Trade ideas
EURUSD Long Setup – Break and Retest Confirmation EntryLooking for a long continuation move on EURUSD after price reacted from demand.
Entry Criteria:
• Wait for price to break above 1.15110 with momentum
• Enter on the retest of 1.15110–1.15125 zone
• Confirmation: bullish engulfing or strong rejection wick on 1–5m
Risk Management:
• Stop Loss: 1.14940 (below demand and liquidity sweep zone)
• Take Profit 1: 1.15320 (first reaction level)
• Take Profit 2: 1.15540 (higher supply rotation target)
• Move SL to break-even after TP1 is hit
Reasoning:
• RSI turned up from oversold
• EMA flattening, early trend shift potential
• Demand reaction + higher low structure forming
• Avoiding premature entry and only executing on confirmed strength
This is a patient, confirmation-based long setup—not a blind buy.
The Day Ahead - Central Banks and Inflation signalsToday brings a full slate of macro data, central bank events, and earnings. In Europe, German industrial production, Eurozone retail sales, and UK construction PMI will offer fresh signals on growth momentum, while Sweden’s CPI and Japan’s household spending provide inflation and consumption checks in their respective economies.
Central bank activity is heavy: the Bank of England and Norges Bank are both expected to hold rates, while multiple Fed and ECB officials speak throughout the day, potentially influencing rate-cut expectations. The BoJ releases minutes from its September meeting.
On the corporate front, a broad earnings mix includes AstraZeneca, ConocoPhillips, Rheinmetall, Airbnb, National Grid, Petrobras, Deutsche Post, Commerzbank, ArcelorMittal, Moderna, and Peloton, offering insight across healthcare, energy, and consumer sectors.
Overall, markets will likely trade cautiously ahead of central bank remarks, with rotation toward defensives and rate-sensitive sectors amid mixed growth and inflation signals.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice., with rotation toward defensives and rate-sensitive sectors amid mixed growth and inflation signals.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
EURUSD: Waiting on Clarity—Shutdown Noise, Data LightEURUSD: Waiting on Clarity—Shutdown Noise, Data Light
Technical Analysis
1. After breaking below the uptrend line, EURUSD entered a corrective phase, indicating fading bullish momentum and the beginning of consolidation, as seen in the converging EMAs. Price is likely to continue ranging sideways within 1.1380–1.1730.
2. A close below EMA200 around the 1.1380 support would confirm a downtrend.
3. However, if the price rallies above 1.1730, it could signal an uptrend resuming.
Macro Analysis
4. Last week’s hawkish Fed rate cut reduced expectations for further easing, pressuring EURUSD.
5. Eurozone data showed modest growth (+0.2% Q3 GDP for the eurozone), signaling weak momentum for the euro.
6. However, the US government shutdown leaves the pair’s short-term direction unclear.
Analysis by: Krisada Yoonaisil, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
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Short trade
📘 Trade Journal Entry
Pair: EURUSD
Direction: Sell-Side Trade
Date: Wed 5 Nov 25
Time: 7:00 am
Session: LND to NY Session AM
Timeframe: 1 Hour
🔹 Trade Details
Metric Value
Entry 1.15156
Profit Level (TP) 1.14109 (+0.83 %)
Stop Level (SL) 1.15409 (–0.21 %)
Risk–Reward (RR) 3.94 R
🔸 Technical Context
Market Structure:
Price remains in a confirmed bearish sequence following prior BOS and CHOCH events on both 15m and 1H timeframes. A rejection from the breaker block / FVG zone (1.1550–1.1560) confirms institutional supply continuation.
Confluence Factors:
15m CHOCH aligned with 1H BOS confirms lower-timeframe structure compliance.
Retest into the premium array post–liquidity sweep at London open.
KAMA (Adaptive MA) sharply turning down, reinforcing directional bias.
Volume contraction during retrace → expansion upon sell-side continuation.
Key Liquidity Zones:
Supply Rejection Zone: 1.1550–1.1560 (Breaker Block).
Target Zone: 1.1410–1.1400 (PD Array / Daily Imbalance Fill).
Extended Target: 1.1360 (Liquidity resting beneath prior daily swing lows).
🔹 Narrative & Bias
EURUSD continues to trail the broader USD recovery phase, mirroring setups seen across AUDUSD and NZDUSD. The setup captures the rejection of mid-range liquidity and the initiation of a new impulsive leg toward the next demand cluster.
Session Flow:
The London session provided a retracement into premium levels.
NY open accelerated displacement, confirming sell-side intent.
Macro Sentiment:
Hawkish Fed comments reinforcing dollar bids.
European data softening; ECB maintaining cautious tone.
Bond yield spreads are widening in favour of USD.
Projection:
Price expected to extend toward 1.1410–1.1400 with potential for continuation into 1.1360, completing the liquidity draw beneath October’s swing lows.
EURUSD Bullish for 1.1560#eurusd daily chart bearish forming lower low and lower high. broke down strong trendline strong support level 1.1528 which is low of 5th August. suspect price may drop further to test previous demand 1.1420-1393. which is the level of interest for buying short term. stop loss below 1.1375, target: 1.1560
EUR/USD Technical Analysis – November 5, 2025Price overview:
EUR/USD remains under bearish pressure, trading below multiple key resistance levels after a clear downward continuation from the 1.1580 – 1.1600 zone. The market structure shows consistent lower highs, reflecting the strength of sellers on intraday timeframes.
Technical outlook:
Price has recently formed a minor consolidation range near 1.1480 – 1.1500, signaling potential continuation before the next impulse.
Three major resistance levels to note:
1.1505 – 1.1520: Immediate intraday resistance zone (current retest area).
1.1555 – 1.1570: Previous supply area and unmitigated order block.
1.1600 – 1.1620: Higher-timeframe structural resistance.
Support area: The next significant level sits at 1.1455 – 1.1445, coinciding with a liquidity pocket and previous demand reaction.
Trading strategy:
Main scenario (Sell bias):
→ Look for bearish confirmation around 1.1500 – 1.1520, ideally after a fake breakout or rejection wick.
→ Sell entry: 1.1500
→ Stop loss: Above 1.1525
→ Take profit: 1.1455 / 1.1445
The risk–reward ratio remains favorable if momentum continues in line with the overall bearish structure.
Alternative scenario (Reversal potential):
→ A confirmed breakout and hold above 1.1555 would invalidate the bearish bias and shift focus toward 1.1600.
Indicators & confluence:
Price remains below the EMA50, maintaining bearish alignment on H1.
RSI currently hovers near the neutral zone (~50), suggesting room for another push downward before oversold conditions develop.
Key levels to monitor:
Resistance: 1.1505 / 1.1555 / 1.1600
Support: 1.1455 / 1.1445
Conclusion:
EUR/USD continues to trade within a controlled bearish rhythm, and the 1.1500 – 1.1520 zone remains critical for short-term direction. Traders should watch closely for rejection patterns to confirm potential downside continuation.
Stay disciplined and follow the structure—reaction at key zones will reveal the next move.
Save this setup and follow for more daily strategy updates.
EURUSDEUR/USD – Technical & Fundamental Outlook
I’m waiting for price to reach the 1.1457 level, where I’ll be looking for buy opportunities targeting a move back toward 1.1550.
The U.S. dollar has recently strengthened, mainly due to safe-haven demand as it’s being used as a reserve currency amid geopolitical tensions with Venezuela. However, this strength may be temporary. The U.S. government shutdown has created public spending pressure, and once it reopens, it will need to pay accumulated salaries, adding fiscal strain.
For that reason, despite current corrections, I continue to see the dollar as fundamentally bearish in the medium term.
Fundamental Market Analysis for November 5, 2025 EURUSDThe euro remains under pressure as the US dollar firms ahead of key US services activity indicators. Investors are weighing the mix of resilient consumer demand and signs of softer employment, which supports the dollar via firmer Treasury yields and demand for safe-haven assets. The upcoming release of the US services activity index and fresh private-sector employment data shapes expectations for the Federal Reserve’s rate path and, overall, keeps the bias in favor of the dollar.
In the euro area, the backdrop is subdued: business activity in manufacturing and services remains muted, while inflation expectations have been revised lower following the ECB’s latest easing of financing conditions. The combination of soft domestic momentum and limited progress in credit growth sustains caution toward the euro. Recent ECB communication emphasizes stabilizing growth over the risks of re-accelerating inflation, which also weighs on the currency.
An additional factor is a generally risk-averse tone: concerns around the US budget and headlines on government spending bolster demand for the dollar as a reserve asset. Against this backdrop, the near-term risk balance for EURUSD remains tilted lower; if US data stay firm, the pair risks holding around multi-month lows.
Trading recommendation: SELL 1.14950, SL 1.15250, TP 1.14450
EURUSD SELL PRESSURE AFTER PULLBACKThe EURUSD Pair has making a strong bearish waves on the 1H Time and having inside pinbar on current 4H time frame. With the strong bearish momentum we can see more price drop as the price trade below 1.15105 as we see the current price of 1.14938 might pullback to retest as Resistance.






















