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USDEUR trade ideas

Euro Dollar Bullish Outlook📊 Technical Structure EUR/USD is consolidating around 1.1840 after pulling back from fresh four-year highs near 1.1879. The chart highlights a bullish continuation setup, with price currently testing the mid-range and eyeing a potential rebound from the support zone 1.1805 – 1.1790. A sustained break above 1.1874 resistance could open the path toward 1.1880+. 🎯 Trade Setup Entry: 1.1805 – 1.1795 (near support zone) Stop Loss: 1.1790 (below support) Take Profit: 1.1875 / 1.1880 (resistance zone) Risk/Reward: ~1 : 4.96 🗝️ Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: 1.1875 – 1.1880 Support Zone: 1.1805 – 1.1795 Major Resistance Above: 1.1900 psychological barrier 🌐 Macro Background The euro remains strong despite softer-than-expected Eurozone inflation, as traders focus on the Fed’s policy pivot. Markets widely expect a 25 bps Fed cut later today, with the possibility of one or two additional cuts before year-end. While weaker US labour data reinforces dovish Fed expectations, the risk remains that Powell could strike a less dovish tone, which might trigger short-term USD strength. In Europe, the ZEW sentiment rebound and steady industrial output offer modest support for the euro. 📌 Trade Summary EUR/USD shows a bullish bias as long as it holds above 1.1800, with upside targets at 1.1875–1.1880. Watch for volatility during the Fed decision and Powell’s press conference, as a less dovish outcome could spark a pullback before any continuation higher. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
Long
by ATFX_Global
VWAP Analysis on EURUSD: Anticipating Retracement + Bullish BoS📈 EURUSD has been in a strong bullish trend, showing significant upside expansion. In my view, price is now looking overextended. 📊 When applying the VWAP to the chart, we can see that price is currently trading two deviations above VWAP — a clear sign of stretched conditions. Historically, around midweek, we’ve seen aggressive retracements from similar levels. 🔎 I’m anticipating a potential pullback into my optimal entry zone 🎯. Should this occur, I’ll be closely watching for a bullish break of market structure (BoS) to align with a continuation entry. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always trade responsibly.
Long
by fxtraderanthony
NFP "Goldilocks" playbook? EURUSD triggers revealed!Markets are optimistic and consolidating ahead of the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, with EUR/USD poised for a breakout, plus a quick technical overview of gold, GBP/USD, and USD/JPY. Mood : Buoyant—risk assets and equities are near weekly highs, bond yields are easing. Consensus : A "Goldilocks" NFP (not too hot, not too cold) is expected, supporting a 25bp Fed rate cut this month and possibly another by year-end. Catalysts : Recent softer labour data and dovish Fed commentary have fueled bets on a more accommodative policy stance. EUR/USD Conditional Scenarios Key Levels: Support at 1.1524, 1.1580, 1.1600, 1.1625; Resistance at 1.1700, 1.1735, 1.1760, 1.1830 Scenarios : Strong NFP : Sell 1.1650–1.1670, targets 1.1600/1.1580/1.1524, stop 1.1700 Goldilocks NFP : Range trade 1.1625–1.1700, buy/sell at edges, stops 1.1580/1.1720 Weak NFP : Buy 1.1630–1.1650, targets 1.1735/1.1760/1.1830, stop 1.1600 Risk : 1–2% per trade, always use stops, watch for ECB-driven reversals This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Long
by ThinkMarkets
7
EURUSD Strengthens in Upward Channel: Next Target at 1.19850?Hello everyone, Ken here! Looking at the current market, it's clear that EURUSD is moving within a strong upward channel. This trend is not only clear but solid, with the next target around 1.19850, a crucial level at the upper boundary of the channel. This gives us confidence that the bullish trend will continue in the near future, though we still need to watch out for some factors. While the main trend is leaning towards the buyers, we know the market never moves in a straight line without adjustments. A short-term pullback could happen, and this would present a great opportunity for us to enter, especially if strong bullish candlestick patterns, like engulfing candles, appear to confirm continued buying strength. If the price breaks above recent highs, it will further reinforce the bullish momentum, pushing EURUSD toward the next target. However, as we know, nothing is certain. If the price breaks below the lower boundary of the channel, we’ll need to reassess the bullish outlook, as this could signal a potential change in the trend. Remember, what we share here is just our personal opinion—not financial advice. Always double-check your setups and manage your risk carefully before making any trading decisions.
Long
by Kenn_Nguyen
3
EURUSD is expected to break through 1.190Recently, the USDX has continued to decline due to expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut. This has driven the EURUSD to a four-year high. On the 4-hour chart, the EURUSD continues to rise, demonstrating a clear bullish trend. Currently, the upward trend line is providing effective support for the price. Investors can watch for buying opportunities around 1.1820, with the price potentially breaking through the 1.190 level in the short term.
Long
by XTrendSpeed
EURUSD Daily Forecast -Q3 | W38 | D17 | Y25| Video Breakdown📅 Q3 | W38 | D17 | Y25| 📊 EURUSD Daily Forecast - Video Breakdown 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀
Short
by JCFRGNT
EURUSD Daily Forecast -Q3 | W38 | D17 | Y25|📅 Q3 | W38 | D17 | Y25| 📊 EURUSD Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:EURUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
1
EURUSD is expected to break through 1.190Recently, the USDX has Recently, the USDX has continued to decline due to expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut. This has driven the EURUSD to a four-year high. On the 4-hour chart, the EURUSD continues to rise, demonstrating a clear bullish trend. Currently, the upward trend line is providing effective support for the price. Investors can watch for buying opportunities around 1.1820, with the price potentially breaking through the 1.190 level in the short term.
Long
by XTrendSpeed
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the resistance area 1.18500.Dear colleagues, the upward movement is not over yet and I think wave “3” is not over yet. At this stage, I believe that the correction has already taken place or will soon end in the support area of 1.16573, then I expect the upward movement to continue to the resistance area of 1.18500. This is a pretty strong area, as this is where the high of the big wave “3” (Red) is located. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Long
by Hellena_Trade
23
EUR/USD – Ascending Triangle Breakout WatchOn the 4H chart, EUR/USD is forming an ascending triangle, with higher lows pressing against the resistance area near 1.1780 – 1.1800. A confirmed breakout above this resistance could open the path toward 1.1850+ levels, while rejection may lead to another retest of the ascending support trendline. This structure highlights how traders often monitor ascending triangles for potential continuation setups, especially when price consolidates near key resistance. This analysis is for educational purposes only, not financial advice.
Long
by ProfitMagnet-Pro
15
Climate Change & Carbon TradingPart I: Understanding Climate Change 1. The Science of Climate Change Climate change refers to long-term shifts in temperatures and weather patterns, largely caused by human-induced greenhouse gas emissions. The main GHGs include: Carbon dioxide (CO₂): from burning fossil fuels (coal, oil, gas) and deforestation. Methane (CH₄): from agriculture (especially livestock), landfills, and fossil fuel extraction. Nitrous oxide (N₂O): from fertilizers and industrial processes. Fluorinated gases: synthetic gases from industrial and refrigeration processes. The Earth’s average temperature has already risen by over 1.2°C since pre-industrial times, and the IPCC warns that exceeding 1.5°C will trigger catastrophic and irreversible impacts. 2. Impacts of Climate Change Extreme Weather: More frequent hurricanes, droughts, heatwaves, and floods. Rising Seas: Melting polar ice and thermal expansion threaten coastal communities. Biodiversity Loss: Ecosystems struggle to adapt to rapid changes. Agriculture: Crop failures and food insecurity increase. Economic Damage: Billions lost annually in disaster recovery and adaptation. Human Health: Heat stress, spread of diseases, and air pollution-related illnesses. 3. Global Climate Agreements Recognizing the urgency, countries have come together to negotiate climate treaties: 1992: UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) – set the stage for global cooperation. 1997: Kyoto Protocol – introduced binding emission reduction targets and created the first carbon trading systems. 2015: Paris Agreement – nearly 200 countries pledged to limit warming to “well below 2°C” and ideally to 1.5°C. Carbon trading emerged out of these international negotiations as a way to reduce emissions efficiently and cost-effectively. Part II: The Concept of Carbon Trading 1. What is Carbon Trading? Carbon trading is a market-based mechanism to control pollution by providing economic incentives for reducing emissions. It works by setting a limit (cap) on the total amount of greenhouse gases that can be emitted. Companies or countries receive emission allowances under this cap, and these allowances can be traded. In simple terms: If a company emits less than its allowance, it can sell its surplus credits. If a company emits more than its allowance, it must buy credits or face penalties. This creates a financial value for carbon reductions, encouraging innovation and efficiency. 2. Types of Carbon Trading (a) Cap-and-Trade Systems A central authority sets a cap on emissions. Companies receive or buy allowances. Trading occurs in a regulated market. Example: European Union Emissions Trading System (EU ETS). (b) Carbon Offsetting / Voluntary Markets Organizations or individuals invest in projects that reduce or absorb emissions (like reforestation, renewable energy). Credits are generated from these projects and sold in voluntary markets. Popular among corporations aiming for “carbon neutrality.” 3. Carbon Credits & Carbon Allowances Carbon Credit: A certificate representing one metric ton of CO₂ reduced or removed. Carbon Allowance: A permit under a regulatory cap-and-trade scheme, allowing the holder to emit one ton of CO₂. Part III: Evolution of Carbon Trading 1. The Kyoto Protocol and Early Systems The Kyoto Protocol (1997) introduced three mechanisms: International Emissions Trading (IET): Countries with surplus emission units could sell them to others. Clean Development Mechanism (CDM): Allowed industrialized countries to invest in emission-reduction projects in developing countries. Joint Implementation (JI): Similar projects between developed countries. This created the foundation of the global carbon market. 2. European Union Emissions Trading System (EU ETS) Launched in 2005, EU ETS remains the largest carbon trading scheme in the world. It covers power plants, industry, and aviation within Europe. It works in phases, gradually tightening emission caps and increasing the cost of carbon allowances. 3. Other Carbon Markets Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI) in the U.S. California Cap-and-Trade Program. China’s National ETS (2021): now the world’s largest by coverage. India & South Korea exploring voluntary and compliance-based systems. Part IV: Benefits of Carbon Trading 1. Economic Efficiency Carbon trading allows emissions to be reduced where it is cheapest to do so. This avoids uniform, rigid regulations. 2. Incentivizing Innovation By putting a price on carbon, businesses are encouraged to develop renewable energy, energy efficiency, and carbon capture technologies. 3. Flexibility for Companies Firms can choose between reducing emissions in-house or purchasing credits. 4. Revenue for Governments Auctioning allowances generates billions in revenue, which can be invested in climate adaptation, renewable energy, and social welfare. 5. Encouraging Global Cooperation Projects under mechanisms like CDM foster technology transfer and sustainable development in developing nations. Part V: Criticisms and Challenges 1. Over-allocation and Low Prices Early systems often gave too many free allowances, leading to low carbon prices and weak incentives to reduce emissions. 2. Risk of Greenwashing Some companies use cheap offsets instead of making real emission reductions. 3. Measurement and Verification Issues Ensuring that carbon offset projects actually reduce emissions is complex. For instance, how do we prove a forest will not be cut down in the future? 4. Unequal Impact Poor communities may bear the brunt of offset projects (land grabs for tree plantations, displacement of locals). 5. Market Volatility Carbon prices can be unstable, creating uncertainty for businesses planning long-term investments. Part VI: Carbon Trading in India India, as a fast-growing economy and the world’s third-largest emitter, plays a key role. The government has launched initiatives like: Perform, Achieve, and Trade (PAT): improving industrial energy efficiency. Renewable Energy Certificates (RECs): promoting green electricity. Carbon Credit Trading Scheme (2023): a framework for compliance and voluntary carbon markets. If implemented effectively, India could become a major player in global carbon markets while balancing development and sustainability. Conclusion Climate change is not only an environmental challenge but also an economic, social, and ethical one. Carbon trading has emerged as one of the most significant tools to address it, creating financial incentives for emission reductions. From the Kyoto Protocol to the Paris Agreement, carbon markets have evolved into a central pillar of global climate policy. However, carbon trading is no silver bullet. Its success depends on strict caps, transparent monitoring, fair distribution, and integration with other climate policies. If designed well, carbon markets can drive innovation, fund green projects, and accelerate the global transition to a low-carbon future. Ultimately, carbon trading is a means to an end. The real goal is climate stability, protecting ecosystems, and ensuring a sustainable future for generations to come. For that, both markets and morality must work hand in hand.
Education
by GlobalWolfStreet
EURUSD: Exhausting Uptrend Around 1.1930-1.2400The EUR/USD pair shows signs of losing momentum on the chart, which is expected as it is currently in the final (5th) wave of a larger wave C or 3. The RSI indicates a second consecutive bearish divergence, but the uptrend could continue for a while. The price is likely to reach at least 1.1930, which is the level where wave C equals wave A, for symmetry. The blue box highlights the target area based on the Fibonacci sequence. It starts at 1.1930 and peaks around 1.2400, where wave 5 of wave C is projected to cover 61.8% of the distance from wave 1 to wave 3. We’re not predicting the reversal point yet; we’ll let the market reveal it in due time. Wishing us all lucky trades!
by aibek
EURUSD Bullish Impulse Structure Signals Further GainsThe short-term Elliott Wave analysis for EURUSD indicates an ongoing impulsive cycle that began on August 27. From that low, the pair has been advancing in a nested impulse structure. Wave ((i)) concluded at 1.1736, followed by a corrective pullback in wave ((ii)), which bottomed at 1.1605. The internal structure of wave ((ii)) unfolded as a zigzag pattern. Specifically, wave (a) declined to 1.161, wave (b) rallied to 1.1682, and wave (c) completed the correction at 1.1606, finalizing wave ((ii)) in the higher degree. The pair has since resumed its upward trajectory within wave ((iii)). From the wave ((ii)) low, wave i peaked at 1.1682, with a subsequent dip in wave ii ending at 1.1627. Wave iii surged to 1.1759, followed by a wave iv pullback to 1.1689. The advance in wave v reached 1.178, completing wave (i) in the higher degree. A corrective wave (ii) followed, forming a zigzag that ended at 1.1658. The pair then resumed its ascent in wave (iii), with wave i reaching 1.1746 and wave ii correcting to 1.1698. In the near term, as long as the pivot low at 1.1606 holds, any dips should find support in a 3, 7, or 11 swing, signaling further upside potential.
by Elliottwave-Forecast
EURUSD: Maintaining Uptrend Ahead of FOMCHello everyone, Observing the H1 chart, EURUSD continues its higher-low sequence since 13/9 and has just reclaimed the 1.1765–1.1770 zone with improved liquidity. The price is moving above the Ichimoku cloud upward, indicating buying pressure remains dominant. Short-term support lies around 1.1760–1.1750, with deeper support at 1.1740–1.1725, acting as a “step ladder” if the market experiences pullbacks. On the upside, near-term resistance sits at 1.1785–1.1800; breaking above this could open the way to 1.1820, the previous consolidation high. The most notable event this week is the FOMC, including the rate decision, dot-plot, and Powell’s comments. A dovish tone could ease USD and yields, paving the way for EURUSD to break past 1.1800. Conversely, hawkish signals might trigger a pullback toward 1.1740–1.1725. Additionally, US data such as Retail Sales, Jobless Claims, and Philly Fed, along with European releases including ZEW, final CPI, and ECB comments, could reinforce either scenario. Overall, the trend leans toward accumulating above 1.1750–1.1740 to test 1.1800/1.1820, but traders should remain cautious of strong two-way volatility around the FOMC. What are your thoughts on this view? Comment below!
by EmmaChartist
UPDATE - EUR/USD Extends Rally as Bullish Structure Holds FirmHi Everyone, A quick update on our EUR/USD idea shared earlier in the week: We saw the anticipated break higher, clearing both the 1.17889 level and the yearly high at 1.18300, which now shifts our focus to the higher levels above. In the near term, any pullbacks are expected to hold above the 1.16550 support, keeping the broader bullish structure intact. The impulsive rally from the 1st August low continues to underpin our bullish outlook on EUR/USD. Our broader view remains unchanged: we expect the pair to continue building momentum for another leg higher. With the decisive break above 1.17889, the focus now turns to the 1.18350–1.19290 zone, and ultimately the 1.20000 handle. We’ll be monitoring price action closely to see whether this recovery gains traction and if buyers can sustain momentum through resistance. The longer-term outlook remains bullish, provided price continues to hold above the key support levels. We’ll keep updating you throughout the week as the structure develops and share how we’re managing our active positions. Thanks again for all the likes, boosts, comments, and follows — your support is truly appreciated! All the best for the rest of the week. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
1