It does not matter how slowly you go as long as you do not stop"TARGET HIT!
Euro weakness (thanks, political drama!)
The price accelerated lower, rewarding sellers with a clear run and my sellside liquidity was grabbed.
Trade ideas
EURUSD retracement continuesYesterday, EURUSD failed to form a higher low and extended its correction.
The next key support levels are 1,1593 and 1,1506.
Watch for a reaction around these support zones and potential buying opportunities.
Current levels are not suitable for aggressive entries!
EURUSD Long: Bounce Expected from 1.1660 DemandHello, traders! The prior market structure for EURUSD was defined by a descending channel, from which the price eventually broke out and entered a new consolidation range. The price action within this range has seen a rotation from the 1.1780 supply level down to the 1.1660 demand level, where buyer initiative has re-emerged.
Currently, the auction is trading near this 1.1660 demand level after a reversal from the lows. The market is showing signs of building support in this zone, suggesting that the corrective move from the range highs may be complete.
My scenario for the development of events is that after a final small correction, the price will continue its growth within the consolidation. I believe a successful defense of the demand zone will trigger a new rotation to the upside. The take-profit is therefore set at 1.1750, targeting the upper portion of the range. Manage your risk!
EURUSD : Status @ 7/10Direction: Sell
Signal triggered: 7/10/2025
Stop when:
a) Stop Loss @ 1.1721; or if
b) Buy signal triggered
Action:
Sell the high
Good luck.
After a long wait, we finally have a Sell Signal. We can refer to the green line @ 1.1659 as the resistance line now.
EUR/USD BEST PLACE TO BUY FROM|LONG
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the EUR/USD pair and we can see that the pair is going down locally while also being in a downtrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB lower band being nearby indicating that the pair is oversold so we can go long from the support line below and a target at 1.175 level.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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oct 7: failoh well i'm kinda ducked...
the volume bars, I forgot to add to my analysis, so I failed to see if it will be going up or not...
because, price move up isn't supported by CVD,
and the big displacement candle long was not supported by volume(above MA21 line),
so yeah the move up is fake. sad day ngl.
so, lesson:
to validate whether the price move is legit or not, is to look at volume bars, not just price action and CVD+FRVP.
EURUSD: Bearish Setup Builds Below $1.1778FenzoFx—Euro began dipping after it tapped into the bearish fair value gap with resistance at $1.1778. Looking at the 4-hour charts, we notice equal lows with liquidity resting below $1.1712.
From a technical perspective, we expect the price to start a new bearish leg if the fair value gap with resistance at $1.1778 holds. Please note that the downtrend outlook should be invalidated if the price closes and stabilizes above this mark.
EUR/USD Outlook - EUR/USD Awaits Next Directional MoveHi Everyone,
EUR/USD saw a brief relief rally before spending the remainder of the week consolidating within range.
Looking ahead, we’ll be watching closely to see whether the correction phase is complete. If price holds above the 25 September low at 1.16451, a retest of the 17 September high near 1.19193 remains likely. However, a break below that low would open the door for a move toward 1.15721 and potentially 1.14041, where fresh buying interest may re-emerge.
While there’s still scope for a deeper correction toward 1.14041, our immediate focus remains on 1.15721 as the key level to monitor.
The impulsive rally from the 1st August low continues to underpin our broader bullish outlook on EUR/USD. We expect the pair to retest support and reinforce it as a base for the next leg higher, with upside targets remaining at the 1.19290 zone and ultimately the 1.20000 handle.
We’ll be monitoring price action closely to see whether this recovery gains traction and if buyers can sustain momentum through resistance. The longer-term outlook remains bullish, provided price continues to hold above the key support levels.
We’ll keep updating you throughout the week as the structure develops and share how we’re managing our active positions.
Thanks again for all the likes, boosts, comments, and follows — your support is truly appreciated!
All the best for the rest of the week.
Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
EURUSD Last chance to maintain the long-term bullish trend.The EURUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Up since the April 21 High and today it came to the closest its been to the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). That is the trend-line that formed its last Higher Low on August 01.
As long as it holds, we expect a rebound, targeting at least Resistance 1 at 1.19190. A 1D candle close below it though, would be the first strong sign of a potential long-term bearish reversal on the market, targeting Support 2 and a potential contact with the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) at 1.13905.
The fact that the price is so close to the 1D MA100 makes it perfect for a tight SL strategy implementation on either case.
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EURUSD Massive Long! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for EUR/USD is below:
The market is trading on 1.1659 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 1.1691
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Fundamental Market Analysis for October 7, 2025 EURUSDThe euro (EUR) is weakening against the US dollar (USD) after France's new Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu and his government resigned on Monday, just hours after the cabinet was announced.
Sébastien Lecornu resigned just a few weeks after his appointment, making his government the shortest-lived in modern French history. This raises concerns about a new political crisis in France and puts some pressure on the euro.
The ongoing US government shutdown may raise concerns about its impact on the country's economy, which could lead to a decline in the dollar and become a favorable factor for the main currency pair.
The Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to cut rates by 25 basis points (bps) at its October meeting amid signs of a weakening labor market.
Trade recommendation: SELL 1.1665, SL 1.1745, TP 1.1480
EUR/USD - 4H Forecast (Full Breakdown Linked)🔥 EUR/USD – 4H Forecast 🔥
Alright traders, here’s the 4H play for the Fiber 👇
🧠 Bias:
Short-term bearish, baby. Price just printed a Break of Structure (BOS) after a clean shift in momentum from the upside. The bulls are losing steam, and sellers are creeping back into the driver’s seat.
🧩 Technical Breakdown:
Price rejected beautifully from a 4H supply zone around 1.1750–1.1770, confirming bearish intent.
We’ve got a solid BOS and shift, setting the tone for a potential continuation leg down.
A minor pullback into the 4H zone could act as the sniper’s entry area.
Below sits a juicy imbalance and SSL (sell-side liquidity) near 1.1530–1.1560, waiting to get cleared.
🎯 Trade Idea:
Entry Zone: 1.1700–1.1740 (4H supply retest)
Target 1: 1.1580 (mid-range demand)
Target 2: 1.1440 (major liquidity pocket)
Invalidation: Above 1.1780 (if price reclaims the 4H supply, bias flips)
⚙️ Risk Management:
Stick to your plan — 1–2% risk max. Wait for confirmation candles or lower-TF rejection before diving in. No FOMO entries.
💬 Summary :
EUR/USD looks primed for a bearish continuation unless the bulls pull off a miracle reclaim. Eyes on that 4H zone — rejection there could kickstart the next drop.
EURUSD Price is back in Support for Long OpportunitiesPrice is back in a strong support zone I am seeing a potential for a 3RR and a 5RR
Eur/Usd - Support Flips Confirms Bearish Continuation EUR/USD on the 15-minute timeframe is currently maintaining a bearish market structure after confirming a Break of Structure (BOS) toward the downside. The chart clearly shows that the previous support levels have flipped into resistance zones, indicating strong selling pressure and a structural shift in market direction. Price has retested the resistance area, where sellers are likely re-entering the market to continue driving the price lower.
The formation of a minor consolidation near the retest area suggests a possible liquidity grab before continuation, giving additional confirmation for a potential downward move. As long as price stays below the resistance zones, the momentum remains bearish, and a drop toward the support target zone is expected. This move aligns with the overall bearish order flow and market structure continuation, showing that sellers are still in full control until the next demand area is reached.
EUR/USD POTENTIAL SETUPEUR/USD 1H - How we getting on guys, I thought I would provide you all with a potential set up I have for the E/U market, as you can see price has been trading us bearish for some time.
I would love to see price continue this momentum, driving us lower, but of course we need to find a valid area of interest to get involved from to ensure we have a good entry in the market.
I had an area marked out last night from the gap that was left due to the open last night, price came to clear that perfectly but in doing so it also left a key area of Supply that has been left unmitigated. I would love to see price trade back up to clear this.
Once we have a mitigation of this zone we can begin looking to take the market short, getting ourselves involved in this momentum trading us lower. Its just a case of waiting patiently for us to be delivered with relevant confirmation before we take part.
EUR/USD – H1 Technical Analysis (October 6, 2025)Market Structure
EUR/USD has been trading in a sideways consolidation after a strong bearish swing from the previous high (~1.1820). Key observations from the chart:
First consolidation box around 1.1810–1.1760 marked a temporary balance before a sharp sell-off.
Second consolidation zone at 1.1740–1.1680 shows a narrow range where buyers were unable to push price higher.
The recent break below 1.1680 signals a potential continuation of the bearish momentum.
Key Levels
Resistance Zones:
1.1740–1.1760: Upper range of current consolidation. Strong seller presence.
1.1780–1.1800: Previous swing high; potential supply if price retraces.
Support Zones:
1.1640–1.1650: Immediate support, aligns with the recent liquidity grab.
1.1600–1.1610: Next major support, coincides with prior swing lows.
1.1560–1.1570: Deeper target if bearish trend persists.
Indicators & Trendlines
EMA Cluster (20, 50, 100 H1): All EMAs trending downward, confirming bearish bias.
RSI (14 H1): Currently near 30, oversold region. Short-term retracement possible but overall downtrend remains intact.
Trendline Analysis: Descending trendline connecting recent highs confirms strong bearish structure.
Fibonacci Retracement: 50%–61.8% retracement of last bearish leg could act as minor pullback resistance.
Trading Strategy
Scenario 1 – Continuation Sell
Entry: Below 1.1660 on retest/rejection of broken support.
Stop Loss: 1.1690
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 1.1640
TP2: 1.1610
TP3: 1.1570
Scenario 2 – Short-term Pullback (Buy on retracement)
Entry: 1.1680–1.1700 (minor pullback zone)
Stop Loss: 1.1660
Take Profit: 1.1720–1.1740 (resistance zone)
Note: Prioritize trades in the direction of the main trend (bearish). Avoid chasing rallies against momentum.
Summary:
EUR/USD is showing a bearish continuation pattern after breaking a key consolidation zone. Watch for retests of broken support for high-probability short entries. The overall bias remains downward, with 1.1600–1.1610 as the next significant support level.
EUR/USD - Bullish 2H OB Reaction | 5M continuation SetupPair: EUR/USD
Bias: Bullish
Timeframes: 2H → 5M
⸻
HTF Overview
Higher-timeframe structure remains bullish, with major highs recently broken — confirming continuation flow.
Price has now mitigated our 2H order block, aligning with overall bullish intent. From here, I’m looking for further upside continuation toward next liquidity highs.
⸻
MTF Perspective
On the mid-timeframes, price tapped directly into our OB zone and instantly showed strong bullish momentum, signaling institutional interest.
Now it’s about staying patient and letting price dictate whether we’ll get a clean retest or a deeper mitigation before expansion.
⸻
LTF Execution Plan
On the lower timeframe, recent internal structure has already been mitigated — price may look to retest that same level or sweep slightly lower before taking off.
Either scenario, I’m focused on targeting 5M highs and 2H continuation zones depending on market delivery.
⸻
Mindset Note:
Don’t overthink the pullbacks — once HTF alignment and mitigation are confirmed, trust the process and execute smoothly. Reaction confirms direction; mitigation defines precision.
sell from supply zonePrice is bearish so i am waiting for a clean BOS to the downside and a retest at supply to target demand
Potential bullish bounce setup?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling towards the pivot, which acts as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.1591
1st Support: 1.1391
1st Resistance: 1.1811
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
BUY to SELL EURUSDPrice action shows a descending structure with a sequence of lower highs and lows forming under strong bearish control. A break below 1.1670 could open room for further downside toward the 1.1619 support zone. Momentum favors sellers as the market continues to respect the dominant downtrend channel.
⚠️ Risks:
A close above 1.1711 may invalidate the bearish setup.
Unexpected ECB policy remarks could shift sentiment abruptly.
Broader dollar weakness may delay further downside momentum
EURUSD long Missed the first trade on WL+SL for EUR/USD. Planning to re-enter the same setup if I get a +1 confirmation at the New York open.
EURUSD BEARISH SETUPThe EURUSD pair break a major support level and trendline after hitting a Resistance at 1.17001 price region with this SELL pressure we can see the price dive down to 1.16635 we wait for a pullback to get a clinical Entry.
