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Topping Signal?To me this looks like Wave 5 of the Elliott Wave supercycle in the stock market. We had a monster rally since the liberation day dump, now we are coming up against some strong resistance. Should we be concerned? So far I have taken a lot of chips of the table. I am still very much long, we don't fight the tape, but if you haven't already started booking profits; have a good hard think about how much higher we could go from here. The government shutdown will start to filter through the earnings reports next earnings season, especially if it persists over a month. Consumer stocks are showing weakness, whilst the AI trade continue to go vertical, but it will not go on forever - something will eventually give.
SP:SPXShort
by NoFOMO_
16
S&P500 pullback reaching pivotal zone at 6748The S&P 500 (+0.17%) eked out a small gain yesterday, but market breadth remained weak. The Magnificent 7 (+1.18%) continued to drive performance while the S&P 500 ex-Mag 7 (-0.30%) and equal-weighted index (-0.30%) both declined, highlighting the narrow leadership. The main positive driver came from another AI-related deal—Amazon’s partnership with OpenAI, which boosted sentiment in large-cap tech. However, overall momentum was capped by soft economic data, hawkish Fed commentary, and concerns around a prolonged U.S. government shutdown, now matching the longest on record and set to surpass it by midnight. Overnight sentiment turned weaker, with Palantir (-4% after hours) dragging tech sentiment lower after offering limited 2026 guidance despite solid results. Nasdaq and S&P futures are down -0.85% and -0.59%, respectively, and Asian markets are mostly lower, adding to the cautious tone. Today’s focus: Earnings: A busy session with results from AMD, Shopify, Uber, Pfizer, BP, and others, likely to shape sector moves. Politics: U.S. state elections (New York mayoral, New Jersey and Virginia gubernatorial races) could test political sentiment but are unlikely to have major near-term market impact. Outlook: Expect a softer start for the S&P 500 as tech momentum fades and macro uncertainty persists, with investor focus shifting to corporate earnings and central bank commentary for direction. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 6830 Resistance Level 2: 6857 Resistance Level 3: 6880 Support Level 1: 6748 Support Level 2: 6727 Support Level 3: 6707 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by Trade Nation
More upside for SPX500USDHi traders, Last week SPX500USD went up and made a correction down. So next week we could see more upside for this pair. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for the correction down to finish. After that look for an impulse wave with a correction down on a lower timeframe. After a change in orderflow to bullish you could trade longs. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. But I react and trade on what I see in the chart, not what I've predicted or expect. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by EduwaveTrading
2
S&P Nearing Major Resistance (Update)This updates my previous S&P chart back last year showing the S&P still had room to run until any major resistance. We're nearing that major resistance at 7577. Looks like it might hit around January 2026. The trouble is this trend is heating up and we needed a pullback to 6295. With all the excitement from Nvidia and other major Hyperscalers I'm worried it's going to just go straight to Major resistance. *If it does* we could be looking at a decently large pullback next year (finishing around August) down to that 6295 area and back into the supporting trend line for the next big uptrend to start. If however we slow down here and get a pullback back to 6295 then I think we're good to make it over the major resistance without that big pullback next year. Either way once we hit the major resistance at 7577 we'll need to get close to that lower trend line at some point to begin a new bull run. Good luck and take caution as we approach this resistance!
SP:SPX
by bwy
SPX500 | Consolidation Phase Before BreakoutSPX500 – MARKET OUTLOOK | Consolidation Phase Before Breakout 🇺🇸 The S&P 500 is consolidating between 6,918 and 6,879, as traders await the next breakout following recent Fed guidance and earnings results. Above 6,918: Bullish continuation toward 6,941 → 6,991. Below 6,879: Opens correction toward 6,842 → 6,770. Pivot: 6,918 Support: 6,879 · 6,843 · 6,770 Resistance: 6,941 · 6,991 SPX500 remains range-bound, but a breakout from this zone will define the next trend direction.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
Intraday Range Expansion and Potential Repricing on the SPXFollowing a clean sweep of Friday’s high, price delivered a strong displacement to the downside, breaking short-term structure and rebalancing inefficiencies left behind. The subsequent rebound towards the daily open suggests a retracement into a premium area, potentially setting up for continuation lower if rejection holds around that zone. If buyers fail to sustain price above the daily open, the market could aim for a full range fill back toward the previous low or discount zones below, maintaining the current bearish intraday order flow.
ACTIVTRADES:USA500Short
by BeaucoupPips
Weekend Analysis: DXY, BTC, Gold, Silver, Nas100 and SPX500In this video presentation I am expecting the dollar index to continue its uptrend on the lower time frame towards the liquidation level target of 99.500. Bitcoin is still in a distribution range and currently correcting the sharp sell off from $126,296. I am observing an A-B-C corrective pattern potentially to targets of either $115,044 or $117,653. These are confluence of resistance level and will be expecting a sell off from these levels. If these levels gets invalidated then potentially the all time highs of $126k is in view. However that's not my expectation so a breach of the target level will invalidate the bearish analysis on Bitcoin. I think Gold and Silver have peaked out for now and smart money is off loading to FOMO retail traders. I am expect Silver to sell off much faster than Gold. Nas100 and SPX500 clinched to a breakout of new highs but the buying volume is fading out and seems to be a fake out. I will be watching if the breakout levels gets support or breakdown on pullback to decide a long position or short position. This is my opinion on the market this week and I thank you for your time to visit my publications. Have a great trading week and don't forget risk and money management is your first job as trader or investor. Cheers!!
OANDA:SPX500USD
by RICHINVESTOR
SPX500 Eyes 7000 — Breakout or Bull Trap Ahead?🦸‍♂️ SPX 500 Heist: The 7K Bull Run Playbook (Swing Trade Setup) ✅ Alright, crew, listen up! The market is a vault, and we're here to make a strategic withdrawal. The SPX 500 is showing us the blueprints for a potential bullish breakout. This is our plan to ride the wave. 🎯 The Master Plan: BULLISH We're looking for a classic breakout play. The gates are at 6780, and once they're open, we're going in. ⚡ Entry Signal (The "Go" Signal) Action: Consider long positions ONLY AFTER a confirmed daily breakout and close above the key level of 🎯 6780.00. Translation: Don't jump the gun. Wait for the market to show its hand. 🚨 Stop Loss (The "Escape Route") Location: My suggested escape hatch is down at 🛡️ 6600.00. Place it after the breakout we talked about. A Note from the OG: "Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG's), I am not recommending you set only my SL. It's your own choice. You can make money, then take money at your own risk." 😉 💰 Profit Target (The "Loot Bag") Destination: We're aiming for the major resistance zone at 🎯 7000.00. This is a psychological magnet and a previous area where sellers stepped in. Why Here? It's a zone of strong resistance, potential overbought conditions, and traps for the greedy. Be smart and escape with your profits! Another OG Note: "Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG's), I am not recommending you set only my TP. It's your own choice. You can make money, then take money at your own risk." 😎 🔍 Market Intel: Pairs to Watch A master thief always checks the surrounding area. Keep an eye on these correlated assets: AMEX:SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF): The direct tracker. Moves almost tick-for-tick with the SPX. NASDAQ:NDX (Nasdaq 100): Tech-heavy cousin. If NDX is strong, it often pulls SPX up with it. TVC:DXY (U.S. Dollar Index): Our usual antagonist. A stronger dollar can be a headwind for large-cap stocks. CME_MINI:ES1! (S&P 500 E-mini Futures): The real-time action. This is where the big moves often happen first. ✨ Community Boost If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! #SPX500 #SP500 #SwingTrading #MarketPlaybook #PriceAction #ThiefTrader #IndexAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingStrategy #US500 #Equities #BreakoutStrategy #TradingView #StockMarket #RiskManagement
TVC:SPXLong
by The-Thief
SPX | Daily Analysis #11 - 4 November 2025Hello and Welcome back to DP Review and News Coverage: As mentioned in the previous daily analysis, the market saw a nice decline — even breaking through the 6811 area and reaching down to 6766. There wasn’t any major news driving the move; it seems the market simply took a breather to gather strength for the next potential rally. Now that the past move is complete, our focus shifts forward. Tomorrow brings key economic events — NFP (Non-Farm Payrolls) and PMI data — both of which are likely to bring significant volatility to the market. 1H Time Frame Technical Analysis: At the moment, this bull run could face resistance around the 6826 area. From there, a short-term correction toward the 6800 zone is possible (6811 is no longer relevant). Personally, I believe the recent downside move has finished, and we should now start looking for buy opportunities. If the price retraces and holds above 6800, it could open the door for long entries and a continuation of the bullish move. Summary: • Resistance: 6826 • Support: 6800 • Bias: Bullish (Buy on dips) • Key Events Tomorrow: NFP & PMI — expect high volatility Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. © DIBAPRISM Amir D.Kohn
OANDA:SPX500USD
by DibaPrism
SPX500 | Futures Steady Near Highs, Key Level 6,877 in FocusSPX500 – MARKET OUTLOOK | Futures Edge Higher as Earnings Season Heats Up 🇺🇸 U.S. stock futures inched higher on the first trading day of the month, as traders focus on a busy week of earnings across major sectors. 🔽 Below 6,877: Bearish momentum toward 6,842 → 6,800 → 6,770. 🔼 Above 6,888: Bullish reversal toward 6,918 → 6,941. Pivot: 6,877 Support: 6,843 · 6,800 · 6,770 Resistance: 6,918 · 6,941 SPX500 remains bearish while below 6,877, though earnings results could trigger short-term volatility or a potential breakout.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
SPX: Bullish Exhaustion Signals a Short-Term PullbackThe TVC:SPX is currently showing signs of a potential short-term retracement after rejecting the 6,860–6,880 supply zone. The recent upswing into this zone lacked strong bullish momentum, suggesting that buyers are losing control. If price maintains below this resistance area, it could indicate the continuation of the short-term bearish structure. The red zone marks a clear supply area where previous bullish attempts were absorbed, while the green zone below highlights a demand area between 6,740–6,770 — a potential target for sellers. A clean break below the recent intraday low would likely accelerate bearish momentum toward that zone. Traders may look for confirmation from lower timeframes before shorting, as the broader structure still remains within a corrective phase after the prior rally.
TVC:SPXShort
by DUOMIJUN
Fed Overview: The Good and the Not So GoodDriven by an euphoric phase, the S&P 500 has approached 7,000 points, nearing its 2000 valuation record, with six consecutive months of gains without retracement. The key question for investors is now clear: has the Federal Reserve provided enough justification for this confidence, or does Jerome Powell’s caution mark the beginning of the end of this euphoric phase? 1) A Fed slowing the pace without complacency On Wednesday, October 29, the Fed announced another 25-basis-point rate cut, bringing the federal funds rate into the 3.75%–4.00% range. This is the second consecutive reduction, aimed at countering the labor market slowdown. However, the FOMC vote revealed strong internal divisions: one member wanted a deeper cut, another preferred no change. This reflects the delicate balance between supporting employment and avoiding renewed inflationary pressure. Another key signal: the Fed decided to pause its balance sheet reduction (quantitative tightening) starting December 1st, in order to preserve financial system liquidity, as credit markets show early signs of stress. Powell clarified that this pause does not imply a lasting return to an expansionary stance. Finally, Powell cooled expectations for another rate cut in December, stating that “nothing is guaranteed.” Money markets now price roughly a 70% chance of a hold in December, down from nearly 90% odds of a cut before the meeting. 2) Between monetary realism and market excess The Fed is not ruling out further easing, but it refuses to fuel a bullish rally in the S&P 500 that is now considered excessive relative to fundamentals. Current valuations rely heavily on expectations of continued rate cuts. If that narrative weakens, the likelihood of a technical correction in the S&P 500 rises. At this stage, however, the index has not yet signaled a reversal. 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SP:SPXEducation
by Swissquote
1
S&P 500 Index Showing Weakness – Correction Ahead?Over the past seven days, the S&P 500 index( SP:SPX ) has been on a bullish run, frequently hitting new all-time highs. However, in the last two or three weeks, it's been influenced by the ongoing tariff tensions between the U.S. and China . Let's look at the latest news about the S&P 500 index : The IMF has flagged that market valuations might be a bit high, hinting at possible corrections. Plus, there's been a fresh look at how well China’s sticking to the 2020 trade deal, and on top of that, a new trade agreement in Southeast Asia is in the mix. So that’s the quick rundown! Right now, if we look at the S&P 500 on a 1-hour timeframe, the index is near its Resistance lines and has lost its uptrend line , which is a sign of weakening momentum . We also saw a Shooting Star Candlestick pattern form in the last few hours with good volume, adding credibility to the potential for a pullback . From an Elliott Wave standpoint, it seems the S&P 500 has completed its wave 3, and we might see a wave 4 correction in the coming hours or days. There's a noticeable Negative Regular Divergence(RD-) between the recent tops , and even on the daily timeframe, there's a divergence signaling potential weakness. I expect the S&P 500 could drop at least to its Support line , around the $6,857 . Note: The cryptocurrency market, and especially Bitcoin , has been highly correlated with the S&P 500 index these weeks, and a possible correction in this index could lead to a correction in this market. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. S&P 500 Index Analyze (SPX500USD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like'✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by pejman_zwin
18
SPX500 Trading Strategy Explained: From Entry to Exit⚡ SPX500 “STANDARD & POOR” Indices Market Wealth Strategy Map ⚡ (Swing / Day Trade Plan – Thief OG Style) 🧭 Plan 📈 Bias: Bullish confirmed with 30m LSMA pullback + 0.786 Fibonacci-based MA confluence. 💡 Entry Approach (Thief Layering Strategy™): Instead of one-shot entry, I place multiple buy-limit layers to average into strength. Example setup: Buy limit: 6600 Buy limit: 6620 Buy limit: 6640 👉 You can extend or adjust the layering based on your own strategy. 🎯 Stop Loss (SL) This is my Thief SL @6560. ⚠️ Note to Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s): This SL is not a recommendation. Use your own judgment — protect your loot at your own risk. 💰 Target (TP) 📌 6750 — sitting at strong resistance + overbought zone + possible bull-trap. ⚠️ Again, OG’s — this is not financial advice. Take profit when it fits your plan. Secure the bag, then enjoy the loot! 🔍 Related Pairs to Watch Keep an eye on these correlated assets to confirm the SPX500’s move: NASDAQ:NDX (Nasdaq 100): Tech-heavy index with strong correlation to SPX500. If tech stocks are pumping, it’s a bullish signal for our trade. 📊 TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index): A weaker dollar often boosts equities. Watch for inverse correlation—DXY dropping could mean SPX500 is ready to fly! 🚀 TVC:VIX (Volatility Index): Low VIX levels signal market calm, supporting our bullish setup. A spike in VIX could warn of trouble, so stay sharp! ⚡ Key Correlation Insight: SPX500 often moves in tandem with NASDAQ:NDX due to shared tech giants (think Apple, Microsoft). If NASDAQ:NDX is rallying, it’s a tailwind for our trade. Conversely, a rising TVC:DXY or TVC:VIX could signal caution. 📝 Thief Note Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s): This map is my personal swing/day trade playbook — not a fixed recommendation. Layer entries, cut losers fast, and loot when you can. Market moves are wild; manage risk like a true OG. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a Thief-style trading strategy shared just for fun & educational vibes. Not financial advice. DYOR & trade responsibly.
TVC:SPXLong
by The-Thief
SPX: Pulls back from the latest ATHThe Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points, as widely expected, while US equity markets pulled back from recent all time highest levels. This could be a short summary of the previous week on the US markets. The higher volatility continued leading the sentiment toward the overbought side. The newest ATH for the S&P 500 was at 6.917, but the index is closing the week at 6.840. The market was not happy regarding Fed Chair Powell comments that the rate cut in December is not guaranteed. The US Government continues to be in a state of a “shutdown”, where the majority of important macro data are still not available to the public, so the investors are currently acting in a sort of "blindfolded" manner when it comes to macro data. The S&P 500 slipped as two of its largest members, Meta Platforms and Microsoft, weighed on the market. Meta plunged about 12 % after forecasting significantly higher AI-capex next year, while Microsoft declined over 2 % following disclosure of nearly $35 billion in planned spending. Meanwhile, Alphabet bucked the trend with a gain of 5.5 % thanks to strong advertising and cloud revenue offering some bright spots amid tech weakness. Amazon surged around 9,6% after a strong quarter led by cloud growth. Tesla was also a weekly winner with around 3,7% gain. Analysts are in agreement that higher volatility of the equity market could continue in the future period. Tech companies are currently strongly investing into AI adoption, with some estimates of $600 billion in capital spending already planned for the next year. This will be one of indicators that investors will be closely watching in the future, especially examining how this CAPEX spending is translating into rising AI-driven revenues for each company.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
Larger Drop Incoming?The move up since the liberation day dump has been epic. I called the low on the markets at the time. I was long AppLovin, AMD, Reddit, Arm, Alab, REMX, amongst many other names that far outperformed the market. I warned you about the imminent dump before it happened, and then took positions on the long side as the market capitulated and we hit the golden ratio. Now it's time to zoom out and remind you that this will not grind up forever. My interpretation of the chart is the move is nearing the end, the risk of strong downside move (7-12% drop) is increasing significantly and greed will catch many people out. The inverse head and shoulders pattern is almost complete, we are grinding up in this channel and will start to come up against the resistance over these coming days/weeks. I had an upside target of 7000-7250 and we are almost there. The dips are getting brought up, so bulls may have more time to make gains but I am not convinced that the gains are worth the risk at this stage. I will start taking some chips off the table here. Not financial advice, do what's best for you.
SP:SPXShort
by NoFOMO_
13
SPX500 H1 | Bullish Bounce OffS&P500 has bounced off the buy entry at 6,839.32, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to the take profit. Stop loss is at 6,793.88, which is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 6,926.57, which s a swing high resistance. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
TRADU:SPX500Long
by Tradu