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Hershey Company

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HSY trade ideas

Time to buy more chocolates - HSYFor nearly 2 years, the price of HSY has been falling , from a high of 280 to a 50% fall of 141 before it climb back up recently to 175. It is still in the downtrend as shown on the weekly chart. Yesterday, it rally near 6% , a welcoming surprise to its shareholders. With continuing drop in cocoa price, I believe we could see a breakout from the bearish trend for HSY. 208 will be a strong resistance/profit target for some traders/investors. Other risks that HSY may face is the anti obesity drive by various governments worldwide. So, indulgent foods like chocolate may take a backseat or consumers may choose to replace it with healthier options or reduce their chocolate purchase. The year end is coming, Christmas and New Year where giving chocolates as gifts are common. This will be an important time for HSY and other confectioneries. LONG HSY, SHORT COCOA Please DYODD
NYSE:HSY
by dchua1969
Hershey about to get sweet! NYSE:HSY has been under pressure for the last 3 months since it put in the mega monthly reversal candle. This is a clinical retrace and backtest of a key upsloping trend line and monthly bullish reversal. It was good to see Hershey remaining strong and closing positive while markets were under pressure. Typically seasonal periods get from run by investors. Most people aren't thinking about Halloween but smart money will be. Humans also consume roughly 300-500 more calories a day in the summer as we're more active being outside. Some of those calories are often sweets that Hershey makes. Fiod for thought...I'm bullish over the nect 3-6momths now that the dividend selling is complete.
NYSE:HSYLong
by Trading-Capital
Hershey Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General 1. Push Set Up 2. Range Set up 3. Break & Retest Set Up Notes On Session # Hershey Stock Quote - Double Formation * Start Of (Diagonal) At 93.00 USD | Completed Survey * (Reversal Argument)) & Short Set Up Entry | Subdivision 1 - Triple Formation * Wave Feature On Downtrend Bias | Subdivision 2 * (TP1) | Subdivision 3 * Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition - (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Indexed To 100 - Position On A 1.5RR * Stop Loss At 182.00 USD * Entry At 154.00 USD * Take Profit At 113.00 USD * (Downtrend Argument)) & Pattern Confirmation (Flag Structure) * Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area)) Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities; European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging) Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand; Overall Consensus | Sell
CAPITALCOM:HSYShort
by TradePolitics
The Hershey Company (NYSE:HSY) - Undervalued nowThe Hershey Company is an American multinational confectionery company, founded by Milton S. Hershey in 1894. The company initially focused on caramel and chocolate, eventually expanding into a wide range of confectionery products. The company’s headquarters are located in Hershey, Pennsylvania, which is also home to Hersheypark and Hershey’s Chocolate World. , Business Model, Products, and Services The Hershey Company is a leading confectionery manufacturer and marketer. Their core business revolves around producing and selling chocolate, sweets, mints, and other snacks. Their key product lines include Hershey’s chocolate bars, Reese’s peanut butter cups, Kit Kat, Jolly Rancher, and Ice Breakers. The company’s business model is centered on brand recognition, product quality, and extensive distribution networks. Durable Competitive Advantage Hershey possesses a strong durable competitive advantage primarily due to its iconic brand portfolio. Brands like Hershey’s and Reese’s have decades of consumer loyalty and strong brand recognition. This aligns with the “unique product” business model, as these brands hold a distinctive place in the confectionery market. Economic Moat Hershey’s “economic moat” is built upon its powerful brand identity. The company’s brands have a long-standing history and strong emotional connection with consumers, creating a barrier to entry for competitors. Their distribution network also provides an economic moat. Industry Outlook, Challenges, and Competitors The confectionery industry is generally stable, but it faces challenges related to changing consumer preferences (e.g., healthier snacks), rising ingredient costs, and intense competition. The company’s key competitors include Mondelez International (MDLZ), Kraft Heinz (KHC), Kellogg (K), and Campbell Soup Company (CPB). Additionally, increased competition from smaller, more innovative brands is also contributing to Hershey’s market share decline. Health trends are a large challenge, sweet snacks have been under pressure as more consumers become aware of their calorie and sugar intake. Supply chain risks are also a consistent threat for The Hershey Company, as disruptions in the procurement of key raw materials like cocoa, sugar, and dairy could impact production costs and margins. Additionally, geopolitical instability, trade restrictions, and transportation bottlenecks may further challenge the company’s ability to maintain steady inventory levels and meet consumer demand. Comparative Analysis The following is a comparative analysis of the company’s financial position and performance. The analysis evaluates eight key financial ratios to determine whether the company possesses a durable competitive advantage. The company’s financial ratios are compared with the median ratios of its main competitors. Gross Margin % Hershey maintains a consistent gross profit margin of 42%, which is significantly higher than the competitor average of 33.62%. A high gross profit margin stems from the company’s durable competitive advantage, allowing it to price its products significantly higher than its competitors while maintaining strong profitability. R&D to Revenue Ratio % Hershey’s R&D expenditure is relatively low at 0.5% compared to its competitors’ 0.9%. This suggests that its competitive advantage relies more on brand strength and distribution than on product innovation. Depreciation to Gross Profit Ratio % Hershey’s depreciation-to-gross-profit ratio is a reasonable 9.48%, slightly lower than its competitors’ 9.65%, suggesting efficient asset utilization. Interest Expense to Operating Income Ratio % Hershey’s Interest Expense to Operating Income Ratio is 7.4%, significantly lower than its competitors’ 16.3%, indicating a strong financial position. Operating Margin % Hershey’s operating margin is strong, consistently above 20%. This suggests efficient operations and pricing power. Free Cash Flow Margin % Hershey’s free cash flow margin fluctuates, but it consistently remains higher than that of its competitors. This is a strong indicator that Hershey has a durable competitive advantage. Basic Earnings Per Share (EPS) Hershey’s EPS shows a generally upward trend, indicating consistent profitability. Return on Equity (ROE) Hershey’s ROE is strong and significantly higher than that of its competitors, indicating efficient utilization of shareholder equity. Based on the analysis of key financial ratios, we have determined the following: The Hershey Company’s financial condition is stronger than that of its competitors. We believe the company holds a competitive advantage within its industry. Intrinsic Value Valuation Intrinsic Value: $236.80 Current Price: $171.16 Margin of Safety: 27.72% Based on the provided data, Hershey’s stock appears to be undervalued, with a significant margin of safety. The company’s strong brand portfolio, consistent profitability, and efficient operations are positive indicators. The 27.72% margin of safety provides a good buffer against potential market fluctuations or valuation errors. Recommendation: Given the current undervaluation and the company’s strong fundamentals, a “buy” recommendation is warranted. However, investors should carefully monitor industry trends, competitive pressures, and potential risks related to changing consumer preferences and ingredient costs.
NYSE:HSYLong
by theartofinvest
V-shaped bottom, strong reversal likely NYSE:HSY Hershey is looking at a potential bottoming out after showing strong bullish breakaway gap on 6th Feb 2025, first sign of a strong bottom rebound. Furthermore, the stock has formed a v-shaped bottom pattern and recent bullish candle has closes above the ichimoku's cloud, making the latest sign of a strong bullish confirmation based on ichimoku signal. Long-term MACD has shown a clear return of bullish momentum after 1.) A crossover at the bottom and 2.) Histogram is positive. Stochastic OScillator rose and has closed confirmed the oversold crossover and bullish momentum. 23-period ROC is rising. We believe that HSY will likely stage a strong rebound as the weekly chart shows clear ending of the ABC corrective structure. Furthermore, 14-period RSI in the weekly chart shows a clear confirmation of a bullish divergence.
NYSE:HSYLong
by William-trading
$HSY: A Potential Bargain for Dividend InvestorsThe chocolate giant NYSE:HSY might be approaching a price bottom ahead of Thursday's earnings The stock of The Hershey Company ( NYSE:HSY ) has now triggered my favorite technical indicator, a Bollinger Bands and RSI oversold signal on a weekly chart (see Chart 1) This suggests that we might see a price reversal soon if the company effectively addresses its current challenges Earnings Expectations and Volatility: The options market anticipates a price movement of approximately +/-3.8% following Thursday's earnings Recent Price Pressures: - Surging Cocoa Prices: Cocoa prices have skyrocketed (see Chart 2), but I believe this might be a bubble ready to burst as such short-term sharp rises are usually not sustainable - Declining Demand: There's been a noticeable decrease in sweets consumption, influenced by the rising trend of weight loss medications. I can't imagine that humanity will be deprived of sweets forever 😅 Fundamental Insights: Chart 3 highlights key financial metrics for NYSE:HSY : - Market Capitalization: ~$30 billion - Cash Reserves: Approximately $600 million - Debt: $5.6 billion, indicating a manageable financial structure for a company of Hershey's stature to weather further market turbulence - P/E Ratio: Now at 17, which starts to look appealing - Dividend Yield: At 3.7%, it's particularly attractive for European investors seeking income Investment Considerations: Given that this potential reversal signal appears on a weekly chart, expect significant volatility around the earnings announcement Also the bottoming process can take several months and a capitulation event after earnings could be possible However, with these signals, an attempt at a price recovery around earnings seems quite probable
NYSE:HSYLong
by OfficerDonut
Do you like chocolate? (HSY)NYSE:HSY Came up on my alerts last Friday (see below) as a Spike of Volume Profile Support. Price rallied from the Spike almost immediately but has since returned for an opportunity to take this trade. Since the Volume Profile POC is based on the Weekly trend from COVID low > All Time High this trade can be setup as a long term position with the Risk management laid out in the chart above. I would call this an attempt to catch a bottom in the "Valley of Risk" that the stock is currently within. The above chart is the 30 minute timeframe Spike that triggered the alert. This trade never came back before reaching the 3:1 target. However, we can consider the 2 hour timeframe for more tactical risk management as it is still valid: Managing risk on the 2 Hour timeframe gives a tight stop just below the Spike low. At which point we can derisk.
NYSE:HSYLong
by norok
HSY Trends, Price targets, projectionsLots of talk around this one. Makes sense with swing state Michigan and F probably having a similar issue Either way, they make some good candy Long term has been historically really good Long term doesn't predict future I'm leaving this mostly neutral because I have an idea/guess to the heading but I'm not at all confident in that. If you want to know, leading towards bullish, barely. All depends on which trends start to break out and confirm movements and which price targets. Either way, timing is weird for a swing state which may mean absolutely nothing, but still. Weird enough to question. Push all politics aside, Do they make something good, lasting and sells itself? Do you believe in it long term enough that even should you screw up a trade, you're backed up in the bullish direction. When to enter? Again, I'm just not sure at the moment. Good luck and hope this chart might help!
NYSE:HSY
by nicktussing77
Hershey ready to moveI took a position in hershey for a few reasons. One is that it is at the bottom of the range, second is that it is showing bullish divergence on the MACD, and third is because the price of COCOA looks to me as if it is on its way to test the 200 week SMA (50%) down. Cocoa down 50% will be a direct tailwind for this company. All things considered above, you can also say that at 18 p.E this is a relatively cheap stock relative to the rest of the market, and it is indeed growing EPS at a fairly good rate. Brand is solid as well.
NYSE:HSYLong
by MikeMM
2
Hershey 41924Hershey in a clear bottom of the range and buy zone. I see it moving higher where many are calling it lower bc of cocoa prices. I just see it doing the opposite of what the herd believes. Bullish af on REAL THINGS and chocolate is a huge industry that will grow. When times get tough, ppl always seek out comfort . Hershey is that comfort. In a crazy scenario it could follow cocoa not get pushed down further esp if cocoa backs off and remains stable. The buck passed down to the customer who always pays it
NYSE:HSY
by BrandonrG