USDEUX trade ideas
EURUSD correctionYesterday, EURUSD dipped to 1,1610 but managed to hold above that level.
This move is seen as a correction within the broader uptrend.
We expect it to end soon, opening up new buying opportunities.
At the current levels, there’s no reason to enter just yet – it’s best to wait for market confirmation.
EUR/USD – Consolidation Ahead of Key Data ReleasesGreetings everyone,
The EUR/USD pair is trading in a narrow range this week as markets await decisive signals from both the Eurozone and the United States. On the European side, sticky inflation has reduced immediate expectations of monetary easing from the ECB. Meanwhile, in the US, upcoming data including the Services PMI and Non-Farm Payrolls are likely to guide Federal Reserve expectations and inject volatility into the dollar.
From a technical perspective, the H4 chart shows price action hovering around the 1.163 handle with little directional conviction. The thin Ichimoku cloud and frequent Tenkan–Kijun crossovers highlight indecision. Key resistance stands at 1.1665–1.1700, while support remains firm near 1.1585–1.1550.
Possible outcomes:
Strong US data could shift momentum in favour of the dollar, driving a breakdown towards 1.1500.
Softer US releases, combined with a hawkish ECB stance, may fuel a breakout above 1.1700 with potential extension to 1.1760.
Mixed signals could keep EUR/USD consolidating near 1.163 until clarity emerges.
What’s your view? Will the breakout finally come to the upside or downside?
EURUSD, revised!NZDCHF Main Parameters
1. Monthly timeframe - Bullish
2. Weekly timeframe - Bullish
3. Daily timeframe - Bearish
4. Intraday timeframes - Bullish
Other Parameters
5. COT Data - EUR with main parameters
6. DXY Index - Bullish with main parameters.
Intraday Confluences
4hr Invalidation, 1hr Invalidation.
Based on all these parameters and having 75% probability on our parameters; we are waiting for a Long position risking not more than 14 Pips, targeting a 1:10+ at significant level where we are targeting to take our profits.
EURUSD Paints Itself Into a CornerEURUSD’s 5.5-month rally has stalled into a 2-month wedge consolidation - price has essentially painted itself into a corner.
With ATR at a 6-month low, volatility has compressed stalling further gains.
The consolidation has been brief compared to the sustained H1 2025 rally.
COT positioning reinforces the risk as speculators are the most net-long (red and blue lines - bottom of chart) since January 2024 while commercials are net-short (green line).
This disparity hints the bullish EURUSD trade is a overcrowded and may need more time to correct.
The market has to step on wet paint to get out of this corner. Which way will it go?
Watch the trend lines.
A daily close under the wedge support trend line would expose horizontal Fibonacci support:
23.6% near 1.1440 , then
38.2% at ~1.1200 .
If selling accelerates, watch the 61.8% retrace around 1.0810 .
Until price clears 1.1830, rallies are suspect.
If bulls do force a clean breakout, the purple up-trend line can act as a marker for bullish sentiment; holding above it keeps the advance intact, but a decisive close back below that trend line after a breakout would signal sentiment is turning and puts downside risk right back on the table.
EURUSD (1H) – Pullback Into Demand Zone, Key Decision AheadFOREXCOM:EURUSD
Structure | Trend | Key Reaction Zones
Price recently broke out of a rising channel, retracing sharply back into the demand zone (1.1610 – 1.1630). The structure still holds higher lows (HL) but faces resistance near 1.1680.
Market Overview
After strong bullish momentum towards 1.1740, EURUSD rejected at major resistance and is now consolidating lower. The demand zone will act as a make-or-break level. A bounce may confirm bullish continuation, while a breakdown could extend bearish momentum.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀 →
🎯 Target 1: 1.1680
🎯 Target 2: 1.1720
🎯 Extended: 1.1743
❌ Bearish Case 📉 →
🎯 Downside Target 1: 1.1610
🎯 Downside Target 2: 1.1580
🎯 Extended: 1.1574
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 1.1680 – 1.1720
Support 🟢: 1.1630 – 1.1610
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
EURUSD Outlook monthly to 1h TFThis analysis takes a closer look at the current EURUSD structure on the 1H timeframe within the monthly context.
Key levels, possible liquidity areas, and execution windows are highlighted for traders who value precision over prediction.
Trading requires discipline, patience, and the right mindset. That’s exactly what we focus on inside our community where traders share insights, review setups, and learn together.
If you want to follow along and see how we apply these ideas in live markets, you’re always welcome to connect with us.
EURUSD intraweek longtuesday coming to a close of nfp week.
overnight we were met with an aggressive repricing lower during london open, then followed by a ny session reversal
after todays 10a news driver expanding higher, by ny close price completed its retracement inside the m15 fvg, 9am m15 candle (see the same m15 fvg in GU for smt)
expansion --> retracement --> expansion
roughly 100 pips higher into the BSL
Bearish Setup – Channel Breakdown🚨 Bearish Setup – Channel Breakdown 🚨
EURUSD on the 4H timeframe just broke below a rising channel, rejecting key supply after failing to sustain bullish momentum.
📉 Bias: Bearish
🔑 Confluences:
Rising channel breakdown ✔️
Supply zone rejection ✔️
Lower-high formation ✔️
Momentum shift confirmed ✔️
🎯 Target zone: 1.1500 – 1.1420
🛑 Invalidation (SL): Above 1.1700
With volatility kicking in from new week/month + heavy news flow, sellers may have the upper hand here.
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💬 What’s your bias on EURUSD? Do you see a deeper drop, or potential for a bounce back? Share below 👇
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Potential bearish drop?EUR/USD has rejected off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1657
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.1736
Why we like it:
There is a multi swing high resistance.
Take profit: 1.1579
Why we like it:
There is a swin low aupport.
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New York LongGood Morning All,
Watching New York Open, Price Action continued direction from London to Start. It seems Price is slowing down at a new session low. After the first buyer's strength candle on the 15minute, I am looking for another rejection at this level.
Currently, we are seeing a second bullish candle form. If this candle closes to the upside. We are Long for New York.
EURUSD: Consolidation ContinuesThe EURUSD pair is currently consolidation within a horizontal parallel channel.
A bearish response to the resistance level has been observed, with the price exhibiting a change of character (CHOCH), followed by a decline.
There is a strong likelihood of the price reaching the 1.1602 level in the near term.
Euro CPI ticks higher, US ISM Mfg. PMI misses estimate, euro lowThe US dollar has posted sharp gains against most of the majors on Tuesday. In the North American session,EUR/USD is trading at 1.1672, down 0.33% on the day. The euro fell as smuch as 0.84% today but has recovered most of those losses after soft US manufacturing data.
Eurozone inflation ticked higher in August to 2.1% y/y, up from 2.0% in July. This was just above the market estimate of 2.0%. Services inflation, which has been sticky, eased to 3.1% from 3.2%.
Core CPI, which excludes energy and food, was unchanged at 2.3% y/y for a fourth consecutive time, above the market estimate of 2.2%. The core rate remained at its lowest level since October 2021.
The calm in inflation means that the European Central Bank is likely to continue to maintain its key deposit rate at 2.0% at the September 11 meeting. Still, the ECB has its doves who favor further rate cuts in order to kick-start the weak eurozone economy. As well, the Federal Reserve is widely expected to cut rates this month, which will put pressure on the ECB to also lower rates. The central bank has inflation under control but is also concerned about inflation undershooting the 2% target.
The US ISM Manufacturing PMI came in at 48.7 in August, up from 48.0 in July but below the market estimate of 49.0. Manufacturing has been in the doldrums, with six straight readings below 50, which indicates contraction. There was a rebound in new orders but production and employment showed declines.
The weak global economy and the impact of counter-tariffs on US goods continues to dampen manufacturing activity, with little indication that the situation will improve anytime soon.
EUR/USD has pushed below support at 1.1687 and is putting pressure on 1.1662. Next, there is support at 1.1638
There is resistance at 1.1711 and 1.1736
EURUSD at a Breakout PointHello my wonderful friends, what do you think about FX:EURUSD ?
Today, the pair is trading around 1.172, approaching both the resistance zone and the trendline cap after several days of consolidating at support. Previously , we had set this level as our target, and now it has been reached.
A breakout above the trendline could pave the way for a stronger rally, with 1.200 eyed as a medium-term target. The EMAs also align with this view, flashing positive signals. As long as support holds, the bulls remain in control.
What do you think? Will EURUSD break out, or continue consolidating around support? Share your thoughts in the comments!
Good luck!
EURUSD | Short Setup from Resistance.Analysis: EURUSD is approaching a key resistance zone, and I am looking for a short opportunity from 1.17200 with a clear risk-to-reward setup.
🔴 Entry (Short): 1.17200
❌ Stop Loss: 1.17600
🎯 Target: 1.16200 (support zone)
This setup is based on resistance rejection + structure alignment, with risk defined above resistance. If sellers step in at this level, we may see a move back toward the support zone.
⚠️ Note: This is my personal analysis, not financial advice. Always trade with proper risk management.
If this analysis helps you, please like, comment & share to motivate me for posting more setups.
Regards: Forex Insights Pro.
#EURUSD #Forex #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #Resistance #Support #Bearish #RiskManagement
EURUSD Trade IdeaPrice has been ranging between 1.1763 resistance and 1.1572 support. We just saw a rejection from the top of the range, and now price is pushing lower.
My expectation:
A possible sweep into the 1.1600 – 1.1572 demand zone
From there, bulls may step back in for a move back toward 1.1763
As long as we hold above 1.1572, I’m looking for longs from demand targeting the upper range. A clean break below that level would change the structure and open up further downside.
Let’s see how price reacts around the zone 👀