NDQ trade ideas
NAS100 - Potential TargetsDear Friends in Trading,
Keynote:
Resistance & Demand is still the same
Yesterday was limited - Overlap was one sided - UK banks were closed
I am only biased LONG - due to High Timeframe BIAS - bigger picture.
How I see it:
1) A break above or a break below is possible
2) BELOW - I will wait for reaction in strong demand zone.
3) ABOVE - There is some imbalance to fill, but I will close before resistance.
4) A clear and decisive break above 23580 will support price higher.
5) Between resistance and demand we are still lingering within -
INTERNAL STRUCTURE.
Let's see:
Price is setting up at same confluence as yesterday.
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
US100 / NASDAQ Technical AnalysisThe Nasdaq index is currently trading near 23,400, heading for a price correction after its recent rally.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
If the price remains consistently below the 23,400 area, it will likely test the 23,200 level, which is a potential bounce zone.
🔺 Bullish Scenario:
Should a rebound signal appear and the price successfully breaks and holds above 23,560, this could support a continued rally toward 23,800.
NAS100 Overextended: Support or Further Downside Ahead?The NAS100 is currently overextended following Friday’s strong rally. From a technical perspective, I’m anticipating a potential retracement toward equilibrium, aligning with the 50% Fibonacci level of the prior price swing. This zone will be key in determining whether price establishes support and resumes its bullish continuation, or if a breakdown occurs that could signal further downside risk. (Not financial advice.)
NASDAQ 100 Near Key Support — Decision Zone AheadUSNAS100 – Overview
After Powell’s speech lifted market sentiment and boosted Fed cut bets, tech remains in focus ahead of Nvidia’s earnings (Aug 27) — a potential key catalyst for NASDAQ’s next big move.
🔹 Technical Outlook
Price action still looks bearish in the short term, with potential continuation down toward 23,295.
If the index stabilizes above 23,295, a bullish reversal can start building.
Otherwise, a break below 23,295 exposes the next supports at 23,165 and 23,045.
On the upside, holding above 23,520 would support renewed bullish momentum toward 23,695.
🔹 Key Levels
Support: 23,295 – 23,165 – 23,045
Resistance: 23,530 – 23,690 – 23,870
✅ Summary:
NASDAQ remains under pressure but is trading close to a decision zone. Stabilization above 23,295 could trigger a bullish rebound, while a breakdown would extend the bearish move. With Powell’s dovish tilt and 90% cut bets already priced in, all eyes now turn to Nvidia earnings to determine if tech can lead the next rally.
US100 Price Bullish Looks expertise Bounced backThe US100 index has recently shown signs of consolidation that could be interpreted as bullish. Despite experiencing multiple pullbacks over the past months — each ranging from 3.5% to 4% — the index consistently bounced back. These sharp drops were not trend reversals but rather buying opportunities during deep pullbacks.
Last week, the US100 fell approximately 4.3%, echoing previous retracements the market rebounded sharply following Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s comments, which hinted at a potential interest rate cut during the September FOMC meeting This rebound suggests that investors remain confident in the broader uptrend, using dips as entry points. If bullish momentum continues, we could see the US100 retesting its recent highs near the 24,001 level.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck Buddies.
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis.
Nas100 Breakdown with Trade Setup🕰 Weekly Structure
Price has completed a Wave (3) high and is now transitioning into a corrective Wave (4) phase.
The broader market cycle suggests sell-side liquidity is being targeted before any new impulsive leg higher.
The EMA structure is still bullish long-term, but retracements are healthy after extended rallies.
Key downside zones:
21,985 – 22,135 (mid-support pocket)
16,962 – 16,353 (deeper retracement if correction extends)
📉 Daily Timeframe
Current daily candles are rejecting the upper levels after tagging swing-high liquidity.
Price is consolidating near the swing range support line (~22,700–23,200).
Buyers are defending the level marked by the green triangle, aligning with a previous Wave (3) pivot.
If this level holds, we may see a relief rally targeting 23,800–24,200 before deciding the next move.
⏱ 1H Short-Term View
Price recently tapped into sell-side liquidity (SSS) and bounced from the 71% fib retracement + demand zone.
A change of character (ChoCH) is visible from the highlighted yellow candle, indicating buyers are stepping in.
Expect a possible bullish leg toward 23,800 – 24,000 if higher-low structure confirms.
If 23,200 fails, downside liquidity sits at 23,000 → 22,700.
🎯 Trade Plan
Bias: Short-term bullish relief rally inside larger corrective Wave (4).
Entry Zone: 23,200 – 23,400 demand retest.
Target 1: 23,800 (SS liquidity pocket)
Target 2: 24,000–24,200 (daily resistance)
Invalidation: Sustained close below 23,000 → opens path to 22,200.
📌 Summary
NAS100 looks corrective after a strong multi-month bullish wave. Near-term, liquidity sweep setups favor a bounce into 23,800+ as long as 23,000 holds. Medium-term, Wave (4) correction could extend deeper into 22k–20k levels before the next major bullish wave.
Bearish drop off?USTEC has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a multi swing low support.
Pivot: 23,523.60
1st Support: 22,967.13
1st Resistance: 23,920.26
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NAS100 Rejection – Short Setup in PlayAnalysis:
NAS100 rejected from trendline resistance and broke below the rising channel, confirming bearish momentum. The rejection zone aligns with previous supply, and price is now pushing lower.
Resistance held at 23,450 – 23,500
Break below structure adds confluence to bearish bias
Next support area sits around 23,200 – 23,150
Outlook:
As long as price stays under the trendline, sellers have the upper hand. A clean close below 23,200 could open the way for deeper downside.
💬 Do you think NAS100 heads lower or finds support here?
NAS100 Buy Side Trade IdeaI have entered a buy position on NAS100 after a confirmed breakout above the descending trendline resistance. The price is holding above the Alligator moving averages, showing early bullish momentum. RSI is trading above the 60 level, indicating strengthening buying pressure. My entry is aligned with the breakout structure, with stop-loss placed below the recent support level and target positioned at the next resistance zone. This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, anticipating a continuation of upward momentum.
US100 / NASDAQ Technical AnalysisThe Nasdaq index is currently trading near 23,430, heading for a correction after a recent price rally.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
If the price remains below the 23,450 area, it may head toward testing 23,200, which is a potential bounce zone.
🔺 Bullish Scenario:
If we see signs of a rebound and the price successfully breaks and holds above 23,580, this could support a continued rally toward 23,800.
US100: Price Action Analysis Based On Historical MovementsUS100 Price Action Analysis Based On Historical Movements
In recent analysis, we’ve seen the US100 drop multiple times last month by around 3.5% to 4%, but each time it quickly bounced back, showing that these moves were simply buying opportunities during deep pullbacks.
The previous month, the index fell by about 4.3% due to fears over new tariffs on August 1st, but already recovered, which suggests that the bullish trend remains intact.
Last week the price fell again by almost -4.3% and rebounded due to Powell's comment about a possible interest rate cut at the September meeting.
As we can see, this is a recurring price behavior.
If the momentum continues, the US100 could retest the highs near 23,950, and could also rise to 24,500.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
NAS100 - Bearish Setup!Markets gaps to fill, starting off in the higher time frame price plumeted from the supply zone. From there we had a strong support thats been formed.
We are AIMING for that support zone. Change Of Character HAS been created already giving me confirmation to look for selling opportunities in this market range.
Reacting of the smaller supply zone I will be anticipating a 71% retracement back into the supply to fill imbalance before shorting into that support that we suggested would be our target.
Good luck to anyone that follows
NASDAQ Can this 1D MA50 rebound be sustainable?Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since May 12 and last week made a double rebound very close to its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). That is technically the latest Higher Low of the pattern and as long as it holds, we should see the new Bullish Leg.
The last two major ones rose by roughly +10% each. Given that the 1D RSI also made a Double Bottom on its Support, we remain bullish on Nasdaq, targeting 24800.
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Nasdaq's Bearish Drift: Key Levels in FocusFenzoFx—Nasdaq's short-term trend is bearish. Friday's rally eased after the price filled the fair value gap with resistance at $23,569.00. Today, NQ displaced below the recent lows, currently trading inside the bullish FVG.
There is a relevant equal low at $23,012.00. From a technical perspective, the bearish outlook remains valid if the price holds below $23,569.00. In this scenario, we expect the market to fill the FVG with immediate support at $23,277.00.
Furthermore, if the selling pressure persists, Nasdaq could sweep the equal low by targeting the support at $22,950.00.
Nasdaq Eyes the 23,700 Resistance Ahead of NVDIA EarningsOn the Nasdaq front, all eyes are on NVIDIA’s Q2 earnings, with expectations for revenue around 45.9B and EPS between 1.00–1.01. While enthusiasm around AI continues to drive tech optimism, concerns remain over tariff risks with China, particularly regarding potential backdoors or tracking technologies in NVIDIA chips. These risks could limit revenue potential from the Chinese market
Nasdaq's rebound from the 22,900 mark appears sustainable, with daily RSI holding above the 50 neutral-barrier. A clean hold above 23,700 and 24,100 could pave the way toward new highs at 24,400 and 24,700, in line with continued AI-driven growth.
Downside: A break below 23,200, 22,900, and especially 22,700 would signal broader tech sector weakness, potentially aligning price action with 22,300 and 21,900 support zones.
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
A case for a correction of the US100While the long-term trend remains bullish, several short-term factors suggest the index is poised for a significant pullback.
Why the US100 Could Be Bearish
Several key factors point to a potential downturn for the US100 in the coming days:
Elevated Valuations and Overbought Conditions: The US100 has experienced a rapid and significant rally in recent months, fueled largely by the enthusiasm for AI and the "Magnificent 7" tech stocks. This has pushed the index to all-time highs, but it has also led to stretched valuations. Many technical indicators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI), show that the index is overbought, indicating that momentum may be running out and a correction is due. 📉
Doubt on a Fed Rate Cut: While recent inflation data showed a slight cooling, some analysts are pushing back against the idea of a certain September rate cut. The core inflation number remains above the Fed's 2% target, and some Fed officials may express a more cautious or "hawkish" stance at this week's Jackson Hole Symposium. A hawkish surprise from the Fed would likely lead to a sharp sell-off in growth stocks, which are sensitive to interest rates.
Geopolitical and Trade Uncertainty: The ongoing trade tensions, particularly with China, continue to create a cloud of uncertainty. While a temporary truce has been announced, any renewed rhetoric or action could trigger a flight to safety, with investors pulling money out of riskier assets like technology stocks.
Slowing Economic Growth: The U.S. economy's underlying health remains a concern. GDP growth in the first half of the year was modest, and the labor market has shown signs of weakening. This economic softness, combined with the potential for tariffs to increase inflation in the second half of the year, could lead to a less optimistic outlook for corporate earnings, especially for multinational tech companies.
Key Technical Levels to Watch
A breakdown of key support and resistance levels can help define the potential bearish path.
Primary Resistance Zone: The immediate overhead resistance is the all-time high zone, which sits between 23,875 and 24,000. A failure to break above this area would confirm a bearish bias.
Immediate Support: The first critical support level is around 23,690. A sustained break below this would likely trigger further selling.
Correction Targets: A deeper correction could see the index fall toward the 23,500 zone, which represents a key technical support level. If that level breaks, the next target for bears would be the 22,800 mark.
In summary, while the long-term trend remains positive, the confluence of high valuations, potential hawkish Fed commentary, and a weakening economic outlook creates a significant risk for a bearish correction in the US100 over the next two weeks.
NAS100 - Where will the stock market ?!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and has re-entered its ascending channel. If this channel is maintained, its upward path to the specified price target will be possible, but before that, the downward trend line must be broken in a valid way. If the channel is lost, the index's downward path will continue to around 23,000 points.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s latest remarks, delivered in a dovish tone, boosted bullish sentiment in financial markets and sparked a new wave of optimism among Wall Street investors and market participants. Following Powell’s speech, U.S. stock benchmarks surged sharply, with capital flows notably directed into the Russell 2000 index of small-cap companies, which jumped 3.86%—its strongest gain since April 9.
During his keynote at the Federal Reserve’s annual symposium, Powell implicitly suggested that an interest rate cut could come as soon as next month. At the same time, he warned of rising inflation risks and signs of slower economic growth, stressing that although risks are relatively balanced, the current environment may require an adjustment in monetary policy. He stated: “Given that monetary policy remains in a restrictive stance, the baseline outlook and the shifting balance of risks may warrant a reassessment of our policy stance.”
Naeem Aslam, chief investment strategist at Zaye Capital Markets, described Powell’s comments as a turning point for markets, saying: “Powell’s dovish tone came as a real surprise to many market participants who did not expect such an approach from the Fed Chair. His remarks were clearly interpreted as a dovish signal.”
Following Powell’s comments, traders raised their expectations for a September rate cut. Barclays revised its forecast and now expects the Federal Reserve to deliver two 25-basis-point cuts this year—in September and December.
Meanwhile, Fitch Ratings affirmed the U.S. sovereign credit rating at AA+ with a stable outlook, a decision made despite significant political uncertainty. According to Fitch, rising trade tariffs, government spending cuts, stricter border controls, and increased deportations have heightened policy uncertainty, weighing on household consumption and business investment.
Fitch projects that the U.S. economy will remain in recession in 2026, growing only 1.5%, as elevated inflation and policy uncertainty continue to dampen consumer spending. However, the agency expects that faster rate cuts that year could boost domestic demand, helping growth rebound to 2.1% in 2027.
This week, two key reports are in focus: the second estimate of Q2 GDP and July’s Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index. The initial GDP estimate showed a 3% expansion, and consensus forecasts anticipate confirmation of this figure. In contrast, the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model projects a 2.3% growth rate, which, while lower, still points to economic resilience and suggests no urgent need for accelerated rate cuts—even as political pressure from the White House on Powell continues. Notably, GDPNow will be revised on Tuesday ahead of the official release.
Inflation data, however, carry greater weight. The core PCE index, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, has closely tracked core CPI for the past decade. With July’s core CPI climbing from 2.9% to 3.1%, there is a risk that PCE will follow the same path. Such a scenario would signal persistent inflationary pressures and significantly reduce the likelihood of a second rate cut this year.
If these data confirm stronger inflation, the U.S. dollar will likely strengthen further, while equities could come under additional pressure. A slower pace of monetary easing diminishes the present value of future cash flows for growth-oriented companies, explaining why Wall Street’s corrective phase may persist.
On the corporate front, Nvidia’s CEO said that the ability to ship its H20 chip to China is highly valuable and poses no national security concerns. He added that the decision to supply a next-generation AI data center chip to China, which will succeed the H20, is not within Nvidia’s direct control. The company is set to report earnings on Wednesday and remains in discussions with the U.S. government, though no resolution has yet been reached. The CEO also mentioned that his brief visit to Taiwan would mainly involve a dinner with TSMC executives. He revealed TSMC’s new “Rubin” architecture, comprising six new chips, and announced that Nvidia will hold its GTC conference in Washington, D.C. for the first time.
Separately, Meta has halted AI hiring after onboarding more than 50 specialists with lucrative compensation packages. The freeze affects both new hires and internal transfers, unless personally approved by Alexander Wang, head of AI. In recent months, Meta has reorganized its AI division into four separate teams to advance its “superintelligence” projects. Analysts have warned about rising costs and equity grants, framing the hiring pause as part of broader budget control and organizational restructuring efforts.