Get started

U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

No trades
See on Supercharts
OverviewNewsIdeasMindsTechnicalsSeasonalsEconomic Calendar

Trade ideas

Euro-dollar pushes lower after the NFPDeclining expectations of a cut by the Fed in December and a basically positive NFP on 20 November have supported the dollar against most other major currencies. Against the euro in particular the difference in rates is likely to continue to favour the dollar for much of 2026; the ECB seems to have finished its cycle of loosening for now but the Fed might only cut twice next year. $1.15 is an obvious potential support which the price is currently testing as a round number and being only slightly above the 23.6% weekly Fibonacci retracement. The 200 SMA seems to have been broken as a dynamic support and the 20 SMA is about to death cross it. Although there’s no definite sign of saturation – the slow stochastic at about 44 is actually very close to neutral – it’s possible that the downside below $1.15 is limited given the strength of the reaction in late September. $1.16 might be a resistance if there’s a bounce; the 50 SMA from Bands is about to move into this area. This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
Short
by Michael_Stark_Exness
EUR/USD – Bearish Continuation Within Parallel ChannelEUR/USD continues to respect a well-defined descending parallel channel, reacting cleanly to both the upper and lower boundaries. The most recent move rejected the upper trendline and local resistance zone, aligning with the broader bearish structure. With price now breaking lower from that rejection area, the trend remains intact and favors continuation to the downside. 🔹 Technical Notes Respect of channel highs and lows Rejection at resistance + trendline confluence Lower highs remain consistent Momentum shifting bearish again 📌 Potential Move: Continuation toward the lower boundary of the channel (around 1.142–1.146 range) As long as price remains below the recent rejection zone, bearish pressure remains valid.
Short
by Charts_M7M
EURUSD remains in a strong bearish structure on the 4H timeframePrice is clearly trading below all three Alligator lines, confirming a downside trend with no signs of exhaustion yet. RSI is sitting below 40, showing steady bearish momentum while still leaving room for continuation before reaching oversold conditions. 🔹 Key Technical Levels Sell Zone (Pullback): 1.1550 – 1.1580 High-probability entry area where Alligator lines converge. Look for bearish rejection candles. A clean 4H breakdown below this level confirms continuation. 🎯 Targets TP1: 1.1470 TP2: 1.1384 (major swing-low support) 🛑 Stop-Loss SL: 1.1620 to 1.1640 (above R2 / structure high) 📉 Why Bearish? The alligator indicator shows a fully opened bearish formation (lips < teeth < jaws). RSI below 40 confirms momentum on the downside. Market structure continues to print lower highs and lower lows. No bullish reversal signals present on 4H. ❌ Invalidation A 4H close above 1.1650 cancels the bearish setup.
Short
by BlackDiamond_SpecialEa
1
EURUSD is preparing for a major reversal counterattack?There are phases when the market drops so deeply that everyone believes the downtrend is already sealed. Yet right in the quietest moments, buying pressure begins to accumulate the strongest. EURUSD is now sitting precisely at that “compression point”. The latest economic data shows a clearly weakening USD: lower employment, rising unemployment, declining income, and the Fed signaling a softer stance. Meanwhile, Germany’s PMI came in better than expected, strengthening the EUR. -> Combined together: Strong EUR – Weak USD → The bullish trend becomes significantly reinforced. On the chart, EURUSD is forming a bottom around 1.15100 and moving into a highly attractive accumulation zone. The Ichimoku cloud is thinning, and price keeps bouncing from support — signaling an upcoming shift in momentum. The structure suggests a strong likelihood that EURUSD will retest 1.16000 within the next few sessions. The ideal entry zone sits around 1.15100 – 1.15250, targeting 1.15700 and later 1.16000. When fundamentals and technicals align, the bullish move is often very strong and very fast. EURUSD is “waking up” again, and unless unexpected volatility strikes, this breakout could happen sooner than most traders think.
Long
by Paradise_Noir
10
We Can Save our short position and save our profit and buy!!!Considering the following points, we are approaching a profitable area in Euro-Dollar: 1.Combination of Key Zones :The daily order block combines with the FVGH4, and the daily time order block is close to the FVG of the daily time. The combination of these zones may hide many unfilled orders, making it a potential trap for the market. 2.Profit Taking :Approaching the bottom of the daily range and profit-taking by traders who have been with the market since the start of the downtrend. 3.Daily Range :On the daily chart, we are in a discount area. 4.Dollar Index :The Dollar Index is also near a very important daily timeframe resistance, which could prevent further price growth.
Long
by makeithappenmes
EUR/USD – Bearish Momentum Remains Intact EUR/USD – Bearish Momentum Remains Intact as Price Compresses Inside a Tight Range EUR/USD on the H1 timeframe continues to trade within a narrow consolidation zone after a strong bearish impulse. The market structure remains decisively bearish, and the current sideways movement resembles a classic distribution phase before another potential downside continuation. Technical Overview (H1) 1. Strong Downtrend Structure • Multiple lower highs and lower lows • Red arrows on the chart mark clear bearish rejections • Sellers remain in control as each rally is met with supply pressure 2. Current Range: 1.1518 – 1.1540 • Price is compressing toward the top of the range • Wick rejections near the upper boundary indicate intraday selling interest • This type of consolidation often precedes a continuation move 3. Key Resistance Above: • 1.1540 – 1.1550 • Previous demand turned supply • A crucial level where sellers have defended multiple times 4. Downside Targets: • 1.1500 • 1.1480 These zones represent the next bearish liquidity pools if the range breaks downward. Expected Price Behavior The chart suggests: • A small push toward the upper boundary of the box • Followed by rejection and a drop toward the lower boundary • A break below 1.1518 could trigger a bearish continuation leg This aligns with the blue projection shown in the chart. Trading Strategy for Today Scenario 1 – Bearish Continuation (Primary Bias) Sell zone: 1.1535 – 1.1545 Confirmation: bearish engulfing or rejection wick Targets: • TP1: 1.1520 • TP2: 1.1500 • TP3: 1.1480 Stop loss: above 1.1555 This setup aligns with the downtrend and offers the highest probability. Scenario 2 – Breakout Sell If price closes below 1.1518 with momentum: • Sell on retest • Targets: 1.1500 → 1.1480 Scenario 3 – Bullish Reversal (Low Probability) Only consider if price breaks above 1.1555 • Would indicate a short-term structure shift • Next target: 1.1580 Market Sentiment Summary EUR/USD remains under bearish pressure, with current consolidation likely serving as a pause before continuation. As long as price stays below 1.1555, downside remains the dominant bias. If this analysis is helpful, remember to follow for more high-quality daily trading strategies.
by Henrybillion
EURUSD Flag Breakout&Fibonacci Pullback–Potential Re-Entry ZonesEURUSD has completed a clean flag pattern breakout, followed by a series of BOS (Break of Structure) confirmations, signaling strong bullish momentum. Price reached the major Fib retracement zone near 1.1680 and is now showing signs of a corrective pullback. Flag Pattern Breakout initiated the bullish move. Multiple BOS confirmations supporting trend continuation. Price now correcting from resistance. 38.2% (1.1620 area) 50% (1.1580 area) 61.8% (1.1560 area) If price retests these zones with bullish reactions, they could offer strong re-entry opportunities for buyers.
Short
by BUll-TradingClub
Elite | EUR/USD – Structural Breakout + Demand RetestFX:EURUSD Price has successfully transitioned from a multi-week range into bullish structure, confirmed by liquidity sweeps at the lows and a decisive break in the descending channel. The current retracement is retesting fresh demand — this zone will decide continuation power. Structure Notes • Strong downside liquidity sweep formed a base at 1.1500 zone • Break of structure confirms bullish control • Price now retesting 1.1580–1.1610 demand • Holding this zone keeps upside continuation valid Expectations If bulls defend demand and structure holds, continuation targets become active: 🎯 Target 1: 1.1712 🎯 Target 2 (Main Liquidity Objective): 1.1878 Invalidation: Break below 1.1580 weakens trend continuation and delays bullish projection. ⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes and market observation only — not financial advice.
Long
by Elite-Forex-Trades