZ2025Short
by ClashChartsTeam
Long trade Trade Journal Entry Pair: MGC1! (Micro Gold Futures) Trade Type: Buy-side trade Date: Sun 29th June 2025 Session: 6.00 PM TF: 1H Trade Details: Entry: 3,904.5 Profit Level: 4,134.5 (+18.47%) Stop Level: 3,793.0 (–1.18%) RR: 127.17 Wyckoff Narrative & Structure: Phase A (Preliminary Support / Selling Climax): Market sold off into spring lows, where high volume absorption signalled potential accumulation. Phase B (Building the Cause): An extended consolidation range is formed, marked by tests of support and resistance. Smart money accumulated positions while shaking out weak hands. Phase C (Spring & Test): Price wicked below support to collect liquidity (spring event) before reclaiming the range. The test confirmed demand returning. Phase D (Markup Initiation): Breakout above resistance with strong volume, creating a Sign of Strength (SOS) and retest zones acting as Last Points of Support (LPS). Phase E (Trend Continuation): The current price action indicates a bullish continuation, in line with the long-term markup phase, which targets higher extensions (Fib 1.618 and above). Feeling really good about this trade tbh.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by davidjulien369
3
GC Futures 15m: 6.6:1 trade executed using Sigma Trading SystemStep 1: wait for a sweep of daily liquidity Note: the sweep must be confirmed for any of the other confluences to be valid Step 2: wait for a bullish marker to be drawn by the Reversal Print indicator Tip: set an alert if you don’t want to spend all day staring at the chart Step 3: look for a divergence with either the PowerDelta Oscillator or, in this case, the Manipulation Ribbon Info: the Manipulation Ribbon detects areas of price manipulation by Market Makers vs areas where it is trading in a natural, price-driven state Step 4: the entry is a tap of the most recent confirmed FVG FYI: all the drawings on the main chart are created by the Sigma 5-in-1 indicator SL: low of first candle that forms the entry FVG Tip: for a more conservative approach the recent swing low could also be used TP: bearish divergence with the PowerDelta Oscillator Note: gold was at an all-time high so anything beyond the Previous Day High (PDH) posed a risk however for a more conservative approach you could exit half your position at the PDH
COMEX:GC1!
by FxScripts
Bottom Buying in GoldIn my recent analysis of Gold Futures, I spotted a classic bottom-buying opportunity on the hourly chart. Gold was consolidating and testing support around the 50 EMA. Despite a flagpole pattern failure, I trusted the support level and managed my risk carefully. With a tight stop loss, I entered the trade right near the bottom retracement zone. The result was impressive. Within just 2–3 hours, the trade delivered a strong profit, validating my setup and conviction. At present, I am trailing my position with proper stop losses, ensuring that I capture as much of the ongoing trend as possible while protecting my gains. I’ll continue to maintain the trail as long as momentum stays active. This setup reaffirms the value of sticking to disciplined technical analysis and executing with conviction, even when patterns appear to fail.
MCX:GOLDM1!Long
by PrakashJanawade