Approaching 50% Fib Support?The Loonie (USD/CAD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 1.3755
1st Support: 1.3716
1st Resistance: 1.3816
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDCAD trade ideas
27-08-2025 USDCADThe market is not always chaotic and disorderly, and there is a precise geometric beauty hidden in price fluctuations. The harmonic form long strategy is a powerful tool for accurately identifying potential market reversal points based on the Fibonacci ratio. When the form forms perfectly at the key support level, it often indicates the depletion of bearish momentum and the initiation of bullish trends.
As shown in the figure: 1D Bearish Bat
USDCAD uptrend resistance at 1.3890The USDCAD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 1.3795 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 1.3795 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
1.3890 – initial resistance
1.3920 – psychological and structural level
1.3945 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 1.3795 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
1.3770 – minor support
1.3745 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the USDCAD holds above 1.3795. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USDCAD H4 | Potential Bearish Reversal AheadThe Loonie (USD/CAD) is rising towards the sell entry, which has been identified as a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to the downside.
Sell entry is at 1.3875, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 1.3941, which is a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 1.3793, which is an overlap support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USDCAD The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for USDCAD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.3827
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.3863
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USD/CAD – Potential Cup Formation with Bullish DivergenceThe pair is forming a textbook cup pattern, signaling a potential long-term bullish continuation. RSI shows clear bullish divergence at the bottom, supporting the reversal bias.
Key Observations:
- Cup structure is building with strong impulse waves.
- Second entry area marked for potential pullback-based re-entry.
- RSI confirms momentum shift with multiple bullish divergence signals.
- Target set near previous resistance zone.
Bias: Bullish
Reason: Bullish divergence + cup formation + structure shift.
Looking for higher lows and continuation toward the target area. Ideal for swing/position traders.
#USDCAD #Forex #CupPattern #RSI #BullishDivergence #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoney
USD/CAD - 6C1! : Trade update FundamentalThe US dollar index (DXY) gained strength against major currencies on Monday following a landmark trade agreement between the United States and the European Union. During the meeting in Scotland on Sunday, President Donald Trump and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen announced a new trade framework, which includes a 15% import tariff on EU goods—half of the 30% rate Trump had initially threatened to impose starting August 1.
The DXY opened higher at the start of the week, and it’s clear that most currencies are likely to see a decline in response. This trend also extends to pairs like the 6C1! (USDCAD), where the USD has been increasing its long positions. Last week, non-commercial traders added to their holdings, while commercial traders remain at their highest levels since 2021. Based on this setup, we are maintaining a bullish outlook and expect the continuation of our long position strategy.
Previous Idea :
✅ Please share your thoughts about USD/CAD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Is the USDCAD Rally Overextended Into Key Resistance Levels?The USDCAD is currently testing a formidable resistance zone following a period of strong bullish momentum. The primary catalyst for this upward repricing has been a clear divergence in monetary policy. The Federal Reserve is maintaining its hawkish bias, supported by persistent U.S. inflation data, which provides underlying strength to the dollar. 🦅 Conversely, moderating CPI in Canada has allowed the Bank of Canada to adopt a more dovish tone, creating a fundamental headwind for the loonie. 🍁
From a technical standpoint, the rally appears overextended, with momentum indicators suggesting the pair is now in overbought territory. 🛑 We're observing signs of price exhaustion as it challenges this key multi-month resistance level. Institutional sentiment is consequently shifting towards caution. The key strategic question now is whether we see a confirmed breakout on significant volume or a mean reversion scenario. At these levels, the risk-reward profile for new long positions is becoming unfavorable without further confirmation. I'm monitoring for either a decisive close above this zone or for signs of a corrective pullback. Stay sharp.
USDCAD – Short-Term Bullish Trend Following Political NewsHello, it's great to be back with everyone.
Today, the OANDA:USDCAD pair is in an interesting phase. After a strong rally, the price has corrected and, at the time of writing, the pair is trading around 1.385, finding support from the area marked on the chart.
Recently, the news of U.S. President Donald Trump firing Fed Governor Lisa Cook has put light selling pressure on the Loonie. This event could strengthen the USD against the CAD as the market concerns the stability of U.S. politics and Fed policies, leading to a short-term bullish trend for USDCAD.
Keep an eye on the key levels to look for suitable trading opportunities.
USDCAD: Bullish Move from Support Confirmed📈USDCAD has approached a significant confluence cluster, which is defined by a rising trend line and horizontal support on a 4-hour timeframe
The formation of a double top suggests a high probability of a subsequent retracement.
The target objective is 1.3889.
Usdcad H4 USDCAD H4 Analysis
On the H4 timeframe, we have:
• A clear Bullish FVG
• An Order Block supporting the buy side
• Market structure aligned with a bullish CRT
🟢 Plan: As soon as price retests the H4 FVG or the Order Block, we’ll look for confirmation on lower timeframes to enter a buy setup.
Discipline + patience = high-probability trades.