USOILV2025 trade ideas
CL_LONG_+991 TicksThe CL daily time frame has created an up
channel. The market has hit the bottom of the
channel and is showing signs of pushing bullish
towards the top of the channel. The market
has created an up Fibonacci with an extension
price point 78.92 about +991 ticks above the
market. The market has broke and closed above
a counter trend line bullish and showing sings
of wanting to push toward the Fibonacci
extension.
Entry: Counter trend line break bullish above
the bottom of the channel.
STOP: 64.60
LIMIT: 78.92.
This is part of the long idea of the CL 01-25.
The market has rolled into the next contract
CL 02-25, so we are updating this idea.
Sells on CrudeHigher timeframes break of structure. Price respecting Key level (Price turned support into resistance). B+ trade because the price is in an overall ranging market at the D, W, and M timeframes.
WTI breakout coming ? WTI has had a relatively range-bound year. Thinking back to what I said at the beginning of the year, that was what I predicted. I have drawn the vertical lines to show this year's range, and for me, this indicates a sell-the-rally mode that traders have adopted. You can see the triangle that has been forming over the past few years will break out soon. I prefer the downside break but just in case the opposite happens I have drawn the boxes of support and resistance I have observed. I have shown the chart for the 2008-2024 period because it gives a great perspective.
Crude Oil Futures Trade Setup (Mini Contract) Sell Crude Oil January Expiry (Mini Contract)
Entry: CMP 5941/Above 5955
Stoploss: 6055
Target: 5808
Validity: Till 15th January 2025
Disclaimer: For Educational Purposes Only
Scenario on light crude oil cl1! 13.12.24If we can maintain the main monthly level, which is also support for the price of 71.66-72.44, then it is likely that the market will come for levels around 65, but if the market were to break through this level, then there is a possible scenario that the price could go higher and I would take the first tp somewhere around 75, but there are other big levels above that and the price could even reach 80.
CRUDE OILPreferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
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Enjoy Trading... ;)
oil longIf AM SSL is taken out if PA holds, then look to long. Failure to hold AMSSL then this is invalidated quickly.
Dont take trades in crudeoil rightnow , why ? 1) remember not to take trades until both conditions dont match in re entry of buy.
2) remember this 2 indicators can do wonders if you learn and test.
3)levels have been discussed in yesterdays post.
good luck.
will keep posting
Crude Oil Futures OIl OIl OIl!!! Everyone knows that I love trading oil. This week, we are going to see some movements. We have a few crude news coming out this week. So, we might see the bulls maintain control. On the other side, we could see the sellers coming in and trying to drop the price down some.
Crude Oil (102 points LONG +4R) Secured for DA HOUSE!!!NYMEX:CL1!
'2025 For a gr8ter reward, we must go to the valley to CONQUER!! #500K
Please take the time to watch how I predicted before hand that we would catch LONG on Crude OIl if we could see a specific sequence of events take place in PA therefor compelling us to enter the market LONG.... We did just that and the trade ran all the way to TP. Stats; 102pts LONG +4R Secured!! Well Managed, on to the next HP SU! +Shalom #APBTG #BHM500K
Remember 'Our Profession is to Manage the downside costs of Printing HIGHSIDE returns of $$$ consistently, done correctly; Well abundance awaits us.' -500KTrey
#202450 - priceactiontds - weekly update - wti crude oil futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
wti crude oil futures: Neutral again. Last week we got a bull surprise and market closed at previous resistance. Upside will probably be limited and market could not close above 72.3 for 2 months now. I do not expect it to change that all of a sudden. The volume is also low af and therefore I expect more sideways between 67 - 71. 2024 will likely close near 69.
Quote from last week:
comment: Bulls are not doing enough but bears are also barely making new lows. Market is mostly two sided and stuck inside an 8$ range for 2 months. Don’t over analyze it.
comment: I won’t make this longer than it needs to be and nothing has changed for the past 10 weeks. We are inside a clear trading range 66 - 72 and you can not expect that range to break over the next 3 weeks. Almost anything can happen with the markets but the most reasonable expectation is a continuation.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 66 - 72
bull case: If bulls can close the gap to 72.56 I’d be very surprised. 71.5 is likely still bigger resistance and thus most bulls will exit longs above 71 on any decent weakness. Daily close above 72 would change that a bit but not too much.
Invalidation is below 66.
bear case: Upper third of the trading range is where bears are favored again but they need to show some selling pressure before you should think about shorting this. If you would short this now, would you put your stop at 71.5? That’s really tight and the risk the market prints those couple of ticks is big. Next best stop would be 72.8. In any case, I wait for selling pressure before I short.
Invalidation is above 71.6.
outlook last week:
short term: Neutral 68 - 70 and I doubt we make lower lows below 66. Even if bears push below, downside is likely limited. Can’t change much of last weeks short term outlook, since it’s still valid. Bears have targets below 66 but until they get a daily close below it, we continue sideways.
→ Last Sunday we traded 67.2 and now we are at 71.29. Range is still holding. Outlook was ok.
short term: Neutral 68 - 71.6. Above 71.6. we could see 72.2 but probably not higher than 72.8. Bears are favored at the upper third of this range.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-11-10: Unless an event comes up, this will very likely close around 70 for the year.
current swing trade : None
chart update: Nothing worth mentioning. Again.
So our bull targets done in crude oil This free new indicator helps to get accurate signals almost on all time frames and if you as me i use it on 15m chart normal candles , so lets talk about crude oil -
when to take trades now-
waiting for the bear signal between 5850-6200
if bear signal we can hold around 70 points tp with 20 sl
Prediction are simply gambling but depending on market situation it shows that market can go upto 6200 or more with 30% chances or else it can open gap down and and go till 6100 or 6110 or more with 50 % chances.
or it can break 6100 and give a bear signal around 6070 with 20% chances.
the indicator you seeing is totally free and will be available soon, keep following.
good luck
Crude Oil Prices Fall Amid Economic and Geopolitical ShiftsSince the beginning of October, crude oil prices have been on a downward trend, dropping from $77 to $70 in less than three months. This decline can be attributed to several geopolitical and economic factors. During this period, global economic growth showed signs of slowing, raising concerns about future oil demand. Additionally, geopolitical tensions in major oil-producing regions eased, leading to a more stable supply outlook. These combined factors have exerted downward pressure on crude oil prices.
2024-12-11 - priceactiontds - daily update - wti crude oilGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
wti crude oil futures - Neutral. Having a hard time being bullish inside trading ranges and unexpected moves higher. Volume is utter trash and yet market broke above last weeks high and the bear trend line. Bulls want 71 next but I would not be surprised if we go down to 68 or even 67 again.
comment: Daily chart shows the trading range which is still contracting but the very small break above last weeks high is a start for the bulls. Buying at previous resistance inside a trading range is always a bad trade. I’d rather wait if bulls come around big time on a pullback and see if it has strong momentum and can break above 70.5.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 67 - 71
bull case: Bulls made a small higher high and now want 71 next. The rally is not particularly strong and the volume is also atrocious. I don’t have many arguments for the bulls here.
Invalidation is below 66.27
bear case: Bulls have not printed more than 2 consecutive bull bars for almost 2 months now. Bears see that, previous resistance 70.5 from last week and still a bear trend line close enough. They have much more reasons to sell this, than bulls have for buying it.
Invalidation is above 70.6.
short term: Neutral. I wait for one side to gain momentum again but my bar for the bulls is higher than for the bears. I don’t have an opinion on where this goes next. For me it’s 50/50 if we go down to at least 69 or higher to 71.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-11-10 : Unless an event comes up, this will very likely close around 70 for the year.
current swing trade : Nope
trade of the day: Tough. Long was obviously right but there were so many trend lines that could have been resistance, it was much more reasonable to not take the longs than to hope for a breakout above multiple trend lines.
[Commodity] Crude Oil Buy IdeaWait for the trigger
Note -
One of the best forms of Price Action is to not try to predict at all. Instead of that, ACT on the price. So, this chart tells at "where" to act in "what direction. Unless it triggers, like, let's say the candle doesn't break the level which says "Buy if it breaks", You should not buy at all.
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I use shorthands for my trades.
"Positional" - means You can carry these positions and I do not see sharp volatility ahead. (I tally upcoming events and many small kinds of stuff to my own tiny capacity.)
"Intraday" -means You must close this position at any cost by the end of the day.
"Theta" , "Bounce" , "3BB" or "Entropy" - My own systems.
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I won't personally follow any rules. If I "think" (It is never gut feel. It is always some reason.) the trade is wrong, I may take reverse trade. I may carry forward an intraday position. What is meant here - You shouldn't follow me because I may miss updating. You should follow the system I share.
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Like -
Always follow a stop loss.
In the case of Intraday trades, it is mostly the "Day's High".
In the case of Positional trades, it is mostly the previous swings.
I do not use Stop Loss most of the time. But I manage my risk with options as I do most of the trades using derivatives
Crude oil and volatilityCrude oil and the CBOE OVX oil volatility. Breaks from the trend in volatility are followed by a change in trend (either change in direction or accelerating rate of change to current trend). The good news is that the fib time zone has lined up with pivot points. The bad news is that the next one is Feb 2026.
Are we going LONG tomorrow on CRUDE OIL Targeting $69.50 NYMEX:MCL1!
"I can’t relate to lazy people." -Kobe Bryant
Family in this video I have broken down the LONG that I caught this morning during NY session that ran for just shy of 2R then bears came in and stopped me @ Breakeven.... SO now here is what I'll be looking for to GO LONG again tomorrow on Crude if PA sets up a HP entry confirmation....
If we can get the break above Minor support / resistance level $68.40 with a 15m candle closure above ill interested in going LONG tomorrow targeting the HTF EQ Level $69.50. This will be rpoughly around a 110pt move in our favor all depending upon entry. Also this trade and give us +3.5-4R Return if she can run all the way to target. Based off the HTF 4Hr supply we have the probability in our favor being that we are coming from a HTF Daily/4Hr Mitigation of Demand. No major news events tomorrow so we should be good to trade full volume. Remember nothing is set in stone we play the long-term game of probability. & We are dam good at it too!
***Our Profession is to Manage the downside costs of printing High SIDE returns of $$$ consistently... & that there is the #500K Model 1of1
CL DAY TRADE 12/10/24If you enjoyed this, please give a like so I know to keep them coming. I’m interested in posting also about NG, CL, BTC and certain Stocks/ETFs as well.
I’m looking to be a well-known day trader/swing trader/investor in multiple assets. This is a true passion of mind and you’ll see the precision in my plays as I’ve already had multiple years of research and backtesting.
CRUDEThis week's forecast is for a rise to the level of 72.98, after the third touch of the lower zone of the drawn triangle.
Bearish on CrudeOilA very short post 😁
I just wanted to let you know, based on my technical analysis I see $62 to $63.5 an area that Crude Oil probably see in the near future. Then it has the potential to go towards $57.
That's it 😉
Cheers 🍻
