NAS100📊 NAS100USD 4H Analysis – Reversal Zones Identified
The Nasdaq 100 has seen a sharp bearish drop, breaking below recent highs with strong momentum. Price is now approaching a key support region where a short-term rebound could take place if buying pressure emerges.
Potential Reversal Zones:
🔹 24,446.9 – Primary support / first potential reaction area.
🔹 24,818.4 – 24,970.5 – Resistance range; watch for possible rejection if price rebounds.
The market remains under bearish pressure, but short-term corrections toward 24,800–25,000 are possible before any continuation of the downtrend.
If the current bearish momentum continues below 24,400, we could see further downside movement.
📈 Bias: Short-term corrective bounce within a broader bearish structure.
🕓 Timeframe: 4H
Trade ideas
Is the NASDAQ Ready to Drop to 23,000?🏔️ NASDAQ Weekly & Daily Analysis | Bulls vs Bears 🐂🐻
Hey traders! 💥
In the weekly timeframe, NASDAQ is still holding its strong bullish trend, showing solid momentum on higher timeframes.
However, in the daily chart, due to the recent fundamental tensions between China and the U.S., we’re starting to see bearish signs forming.
📊 Trading Plan:
If the market opens without a gap, we may expect a downward move after a possible retest of the Pro Key Level, with the target around 23,000.
Remember — the market is never 100% certain, so make sure you manage your risk and enter only after confirmation in lower timeframes.
⚠️ Heads-up: Tomorrow is a Bank Holiday, so expect lower liquidity and potentially tricky moves.
Trade smart, stay patient, and let the market come to you.
💬 I’d love to hear your thoughts — what’s your bias for NASDAQ this week?
👇 Drop your analysis or opinion in the comments!
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NAS100 4 H🔹 Overall Outlook and Potential Price Movements
In the charts above, we have outlined the overall outlook and possible price movement paths.
As shown, each analysis highlights a key support or resistance zone near the current market price. The market’s reaction to these zones — whether a breakout or rejection — will likely determine the next direction of the price toward the specified levels.
⚠️ Important Note:
The purpose of these trading perspectives is to identify key upcoming price levels and assess potential market reactions. The provided analyses are not trading signals in any way.
✅ Recommendation for Use:
To make effective use of these analyses, it is advised to manually draw the marked zones on your chart. Then, on the 5-minute time frame, monitor the candlestick behavior and look for valid entry triggers before making any trading decisions.
NAS100USD 1M – Tariff Shock After Record HighsThe NAS100 reached a new all-time high earlier this month, extending its recovery from the April 2025 low. However, October has turned into a sharp selloff after Trump’s announcement of a 100% tariff on China starting November 1st, triggering heavy liquidation and breaking multiple support levels. The key focus now is whether the 23,367.28 zone will hold as support or open the way for deeper downside.
Support at: 23,367.28 / 21,800.00 / 16,400.00 / 10,700.00 🔽
Resistance at: 25,249.79 🔼
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: A monthly close back above 25,249.79 would suggest renewed strength, keeping the long-term uptrend intact.
🔽 Bearish: Failure to hold 23,367.28 confirms October’s selloff continuation, exposing 21,800.00 as the next key downside target.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
NAS100USD 4H – Tariff Shock SelloffAfter maintaining a strong bullish structure, the NAS100 sharply reversed following Trump’s announcement of a 100% tariff on China starting November 1st, triggering a heavy selloff that broke multiple support zones.
Support at: 23,985.8 / 23,700.0 / 23,350.0 🔽
Resistance at: 24,393.3 / 24,583.1 / 24,800.0 / 25,200.0 🔼
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: Only if price reclaims 24,583.1, confirming a recovery above broken structure.
🔽 Bearish: Continuation expected if candles close below 23,985.8, opening room for a deeper drop toward 23,700.0, 23,350.0, and 23,100.0.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
NAS100 Decision Point at All-Time HighsNAS100 Decision Point at All-Time Highs
Asset: NAS100 (NASDAQ 100) 11th Oct 2025 UTC+4
Closing Price: 24,026.1 | Bias: Neutral, awaiting breakout confirmation.
1. Multi-Timeframe Market Structure
Daily Chart Context: The index is in a powerful, sustained uptrend, trading near all-time highs. The recent consolidation suggests a pause within the broader bullish structure.
Critical Resistance: 24,200 - 24,300. A confluence of the recent swing high and a psychological barrier. A decisive daily close above 24,300 is the key bullish trigger.
Key Support Levels:
Immediate: 23,900 (Recent swing low & 4H consolidation base).
Primary: 23,650 - 23,750 (Previous resistance, now key support & 50 EMA area).
Major: 23,400 (Would signal a deeper correction).
2. Chart Pattern & Wyckoff/Elliott Wave Context
Pattern: The price action from the September low exhibits characteristics of a Wyckoff Accumulation phase, followed by a strong markup. The current pause could be a re-accumulation before the next leg up, or a distribution.
Elliott Wave Count: The rally from the ~23,400 low is impulsive. We are likely in a Wave 4 (corrective) consolidation. A break above 24,200 would confirm the start of Wave 5 towards new highs. A break below 23,650 would invalidate this count.
3. Indicator Confluence & Momentum
Ichimoku Cloud (Daily): Price is well above the Senkou Span (Cloud), confirming the strong bullish trend. The cloud itself is thick and rising, providing strong dynamic support.
RSI (14): On the daily, RSI is neutral (~60), not yet overbought, leaving room for further upside.
Bollinger Bands (4H): Price is hugging the upper band, indicating strength. A move to the middle band (~23,950) would be a healthy pullback.
Moving Averages: The 50 EMA (23,850) and 200 EMA (23,500) are bullishly aligned, acting as dynamic support layers.
Actionable Trading Plan
Intraday Trading (Based on 1H/15M Charts)
Bullish Breakout Setup:
Trigger: Sustained price action above 24,150 with rising volume.
Buy Entry: On a pullback to 24,100-24,130, or a break of 24,200.
Stop Loss: Below 24,000.
Targets: 24,300 (TP1), 24,450 (TP2).
Bearish Rejection Setup:
Trigger: Bearish reversal candle (e.g., Shooting Star, Bearish Engulfing) at 24,150-24,200.
Sell Entry: On the confirmation of the rejection.
Stop Loss: Above 24,250.
Targets: 23,950 (TP1), 23,850 (TP2).
Swing Trading (Based on 4H/Daily Charts)
Long Swing Entry:
Condition: Wait for a daily close above 24,300.
Entry: On the next pullback towards 24,200 (new support).
Stop Loss: Below 23,900.
Target: 24,600 - 24,800.
Short Swing Entry (Counter-Trend):
Condition: A clear break and close below 23,900.
Entry: On a retest of 23,900 as resistance.
Stop Loss: Above 24,100.
Target: 23,750, then 23,650.
Risk & Trade Management Note
The current setup is a high-probability bull trap if price fails at the 24,200 resistance. Conversely, a breakout opens significant upside. Do not chase price in the middle of the range. Patience for a confirmed trigger is key. Always use a stop-loss and manage position size accordingly.
US govt Shutdown Impact on GOLD/BTC/SPX/NDX Overview📊 Scenario analysis
Assumed probabilities: 10-day (35%) / 20-day (40%) / 30-day (25%). These skew toward 20–30d expectation while allowing for a compromise CR late next week.
🗓️ 1) 10-day shutdown (quick CR by ~Oct 10)
• 🔑 Catalysts: market wobble + travel/FAA headlines + IPO freeze optics force a deal; leadership meeting produces a clean CR.
• 📉 SPX/NDX: -3% to -5% drawdown from pre-shutdown highs, then sharp relief. Mega-cap quality outperforms; small-caps lag on SBA loan pause.
• 💻 Bitcoin: -3% to -8% (high beta to equities, liquidity cautious); quick snapback if the deal lands and SEC footprint stays light.
• 🟡 Gold: +1% to +3%; fades a bit on resolution as real-rate anxiety reasserts. History shows shutdowns aren’t a reliable gold rocket on their own.
🗓️ 2) 20-day shutdown (through ~Oct 20) — “policy fog trade”
• 🔑 Catalysts: prolonged policy riders; BEA/Census blackout delays GDP/retail sales; SEC skeletal staff extends IPO drought. Fed guidance leans on forecasts, not fresh data.
• 📉 SPX/NDX: -5% to -8%. Factor rotation: low-vol/defensive > cyclicals; brokers/ECM-sensitive names soft; travel/airlines weak on FAA/TSA constraints.
• 💻 Bitcoin: -8% to -15% or flat-to-up if “crypto vs. Washington” narrative picks up while enforcement is thin — mixed precedent. This is the most two-sided asset here.
• 🟡 Gold: +3% to +6% as uncertainty premia build and central-bank-buying narrative stays intact. Stretching to $3,900–3,950 bullion target likely needs an added shock (ratings rhetoric, geopolitical flare).
🗓️ 3) 30-day shutdown (into late Oct) — “risk-off with rating overtones”
• 🔑 Catalysts: political stalemate; louder warnings about governance; issuance continues but optics around fiscal sustainability bite.
• 📉 SPX/NDX: -7% to -12%; HY spreads widen; VIX spikes; defensives/quality lead.
• 💻 Bitcoin: -15% to -25% on de-risking and liquidity run-down unless regulatory paralysis creates a “wild west” window and ETF inflows offset — low probability but non-zero.
• 🟡 Gold: +5% to +10%. A test of new cycle highs is plausible; hitting ~$3,900 quickly would likely require a ratings/FX scare, not just a shutdown.
________________________________________
🧭 What’s different this time
• 📉 Data blackout = policy uncertainty: Delays to GDP/retail sales/trade stats complicate Fed read-throughs — markets price fatter uncertainty premia.
• 📜 Regulatory throttle: SEC/CFTC “skeletal staff” → IPO drought and slower filings (headwind to brokers/ECM), even as EDGAR stays up.
• ✈️ Real-economy micro-pain points: FAA hiring/training halted → travel frictions; SBA lending paused → small-cap cash flow stress.
• ⚠️ Ratings optics: After Moody’s downgrade, governance headlines cut deeper than in prior shutdowns.
________________________________________
🤹 Contrarian angles
1. 🪙 “Bad data is no data” rally: If key prints are delayed, the market extrapolates a dovish Fed trajectory → curve bull-steepening and equities rally on rates, overpowering shutdown angst.
2. 💻 Crypto resilience: A lighter-touch SEC during a lapse can reduce headline risk; BTC has rallied during a shutdown before, though not consistently.
3. 🟡 Gold stall: If real yields back up on supply/duration worries rather than down on growth fear, gold can underperform despite the shutdown — history shows no clean positive beta.
4. 📈 Buy-the-resolution pop: Equities’ median post-shutdown performance is positive at 3–6 months — setting up a tactical sell the rumor / buy the cease-fire template.
________________________________________
💡 Trades & risk management tactical, 2–6 weeks
📉 Equities (SPX/NDX)
• 🛡️ Hedge now, monetize spikes: 4–6 week put spreads on SPX/NDX (≈25Δ/10Δ) sized for a -6–8% path; roll down if we breach the first support zone. Consider VIX 1–2M calls as convex tail protection.
• 🔄 Pairs/tilts: Underweight ECM-sensitive brokers; overweight staples/health-care utilities; short airlines vs. travel alternatives until FAA constraints clear.
💻 Bitcoin
• 🛡️ De-gear & collar: Reduce leverage; implement collars (sell 10–15Δ OTM calls to finance 20–25Δ puts). If we gap lower into -10% territory quickly, look to sell downside skew and pivot to short-dated call spreads into resolution.
🟡 Gold
• 📈 Own upside, respect mean-reversion: Use GLD call spreads (1–2M) targeting +4–8% with limited theta. $3,900–$3,950 bullion target is a stretch on shutdown alone; size for base-case +3–6% unless a ratings/geopolitical catalyst emerges.
📉 Small-caps / credit
• 🛑 IWM vs. QQQ underweight (SBA bottlenecks); keep HY credit hedged via CDX HY or HYG puts into Day 15+.
________________________________________
🔍 Levels & signposts to watch
• 🏛️ Policy tape: Any Senate movement on a “clean” CR; signs of healthcare rider compromise.
• 📅 Data calendar: Official notices on jobs/CPI/GDP timing (BLS/BEA/Census). A confirmed delay → more policy fog premium.
• ✈️ Micro stress: FAA/TSA updates; SEC operating status for registrations; SBA loan queue.
• ⚠️ Ratings rhetoric: Any agency commentary tying shutdown length to governance risk.
________________________________________
📝 Bottom line
• 📉 Base path: A -5–8% equity drawdown with gold +3–6% and BTC -8–15% is the modal 2–4 week outcome if we run ~20 days.
• ⚠️ Tail path: At 30 days, governance optics + data blackout can push SPX/NDX -7–12%, BTC -15–25%, gold +5–10%.
• 🔄 Contrarian risk: A quick CR or a “no data → dovish” impulse squeezes shorts — be ready to pivot to a buy-the-resolution stance.
NSDQ100 Cautious consolidationNasdaq futures are pointing to a softer open today, as markets lose momentum following a record-breaking run. Investors are growing cautious amid renewed political and geopolitical tensions.
Market backdrop:
Equities pulled back modestly yesterday, with the S&P 500 down -0.28% and Europe’s STOXX 600 off -0.43%, as questions arose about the sustainability of the recent rally. The Nasdaq 100 also eased from record highs, mirroring the risk-off tone seen across regions and asset classes.
Macro drivers:
The US government shutdown—now entering its second week—is weighing on sentiment, especially after Trump vowed deeper spending cuts, raising fears of a prolonged fiscal impasse.
Rising 10yr Treasury yields (+2.1bps to 4.14%) and wider high-yield spreads (+9bps) suggest investors are turning more defensive.
Gold (-1.61%) also reversed sharply, falling below $4,000/oz, signaling some unwinding of safe-haven flows.
Geopolitical factors:
Tensions are rising ahead of the Trump–Xi meeting, with Beijing launching an antitrust probe into Qualcomm’s Autotalks deal, and new US legislation favouring Nvidia and AMD chip supplies for domestic use. The moves underscore potential risks for tech heavyweights with major China exposure.
Meanwhile, the Israel-Gaza hostage deal and Trump’s expected visit add another layer of geopolitical complexity.
Nasdaq 100 outlook:
Tech stocks may see selective pressure today as investors react to the escalating US–China tech dispute and higher yields. However, recent strength in AI and semiconductors could offer some support. Expect consolidation near record levels, with traders awaiting US consumer sentiment data later in the day for confirmation of demand resilience.
Tone: Cautious consolidation — Nasdaq 100 likely to trade sideways to slightly lower as macro and political risks temper recent euphoria.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 25200
Resistance Level 2: 25300
Resistance Level 3: 25400
Support Level 1: 24870
Support Level 2: 24730
Support Level 3: 24590
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Trade on -NSDQ- USTEC100 ( INDEX)If Market Breaks on 4 Hours Chart- above - 25,169
Buy Entry"
Target Level- 25,295 💰
Target Level 2- 25,495 💰
If market goes up
will form
Ascending Triangle Pattern 📢📢📢
..........................................................................
If Market Break Below- 4 Hours Chart"
below- 25,003
Target Level - 24,817
This will form Double Top Pattern" 📢📢📢
........................................................................
HI Retail Trader.
This subject to Educational Purpose" ✅
Please Do your own Analyzation and Use Proper Risk - Money management
And Trade"
Smart Money Concept
Make sure Use Stop Loss " ❌❌❌
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US100 Will Keep Growing!
HI,Traders !
#US100 is trading in an
Uptrend and broke
The key horizontal level
Of 25033.5 and the breakout
Is confirmed so after a potential
Retest of the support cluster
Of the rising and horizontal
Support lines below we will
Be expecting a bullish continuation !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
NASDAQ (US100) Analysis:After yesterday’s drop to 24,990, which represents the golden Fibonacci retracement zone (as mentioned in the previous analysis), the NASDAQ index rebounded today, reaching 25,100, a nearby support zone expected to trigger a bullish continuation toward retesting the all-time high at 25,190.
If the index breaks above 25,190 and holds, it may target 25,280 as the next resistance level.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
If the price breaks below 25,100 and stabilizes beneath it, a decline toward the recent low at 24,990 becomes likely.
USNAS100 – Range Consolidation Before Breakout, Key Zone: 25,175USNAS100 – Overview | Range-Bound Ahead of Key Market Events
The NASDAQ 100 rebounded from the support zone highlighted earlier, though market sentiment remains cautious ahead of upcoming U.S. data releases and the prolonged government shutdown.
Price action shows consolidation near the upper range, with short-term traders watching for a breakout to define direction.
Technical Outlook
The index is currently capped below the 25,175 – 25,225 zone.
As long as price trades beneath this resistance band, momentum favors a bearish correction toward 25,070 → 25,015, and a sustained move below 25015 could extend losses to 24900.
Conversely, a 1-hour close above 25,220 would confirm a bullish breakout and open the path toward 25,300 → 25,390, with further upside potential if buyers remain in control.
Pivot Line: 25 175
Resistance: 25 300 · 25 390 · 25 450
Support: 25 070 · 25 015 · 24 900
Summary:
USNAS100 remains range-bound, trading between 25,070 and 25,225.
A breakout on either side of this range will define the next intraday move—above 25,220 favors continuation toward 25,390, while below 25,015 signals deeper correction toward 24,900.






















