eurusd short trade take this trade now
hope it hit the tp
its my trade not yours do your own considerations
USDEUX trade ideas
Dollar stays soft ahead of FedDollar stays soft ahead of Fed
On Sept. 11, mixed U.S. data pushed markets to price nearly three 25-bps Fed cuts by year-end, leaving the dollar vulnerable. EUR/USD climbed above 1.1700, helped by the ECB, though follow-through was limited as traders capped bets beyond 75 bps of easing. Futures show ~71 bps of cuts priced, with just a 7% chance of a 50-bps move next week.
By Sept. 12, the euro held near $1.1725 after the ECB kept rates unchanged, signaling no rush to ease further. Economists now see December as the likelier window for the ECB’s next move, with markets assigning only a one-in-six chance of another cut this year.
Paraller channel upMarket is respecting the parallel channel to the upside, holding structure well. As long as price stays within this channel, momentum remains bullish, but a break outside could shift sentiment.
What is direction for EURUSDBased on the current price, my idea is looking for buy after completed pullback or retrace for the price. As for now, just waiting for the continuation of the price and wait sign on EG BUY.
EUR/USD LONGEUR/USD Long Setup
Entry: 1.17450 Stop Loss: 1.17180 (–27 pips) Take Profit: 1.18020 (+57 pips)
Technical Rationale
The euro has just reclaimed a key value area and we’re seeing fresh conviction from buyers. On the 15min chart, price broke above the previous Point of Control around 1.1730, signaling a shift from accumulation into markup. Yesterday’s candle closed with above-average volume, confirming participation at these levels and reducing the risk of a false break. The Accumulation/Distribution indicator is trending higher, showing that money flow is firmly on the long side.
EURUSDTo the moon
Wait
n
Watch
It is observed at the monthly time frame so it will take time to go upside
EURUSD Trend mindeWe’re in a bullish trend, so my trading plan is as follows:
If the price rejects a resistance level and forms a bullish structure (e.g., a higher low or consolidation), I’ll look for a long entry.
If price breaks through a key resistance and successfully retests it as support, I’ll enter a full-size long position after confirmation of the retest.
EUR/USDPair: EUR/USD
Timeframe: 4H (swing trading perspective)
Current Setup
Suggested buy entry: 1.17330.
Stop loss: 1.15771 (just below key support zone).
Target 1: 1.19520.
Target 2 zone: 1.20151 – 1.20344.
Technical Outlook
Support Zone (1.1577 – 1.1600):
Strong demand area where price previously bounced multiple times.
Placing stop loss just below ensures protection against false dips.
Current Structure:
Price is consolidating in a sideways range between 1.158 – 1.195.
Recent bullish rejection candles indicate buyers are defending the 1.17–1.16 area.
Bullish Scenario:
A confirmed breakout above 1.1740–1.1750 resistance would trigger bullish momentum.
First upside target: 1.195 (historical resistance).
Break above 1.195 opens the way to the 1.2015–1.2034 target zone.
Bearish Risk:
Failure to hold above 1.1730–1.1700 increases the chance of retesting 1.1600.
A daily close below 1.1577 cancels the bullish setup and may resume the broader downtrend.
Risk/Reward
Risk (Entry → Stop Loss): ≈ –156 pips.
Reward (Entry → Target 1): ≈ +218 pips.
Reward (Entry → Target 2): ≈ +280–310 pips.
Risk/Reward ratio: ~1:1.4 to 1:2, which is favorable for swing trading.
✅ Conclusion:
EUR/USD is showing a potential bullish reversal from strong support. Buying at 1.1733 with stop at 1.1577 and targets at 1.195 and 1.2015–1.2034 provides a solid risk/reward setup. However, discipline with the stop loss is crucial as a break below 1.1577 would invalidate the bullish scenario.
EURUSD THU- FRI
Daily +IRL filled > ERL next objective.
SMT with GU at IRL fill (GU stronger)
If Thu closed as reversal candle > Look for FRI continuation signatures if ERL objective is still not met.
EURUSD swing long 11.9.25Yesterday, we post potencial swing long trading idea and say that yellow rectangle is very interesting area for reversal and swing continuation to upside. On lower TF today we have reversal and our entry at 14:30 directly on trading news. We have 15 min rsi divergence.
EURUSD: Short Trade Explained
EURUSD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short EURUSD
Entry - 1.1723
Sl - 1.1732
Tp - 1.1707
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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EUR/USD Eyes 1.1790 as Fresh U.S. Dollar Data Weakens GreenbackThe dollar softened in early Thursday trade after fresh U.S. macro data signaled cooling inflation and reinforced expectations for a Fed rate cut later this year.
At the same time, the European Central Bank held rates steady and avoided a strongly dovish tone, allowing the euro to regain momentum.
US CPI Surprise: Latest print came in below forecasts, pushing Treasury yields lower and pressuring the dollar.
Fed Rate-Cut Odds: FedWatch now shows increased probability of a 25-bp cut at the next meeting.
ECB Hold: ECB kept policy unchanged and stressed data-dependence, which markets interpret as neutral rather than dovish.
Higher-time-frame structure shows the next clean liquidity pocket near 1.1790–1.1800.
Next Target: 1.17902 if daily orderflow sees bullish momentum, we have euro news ahead also!
EURUSD H4: Buying the 0.618 0.786 Pullback to DemandPrice is pulling back into the 0.618 to 0.786 retracement that lines up with a prior demand zone. I am looking for bullish reaction inside 1.166 to 1.164, targeting 1.1756 first, with stops below the blue box or the recent swing low. A clean H4 close below the zone invalidates the setup.
EURUSDIn the EUR/USD pair, within a larger scale movement, the price requires a higher target. On a smaller scale, the price has a debt (XD) within the demand zone. Once the price reaches this debt, it becomes tradable, and the most important trading area will be formed in the RHDX zone. At this point, we must wait for a proper PA confirmation. The second trade can then be executed with a much smaller stop-loss.
EURUSD Daily Forecast -Q3 | W37 | D11| Y25📅 Q3 | W37 | D11| Y25
📊 EURUSD Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
FX:EURUSD
Fundamental Market Analysis for September 11, 2025 EURUSDThe euro is getting support as the market has a calmer view on the Fed: investors expect gentler moves later this year, so the dollar doesn’t look as strong as it did in mid-summer. At the same time, the ECB avoids sharp statements: the regulator is acting cautiously and making sure eurozone inflation doesn’t re-accelerate. In this environment, the euro feels more confident and can slowly climb toward 1.18000.
The US remains the key risk: if inflation or jobs data comes in much stronger than usual, the dollar will rise quickly and the euro may pull back. For now, the backdrop is neutral-to-positive for the euro: fewer market fears, stable rate expectations, and no “hawkish” surprises from Frankfurt. That makes buying moderately justified with controlled risk.
Overall: absent a major upside surprise in US data and without tough signals from the ECB, the pair has a chance to edge higher from current levels. The 1.18000 target looks realistic in the near term, and the stop level helps keep the position under control.
Trade idea: BUY 1.17000, SL 1.16850, TP 1.18000
EURUSD MARKET OUTLOOK-H4 CHARTFrom the technical standpoint, EURUSD approached a resistant level from where we’re looking forward to seeing a sharp drop in EURUSD price. We can also see how the market was able to form a head and shoulder pattern which also suggest the sell idea. I’m sure we’re likely going to see some bearish move away from the resistant level.
EURUSDwave 2 expanded flat correction. the price might be looking for short then after the end of correction, longs are expected
EU SHORTSlooking for something like this to play out on EU, PA appears to be heading down towards lower bands, plus my 7 years of touching my crystal ball have worked thus far :)
EURUSD - DISTRIBUTION COMPLETEEUR/USD appears to have completed a distribution phase, with the UTAD (Upthrust After Distribution) aligning with the recent PPI release.
This event likely served as the final liquidity grab before a potential reversal. The rally and the distribution as a whole showed volume spikes without follow-through, reinforcing classic signs of distribution exhaustion.
Macro context supports this technical setup: while the U.S. economy is slowing, it's not collapsing—leaving room for hawkish repricing in a market currently dovishly priced for the Fed. On the other side, EURUSD is stretched, both technically and fundamentally, making it vulnerable to a correction.
