Delta10

PRO
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About me Trading for a living.
Joined Germany
long or short, it doesn't matter
Markets Allocation
42 % commodities 23 % stocks 12 % indices 23 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
SPX 23% | 7 ZW1! 10% | 3 TGT 6% | 2 SI1! 6% | 2
Delta10 Delta10 PRO SI1!, D,
SI1!: SI - VSLV has risen, so Strangle at 14,75 and 21,25
70 0 3
SI1!, D
SI - VSLV has risen, so Strangle at 14,75 and 21,25

Sine VSLV has risen, I openend a strangle at 14,75 and 21,25 for a runtime of 70 days (October 2017). Both ends end up being delta 5 with premium of 230 $ each.

Delta10 Delta10 PRO SPX, D, Long ,
SPX: ES - selling Option at 2.110 for premium of 350 $
146 0 4
SPX, D Long
ES - selling Option at 2.110 for premium of 350 $

The rising VIX gave me the option to sell options for 350 $ each. Since all other indicators show that we have a short term correction, I sold the otion for a 60 day runtime.

Delta10 Delta10 PRO CL1!, D,
CL1!: CL -Strangle
164 0 2
CL1!, D
CL -Strangle

Since the CL is circling between 55 and 42 in the last months, I create a new strangle position with 66 day runtime until mid October, selling lower side at 38.5 for a 200 $ premium and higher side 57 for 170 $. Volatility has risen in the last days, which is my main indicator for taking a position.

Delta10 Delta10 PRO BPL, 3M, Long ,
BPL: BPL - dividend stock paying 8% yearly
24 0 1
BPL, 3M Long
BPL - dividend stock paying 8% yearly

one long term dividend payer stocks is BPL, which pays 8% yearly as dividend increasing dividends yearly for 6% for 20 years now 48% long term debt, fair value is 65$ trading at 63.50$ at the moment

Delta10 Delta10 PRO SPX, W, Long ,
SPX: S&P 500 trend is still valid
69 0 4
SPX, W Long
S&P 500 trend is still valid

Looking at S&P 500, SKEW, VIX, VVIX and Yearly Highs and Lows, everything looks like the S%P 500 trend is still valid.

Delta10 Delta10 PRO TROW, 3M, Long ,
TROW: TROW - dividend champion with 3,2% payout increasing 15% yearly
13 0 4
TROW, 3M Long
TROW - dividend champion with 3,2% payout increasing 15% yearly

TROW is another company that pays currently 3,2% dividend per share, increasing their dividends yearly for 15% in the last 20 years. fair value: 75$ currently trading at 71$ 1% long term debt (!), 15% increas of dividend in the last 20 years

Delta10 Delta10 PRO T, 3M, Long ,
T: AT&T (T) - dividend champion with 5,1% dividend payout
25 0 6
T, 3M Long
AT&T (T) - dividend champion with 5,1% dividend payout

Here is another dividend champion with a payout of 5,1% per share. Fair value: 43$ currently trading at 38$ Rating BBB+, 47% long term debt, yearly dividend increase of 4%

Delta10 Delta10 PRO TGT, 3M, Long ,
TGT: TGT - dividend champion for small money (4,4% dividend payout)
31 1 5
TGT, 3M Long
TGT - dividend champion for small money (4,4% dividend payout)

If you look at the dividend payout ratio, you see that TGT is trading at 4,4% meaning that you get 4,4% yearly for your shares. Company class A rating, 46% debt/ratio, stock's fair value is 63$ currently trading at 55$

Delta10 Delta10 PRO TGT, 3M, Long ,
TGT: Analyse stocks by looking at DIVIDEND GROWTH and DIVIDEND/PRICE
22 0 3
TGT, 3M Long
Analyse stocks by looking at DIVIDEND GROWTH and DIVIDEND/PRICE

Analyse stocks by looking at 3 MONTH time frame looking at Dividend Payouts and Dividend/Price Ratio. For example: A stock that raises its dividends for many years now yearly by more than 10% and has currently a 4,2% dividend/price ratio (meaning you get 4,2% dividends per every USD you pay) is a good buy, since it is very cheap historically and will probably ...

Delta10 Delta10 PRO SPX, D,
SPX: S&P 500 Drawdowns - VIX & SKEW & Yearly High and Low
70 0 6
SPX, D
S&P 500 Drawdowns - VIX & SKEW & Yearly High and Low

If you look at the VIX, the SKEW and the yearly high & lows of the S&P 500, you get a pretty good idea of the strength of the trend or the drawdowns. The lowest indicator is a sum up of all four values and gets RED as soon as 3 of those indicators are in a downtrend.

Delta10 Delta10 PRO ZC1!, W, Long ,
ZC1!: short PUT on Corn
118 1 6
ZC1!, W Long
short PUT on Corn

According to the seasonal pattern (summer rally), Corn Future is on its move to higher ground also raising volatility along its move upward. This trend is supported by the commercials' net long position, which comes from the closing out of the short positions. OI is rather low, meaning that public is not the driving source behind the price movement. Option Trade ...

Delta10 Delta10 PRO VXX, D, Short ,
VXX: short Call on VXX
166 1 7
VXX, D Short
short Call on VXX

since the shakeout was based on a shorthanded political event, we can speculate on a return to the mean of the VXX down curve due to the medium volatility in VIX, we can move the short Call to 20 (approx. Delta 15) if VXX should rise, we would buy back the option and sell it again at 25 or 30 to collect the lost premium

Delta10 Delta10 PRO ADDN, D,
ADDN: Advance Decline Line versus S&P 500 and VIX
1441 0 11
ADDN, D
Advance Decline Line versus S&P 500 and VIX

The charts shows that AdvanceDecline Line and VIX are showing the tops and bottoms of S&P price movement. You'll also notice, that ADL is changing direction a few days before the S&P 500 follows. VIX shows how "deep" the correction will be and when it ends.

Delta10 Delta10 PRO SPX, D, Education
SPX: S&P 500 DrawDowns indicated by VIX and SKEW
324 2 5
SPX, D Education
S&P 500 DrawDowns indicated by VIX and SKEW

If you look at SKEW and VIX and combine both indicators, you can clearly see draw downs coming.

Delta10 Delta10 PRO RVX, D, Education
RVX: Comparison of Volatility Indices (Daily)
64 0 4
RVX, D Education
Comparison of Volatility Indices (Daily)

This chart shows the most current values of Volatility Indices for the mostly used Future Underlyings: ES, B6, E6, ZL, ZN, ZC, ZW, Russell etc.

Delta10 Delta10 PRO E61!, D,
E61!: Implied Volatility Rank Indicator (IVR)
633 3 6
E61!, D
Implied Volatility Rank Indicator (IVR)

When trading future options, you dont have built in implied volatility. You need to calculate the IV by calculating (volaCloseToday - volaLowest-52weeks)/(volaHighest-52weeks - volaLowest-52weeks). If the IVR is above 40%, then you should think about checking options premium, since premium is currently higher as in former days. In order to see, whether the ...

Delta10 Delta10 PRO GC1!, D,
GC1!: Goldminers Shares anticipate Gold Price moves
86 2 4
GC1!, D
Goldminers Shares anticipate Gold Price moves

If you look at Goldminers Companies (such as AU, ABX, NEM etc.), and you overlay those companies over a Gold Future GC line, you can see that the trend changes are started by the goldminer companies before the gold price follows. In the chart above you see that Gold GC (thick blue line) is a few days behind the goldminers shares. Just overlay some of those ...

Delta10 Delta10 PRO E61!, W,
E61!: E61! - Short Strangle 09.06.2017
180 2 5
E61!, W
E61! - Short Strangle 09.06.2017

Since the EURO did not break out after the first election in Europe, and the Commercals being neither long nor short, I tend to sell a strangle expecting the EURO to move sideways.

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