SOLUSD trade ideas
Solana (SOL) – Chart AnalysisToday, I would like to share my current view of the Solana chart with you. I am currently tracking three possible scenarios:
Scenario 1 – Preferred: ABC correction to wave 2
In this scenario, I assume that Solana has not yet found its final bottom at around $95 on April 7, 2025.
In my opinion, wave A was only completed at that point.
We are currently moving correctively in wave B before a larger sell-off begins in wave 2.
For wave B, I expect targets in the range of $276–300.
If this range is clearly exceeded, a wave B extension to around $419 is also possible (regular chart).
Variant 2 – Long wave 4 (less preferred)
In this case, wave 4 would be completed on April 7, 2025, after an extended correction (ABC with overshooting wave B).
We would now already be in the final wave 5.
This would have potential up to the 0.618 level at around USD 516 or higher.
Important: I am looking at this variant in the logarithmic chart, as otherwise the levels do not fit neatly.
Nevertheless, this scenario is not my preferred assumption at present.
Variant 3 – very bullish scenario
Another possibility would be that wave 2 was already completed on April 7, 2025.
In this case, we would already be in a new uptrend with several 1/2 structures, which would make the chart look very bullish.
Confirmation would come if the $300 mark were to be sustainably exceeded – then this scenario could quickly become the primary one.
However, as the structure is not yet convincing, I remain cautious and continue to favor the ABC correction (scenario 1).
📌 Summary
My main scenario remains an ABC correction to wave 2 with a possible bottom between $50 and $30 (this is also where my long-term risk management lies).
Nevertheless, the various variants present exciting opportunities for traders, both in the short and medium term.
Solana therefore remains a coin that I continue to monitor very closely – especially in conjunction with the Bitcoin chart. This could also still be in a wave 4 correction before the final upward move takes place.
Solana -> a descending broadening wedgeHello guys!
A descending broadening wedge is forming, indicating a potential bullish reversal if price follows the typical pattern.
Pattern Analysis: Descending Broadening Wedge
The wedge is marked with two diverging trendlines, where the upper line is descending and the lower line slopes down but at a slower rate.
This pattern generally signals a reversal scenario, especially after a downtrend.
Price typically oscillates between the upper and lower trendlines before a breakout occurs.
Support and Resistance Levels
Immediate resistance: Near $205–207 (upper trendline of the wedge).
Support zone: Around $192–193, marked by the lower wedge line and a grey horizontal area, which historically acted as strong demand.
Price objective: Upon breakout, the target is around $212+, as indicated by the schematic at the top-left corner of the chart.
SOL Parabolic Run Despite the recent chop, when you zoom out to the 1D timeframe there is a clear pattern being followed since the April crash.
From the sub $100 low Solana has posted progressively higher lows in a parabolic fashion. The highs on the other hand are in more of a linear fashion as shown by the diagonal S/R level, at first it provided support and now since March it has been resistance.
So for me there are two possible actionable trades:
- Continuation of the parabolic move, this would include flipping the Diagonal S/R level, currently at time of writing this resistance level is being tested, a close above gives a better possibility of the rally continuing.
- The rally becomes exhausted and fails to flip the Diagonal S/R and loses the parabolic support level. Should this support break $185 is the first target (light green zone), $160 as the second target (dark green zone).
Important to remember we have CPI & FOMC rapidly approaching that could provide the volatility to trigger either of these moves, lets see what happens next.
05-09-2025 SOLUSDAs shown in the figure: 15m Bullish Bat
The market is not always chaotic and disorderly, and there is a precise geometric beauty hidden in price fluctuations. The harmonic form long strategy is a powerful tool for accurately identifying potential market reversal points based on the Fibonacci ratio. When the form forms perfectly at the key support level, it often indicates the depletion of bearish momentum and the initiation of bullish trends.
SOL 8H – Supply Zone Test at 215, Breakout or Retrace?Solana is once again pressing into the supply zone below 215 resistance. A breakout above this level could open the door toward higher continuation, while rejection here points back to the 0.5–0.618 retracement zone (186–179).
The demand zone near 170 remains the final strong support if deeper retracement occurs. With price hovering at a decision point, traders should watch closely for confirmation of either a breakout continuation or a retrace to reload.
You will ask yourself "how did he know Sol would do that"?On Aug 30th I suggested that Sol was approaching my ideal buy zone at T2. I anticipated a bounce to my take profit target soon after. That played out perfectly.
Question remains...will T2 remain support? What do you think? I'd love to hear your thoughts.
May the trends be with you.
SOL All Time High Incoming!Solana broke through the ascending resistance line that appeared to printing a wedge and continues its thrust above the High Volume Node (HVN) resistance, now support, $216. The next resistance target is the all time high (ATH) at $264 which should offer the usual strong ATH resistance!
Price appears to be in Elliot Wave 3 of (5). A breakout above ATH has a wave 3 target of the R5 daily pivot at $360. Wave 2 of 3 appears to have completed as a test of the daily 200EMA with a shallow retracement to the 0.382-0.5 Fibonacci
RSI is printing bearish divergence but this will be invalidated if price keeps pushing up but certainly something to keep an eye on for reversals.
Standard deviation Band Analysis
As per the last standard deviation bands (SD) update Solana is not overheated yet only testing the fair value regression line as support twice after being rejected from the SD+2 threshold 3 times. A 4th test has a high probability of breaking out! A move into the SD+2 zone completes the full wave from the SD-3 opportunity buy zone.
SD band charts available on my Substack as I can't share here! Link in Bio, its free!
SOLUSD – Key Confluence Levels to WatchHere are some levels on SOLUSD worth noting. The goal is to show how confluence builds around certain areas of price, not to predict direction.
$197 - $201 → Naked weekly level, two naked daily levels, daily naked POC, poor low, and a naked weekly VAL.
$203.50 - $205.50 → Current monthly POC, weekly naked POC, and a poor low.
WHERE SOL IS NOW: $237 - $242 → All time high range POC which is extremely important, and weekly naked VAH.
$244 - $246.50 → Important wick high, all time high range VAH, and a single print.
$252 - $256.50 → Naked weekly, monthly naked POC, weekly naked POC, daily naked POC, weekly time POC, and a naked daily level.
When multiple levels line up (high timeframe levels, point of controls, value areas, liquidity levels, TPO levels, etc), the level tends to attract more attention and liquidity. That makes it an important ‘decision point’ — even without predicting bullish or bearish outcome.
If you’re new to concepts and levels like these, don’t worry — these terms can feel overwhelming at first. Feel free to drop a comment or send me a message if you’d like me to explain any of them in more detail. Always happy to help.
This post is educational only. No predictions or trade signals. If you find this helpful, follow for more breakdowns of confluence levels.
Solana’s Treasury Boom: Institutional Surge and Nasdaq MilestoneInstitution adoption and viewing of SOL as a major treasury asset have caused Solana's treasury economy to boom in September 2025, as shown by SOL Strategies' historic On September 9, Nasdaq debuted under the ticker STKE, becoming the first Solana-focused company to list there while still trading on the Canadian Securities Exchange under HODL; Ranking third among institutional holders, the corporation possesses 435,064 SOL worth nearly $94 million; validator activities delegated 3.62 million SOL throughout 8,812 wallets. backed also by Cathie Wood's ARK Invest, which moved 3.6 million SOL (roughly C$888 million) in July. Led by Upexi, corporate assets have exploded such that 13 public businesses currently handle almost $1.8 billion in Solana treasuries, or 8.90 million SOL or 1.55% of the circulating supply. With 2,000,518 SOL valued at around $444 million, Inc. and 1,988,170 SOL DeFi Development Corp. Forward Industries revealed a $1.65 billion private placement on September 8, led by Galaxy Digital, Jump Crypto, and Multicoin Capital to help develop a Solana-centric treasury for digital assets. With Multicoin's Kyle Samani slated to become Chairman once completed, the Solana-centric treasury for digital assets.
Market Movements: Navigating the Price Trends of SOL
The SOL/USD surged more than 10% in the past two days. Near-term support is identified at $200, with a drop below this level potentially leading to targets of $180/$140/$123/$117/$100. Immediate resistance is noted at around $250, where a breach could push prices up to $265, or even $300.
It is good to buy on dips around $180, with a stop-loss set at $140 and a target price of $300.
Long - Solana📈 Solana has a decent picture. It is at a local extreme, there is a lot of free space ahead. The price is being squeezed, which means they are accumulating a position. After a strong movement a few days ago, the price was held - ready to push it further.
Fundamentally, the Sol Strategies company is traded on NASDAQ, and funds are starting to take salt into circulation. This is also a sign that big guys are playing with the coin and there will still be liquidity in it.
In the medium term, I assume that ATH will be broken. Observe the risks, profits to everyone!
SOL 4H Demand Zone Retest in Play, Will Bulls Drive Toward $230Solana continues to respect the ascending support trendline, with clean higher lows forming the base for each leg higher. The $200–205 demand zone is once again in focus after recent rejection wicks, serving as a key retest level for continuation.
If buyers defend this zone, momentum favors another bullish impulse toward the $225–230 area. Liquidity sits lower at $196.7 and $175.8, which may attract price before continuation if demand weakens.
Indicators show mixed signals: the Stoch RSI is stretched into overbought territory, hinting at possible short-term cooling, while the MACD Liquidity Tracker is still showing momentum building.
Key levels:
– Demand Zone: $200–205
– Liquidity: $196.7, $175.8
– Bullish target: $225–230
Can We See SOLUSD Push $5K+?Solana continues to show strength holding above key levels. If this breakout sustains, the measured move from price ranges A to B and B to C points toward a potential first target between $3,628 and $5,869. Long term structure remains intact and momentum is building. Patience could pay off big here.
On the fundamentals side, big players like Pantera Capital and Galaxy Digital are reportedly building SOL treasury reserves a strong signal that institutions see Solana as a core layer-1 for the next cycle. The technicals and fundamentals are starting to align here, and that’s when things get exciting.
Ascending triangle - Solana momentum building Solana is on the rise again, forming an ascending triangle and a golden cross. This could be a good opportunity to accumulate before the next big push upwards. Furthermore, XRP, ETH, and BTC have all surged higher, but Solana has remained relatively stable along its trend line. It’s only a matter of time before Solana reaches a new all-time high, and with increased industrial accumulation, it is very likely to be the next altcoin to push higher. This is not financial advice. The technical indicators also support this, as increased trading volume and strong support above 190 indicate that Solana has proven to be resilient and is on an upward trajectory. Additionally, the Sol/BT and Sol/ETH ratios are now in favor of Solana, suggesting that capital is rotating into Solana.
SOL 1D – Channel Breakout Targeting $295 ATH Zone?Solana has repeated a very similar channel structure to late 2024 — a steady grind higher inside an ascending channel followed by an explosive breakout. The current channel has already delivered a +128% measured move, echoing the prior +167% surge.
Key levels:
Channel top breakout → could extend toward $280–300.
$295 ATH resistance remains the key upside magnet.
Channel support → if lost, risk of retrace toward $180–170.
This symmetry suggests SOL could be setting up for another leg higher, with the $295 zone acting as the next major target.