EURUSD Short: Rejection from Channel ResistanceHello, traders! The price auction for EURUSD has been in a bullish phase, with the market structure being defined by a large upward wedge. This pattern has been guiding the price higher through a series of higher highs and higher lows, but such formations often signal that the underlying trend is losing momentum and may be approaching a point of exhaustion.
Currently, the price action is at a critical inflection point, testing the upper resistance line of this multi-week wedge. The auction is being squeezed into the apex of the pattern, a situation that typically precedes a volatile move. This is a key area where sellers are expected to challenge the bullish initiative and attempt to take control.
The primary scenario anticipates a bearish resolution to this upward wedge. The expectation is that the price will be rejected from the resistance line, triggering a sharp reversal. This move is expected to have sufficient momentum to break down below the wedge's ascending support line, confirming a structural shift. The take-profit for this breakdown scenario is therefore set at the 1.16800 support level, which is also the upper boundary of the current demand zone. Manage your risk!
USDEUX trade ideas
Turning Losses into LessonsA losing trade isn’t failure — it’s feedback. I review my mistakes to improve my rules and mindset.
One of my rules is to take a maximum of three trades per week. This week I had already taken two, and both were losing trades. This reminded me of the importance of being grounded in my rules and setup framework. I was rather impatient this week, so I paused early this morning before looking at the charts and reviewed my rules and framework as my grounding.
I might have been too emotional within the two previous days. And honestly, life happens — learning to get back up matters most.
Losing is part of the journey. The key is to detach emotionally, learn objectively, and keep going.
Today, I followed my rules and my setup framework. I waited for price to break below the support level at 1.1680. However, it hadn’t come back to retest and act as resistance for a sell entry.
EURUSD: Short Trade with Entry/SL/TP
EURUSD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects fall
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell EURUSD
Entry Level - 1.1734
Sl - 1.1745
Tp - 1.1714
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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EURUSD: Bounce from Triangle Support LineHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Euro setup.
Market Analysis
From a broader perspective, EURUSD has been in a long phase of accumulation, which has formed a large Upward Triangle. This pattern is defined by a flat horizontal resistance at the 1.1770 level and a rising support line, showing that while sellers are holding the highs, buyers are progressively becoming more aggressive on each pullback.
Currently, the price is in a corrective pullback phase within this triangle. It is now approaching the ascending support line, a key dynamic level that has consistently provided a floor for the price during this entire consolidation period.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is built on the expectation that this Upward Triangle will resolve to the upside, in line with its classic technical interpretation. I'm looking for the price to complete its dip and find strong support on the triangle's support line. The key event would then be a decisive breakout above the 1.1770 Resistance.
Therefore, the strategy is to watch for this bounce as the entry trigger. A confirmed breakout above the Resistance Zone would validate the long scenario. The primary target for the subsequent expansion is 1.1820, a logical measured move objective after such a prolonged consolidation.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
EUR/USD BEFORE FOMC VIEWOANDA:EURUSD
Main Trend: The 4-hour chart clearly shows that EURUSD is in a strong uptrend, confirmed by the ascending trendline.
Market Structure: After a breakout above the previous high, the price has created a new demand zone, labelled as "CP - ORDER". This zone is located roughly between 1.17600 and 1.17700.
Footprint Analysis: The 1-hour footprint chart provides confirmation of the bullish momentum. It shows large volumes and significant positive delta (more buy orders than sell orders) being executed on the strong upward candles.
Key Observation: The most recent bullish candle on the footprint chart (around 20:00) has a very large positive delta (+681) and high volume (12.19K), indicating strong buying pressure is driving the price up. This suggests that the uptrend is likely to continue.
Trading Plan (BUY Plan)
Based on this analysis, the primary strategy is to wait for a pullback and look for a buying opportunity, in line with the current upward trend.
Entry: Wait for the price to retrace back to the CP - ORDER demand zone, which is around 1.17600 - 1.17700. This area is expected to contain significant pending orders.
Stop Loss (SL): Place the stop loss below the low of the demand zone, at approximately 1.17100, or as marked on the chart. This position is also below the trendline, providing protection against deeper pullbacks.
Take Profit (TP) Targets:
Target 1: The most recent high, at around 1.18200.
Target 2: You can hold the position to aim for higher levels, following the market's upward momentum. The ultimate target, as indicated by the arrow on the chart, could be the 1.19000 level or even higher.
Conclusion
This trading plan is a clear long setup based on a combination of technical analysis (uptrend and demand zone) and order flow analysis (strong positive volume and delta).
However, you should always keep the following in mind:
Make sure the price actually pulls back to the CP - ORDER zone and shows signs of confirmation (e.g., a bullish pin bar, an increase in volume) before entering a trade.
Practice strict risk management by adhering to the defined stop-loss level.
DXY ANALYSIS IN DONWTREND and High Rate back to Higher OB
EURUSD → Breakthrough of consolidation resistance. Rally?FX:EURUSD ends correction with a breakout of consolidation resistance. The market is waiting for a positive driver in the form of economic news that could support the growth of the euro...
A breakout of the correction (consolidation) resistance has formed. However, the momentum is being replaced by a correction aimed at consolidating in the bullish plane, which could trigger continued growth in the medium term.
The dollar looks weak, and expectations of interest rate cuts are supporting the euro. If the bulls keep the price above 1.17 - 1.172 within the current correction, the price may start to rally to highs...
Support levels: 1.173, 1.1703
Resistance levels: 1.178, 1.183, 1.190
Before continuing to grow, liquidity may be captured relative to the previously broken consolidation resistance. A false breakdown of support at 1.173-1.170 could trigger a resumption of growth towards 1.190.
Best regards, R. Linda!
EURUSD – Weakness Ahead?For over a month, EURUSD has been stuck in a choppy range:
• Support: 1.1580 zone
• Resistance: just above 1.1700
As always, such tight consolidations usually precede strong moves. The question is: which way?
🔑 Factors pointing lower:
1. On the DXY, I expect a potential upside reversal – most bad news is already priced in.
2. Yesterday’s reaction to the NFP revision → USD strength, not weakness, which confirms the shift in sentiment.
3. A false break above resistance on EURUSD adds to the bearish case.
📌 Conclusion:
I expect further EURUSD weakness, with confirmation if the price breaks below 1.1650.
EUR/USD Poll: 1.2000 here we come?EUR/USD: 1.2000 Bank Target?
I am usually not a trend-trader (I prefer Mean Reversion), but this looks like a bullish setup to me: Breakout attempt + inverse head and shoulder.
Almost all banks have 1.2000 as a year-end-target for the Euro.
Fundamental reasons:
1. USD weakness due to weakening Jobs-Date
2. Increasing odds of a FED rate cutting cycle
3. USD-Outflows due to lost confidence in US-government
4. EUR Inflows due to fiscal measures in Germany
What do you guys think? 1.2000 just a matter of time?
Let me know in the comments!
Bullish bounce?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.1676
1st Support: 1.1618
1st Resistance: 1.1772
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Interesting view on EURUSDHere is the view that I took on EURUSD. On monthly chart I have put a small yellow boxes to show that in past EU officially turned downtrend when price makes a small ABC (bear candle, followed by small bull candle then ended up lower than both). Will EU goes down this time round? Currently it builds a mother candle formation and rejected a trendline. Provided that fundamentally US is going to lower down the interest rate, such outlook may mix with technical analysis. Well we never know what will happen next but from current standpoint here is what I see. If price breaks up it may just turn the whole chart story around. Stay safe trading guys.
EUR/USD: Gradual Rise, Is a Breakout Near?Hey everyone, Ken here!
Looking at the EUR/USD chart today, I see a pretty clear signal. The price isn’t rushing upwards; instead, it’s moving slowly, indicating that the buyers are gradually taking control, but there hasn't been a strong breakout yet.
For me, there’s no reason to rush into a trade just yet. I’m going to wait for a clearer signal, like a strong candle confirming a break of the resistance around 1.1800. If that happens, my target will be around 1.2XX, as the current market trend seems favorable for that.
However, one thing to keep in mind is if the price closes below the lower boundary of the channel, the bullish structure would be broken, and a short-term decline could follow.
What do you think about this setup? Share your thoughts in the comments below!
EURUSD - Already Overbought!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈EURUSD has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in blue.
However, it is currently retesting the upper bound of its channel.
Moreover, the green zone is a strong resistance.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper blue trendline and green resistance.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURUSD approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Correction Before Expansion? EUR/USD Setup📊 EUR/USD Analysis
🔹 Fundamental View
The Euro is being supported by expectations of stable monetary policy in the Eurozone, while the Dollar is showing signs of pressure as U.S. economic data softens. Market sentiment leans toward cautious optimism, with traders positioning for potential Euro strength if global risk appetite improves. Safe-haven demand for the Dollar, however, may create short-term swings.
🔹 Technical View
On the chart, price has been in a structural consolidation with multiple MSS and BOS signals on the 4H timeframe. This reflects liquidity grabs before directional moves. After the recent bullish expansion, the pair entered a corrective phase, likely aimed at rebalancing before continuation. The projected path shows potential accumulation before a fresh rally.
EURUSD Sell Idea • Trend: EUR/USD has been under pressure recently, with the pair struggling to sustain rallies. Lower highs are forming, suggesting bearish momentum.
• Resistance Levels:
• 1.0800 – 1.0820: Strong resistance zone; recent rejections here indicate sellers are active.
• 1.0850: Key psychological barrier – a close above would challenge the bearish view.
• Support Levels:
• 1.0700: First downside target.
• 1.0650 – 1.0620: Deeper support; break below could accelerate selling.
• Indicators:
• RSI drifting below 50 → momentum favors sellers.
• Moving averages (short-term crossing under medium-term) signaling continued bearish bias.
⸻
📊 Fundamental Drivers
• ECB vs Fed Policy Divergence:
• The Fed remains cautious but resilient U.S. data (inflation, jobs) supports higher-for-longer rates.
• The ECB has turned more dovish, with growth slowing and inflation cooling in the Eurozone.
→ This divergence favors USD strength against the EUR.
• Economic Data to Watch:
• U.S. CPI & Jobs Reports: Strong data supports USD → downside in EUR/USD.
• Eurozone PMIs & Inflation: Weak prints add pressure to the euro.
• Geopolitical Risk: Safe-haven flows into USD (energy prices, global uncertainty) could amplify euro weakness.
⸻
🎯 Sell Scenario Plan
• Entry Zone: Around 1.0780 – 1.0820 (on rallies/retests).
• Targets:
• TP1 → 1.0700
• TP2 → 1.0650
• Stop-Loss: Above 1.0850 (to protect against bullish breakout).
⸻
Summary:
Bias remains bearish for EUR/USD as long as price holds below 1.0820. The technical structure aligns with fundamental headwinds for the euro. Selling rallies into resistance with tight risk management looks favorable.
EUR/USD | EUR/USD Breaks 1.17 – Eyes on 1.176+ Targets! (READ)By analyzing the EUR/USD chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that the price held at the 1.16 demand zone as expected and managed to climb above 1.17 with confirmation. Currently, it’s trading around 1.173. If the price can break the 1.174 resistance and close above it, we can expect further upside.
The possible bullish targets are 1.176, 1.177, and 1.179.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
EUR/USD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR/USD is making a bullish rebound on the 12H TF and is nearing the resistance line above while we are generally bearish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following short a good option for us with the target being the 1.157 level.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EU is slowly going upHi traders,
Last week EU went up a little and then corrected down.
After that it went up again. This pair is very slow going up to finish (red) wave 5. It looks like it forms a Diagonal or wave 4 (red) becomes a Triangle.
So next week we could see price slowly going higher to the bearish Weekly FVG above.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for the finish of a correction down and a change in orderflow to bullish on a lower time frame to trade longs.
If you want to learn more about trading with FVG's, liquidity sweeps and Wave analysis, then make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
EUR/USD: Watching 1.1750 Break to Open Path to 1.1800Hello everyone, let’s take a quick look at EUR/USD!
After breaking through 1.1700, the pair is holding a clean short-term bullish structure. On the H4 chart, price is staying above the Ichimoku cloud with strong trading volume, showing buyers remain in control. The 1.1700 zone now acts as key support; as long as it holds, the path towards 1.1750–1.1780 looks clear. A confirmed close above 1.1750 could unlock further upside to 1.1800 – the pivotal level from the previous structure.
On the news side, the USD is under pressure after a string of softer US data: August CPI and PPI both came in below expectations, reinforcing the case for an earlier Fed rate cut. Meanwhile, Eurozone inflation also edged lower and the ECB hasn’t taken a hawkish stance, but the advantage leans towards the euro as the dollar weakens. In addition, China’s softer CPI and PPI highlight a slowing economy, pushing investors towards safer alternatives – including the euro.
All in all, the short-term outlook for EUR/USD remains bullish. As long as price holds above 1.1700, I favour a breakout of 1.1750 to open the way to 1.1800. On the downside, any pullback would find its first cushion at the 1.1600 FVG zone.
Do you think EUR/USD has enough strength to clear 1.1750 in this move? Share your thoughts in the comments!