Since the CL is circling between 55 and 42 in the last months, I create a new strangle position with 66 day runtime until mid October, selling lower side at 38.5 for a 200 $ premium and higher side 57 for 170 $. Volatility has risen in the last days, which is my main indicator for taking a position.
TROW is another company that pays currently 3,2% dividend per share, increasing their dividends yearly for 15% in the last 20 years.
fair value: 75$ currently trading at 71$
1% long term debt (!), 15% increas of dividend in the last 20 years
If you look at the dividend payout ratio, you see that TGT is trading at 4,4% meaning that you get 4,4% yearly for your shares.
Company class A rating, 46% debt/ratio, stock's fair value is 63$ currently trading at 55$
Analyse stocks by looking at 3 MONTH time frame looking at Dividend Payouts and Dividend/Price Ratio.
For example: A stock that raises its dividends for many years now yearly by more than 10% and has currently a 4,2% dividend/price ratio (meaning you get 4,2% dividends per every USD you pay) is a good buy, since it is very cheap historically and will probably...
If you look at the VIX, the SKEW and the yearly high & lows of the S&P 500, you get a pretty good idea of the strength of the trend or the drawdowns. The lowest indicator is a sum up of all four values and gets RED as soon as 3 of those indicators are in a downtrend.
According to the seasonal pattern (summer rally), Corn Future is on its move to higher ground also raising volatility along its move upward. This trend is supported by the commercials' net long position, which comes from the closing out of the short positions. OI is rather low, meaning that public is not the driving source behind the price movement.
since the shakeout was based on a shorthanded political event, we can speculate on a return to the mean of the VXX down curve
due to the medium volatility in VIX, we can move the short Call to 20 (approx. Delta 15)
if VXX should rise, we would buy back the option and sell it again at 25 or 30 to collect the lost premium
The charts shows that AdvanceDecline Line and VIX are showing the tops and bottoms of S&P price movement. You'll also notice, that ADL is changing direction a few days before the S&P 500 follows. VIX shows how "deep" the correction will be and when it ends.
When trading future options, you dont have built in implied volatility. You need to calculate the IV by calculating (volaCloseToday - volaLowest-52weeks)/(volaHighest-52weeks - volaLowest-52weeks). If the IVR is above 40%, then you should think about checking options premium, since premium is currently higher as in former days. In order to see, whether the...
If you look at Goldminers Companies (such as AU, ABX, NEM etc.), and you overlay those companies over a Gold Future GC line, you can see that the trend changes are started by the goldminer companies before the gold price follows. In the chart above you see that Gold GC (thick blue line) is a few days behind the goldminers shares. Just overlay some of those...