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NAS100 (Nasdaq) Key Levels and Probable Draw on LiquidityA clear bullish market structure driven by an aggressive upward displacement. This energetic move to the upside has created several price inefficiencies, or gaps, which are areas where price delivery was one sided. Currently, price is consolidating in a premium range, above the equilibrium of the recent impulse leg. The logical draw on liquidity, or the ultimate target for this bullish momentum, is the distinct old high labeled as the "d cisd level" (Daily change in the state of delivery). The market is likely reaching for this level to clear out any resting buy side orders. ‍ Before reaching that ultimate target, a retracement is a high probability event. Price may pull back to rebalance the inefficiency at the "4h cisd level", which should now act as a significant support area. This would represent a move back into a relative discount, offering a more favorable entry for buyers aiming for the highs. Should this level fail, a deeper retracement into the larger green zone labeled "OTE" would signify an optimal entry point within the overall bullish leg. The narrative remains bullish as long as these key lower levels of support are respected. The alternative path would likely have led to chasing price in a premium, resulting in a poor risk to reward entry. PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 CME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:MNQ1!
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by TradeConfirmed
The #1 Trading Skill: Controlling Your RiskThe secret to trading isn’t winning every trade - it’s about managing risk. Risk management and trading. This is one of the most important topics if you’re serious about becoming a profitable trader. Risk management is the foundation of trading. If you don’t manage your risk you won’t make it. Simple as that. No one can predict whether the market will go up or down with 100% certainty. That’s why as traders we can never fully control how much profit we make. But we can control one thing. How much we lose. And that brings us to the first step in risk management. Understanding the power of the risk-reward ratio. When choosing a trading strategy that suits you one of the factors to consider is its risk-reward ratio. Every strategy has its own balance between risk and potential reward and understanding this is key. This is where we need to put our math brains to work. What is the risk-reward ratio? Simply put it tells us how much we stand to gain for every unit of risk we take. It’s a straightforward but powerful metric that helps determine whether a strategy can be profitable over time. Let’s break it down with a simple example: • If your strategy has a 1:1 risk-reward ratio it means that for every $100 you risk you aim to make $100 in profit. Win or lose the potential gain and loss are the same. • If your strategy has a 1:2 risk-reward ratio you risk losing $100, but if the trade goes your way you make $200. This means your potential reward is twice as big as your risk. • If your strategy has a 1:5 risk-reward ratio for every $100 you risk you have the chance to make $500. Here the possible reward is much greater than the risk you take. Your risk-reward ratio has a big impact on your overall profitability. But the risk-reward ratio alone doesn’t tell the full story. To know if a strategy is truly profitable you also need to consider another key factor: Win rate. Your win rate is the percentage of trades that end in profit. This is where math and probabilities come into play. • If your strategy has a 50% win rate it means that out of 10 trades 5 are winners and 5 are losers. • If your win rate is 40% 4 out of 10 trades will be profitable. The key to long-term success is finding the right balance between risk-reward and win rate. • If you have a 1:1 risk-reward ratio and a 40% win rate your strategy won’t be profitable. Over 10 trades you win 4 times and lose 6 times. Since you win and lose the same amount per trade your losses will be bigger than your gains in the long run. • But with a 1:5 risk-reward ratio and the same 40% win rate your strategy becomes profitable. That’s because your winning trades make far more than you lose on your losing trades. The takeaway? There’s no such thing as a right or wrong strategy only ones that are profitable or unprofitable. The key is to find a strategy that gives you a mathematical edge over time.
FPMARKETS:US100Education
by kathrineswp
Nasdaq-100: Trading Levels to WatchKey Zones Today Supply Zones (Red) Zone 1: 23,926 – 23,943 This is the upper resistance zone, located just below all time high. Sellers are likely positioned here, making it a strong area for potential rejection. A confirmed breakout and retest, however, would indicate buyer strength and could open the path toward new all-time highs. Zone 2: 23,854 – 23,880 A key intraday supply area with multiple prior rejections. Often acts as a liquidity pool, where failed breakouts can trigger sharp downside moves. A clean break and hold above would flip this zone into short-term support for continuation longs. Demand Zones (Green) Zone 3: 23,708 – 23,734 Formed around the recent breakout structure, this zone is expected to attract buyers on pullbacks. A sharp bounce here would confirm demand strength, while a decisive break below flips the area into resistance and could trigger continuation shorts. Zone 4: 23,551 – 23,577 A deeper support level, aligned with prior consolidation and buyer absorption. Strong bounce potential on first retest, but repeated tests weaken the level. A breakdown here would shift momentum clearly in favor of sellers and open space for a larger downside move. Nas100 - Cautiously Bullish, Waiting on Momentum Sentiment in the US100 is cautiously positive but fragile. Large-cap tech continues to support the index, and hopes of imminent Fed rate cuts provide additional tailwinds. Still, the index remains below its all-time high, and uncertainty around economic data and geopolitics keeps investors from going all-in. In short: there is momentum and optimism, but it rests on a fragile foundation where a single weak data point could quickly shift sentiment.
FPMARKETS:US100
by kathrineswp
Key levels for us100we are facing an strong liquidity zone then we are not going to go against it even it give us the shake out. now, if it breakt the 23,745 and then it shakes out we can go to the 23900s but, in the case that it breaks 23635 and dont manage to reclaim the 23681 we can expect a fall but i dont see the fall that near. However lets see what tomorrow holds for us. Btw if it shakes out the 23748 we will cover once it reaches 23879 50 to 70% and then the rest we will see how we can add along the way.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by XMONCAYOX8
Buy zone of Nas100If we start trading inside the triangle again, then there is a possibility sellers will step in the market and push the market lower to the buy zone area. The triangle pattern is a strong indication of sell - however, the overall market structure of Nas100 is bullish, therefore, I will not be taking sells if sellers do step in the market, I will still wait for buy entries. If the market trades up, and breaks resistance, I will look for buy entries on smaller TF and continue with the bullish momentum.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by alincume0007
US100 – Today’s Key Trading ZonesHere are today’s trading zones for the US100. The levels are not fixed buy or sell signals, but decision areas where price often accelerates. Rejections can set up counter-trades, while clean breaks and retests can create continuation opportunities. Zone 1 This area represents a major resistance close to the historical top. Price entering this zone carries a high probability of seller absorption and sharp rejection. A clean breakout and hold above would shift sentiment and open the door for new highs. Zone 2 A key decision area from previous weekly highs. Often acts as a liquidity pool where breakout traps are common. A strong rejection can offer short opportunities, while a confirmed break and retest may flip the zone into support. Zone 3 This level has repeatedly attracted strong reactions and carries high resting liquidity. Expect aggressive order flow here – either a sharp bounce for longs or, if broken, a continuation short on retest. Zone 4 Formed around a strong 4H engulfing pattern and aligned with yesterday’s low. Buyers are likely to defend this level, making it a key intraday demand zone. A decisive break below would indicate seller dominance and could accelerate downside momentum. Market Sentiment – Cautious Optimism Overall sentiment in the US100 remains cautiously optimistic, supported by strong performance in Big Tech and expectations of a more dovish Fed. Still, the backdrop is fragile given broader macroeconomic signals, with investors balancing optimism against underlying economic risks. Big Tech Drives the Market Large-cap tech stocks led the market higher at record pace. Alphabet surged nearly 9%, Apple advanced 3–4%, and Tesla gained about 1.4%, boosted by a favorable antitrust ruling and strong technical momentum. Alphabet even reached a new record high, underscoring the sector’s ability to lift the entire index. Macro Data – Mixed but Supportive Weaker job openings data reinforced expectations of Fed rate cuts, a positive driver for growth stocks as lower bond yields support risk appetite. At the same time, the ISM Services PMI rose to 52.0, marking a third straight month of expansion and showing resilience in the services sector despite manufacturing weakness and a cooling labor market.
FPMARKETS:US100
by kathrineswp
US100 on Shaky Ground – What Traders Should Watch TodayZones in Focus The marked zones on the chart are not fixed buy or sell levels but decision areas where price is likely to accelerate and create short-term opportunities. Red zones (potential supply): If price trades into these areas and shows rejection, it can set up short positions. A clean break above, however, flips the zone into potential support, opening the door for continuation longs. Green zones (potential demand): If price reaches these areas and bounces sharply, it can provide long setups. A decisive break lower, by contrast, turns the zone into resistance, creating opportunities for continuation shorts on a retest. The framework is built around letting price action on the 5-minute chart confirm the reaction: rejections favor counter-trades, while breakouts and retests favor continuation in the direction of the move. The Market Is Sending Mixed Signals The latest JOLTS report showed U.S. job openings falling to 7.18 million in July, below expectations of 7.38 million and down from 7.36 million in June. That makes it the lowest reading in ten months – and for the first time since the COVID era, there are more unemployed workers than available jobs. For equities, this kind of data is a double-edged sword. On one hand, fewer openings cool the labor market and strengthen the case for earlier Fed rate cuts. On the other, if the trend deepens, it signals weaker economic momentum and risks feeding through to lower earnings growth. Mood Check: Nasdaq Between Hope and Fear The mood in the Nasdaq-100 is cautiously optimistic, yet undeniably fragile. The bright side: Big Tech carried the index higher yesterday, with Alphabet rallying 9% and Apple 3–4%. That added roughly 1% to the Nasdaq-100 and reminded us how concentrated the index still is – a single positive headline can shift sentiment fast. At the same time, falling yields and softer labor data fuel hopes that the Fed may soon move toward cuts, a clear tailwind for growth stocks. The risk side: Macro signals tell a different story. The ISM confirmed that manufacturing remains in contraction, and JOLTS made clear that the labor market is cooling. Inflation pressure may be easing, but so is economic momentum. That keeps investors defensive, even as the index rallies. The Bigger Picture Taken together, US100 sentiment is leaning positive in the near term, but the foundation is shaky. Gains are being driven more by mega-cap strength and expectations of rate relief than by broad economic resilience. Until the macro backdrop turns more convincingly, every rally remains vulnerable.
FPMARKETS:US100
by kathrineswp
nas retest longim on fire today, made about 4k usd in the morning session. but im looking at this one, conditions, looking for uk to dump, then usa to pump back up, will look at 5 mins candles to see entry. i want to see some wicks or support. if doesn't dump before USA timezone, i rather stay out as we got 3 news tonight, looking very choppy, likely will stay out of usa market today, just price action and take some small wins here and there. my scalping im on 7 trading day win streak, about 80% winrate.
BLACKBULL:NAS100Long
by Formedzeus
ict conceptsTrading foreign currencies can be a challenging and potentially profitable opportunity for investors. However, before deciding to participate in the Forex market, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. Most importantly, do not invest money you cannot afford to lose. There is considerable exposure to risk in any foreign exchange transaction. Any transaction involving currencies involves risks including, but not limited to, the potential for changing political and/or economic conditions that may substantially affect the price or liquidity of a currency. Investments in foreign exchange speculation may also be susceptible to sharp rises and falls as the relevant market values fluctuate. The leveraged nature of Forex trading means that any market movement will have an equally proportional effect on your deposited funds. This may work against you as well as for you. Not only may investors get back less than they invested, but in the case of higher risk strategies, investors may lose the entirety of their investment. It is for this reason that when speculating in such markets it is advisable to use only risk capital.
FOREXCOM:NAS100Short
by SiyaVK
US100 – London Session OutlookTrading Focus The marked zones on the chart highlight areas where I look for small but quick intraday moves. There are two potential sell zones and two potential buy zones. If a zone breaks, I look for continuation trades on a retest of that same level. This approach allows me to capture short, tactical opportunities with clear risk levels, while adapting quickly if price breaks structure. Macro Update – Manufacturing Still Under Pressure Yesterday, the ISM Manufacturing PMI was released. The August figure came in at 48.7%, a slight improvement from July’s 48.0%, yet still below the 50% threshold that signals expansion. This indicates that U.S. manufacturing remains in contraction for the sixth consecutive month, though the slower pace points to some early signs of stabilization. New orders climbed back above 50%, suggesting demand may be recovering, but production and employment both weakened, and prices remained elevated, underscoring persistent cost pressures. Overall, the sector is still under strain, showing only tentative signs of recovery. Market Sentiment Overall, market sentiment is cautious. The rebound in new orders provides a hint of optimism, but weak production, soft labor data, and sticky input costs keep investors on edge. Traders remain defensive, seeking confirmation before committing risk in what is still a fragile backdrop. What’s Next – JOLTS Job Openings Today, all eyes are on the JOLTS Job Openings report, a key gauge of U.S. labor market strength. A higher reading signals tight labor conditions, keeping wage and inflation pressures high and limiting the Fed’s ability to cut rates. A weaker reading suggests cooling demand for workers, supporting the case for easing. This release has the potential to move markets quickly, adding another layer of volatility.
FPMARKETS:US100
by kathrineswp
US 100 Buy-Stop, 4H/1D Close Above ResistanceUS 100 has closed above Resistance on 4 Hour and Daily Timeframe. It is in Bullish Trend on Daily Timeframe. The trend is very likely to continue based on Technicals. Moreover, it is likely that Federal Reserve will lower the interest rates in the Unied States. If that happens, financial markets will continue the upward trajectory. That however, is a long-term projection. Our trade setup here is just 1:1 but we can see more such trades in the future.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Shafy-Butt