Trade ideas
DeGRAM | EURUSD is preparing to a breakout๐ Technical Analysis
โ EUR/USD is trading inside a descending channel, facing repeated rejections from the resistance line near 1.1717. A confirmed breakdown below 1.1683 would open the way toward 1.1646 and possibly 1.1614 as the next downside objectives.
โ The lower highs pattern highlights bearish momentum, while support tests indicate fading demand within the mid-channel zone.
๐ก Fundamental Analysis
โ The euro weakened as the dollar strengthened amid firm U.S. economic data and hawkish Fed comments, while the ECB remains cautious on rate adjustments, maintaining policy divergence pressure.
โจ Summary
โ Bearish continuation favored below 1.1683, targeting 1.1646โ1.1614, with descending channel structure and fundamental backdrop supporting further downside.
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EURUSD: Bearish Range-Bound as Markets Eye Fed and ECB SignalsFundamental approach:
- The euro was range-bound this week amid firm euro-area inflation signals and caution ahead of the key Fed communications, with sentiment also shaped by Eurozone Retail Sales and broader risk appetite drivers. The pair fluctuated as markets weighed stable eurozone core inflation against anticipated insights from the FOMC Minutes and Chair Powell's speech that could recalibrate US rate expectations.
- Eurostat's flash showed eurozone headline inflation ticked up to 2.2% in Sep while core held at 2.3%, reinforcing expectations the ECB will stay on hold, even as officials flagged a conditional scope for slight easing if downside risks rise. Fed minutes and Powell's remarks later in the week were set to guide the path for additional 2025 easing, with markets attentive to labor-market and inflation persistence language that could sway the dollar narrative.
- EURUSD could stabilize or firm if Fed communications lean dovish and euro-area data avoid downside surprises, but any hawkish inflection from the minutes may cap gains. Near-term catalysts include the FOMC minutes, Powell's speech, and eurozone activity data, which could shift rate differentials and drive volatility.
Technical approach:
- EURUSD broke the ascending trendline's lower bound. The price is below both EMAs, indicating a bearish momentum.
- If the EURUSD breaches the support at 1.5760, the price may head to the next support level at 1.1400.
- On the contrary, staying above 1.5760 may prompt EURUSD to retest both EMAs.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
EURUSD changing directioEUR/USD Finally Breaks Below Key Moving Averages | Technical Analysis Update
In this video, I share my latest EUR/USD analysis โ the pair has finally broken below both the exponential (blue) and simple (red) moving averages, marking a potential shift in market structure after months of consolidation since February.
We go step by step through:
๐นBreaking under the EMA + SMA
Elliott Wave count & correction phase
๐น Confirmation from the stochastic oscillator
๐น Key trendline break setup
๐น Fibonacci retracement (61.8%) and projection confluence
๐น Short entry zones and target levels between 1.08 โ 1.09
๐ก Important: This is not financial advice โ Iโm just sharing my personal market analysis and thoughts. Always manage your risk and use proper stop-loss techniques.
If you enjoy detailed, no-nonsense technical breakdowns of the forex market, make sure to:
๐ Like the video
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EURUSD Could Deteriorate FurtherEURUSD Could Deteriorate Further
Franceโs new Prime Minister, Sebastien Lecornu, resigned on Monday, just hours after naming his new cabinet.
His resignation was sudden and unprecedented, and marked another major deepening of Franceโs political crisis.
On the other hand, according to our previous analysis, EURUSD had corrected as expected, not too close to 1.1770. It seems that the US government shutdown did not have much of an impact on the US dollar.
Given that EURUSD fell after the above news regarding France, it seems that the market is getting tired of the US and Trump. Perhaps the attention has turned back to the Eurozone and EURUSD could fall more this time than we expect.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
โค๏ธPS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading dayโค๏ธ
EUR/USD Thoughts and Ideas (Price Action, Tick Volume , S and R)Chard Feedback
Daily :
The Pair has been going up in a tight channel for more than a month, but finally some more defined bearish structure has formed with the first LH at 1.18168 and LL at 1.16459. The week(22/09) ended with a small pullback at the bottom line of the channel, with a relatively narrow up candle on high volume, on such volume we would like to see also a good move, this might indicate that much buying labour is required to move the price higher and this is just a pullback.
I expect the price to re-test the last High Low 1.17277 before the price fall to the well defined Support/Demand Zone 1.15748/1.16144.
Fast TF(4h,1h)
On faster time frames the structures are better defined and more clear to see. The demand zone at 1.16000 is well defined with multiple rejections since August, on the upper side resistances are messy and a bit whole over the place for this reason in my set up I will use the latest lows and highs as entry points.
The Plan
I will be looking for the test of 1.17277:
Scenario rejection TP target upper level of Demand Zone
Scenario breakout above 1.17520 and TP target 1.18168
In the case the price continues lower without a test of the last High Low(1.17277), I will be looking for long positions at demand zone rejections, for a break out of this zone I will like to see a successful re-test before any entry.
For all my entries I'm looking for confirmation in tick volume. 3rd Wickoff Rule the Law of Effor vs Result.
Thank you, Good luck to all!
EUR/USD Slide Begins! Market Flow Shifts Bearish๐ฏ EUR/USD "THE FIBER" ๐ฅ | Cash Flow Heist Strategy (Swing/Day Trade)
๐ MARKET SETUP
๐ป Bias: BEARISH CONFIRMED
โ
Technical Confirmation: Triangular Moving Average Breakout
โก Strategy Type: The Thief Layering Method
๐ฏ THE HEIST PLAN (Entry Strategy)
๐ซ Thief Style = Layered Limit Orders
Instead of one entry, we're placing multiple sell limit orders to catch the best average price:
Suggested Entry Layers:
๐ฏ Layer 1: 1.17000
๐ฏ Layer 2: 1.16800
๐ฏ Layer 3: 1.16500
๐ฏ Layer 4: 1.16300
Note: You can add more layers based on your account size and risk appetite. This is NY session pricing strategy.
๐ก๏ธ RISK MANAGEMENT
๐จ Stop Loss: 1.17300
๐ฐ Take Profit Target: 1.15400
โ ๏ธ IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER:
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's) - These are MY levels for reference only. Always manage your own risk! If you see profit, secure it. Your account, your rules. Don't be greedy when the market pays you! ๐ต
Why 1.15400 Target?
Strong historical support zone
Oversold conditions likely
Bull trap territory - time to escape with the loot before reversal! ๐โโ๏ธ๐จ
๐ CORRELATED PAIRS TO WATCH
Keep your eyes on these connected moves:
๐ Positive Correlation (Move together):
EURGBP
- Euro strength indicator
EURJPY
- Risk sentiment gauge
EURCHF
- Safe haven flow monitor
๐ Inverse Correlation (Move opposite):
DXY
(US Dollar Index) - The boss! Strong DXY = Weak EUR/USD
GBPUSD
- Cable follows Fiber's lead often
AUDUSD
- Risk-on/risk-off cousin
๐ก Pro Tip: If DXY breaks higher while EUR indices weaken, this setup gets SPICY! ๐ถ๏ธ
๐ KEY TECHNICAL POINTS
โ
Triangular MA Breakout = Momentum shift confirmed
โ
Multi-layer entries = Better average cost & lower risk per position
โ
1.17300 SL = Tight stop above resistance
โ
1.15400 TP = Major support + psychological level
โ
Risk:Reward = Solid 2:1+ depending on entry layers
๐ Current Levels (Oct 8, 2025):
Weekly High: 1.177
Weekly Low: 1.1663
Trend: Bearish pressure continuing
โ ๏ธ FINAL DISCLAIMER
๐ญ This is "Thief Style" trading strategy - created for educational and entertainment purposes only!
This analysis represents my personal trading approach and should NOT be considered financial advice. Trading forex carries substantial risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always:
Do your own analysis
Risk only what you can afford to lose
Use proper position sizing
Never trade with borrowed money
YOU are responsible for YOUR trading decisions! ๐ฐ
โจ If you find value in my analysis, a ๐ and ๐ boost is much appreciated โ it helps me share more setups with the community!
#EURUSD #Forex #TradingStrategy #SwingTrading #DayTrading #ForexSignals #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #ForexTrading #CurrencyTrading #FiberSetup #ThiefStrategy #LayeredEntry #ForexCommunity #TradingView #ForexIdeas
EURUSD OCT 8 Asia Trade 21:00 MacroEURUSD
OCT 8
Asia Trade
21:00 Macro
Elements of this set up
Last liquidity taken sell side NY 3 macro
Price retraced to 50 of previous session and began to break down to sell side
18:00 taps session 50 and CE of 14:00 candle
Coming into Asia Price rolls over
Insight that DXY would seek its key equal highs and rebalance FVG
EUR would seek to rebalance 15M FVG and seek the 4 HOUR FVG and complete the discount cycle
Asia opened in expansion to the low
20:00 created a 15M FVG
20:45 came back up into is what I was waiting for
suspecting a expansion to my targets
21:00 entry candle price 1.16461
Target was first quadrant of 4 HOUR FVG price 1.16200
Success
From Analysis to Reality โ EUR/USD Hits Target Perfectly๐ซ Welcome Traders ๐ซ
Hey everyone! ๐
Welcome back to my page โ where we grow, learn, and trade smart together! ๐น
๐ EUR/USD Daily Analysis
As expected from our previous analysis, EUR/USD continued its bearish trend and successfully broke the previous low, hitting our last target perfectly. โ
Currently, the pair remains in a strong downtrend, and this scenario is under watch ๐
Scenario:
After a pullback to the Pro Key Level zone, price is expected to move toward the 50% liquidity level of the previous daily wick low.
However, if the obstacle zone is touched before reaching the Pro Key Level, the analysis becomes invalidated. ๐ซ
โ ๏ธ Risk Management Reminder
Remember โ the market is never 100% certain! Always trade with a clear strategy, proper risk management, and keep an eye on news events.
Protect your capital first โ profits come second. ๐
๐ฌ Join the Discussion
If you found this analysis useful, donโt forget to like, follow, and share your thoughts in the comments!
Letโs learn and grow together ๐ฌ๐ฅ
๐ Educational Note:
This analysis is for educational and illustrative purposes only.
Always follow your own plan, confirm with your strategy, and manage risk carefully.
Success in trading comes from discipline, patience, and consistency. ๐ช
๐ Empowering traders through clarity, confidence & clean charts.
Follow ๐ @parisa_tl for more liquidity setups and daily insights ๐
#EURUSD #forexanalysis #smartmoneyconcepts #priceaction #tradingview #forexsetup #liquiditygrab #forexeducation #forextrader #EURUSDanalysis #daytrading #mondayvibes #fxmindset
EUR/USD โ 4H Bearish Setup๐ป EUR/USD โ 4H Bearish Setup
๐๏ธ October 8, 2025
Price tapped into a clean 4H Bearish FVG, rejecting with momentum. Eyes on continuation lower if 1.16546 holds as resistance.
๐ Key Levels:
๐ฅ FVG Supply Zone: 1.16794 โ 1.16811
๐ซ CRTH Target: 1.16546 (first)
๐ข BSL Below: 1.16457
๐ Bias: Bearish
๐ซ Invalidation: Break above 1.16811
๐ฏ Target: Sweep of liquidity at 1.16457
๐ก Simple structure. Clear imbalance. Clean rejection.
๐ Bear pressure likely to continue...
Greetings,
MrYounity
oct 7: failoh well i'm kinda ducked...
the volume bars, I forgot to add to my analysis, so I failed to see if it will be going up or not...
because, price move up isn't supported by CVD,
and the big displacement candle long was not supported by volume(above MA21 line),
so yeah the move up is fake. sad day ngl.
so, lesson:
to validate whether the price move is legit or not, is to look at volume bars, not just price action and CVD+FRVP.
oct 7 : adding CVD and FRVP(LVN & POC) to confluence... oct 7 : adding CVD and FRVP(LVN & POC) to confluence...
kinda confusing? we'll see how it goes.
Idk why I entered long despite the orderflow and divergence showing bearish signs.
oh wait i know.
because of price action theories (old sweep + divergence, then IFVG + BB breakout)
So uhh, we'll see how it goes?
EURUSD Will Rise From SupportHello Traders
In This Chart EURUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today EURUSD analysis ๐
๐ขThis Chart includes_ (EURUSD market update)
๐ขWhat is The Next Opportunity on EURUSD Market
๐ขhow to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
EURUSD: Bearish Setup Builds Below $1.1778FenzoFxโEuro began dipping after it tapped into the bearish fair value gap with resistance at $1.1778. Looking at the 4-hour charts, we notice equal lows with liquidity resting below $1.1712.
From a technical perspective, we expect the price to start a new bearish leg if the fair value gap with resistance at $1.1778 holds. Please note that the downtrend outlook should be invalidated if the price closes and stabilizes above this mark.
EURUSD, What's cooking?Since we all know that the market rewards the patient one and scolds the impatient, I've been waiting in the dark. So the EU did some crazy stunts some weeks ago, extending downwards without permission but for all we know, every broken bone must be repaired. I never thought the lazy NFP could give us the head start for a retest and boom...here we are, about to get to the promised land after so much wait. Irregularities can be found as EU ascend, just to clock out of a shift above but as a LOVING SWEET HONEY that I am, I have prepared a warm bath for "HONEY, I'M HOME"...
Be advised that we could end up drowning in the bath water, so do yourself a favor and make sure you still got a leg sticking out (don't go all in), just in case the cops get involved.
Ready or not, hit that SELL BUTTON at the designated mark and regret later!
Go and sin no more!