Trade ideas
NASDAQ Index Analysis (US100 / NASDAQ):The index shows a long-term bullish trend (daily timeframe), while the short-term trend on the hourly chart is bearish. Currently, the price is trading near 23,200.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
If the price breaks below 23,160 and holds, it may head toward 23,000, and with continued selling pressure, it could extend to 22,800.
🔺 Bullish Scenario (Most Likely):
If buying momentum appears and the price manages to break and hold above 23,350, this could support further upside toward 23,500, and strong bullish continuation may open the way to test 23,680.
NAS100 falls slightly but conditions are still bullish!NAS100 climbed in a steep ascending trend and my expectation is for a continuation, with an upside target at around 24,000.
It is still clearly moving inside the channel, as predicted previously in my idea:
At 24.000 is where it can become a decision point, where price might correct again, or it pushes more and that’s when we might see the move start to gain more momentum.
But if price breaks below the trendline with conviction, it would invalidate the bullish scenario, suggesting that the uptrend may pause or could even reverse short-term.
“How I Trade NAS100 with 4H Order Flow + 15M Precision Entry”Here’s my step-by-step process for catching high probability NAS100 setups 👇
1️⃣ Direction from 4H Order Flow
– I only look for trades in the direction of the 4H structure.
– My key levels are 4H OBs and 4H FVGs.
2️⃣ Patience at the Key Level
– No random trades. I wait until price reacts to one of my 4H levels.
3️⃣ 15M Entry Model (MSS + IFVG)
– Once price reacts, I refine entry on the 15M chart using MSS (Market Structure Shift) + IFVG (Inverted Fair Value Gap).
– This keeps risk tight and entries precise.
4️⃣ Risk Management
– I always place stop loss at the invalidation point.
– Targeting a minimum of 1:2 Risk to Reward.
⚡ The edge is simple: Only trade what pays me. Nothing else.
Why Markets Never Move in a Straight LineHello,
Financial markets, by their very nature, do not move in a straight line. Prices fluctuate, trends develop, and corrections occur along the way. While it is tempting to expect that an upward rally will continue indefinitely, the reality is that markets require pauses and pullbacks to remain healthy. As shown in the chart above markets will always pull back (taking breathers as they move up).
One of the primary reasons markets correct is profit-taking. Early investors, who entered positions at lower prices, often choose to lock in gains once prices rise to attractive levels. Their selling creates temporary downward pressure, leading to corrections. This cycle of entry, accumulation, and profit-taking is not a sign of weakness, but rather a natural rhythm of market activity.
Corrections also serve a vital purpose: they prevent markets from overheating. Extended rallies without pauses often create unsustainable valuations, increasing the risk of a sharp reversal. By allowing prices to retrace, corrections provide opportunities for new investors to enter at fairer levels and for existing investors to add to their positions more strategically.
History consistently shows that long-term market growth is built on a series of advances punctuated by corrections. Even in strong bull markets, prices rarely move in a linear fashion. Instead, they climb higher through a stair-step pattern—rising, correcting, consolidating, and then resuming their upward momentum.
For investors, this means corrections should not always be viewed with fear. Instead, they can be seen as opportunities. As Warren Buffett often reminds us, the key is not to follow the crowd into overbought territory but to wait patiently for value.
Recognizing that they cannot move in a straight line equips investors with patience and perspective—two of the most valuable traits in successful investing.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NAS100 Analysis – Bullish Channel Break & Retest in Progress📌 Key Highlights:
Bullish Channel Broken: Price failed to respect the upward trend channel. Although the candle bodies held above a support zone, price wicked through to test a lower level – indicating a weakening bullish structure.
Pressure Reversal Zone: Around 23,800, price ran out of momentum. Downward pressure entered the market, shifting the trajectory and breaking the previous bullish pattern.
Confirmed Zones via Retest: Each zone was respected by a clean retest, reinforcing their validity as support/resistance areas. This is textbook price action – confirming zones before continuation.
Current Candle Behaviour: The most recent green candle has no top wick, showing strong buyer conviction. However, the bottom wick is long, meaning bears are still present and applying pressure.
Decision Point: We’re at a critical moment. Will price break above this level to reclaim the channel — or reject and fill the imbalance left behind by the last bullish move?
📉 Scenario 1 – Rejection & Continuation Down
If price fails to break and close above this resistance, we could see a bearish continuation — potentially aiming for the next key support zone around 22,677.
📈 Scenario 2 – Bullish Recovery
If bulls maintain strength and close above this level with volume, we could see price climb back toward 23,500+ to retest the upper zone.
✅ Bearish Bias
Price broke below the bullish channel structure (a major technical shift).
Retests have confirmed lower zones — typical bearish continuation behaviour.
The current green candle has no upper wick (buyers trying to push), but a long lower wick shows bears are still active.
Downward pressure has already shifted momentum, and we’re now waiting to see if the zone holds.
🟡 However – Confirmation Needed
If price fails to break above this current resistance zone, then bearish continuation becomes confirmed.
If price closes strong above this level and reclaims the channel, the bias would shift neutral to bullish again.
📌 Final Bias Statement:
Bearish bias for now — unless price cleanly breaks back above the resistance zone. Current price action suggests a possible continuation down to fill the wick and test deeper support zones.
🧭 Watching for:
Candle body closures above or below key zones
Wick reactions showing liquidity grabs
Momentum shifts in volume
🔔 Stay sharp. Trade with confirmation, not emotion.
By AutoMarkets | Built. Not Begged.
NAS100USD - Overview with Trade Idea🕰 Weekly View (Big Picture)
The Elliott Wave structure is playing out cleanly:
Wave (1) topped → Wave (2) corrective pullback.
Wave (3) extended strongly, now we’re inside Wave (5).
Price is showing final movement within the wave cycle, meaning the index is likely topping out.
A measured move of ~12,000 pips matches the symmetry between Waves (1–3) and (3–5).
Key downside retracement zones:
21,133 – 19,736 → first major support block.
16,352 – 16,351 → deeper retracement zone if momentum collapses.
Ultimate liquidity magnet sits around 10,427, but that’s long-term.
📉 Daily Structure
Market traded inside a rising channel, with the last leg forming Wave (5).
Current price action is rejecting sell-side liquidity, hinting at weakness.
Breakdown of the swing range → momentum shift underway.
Strong support rests near 22,133, aligning with the 200 EMA cluster.
Loss of that level = higher probability of completing Wave (4) retracement.
⏱ 4H Breakdown
The 4H chart shows the short-term battle:
Price wicked into the 71% retracement and tapped strong demand.
Currently consolidating inside a corrective bounce zone.
The 50% retracement and IPH level (~23,450) act as immediate resistance.
Expectation:
If supply holds, we rotate lower to re-test demand at 23,000 – 22,800.
If buyers defend, a relief push into 23,600 – 23,800 is possible before selling resumes.
🎯 Trade Plan
Bias: Short-to-mid term bearish (retracement phase of Wave (5)).
Entry Zone: Look for rejection around 23,450 – 23,600.
Target Zones:
First take profit → 23,000 – 22,800 demand.
Secondary target → 22,133 swing level.
Invalidation: A clean break and hold above 23,800 – 24,000 would re-open bullish continuation.
Risk Management: Trade within the channel structure, size down due to volatility.
USTEC INCOMING BEARISH MOVEMy analysis shows that there's a high chance the bearish move will continue. As we can see the price broke below our Uptrend Channel and made some sort of Double Top signifying a drop in bullish move.
Price then broke our major low, creating CHoC and confirmed a bearish move, now we see that it broke below the Previous low and made a deep retest to the zone, we can anticipate the price will continue going down but we will need candlestick confirmation for that
This is my intake of what will happen, follow for more Technical analysis and don't miss out😉
Profit-taking hits NASDAQ100: Uptrend still intact? The NASDAQ100 extended its losing streak as investors keep taking profits in tech stocks
Advanced Micro Devices and Broadcom each lost around 1%. Intel slid over 7%. Apple , Amazon , Alphabet , and Tesla also posted losses. Market volume typically falls in late August, which can lead to wilder swings.
The index has now broken below 23,600 and is trading near 23,300, marking its steepest pullback since late June. The short-term trend that began in mid-July is still possibly intact, with higher highs and higher lows. However, volume on down days suggests sellers are active, which may reinforce near-term downside pressure.
Is this the top? SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 8-20I know it has been a while since I shared a video.
This video is designed to share the downside risks I see as a potential for the markets IF this big speculative phase unwinds like I think.
Ultimately, you guys are the ones who will be making the trading decisions. I just want you to be aware that the markets are extremely volatile right now and the data is pointing to a very clean Excess Phase Peak (EPP) pattern.
As you are all aware, the EPP pattern suggests that a breakdown in price is likely where price may attempt to target the FLAG LOW.
If that happens, be prepared for a -15% to -20% breakdown in price before the end of 2025 - possibly seeing an even bigger price collapse.
In my opinion, this breakdown is the result of a broad unwinding of excesses related to the Biden economy (free money) and a move towards more reasonable US economic policies.
Overall, this pullback is necessary for the Wave 1 of Wave 5 structure to complete. Once this pullback is complete, the bigger rally phase (Wave 3 of Wave 5) will begin. And get ready for a big rally phase with Wave 3.
So, I hope this video helps you learn how to identify and plan for some of the biggest price swings in the SPY/QQQ, and prepare for even bigger moves in Gold/Silver and Bitcoin.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
NASDAQ (CASH100) – Buy the Dip or Trend ReversalThe Cash100 has been trending in an upward channel since May 2025.
Today, price has broken through diagonal support.
For confirmation that the upward channel is over, I will be looking for these signals:
✅ First signal: a 4H close below diagonal support.
✅ Second signal: a retest of the diagonal. If price fails to reclaim,
I’ll start looking for short setups if both signals above confirm.
What do you think — is the uptrend finally breaking, or will buyers step back in? 👀
Thanks for checking out my post! Make sure to follow me to catch the next update. If you found this helpful, give it a like 👍 and share your thoughts 💬 — I’d love to hear what you think!
Please note: This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.















