SPX trade ideas
SPX 500 to 17,000 in 7 years.This chart represents the S&P 500, showcasing its performance over time, including quarterly data.
It captures everything.
Every recession.
Every war.
Every president.
Every variation of the monetary base as superpowers rise and fall.
Whenever I hear a bear in the stock market declare that THE TOP has been reached, and we are about to CRASH -50% to -90%
I find myself drawn to these comprehensive long term charts.
If the bulls are genuinely in control and we have merely undergone an intermediate-term correction, then the long-term bull market that commenced at the 2009 low remains robust, with many more years ahead.
The chart also illustrates that the three significant bull market phases typically last around 18-20 years following a major breakout.
And they yield a comparable number of X's.
It's all quite fascinating, if you ask me.
See you in the future!
up or down...Hello friends🙌
🔊As you can see, the US500 index has been identified with several resistance encounters and the good support that the price has been able to break the resistance and turn it into support. Now, according to today's news, it seems that the price is targeting higher targets that we have identified for you.
In case of correction, it has strong support ahead of it, which we have identified with a white line, but don't forget that buyers have entered...📈
🔥Join us for more signals🔥
Trade safely with us.
Smart Money Levels Spotted on SPX500USD – Massive Sell Zone Major Supply Zone (Resistance): 🔵 6,000 – 6,050
Price is currently sitting right inside a well-defined supply zone, where smart money previously sold off heavily back in December.
Intermediate Support: 🔵 5,436
A clear structural level where price previously broke down from and retested in April.
Major Demand Zone (Support): 🟠 4,900 – 5,000
Price reacted aggressively from this zone during the massive April sell-off, suggesting strong institutional interest.
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🧭 Current Price Action:
SPX500USD is currently trading at 6,004, right at the supply zone marked by the blue shaded area. Price has aggressively rallied from the 4,900 demand zone in April and is now testing this critical resistance level for the first time since the major drop.
📌 Notice the tight consolidation and rejection wicks from this area in the past. This could signal a potential reversal or a breakout trap!
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⚠️ Bearish Signals to Consider:
🔻 Risk of Rejection: With price inside a supply zone and momentum slowing, there’s a high probability of a rejection.
🔻 Double Top Structure: Previous highs around 6,050 could form a double top, making this a textbook reversal opportunity.
🔻 Downside Targets:
📍 First target: 5,436 (previous support & breakout level)
📍 Second target: 4,900–4,950 (major demand zone & value area)
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🧠 Smart Money Perspective:
This setup aligns perfectly with institutional trading logic:
Sell high in supply zones
Buy low in demand zones
Volume Profile and LuxAlgo’s visible range confirm these key levels where institutions are most likely to act.
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🧨 Trading Plan:
🚫 No buying in the supply zone
📉 Short entries if rejection confirms (look for bearish engulfing / lower high on lower timeframes)
🎯 Target 1: 5,436
🎯 Target 2: 4,900–4,950
🛡️ Stop Loss: Above 6,050 (fake breakout zone)
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📊 Bonus Tip:
Watch how price behaves around FOMC and CPI news – liquidity grabs often happen right before key macro data, especially near supply zones. Be patient!
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💬 Let’s Discuss:
Do you see a breakout or a rejection from here?
Comment below if you're bullish or bearish on SPX500USD! 👇
Don't forget to like & follow if you find this breakdown helpful 💡
#SP500 #SPX500USD #SmartMoney #SupplyAndDemand #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #LuxAlgo #TradingSetup #SwingTrade #BearishReversal
US 500 Index – All Time Highs Back in SightFresh optimism regarding trade negotiations between the US and China, coupled with confirmation on Friday that the US labour market is cooling down slowly and not indicating an imminent US recession, has seen the US 500 index open this morning at 4 month highs, bumping up against the psychological 6000 again, with its all time peak of 6144 (February 19th) back in sight.
Looking forward, this could be a pivotal week for the US 500, with a variety of risk events for traders to consider, all of which may have the potential to impact the direction of risk sentiment into the Friday close.
First up, later today, traders will be eagerly awaiting updates from the second round of trade talks between US and Chinese trade teams, who are tasked with defusing tensions regarding the supply of rare earth minerals and advanced technology.
Then, on Wednesday (CPI 1330 BST) and Thursday (PPI 1330 BST) the next round of US inflation updates for May are released. These could be relevant to traders who have become more sensitive to potential price rises due to the impact of President Trump's trade tariffs. Any surprise deviations from expectations in either of these releases could see an increase in US 500 index volatility.
Putting this all together with any fresh reports outlining progress on trade deals between the US and Japan or the EU, and it could be a volatile week in store. With this in mind, it can be helpful to consider the technical indicators and trends.
Technical Update: Focus on the Bollinger Mid Average
While some may have argued for a slowing in upside momentum of the recent US 500 index advance, price weakness has continued to be limited in both time and extent.
Importantly, as the chart above shows, when short term setbacks in price have recently materialised, it has been the rising Bollinger mid-average that has marked a support focus.
This maintains the potential of a more constructive picture and positive price trend, where buyers have been happy to pay a higher price each time that weakness is seen, and have been able to push the index above previous peaks in price, to new recovery highs.
Of course, there is no guarantee this pattern of higher highs and higher lows in price will extend further, but traders may well be focusing on this type of pattern as having the potential to lead to a more sustained phase of price strength.
What are the potential support and resistance levels that traders may be watching this week for clues to the direction of the next possible price move?
Potential Resistance Levels:
Further evidence that a positive trend in price could still be in place came on Friday, as a new recovery price high at 6017 was posted.
Traders may now be watching how a previous price high at 6049, which was posted on February 24th is defended, as closing breaks may see further attempts to push to higher levels. Such moves could then lead to further price strength towards 6144, the February 19th all-time high.
Potential Support Levels:
Having held and turned price activity higher over previous tests, it may well still be the rising Bollinger mid-average, which currently stands at 5916 that represents a possible support focus this week.
Closes below this level while not confirmation of a more extended phase of price weakness, may see a deeper decline to test 5842, the May 30th session low, even on to the 5742 level, which is equal to the low posted on May 23rd.
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The Second Blow-Offanyone casually looking at long-term charts can see in recent history on the monthly scale one of the most violent blow-off tops started In 1995-2000, running those 5 years up 240%. interestingly, my target and the number of years it takes to reach since the post-covid lows is almost the same
SPX500 – Volatile Week Ahead as Trade Talks and CPI LoomSPX500 | Overview
Fundamental Insight:
S&P 500 futures edged lower early Monday as traders brace for a high-impact week.
Key events include:
- US-China trade talks in London (Monday)
- U.S. inflation data (CPI) expected midweek (Wednesday)
Markets are cautious, awaiting clarity from both geopolitical developments and macroeconomic indicators, which could trigger strong directional moves.
Technical Outlook:
The price appears to be entering a correction phase, with the potential to drop toward 5966.
A confirmed break below 5966 may extend the bearish trend toward 5938 and 5902.
However, a break above 6030 would invalidate the bearish scenario and could trigger a bullish continuation toward 6098 and potentially a new all-time high (ATH).
Pivot Line: 6010
Support Levels: 5966, 5938, 5902
Resistance Levels: 6030, 6098
S&P500 Short: Ending DiagonalHi all, over here, I presented a cleaned-up chart of the EW counts for S&P500 and gave 2 entry points for shorting. The most important points are here:
1. 5th wave completion (or completing)
2. Ending Diagonal: will follow a sharp move down.
Alternatively, you can wait for a breakdown of the lower trendline to short.
Good luck!
5821 target beaeish flowBeen awhile since I posted to spy channel.
Ive observed a negative flow, with a bearish apex on the 2hr futures chart. My target is 5820. Fail attempt to breakout above 600 on spy, this appears ro be a liquidity grab by smart moneym I will break chart down further into layers
Remaining bullish on SPX and how I think through my chartsVideo Recap: The Zoomed Out View
Weekly moving averages are reordering and turning up
The weekly chart shows that the 10EMA and 20EMA have now crossed the 50SMA and are turning up. That reordering adds strength to the broader trend. This past week, the index reclaimed 6,000, which is a key psychological level. And we also saw price bounce off the uptrend line drawn from the April low, showing buyers are still defending key areas of support.
Daily pullback found support
The daily chart gave us a pullback the Friday before last, but it held right at a confluence of support (the 20EMA and 200SMA), along with a horizontal level drawn from the weekly timeframe.
Digestion periods can shake you out if you’re too zoomed in
The last few weeks have been a reminder that chop can test your patience and your plan. We didn’t break trend, we just pulled back to support. But if you’re too zoomed in, it can feel like everything is shifting. That’s when stops get hit early, trades get closed prematurely, and new positions get put on for the wrong reasons. In reality, this was just a normal digestion after a strong move. And when in doubt, zooming out brings the clarity back.
Trendlines and levels are guides, not absolutes
There were a few moments in my chart review this week where I caught myself trying to make lines matter more than they do. But these tools (trendlines, moving averages, support and resistance) only matter in the context of what price is doing around them. Structure tells the real story. One line getting hit or crossed doesn’t mean the whole thesis breaks down. What matters is whether buyers step in, whether trend resumes, and whether your trade idea still fits your system.
So what now? Here’s what I’ll be watching this week:
We’re holding above all major MAs.
If we push through the February all-time high, that can shift sentiment, especially for retail traders who may see that as a signal that “we’re in the clear.”
If we stall below the ATH, that wouldn’t be a problem by itself, but I’d watch how price behaves...ie are we pulling back constructively or losing key levels?
I’m not leaning bearish and won't be unless we start closing below 5,800 (200SMA) and definitely if we can't hold the rising 50SMA. (My second scenario after my bullish one is sideways, so bearish for me is out for now.)
When the market starts moving, the best thing you can do is trust your prep, lean into your plan, and zoom out when things get noisy. The bigger picture hasn’t changed.
RKLB Weekly Options Trade Plan – 2025-06-07🚀 RKLB Weekly Options Trade Plan – 2025-06-07
Bias: Moderately Bullish
Holding Period: 3–5 trading days
Catalyst: Trump–Musk headline cycle + strong short-term momentum
Timeframe: Expiry June 13, 2025
🔍 Multi-Model Consensus Summary
Model Direction Strike Entry Stop Target(s) Confidence
Grok No Trade – – – – 0%
Claude Long Call $30 $0.76 $0.38 $1.50 75%
Llama Long Call $30 $0.76 $0.57 $1.14 70%
Gemini Long Call $31 $0.49 $0.24 $0.74–$0.98 65%
DeepSeek Long Call $30 $0.76 $0.38 $1.52 70%
✅ Consensus: Buy $30 call expiring 2025-06-13
💬 4 of 5 models bullish; 3 aligned on same strike and premium
⚠️ Max pain at $26 and overbought daily RSI are top risks
📈 Technical Snapshot
Price Trend: Bullish short-term (price > EMAs on 5-min & daily)
RSI: Nearing overbought (RSI ~69)
MACD: Bullish short-term, weakening daily
Resistance: $29.00–$29.50
Support: $28.70–$28.75
✅ Trade Setup
Parameter Value
Instrument RKLB
Direction CALL (LONG)
Strike $30
Entry Price $0.76
Profit Target $1.14 (≈50% gain)
Stop Loss $0.38 (≈50% loss)
Size 1 contract
Expiry 2025-06-13 (Weekly)
Confidence 70%
Entry Timing At market open
⚠️ Key Risks
Max Pain Gravity: $26 could act as price magnet by end of week
Overbought Setup: Daily RSI + Bollinger breach may cap further upside
Exhaustion Signs: Bearish MACD divergence could lead to snap pullback
Momentum Trade: Must act quickly; trail stops if resistance nears