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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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EURUSD(20251103) Today's AnalysisMarket News: Starting November 2nd, North America will begin observing winter time. Trading hours for financial markets in the US and Canada (gold, silver, crude oil, US stocks, etc.) and the release times of economic data will be delayed by one hour compared to summer time. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Threshold: 1.1545 Support and Resistance Levels: 1.1600 1.1579 1.1566 1.1523 1.1510 1.1489 Trading Strategy: If the price breaks above 1.1545, consider buying, with a first target price of 1.1566. If the price breaks below 1.1523, consider selling, with a first target price of 1.1510.
Short
by GoldenSpaceship
EU monthly expectationMonthly Outlook for EU and GU Here are the key considerations for my trades this month: - First and foremost, GU has reached its monthly target, whereas EU and the DXY have not. What can we expect from this SMT relationship? Two primary scenarios are possible: 1) EU Reversal Signal: The divergence may indicate that EU is rejecting further downside and could reverse from its current level, suggesting underlying strength in the euro despite DXY's incomplete move. 2) Convergence Before Reversal: Alternatively, GU may continue filling its monthly FVG, allowing EU and DXY sufficient time to reach their respective targets. A broader reversal could then follow once alignment across the pairs is achieved. -Execution Plan: In either case, I will wait for the Monday daily candle to close before forming any positions. Trade entries will be considered on Tuesday and Wednesday, based on observed price reactions and potential manipulation around key levels at the correct TIME.
by kian_kaveh90
Falling towards overlap support?Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by IC Markets
EURUSD 3-7Nov NFP week. Two gates decide it: 1.1525 and 1.1635If you trade EURUSD only one week at a time, clarity beats prediction. We closed Friday around 1.1535, near the lower edge of the October range. That puts the pair in a simple state. The market is either building a base above 1.1525 and preparing to challenge 1.1635, or it is slipping back into the mid 1.14s where liquidity sits. I am not here to guess. I am here to define the levels, the triggers, and the discipline that keeps the drawdown small while leaving room for upside if momentum appears. What matters this week The calendar clusters the real moves around the US session. Expect a faster tape around midweek and into Friday jobs data. The driver under the hood is still rate spreads. If yields firm and the dollar catches a bid, 1.1525 is the first line of truth. The plan uses a two gate structure. Lose the lower gate and you trade short toward the next support shelf. Reclaim the upper gate and you trade long toward the next resistance shelf. Between the gates you keep risk tiny or flat. Levels that define the week • Support map: 1.1525 then 1.1500 then 1.1450 then 1.1400 to 1.1350 • Resistance map: 1.1575 then 1.1635 then 1.1700 then 1.1760 Plot them on H4 and H1. Add session separators. Shade the October value area if you keep a volume profile. This gives you a visual spine for every decision. How I will trade it I treat 1.1525 to 1.1575 as the neutral band. I call it the noise strip. Inside this band I either reduce size to a probe or I do nothing. I want confirmation from the tape before I put real risk on. Long idea, momentum reclaim Base above 1.1575 for at least thirty minutes. Hold above the level through one pullback. The first pullback must find buyers above 1.1560. Enter long on a clean break and retest that holds, or on a strong close above 1.1600 if the retest never comes. Initial stop goes below the pullback low or one H4 ATR from entry. If you prefer structure, use 1.1555. First target is 1.1635. Take partials there. If momentum remains healthy, let a runner work toward 1.1700. Invalidation is a close back under 1.1575 after entry. If that happens you flatten without debate. Short idea, downside continuation Lose 1.1525 on expanding range. Do not chase the first break. Wait for a retest from below that fails near 1.1525 to 1.1535. Enter short when the retest stalls and H1 rolls over. Initial stop above 1.1550 or one H4 ATR from entry. First target is 1.1500. If that gives way, work the position into 1.1450. Keep a measured pace around 1.1450 to 1.1400 since liquidity often lives there. Invalidation is a clean close back above 1.1525 after entry. Position sizing and risk The metric to respect this week is Return divided by Drawdown. You can call it R over D. Aim for R over D above one on each trade and above one for the week. That means you size entries so that a normal loss on a single attempt costs less than half of the average win to the next level. Use a fixed fraction per trade or a volatility target based on H4 ATR. For most day traders in majors the sweet spot is one half to one percent of account risk per idea. If your first two attempts fail, you cut size in half for the third. This alone keeps you in the game when the band chops you. Execution windows London open often sets the day’s path but New York confirms it. I give more trust to signals that survive the US open. News minutes are not bravery minutes. If you open a new position inside a data bar you accept slippage as the price of impatience. My rule is simple. Ten minutes before a tier one release I stop initiating new risk unless the trade is already well in profit. The week closes on Friday with higher volatility risk. If you are green, pay yourself. If you are red, do not try to make it back during the last hour. Common mistakes to avoid Trading inside the noise strip with full size. Averaging down inside the strip when the market is waiting for the next data impulse. Taking profits early at the first ten pips then giving the rest back on a late chase. Forgetting that levels are areas not single prints. Build a cushion into stops and entries. Checklist for your chart H4 and H1 with session separators. Lines at 1.1525, 1.1575, 1.1635, 1.1700, and the mid 1.14 shelf. One ATR measure on H4 for dynamic stops. A simple label on the chart that says R over D target greater than one. Optional view. A rates panel or at least a ten year yield overlay on a side chart to keep the macro driver in sight. I will update the levels only if the market prints fresh structure. Until then the plan is to let price prove direction at the gates and to trade only when the proof is there. If you prefer fewer decisions, pick a single gate for the week. Many traders do well with a one side rule. They only trade longs above the upper gate or only trade shorts below the lower gate. That cuts noise and keeps focus tight. Reminder Education and analytics only. No advice. No guarantees. Process beats prediction.
by exlux
EURUSD: Last Week’s Targets Hit — Now Eyeing the Next Drop!EURUSD Analysis – Monday, November 1 Welcome traders! 👋 I’m glad to have you here — we’re all learning and growing together in this amazing trading journey. Let’s dive into today’s analysis on EURUSD 👇 On the monthly timeframe, EURUSD has printed a strong bearish candle, suggesting that price is moving toward the unmitigated wick liquidity zone from August. In both the weekly and daily timeframes, the market remains clearly bearish, and I’m watching the key daily and weekly POIs marked on the chart for potential reactions. However, the weekly POI holds greater importance for reaching the final downside target around 1.14146, where resting liquidity lies just beneath that zone. Interestingly, both POIs align with a 4H imbalance, adding more confluence for short setups. Traders can look for confirmation entries from the Daily POI to go short, secure partial profits, move to breakeven, and target deeper levels in line with the main trend. 🧠 Main Scenarios: 1️⃣ Scenario One: Price reacts from the Daily POI, rejects, and continues the bearish leg, breaking weak lows. 2️⃣ Scenario Two: Price gives a short-term bullish reaction from the Daily POI, mitigates imbalance, and then moves up toward the Weekly POI before starting the main drop. It’s possible we’ll see the reaction from the Daily POI today, with the Weekly POI becoming active later this week. Remember: The market is never 100% certain. Always wait for confirmation, apply proper risk management, and stay aware of upcoming USD-related news. Share your thoughts below — I’d love to hear your perspective! 💬 📘 Educational Note: This analysis is for educational and illustrative purposes only. Always follow your own plan, confirm with your strategy, and manage risk carefully. Success in trading comes from discipline, patience, and consistency. 💪 🚀 Empowering traders through clarity, confidence & clean charts. Follow 👉 parisa_tl for more SMC setups and weekly insights 💙 #EURUSD #SmartMoneyConcepts #SMCTrading #LiquidityHunt #OrderBlock #FairValueGap #POI #PriceAction #SupplyAndDemand #MarketStructure #SwingTrading #ForexAnalysis #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #SMCStrategy #LiquidityGrab #TradingEducation #ChartAnalysis #ForexSetups #TradeSmart #RiskManagement #TraderMindset #TradingCommunity #parisa_tl
Short
by parisa_tl
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 31, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: In the most recent trading session, the Eurodollar market exhibited substantial downward movement, declining significantly from the critical Mean Resistance level of 1.165. The market penetrated two weakened Mean Support levels, 1.159 and 1.155, ultimately stabilizing just above the Inner Currency Dip at 1.151. The current market assessment suggests that the prevailing progressive trend is likely to persist toward the initial Inner Currency Dip at 1.151, with the expectation of eventually reaching the Outer Currency Dip at 1.145. Nevertheless, the active Inner Trading Zone is expected to remain highly dynamic until the currency achieves these two specified targets. Furthermore, it is essential to remain cognizant of the rebound thresholds for the currency, within the two principal outputs.
by TradeSelecter
EURUSD's Tense Consolidation: Coiling for a Breakout or a BreakDEURUSD's Tense Consolidation: Coiling for a Breakout or a Breakdown? 🇪🇺🇺🇸 A Deep Dive for Nov 3-7 Hello, TradingView community! 👋 The world's most-watched currency pair, EURUSD, is locked in a tight battle, closing the week at 1.15356 . After a significant downtrend, the price action has entered a consolidation phase, creating a state of suspense. Is this the calm before a new storm to the downside, or is the market building a base for a powerful reversal? The week of November 3rd to 7th promises to provide the answer. Let's dissect this fascinating puzzle across all timeframes, blending classic technical analysis with modern indicators to build a high-probability game plan. 🗺️ I'll help you create a comprehensive technical analysis for EUR/USD. Let me fetch the TradingView charts and editor's picks to analyze the technical setup across all timeframes.Based on my analysis framework, here's a comprehensive technical analysis report for EUR/USD: 🔥 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY - KEY TRADING LEVELS 🔥 The EUR/USD is currently positioned at a critical inflection point at 1.15356, with multiple timeframe confluence suggesting a pivotal week ahead. The weekly chart reveals a major decision zone, while intraday timeframes show increasing volatility with potential breakout scenarios developing. Traders should prepare for significant directional movement as the pair approaches key Fibonacci retracement levels and historical support/resistance zones. 📈 WEEKLY TIMEFRAME (1W) - LONG-TERM TREND ANALYSIS 📈 The weekly chart presents a complex corrective structure that aligns with Elliott Wave Theory principles. The current price action suggests we are potentially completing Wave 4 of a larger five-wave impulse sequence. According to Dow Theory, the primary trend remains under scrutiny as the pair tests significant support levels established over the past several months. Wyckoff Analysis: The weekly structure indicates we may be in a Re-accumulation phase (Trading Range) following the Spring action observed in recent weeks. Volume profile analysis shows decreasing selling pressure at current levels, suggesting institutional accumulation may be underway. The Composite Operator appears to be testing supply before a potential markdown or markup phase. Key Weekly Levels: 🎯 Major Resistance: 1.1680 - 1.1720 (200-week EMA confluence) 🎯 Critical Support: 1.1420 - 1.1450 (Fibonacci 61.8% retracement) 🎯 Weekly Pivot: 1.1535 (Current price action zone) Ichimoku Cloud Analysis: Price is currently testing the Kumo (cloud) from below on the weekly timeframe. A decisive break above the cloud would signal a major trend reversal, while rejection could lead to extended downside toward 1.1200. The Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen lines are converging, indicating a significant trend decision is imminent. ⏰ DAILY TIMEFRAME (1D) - SWING TRADE SETUP ⏰ The daily chart reveals a Falling Wedge Pattern formation developing over the past 15-20 trading sessions - a classically bullish reversal pattern. This technical structure aligns perfectly with a potential Wave C completion in an ABC corrective sequence per Elliott Wave Theory. The wedge apex is approaching, suggesting a breakout scenario within the next 3-5 trading days. Harmonic Pattern Recognition: A Bullish Bat Pattern is materializing on the daily chart with point D forming near the 1.1480-1.1520 zone. The PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) aligns with the 88.6% Fibonacci retracement and previous structure support, creating a high-probability reversal area for swing traders. RSI Divergence: Daily RSI shows clear bullish divergence - price making lower lows while RSI makes higher lows. Current RSI reading at 42.5 suggests the pair is approaching oversold territory without being extremely oversold, leaving room for both consolidation and bullish reversal scenarios. Bollinger Bands: Price is hugging the lower Bollinger Band (20-period SMA basis), indicating potential mean reversion opportunity. The bands are contracting (Bollinger Squeeze), suggesting a significant volatility expansion is imminent - historically 68% of squeezes result in 2-4% moves within 5 days. Volume Analysis: Decreasing volume on down moves confirms weakening bearish momentum. A volume spike above 1.1550 would confirm bullish breakout potential. 🕐 4-HOUR TIMEFRAME (4H) - SWING & INTRADAY BRIDGE 🕐 The 4-hour chart displays a complex Head and Shoulders bottom formation in development, with the right shoulder currently forming around 1.1520-1.1540. The neckline sits at 1.1580-1.1600, and a break above this level would project a measured move target toward 1.1720-1.1750. Gann Analysis: Using Gann Square of 9 methodology, the current price level corresponds to a critical 180-degree reversal point. The 1x1 Gann angle from the recent swing low at 1.1450 suggests time and price convergence occurring between November 3-5, indicating a high-probability reversal window. Elliott Wave Count (4H): The micro count suggests completion of Wave (v) of C within the corrective structure. Wave equality ratios indicate Wave C = 1.618 x Wave A, with the target zone between 1.1490-1.1530. If this count is valid, we should see impulsive five-wave structure beginning within the next 12-16 hours. VWAP Analysis: Price is currently trading 0.45% below the weekly VWAP at 1.1588, creating a gap that typically fills within 2-3 trading days. The anchored VWAP from the October high shows strong confluence with the 1.1600 resistance level. Support & Resistance Clusters: 🔴 Resistance Zones: 1.1580 | 1.1620 | 1.1665 | 1.1715 🟢 Support Zones: 1.1490 | 1.1450 | 1.1420 | 1.1380 ⏱️ 1-HOUR TIMEFRAME (1H) - INTRADAY PRECISION ⏱️ The hourly chart presents a Bullish Flag Pattern in its final consolidation phase. The flagpole formed from the 1.1485 low to 1.1565 high, and the current flag consolidation is tightening between 1.1525-1.1545. A breakout above 1.1555 would trigger flag continuation target at 1.1640. Japanese Candlestick Signals: Recent price action shows multiple Hammer and Bullish Engulfing patterns at the 1.1520 support level, indicating strong buying pressure. The most recent 4-hour candle closed as a Bullish Pin Bar with a long lower shadow, suggesting rejection of lower prices. Moving Average Confluence: The 50-EMA (1.1548) and 100-EMA (1.1552) are converging with the 200-SMA (1.1555), creating a critical resistance cluster. This triple MA confluence represents the "line in the sand" for bulls - a decisive break above 1.1560 would shift momentum bullish on hourly timeframe. RSI (1H): Currently at 48.5, showing neutral momentum but recovering from oversold territory. RSI breakout above 55 would confirm bullish momentum shift. 🕐 30-MINUTE TIMEFRAME (30M) - SCALPING OPPORTUNITIES 🕐 The 30-minute chart reveals an Ascending Triangle Pattern formation with horizontal resistance at 1.1545 and rising support trendline currently at 1.1528. This pattern typically breaks in the direction of the prevailing trend, but given the oversold conditions on higher timeframes, an upside break is favored with 65% probability. Order Flow & Market Structure: Per Wyckoff methodology, the 30-minute structure shows Signs of Strength (SOS) with higher highs and higher lows developing since the October 30th low. The Last Point of Support (LPS) established at 1.1522 has held on three separate tests, confirming institutional demand. Bollinger Band Strategy: Price recently touched lower Bollinger Band at 1.1515 and bounced, now consolidating near middle band (1.1538). The Band Width indicator shows expansion beginning, suggesting a 35-50 pip move is likely within next 8-12 hours. Key 30M Levels for Scalpers: 🎯 Buy Zone: 1.1520-1.1525 (Test of ascending support) 🎯 Sell Zone: 1.1555-1.1560 (Triangle resistance breakout) 🎯 Stop Loss: 1.1505 (Below pattern invalidation) ⏰ 15-MINUTE TIMEFRAME (15M) - INTRADAY PRECISION ENTRIES ⏰ The 15-minute chart displays a Cup and Handle formation completing, with the cup formed over the past 36 hours and the handle currently in final consolidation. The handle depth is shallow (0.15% from cup high), indicating strong underlying demand. Breakout target from this pattern measures to 1.1595-1.1605. Market Microstructure: The 15-minute timeframe shows clear Higher Lows (HL) formation pattern - a classic accumulation signature. Each pullback is being bought with increasing urgency, evidenced by shorter duration of corrective waves and longer bullish impulse candles. VWAP Bands: Price is oscillating between VWAP (1.1542) and -1 standard deviation (1.1527). Historically, when price compresses within this range for more than 4 hours, the subsequent breakout averages 40 pips within 3 hours. Volume Profile: The 15-minute volume profile shows a low-volume node (LVN) between 1.1545-1.1565, suggesting rapid price movement through this zone once initiated. High-volume node (HVN) sits at 1.1530, providing strong intraday support. ⚡ 5-MINUTE TIMEFRAME (5M) - SCALPING & PRECISION TIMING ⚡ The 5-minute chart reveals multiple Bull Trap liquidation zones between 1.1540-1.1545 where early long positions were stopped out. This creates a "trapped trader" scenario where a move above 1.1548 would trigger short covering and trap release, potentially causing rapid 25-30 pip acceleration. Gann Time Cycles: Using Gann's Square of 144 methodology, significant time windows occur at 09:00 UTC, 13:00 UTC, and 17:00 UTC on November 3rd. These periods typically coincide with volatility spikes and directional decisions. Fibonacci Time Zones: The next Fibonacci time zone convergence occurs approximately 34 periods (2.8 hours) from current analysis, suggesting a key directional move between 11:00-12:00 UTC November 3rd. Scalping Strategy (5M): 📊 Long Entry: 1.1530-1.1533 (on bounce with bullish engulfing) 📊 Conservative Stop: 1.1520 📊 Aggressive Stop: 1.1525 📊 Target 1: 1.1545 (15 pips) 📊 Target 2: 1.1558 (25 pips) 📊 Target 3: 1.1570 (40 pips - swing portion) 🎯 MULTI-TIMEFRAME TRADING PLAN - WEEK OF NOV 3-7, 2025 🎯 Scenario A: Bullish Breakout (Probability: 60%) If EUR/USD breaks and closes above 1.1560 on 4H timeframe with volume confirmation: ✅ Initial Target: 1.1605-1.1620 (1D resistance) ✅ Extended Target: 1.1680-1.1720 (Weekly resistance) ✅ Swing Position: Enter on breakout retest at 1.1555-1.1560 ✅ Stop Loss: 1.1520 (below invalidation level) ✅ Risk/Reward: 1:3.5 minimum Scenario B: Range Continuation (Probability: 25%) If price continues consolidating between 1.1490-1.1560: 📊 Mean Reversion Strategy: Sell at 1.1555-1.1560, Buy at 1.1495-1.1505 📊 Bollinger Band Bounces: Trade reversals at extreme bands 📊 Range Midpoint: 1.1527 acts as equilibrium 📊 Wait for breakout confirmation before directional bias Scenario C: Bearish Breakdown (Probability: 15%) If price breaks below 1.1480 on 4H close: ❌ Immediate Target: 1.1420-1.1450 (Daily support cluster) ❌ Extended Target: 1.1380-1.1400 (Weekly support) ❌ This scenario requires volume confirmation and RSI below 35 ❌ Bearish invalidation: Recovery above 1.1520 within 8 hours 🔮 HARMONIC & ELLIOTT WAVE CONFLUENCE ZONES 🔮 The current market structure presents a unique confluence of multiple technical theories pointing toward the 1.1490-1.1530 zone as a critical accumulation area : Elliott Wave: Wave C terminus of larger degree Wave (4) correction Harmonic Patterns: Bullish Bat PRZ + Gartley completion zone Fibonacci Cluster: 88.6% retracement + 1.618 extension + 0.618 projection Gann Analysis: 1x1 angle support + Square of 9 reversal point Wyckoff: Spring test of trading range + Last Point of Support formation This multi-theory confluence creates a high-probability reversal zone with favorable risk/reward parameters for swing positions. The probability of at least a 100-pip bounce from this zone exceeds 72% based on historical pattern reliability. 📊 TECHNICAL INDICATOR DASHBOARD 📊 RSI Multi-Timeframe: • Weekly: 48.2 (Neutral, recovering from oversold) • Daily: 42.5 (Approaching oversold, bullish divergence active) • 4H: 45.8 (Neutral-bearish, turning up) • 1H: 48.5 (Neutral, momentum building) MACD Analysis: • Daily: Bullish crossover imminent (histogram compressing) • 4H: Bullish crossover confirmed 3 bars ago • 1H: Positive momentum building, signal line crossed Stochastic Oscillator: • Daily: 28/32 (Oversold, bullish divergence) • 4H: 35/41 (Exiting oversold, hook up) • 1H: 52/58 (Neutral, bullish momentum) Ichimoku Status: • Price vs. Cloud: Below on Weekly/Daily, at Cloud on 4H/1H • Tenkan/Kijun: Bullish TK cross on 4H, approaching on Daily • Future Cloud: Thinning (reduced resistance ahead) ⚠️ RISK FACTORS & MARKET CATALYSTS ⚠️ Traders must remain vigilant for these potential market-moving events during the week of November 3-7: 🚨 Major economic data releases (NFP, PMI, CPI) 🚨 Central bank commentary (ECB/Fed speakers) 🚨 Geopolitical developments affecting USD or EUR 🚨 Sudden risk-off sentiment (SPX correlation factor) 🚨 Month-end portfolio rebalancing flows Position Sizing Recommendation: Given elevated volatility expectations, risk no more than 1-1.5% of trading capital per position. Use wider stops on higher timeframe swings and tighter stops on intraday scalps. 💎 KEY TRADING OPPORTUNITIES - ACTION PLAN 💎 INTRADAY TRADERS (5M-1H focus): 🎯 Primary Setup: Long on breakout above 1.1555 with 4H close, target 1.1605 🎯 Secondary Setup: Long on pullback to 1.1520-1.1525 with bullish confirmation 🎯 Scalping Range: Buy 1.1520-1.1530, Sell 1.1550-1.1560 until breakout 🎯 Invalidation: Break below 1.1505 negates bullish setups SWING TRADERS (4H-Weekly focus): 🎯 Accumulation Zone: 1.1490-1.1530 for position building 🎯 Breakout Entry: Above 1.1580 on 4H close (retest entry at 1.1565-1.1575) 🎯 Primary Target: 1.1680-1.1720 (200+ pips potential) 🎯 Stop Loss: Below 1.1470 (max 60 pip risk for 200 pip reward = 1:3.3 R/R) 🧭 FINAL VERDICT & WEEKLY BIAS 🧭 The technical confluence across multiple timeframes and methodologies presents a predominantly BULLISH bias for EUR/USD heading into the week of November 3-7, 2025. The combination of bullish reversal patterns (Falling Wedge, Inverse Head and Shoulders, Bullish Bat), oversold oscillators with positive divergence, and Wyckoff accumulation signals all point toward a significant counter-trend rally attempt. Expected Price Path: 📍 November 3-4: Final consolidation/test of 1.1520-1.1530 support 📍 November 4-5: Breakout above 1.1560 resistance with acceleration 📍 November 6-7: Rally toward 1.1620-1.1650 range The critical level to watch is 1.1560 - a decisive break above this level would confirm the bullish reversal scenario and trigger measured move targets toward 1.1650-1.1720 over the following 5-10 trading days. Confidence Level: 7.5/10 for bullish scenario Invalidation Level: Daily close below 1.1480 ⚡ TRADER'S EDGE: The current setup offers asymmetric risk/reward with clearly defined invalidation levels. The convergence of multiple technical theories at current price levels is rare and historically significant. Patience for proper entry execution combined with disciplined risk management should yield favorable outcomes. Remember: "The trend is your friend until it bends at the end" - and current technical evidence suggests the downtrend is bending. 📈 📝 POSITION MANAGEMENT RULES: Use trailing stops once position moves 50% toward target Take partial profits at first resistance (1.1605) on swing positions Scale into positions on confirmation rather than aggressive entry Monitor volume - breakouts without volume fail 68% of time Re-evaluate bias if 4H closes below 1.1505 🎓 Educational Note: This analysis demonstrates the power of multi-timeframe confirmation and multi-methodology confluence . The strongest trading setups occur when Japanese Candlesticks, Western technical patterns, Harmonic structures, Elliott Wave counts, and Wyckoff market phases all align. Single-indicator trading has 52-55% win rate; multi-factor confluence increases probability to 65-75% range. --- 📢 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes. Always conduct your own research, use proper risk management, and never risk more than you can afford to lose. Past performance does not guarantee future results. 🔔 Follow for daily updates and real-time trade alerts! Drop a 🚀 if this analysis helped you! #EURUSD #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #ElliottWave #HarmonicPatterns #SwingTrading #IntradayTrading #PriceAction #TradingView #ForexSignals #EUR #USD #FXTrading #ChartAnalysis #TradingStrategy #MarketAnalysis #ForexCommunity #DayTrading #Scalping #SupportAndResistance #Fibonacci #WyckoffMethod #GannAnalysis #DowTheory
by sunya
EURUSD – Testing Key Support Amid Ongoing DowntrendAfter weeks of sustained selling pressure, EURUSD continues to respect its daily descending red trendline, maintaining the broader bearish structure. Price is now approaching a major confluence zone around 1.1451, aligning with the 4H structural support — a critical area to watch for potential reaction. 🔍 Technical Analysis Current Price: 1.1526 Trend: Daily downtrend (red) intact — momentum remains bearish but nearing key support. Support & Stop-Loss Zone: 🟢 1.1451 | SL: 1.1385 (4H confluence support – potential reaction zone) Resistance: 1.1575–1.1600 (descending trendline area) 🧭 Outlook Bearish Case: As long as the daily downward trendline holds, the overall structure remains bearish, and sellers maintain control of momentum. Bullish Case: For a bullish scenario to take shape, price must hold above the 1.1451 support zone and break decisively above the descending trendline, which would confirm a shift in structure and open the way for a short-term recovery. Key Watch: The 1.1451 support level remains the key zone — a reaction here will determine whether the pair maintains its downtrend or begins a structural reversal. 🌍 Fundamental Insight The U.S. dollar remains supported by higher yields and resilient U.S. economic data. The euro faces pressure from weak regional growth and a cautious ECB tone regarding rate cuts. Near term, interest rate differentials continue to favor the dollar, keeping EURUSD biased lower until data shifts. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Long
by husseindergham
A High Probability end for the Swing Pullback on EUR/USD Hey guys and gals! Following up on our "A high probability market structure scenario on EUR/USD" you can see that statistical probabilities guided us through the break of the internal low. So now what? If you were short, what is a good target/exit? Where is the Swing pullback likely to end? We will let probabilities and data guide us. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Of course, the Swing could always extend further, and if it does we have extended analysis for this. But in any case, we will likely see at least a strong Internal Pullback from these levels where we can further assess. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts and am open to any questions or requests for analysis. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
by Structure_Lab
EURUSD road map (4h)The expected targets are marked on the chart and I think in the coming days, the trend will be bullish. After reaching the desired targets, it can drop to 1.04. Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Long
by CobraVanguard
1
EUR/USD Technical AnalysisEUR/USD Technical Analysis – Early Signs of Reversal After Hitting Key Support On the 1-hour chart, EUR/USD has completed a clear rounded top formation, leading to a sharp selloff toward the 1.1550 zone — an area that aligns with previous structure and demand from October lows. After the recent decline, price action is now showing stabilization signs, forming a potential higher low around 1.1550 – 1.1545. This indicates that bearish momentum is losing strength, and a short-term bullish retracement may develop. The blue curved structure marks the completed distribution phase, while the green zone highlights the key demand area where buyers are beginning to step in. Key Levels to Watch Support: 1.1545 – 1.1535 (demand zone and previous structure low) Resistance: 1.1600 – 1.1620 (minor supply area and neckline of the previous top) Trading Plan Scenario 1 – Buy from support: If price holds above 1.1545 and forms a bullish confirmation candle, traders may look for a buy setup toward 1.1600 – 1.1620. Scenario 2 – Breakdown continuation: If price breaks and closes below 1.1535, bearish continuation could resume toward 1.1500. Technical Outlook The pair is currently testing a key reaction zone after an extended correction. A rebound from this level could confirm a short-term recovery phase, while failure to hold support will reinforce the prevailing downtrend.
by Henrybillion