Targest hit. Wait for confirmation on breakout points.Both TP = 30.14 and 29.44 hit as the previous bearish Channel aggressively broke earlier and met the targets much earlier than I expected. Soybean Oil has now entered a new Channel Down on 1D, which is coming off a Lower High (hence Highs/Lows = 0, RSI = 51.334). We now need to wait for confirmation from the two break-out points (illustrated by the circles). If the upper point breaks then we will go long (TP = 28.99 and 29.44). If the lower point breaks then we will go short (TP = 26.51).
Trade ideas
SOYBEAN OIL FUTURES, 1D, CBOTTrading Signal
Short Position (EP) : 28.72
Stop Loss (SL) : 28.98
Take Profit (TP) : 27.92, 27.43
Description
ZL formed Double Repo Sell at 1d time frame. Trade setup with Sell Limit at 0.382 Level (28.72) and place stop after 0.618 level (28.98). Once the position was hit, place take profit before an agreement (27.92) and 27.43
Money Management
Money in portfolio : $150000
Risk Management (1%) : $1500
Position Sizing
$0.01 = +-$ 6.00 (Standard)
Commission fee = -$2.82/contract (Standard)
EP to SL = $0.26 = -$156/contract (STD)
Contract size to open = 9 standard contracts
EP to TP#1 = $0.8 = +$480 (STD)
EP to TP#2 = $1.29 = +$774 (STD)
Expected Result
Commission Fee = -$50.76
Loss = -$1404
Gain#1 = +$2400
Gain#2 = +$3096
Total Gain = +$5496
Risk/Reward Ratio = 3.78
Soybean Oil (ZL): Monthly EW CountIt is already 10 years since commodities super cycle took commodity markets to the all time high and soybean oil (ZL) market has been in the corrective period ever since. In a monthly chart, we could see that the correction of larger degree takes in the form of flat correction (3-3-5). As far as supply and demand (SnD) is concerned, there are 2 demand zones of interests
1. demand zone #1 (23.46 - 25.34)
2. demand zone #2 (18.83 - 20.84)
Technically, wave (3) of V of C is currently developing and could extend its tail to 24.00 level or below. With the trade war between the USA and China is on the brink of being fully developed, the market dipping to the 19.00 level is not really a far fetched projection.
SOYBEAN OIL 60M long60M chart - it's making bigger corrective wave. seems that ABC pattern there. expect to move soon and go for long. i guess it will find the resistance trendline and breakout. once breakout, i am waiting for the corrective wave for the downside move and find the 4H support trendline.






















