Trade ideas
EURUSD Review October 30 2025Short-term price movement ideas.
The price is still located within the daily short FVG, which remains the primary area of interest. Price action has slowed down, we see additional manipulations from the top and no liquidity grabs from the bottom — this indicates that the market is preparing for an aggressive move down. Therefore, despite all these manipulations, it is crucial to work with every confirmation so as not to miss the true move. At the moment, we have liquidity grabs on the 4H and confirmations on the 1H. If the price tests the hourly zone and provides confirmations on the lower timeframes, then short positions can be considered.
Be flexible, adapt to the market, and the results will come quickly. Good luck to everyone.
EUR/USD - TRADER EDGE
🎯 KEY PIVOT ZONE
DEMAND ZONE: 1.17200-1.17400
➡️5 POC lines cluster with thick VRVP node creating major support floor
➡️High-volume equilibrium area with repeated buying interest
➡️Price currently WITHIN pivot - consolidation at support
📊 PRICE TARGETS
UPSIDE TARGETS ⬆️
T1: 1.17680-1.17820
T2: 1.18280-1.18420
DOWNSIDE TARGETS ⬇️
T1: 1.16780-1.16920
T2: 1.16320-1.16480
⚡💎⚡ EDGE - HIGHEST PROBABILITY PLAY
Long from 1.17220-1.17280 bounce targeting 1.17680-1.17820 then 1.18280-1.18420
🔍 PRE-ENTRY CONFIRMATION SIGNALS
✅ Price dips to 1.17250 or below showing bullish reversal pattern (hammer/bullish engulfing)
✅ Higher low formation above 1.17180 with momentum shift upward
✅ Volume spike on bounce candle confirming buyer absorption
📈 TRADE SETUP
🟢PRIMARY BIAS: BULLISH
Long Setup:
Entry: 1.17230-1.17270 after confirmations
Stop Loss: 1.17080
🎯Target 1: 1.17680-1.17820
🎯Target 2: 1.18280-1.18420
Risk/Reward: 1:2.8 / 1:6.5
🔄 BIAS FLIP CONDITIONS
🔴TURNS BEARISH IF:
Clean break and 2H close below 1.17120
Volume expansion on breakdown (1.5x average)
Failed retest of 1.17200-1.17240 as resistance ceiling
⚡Then Target:
🎯1.16780-1.16920
🎯1.16320-1.16480
⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT
Max Risk: 180 pips per standard lot
Position Size: Risk 1-2% of account per trade
Time Stop: Only trade within LONDON, EUROZONE & NYSE's peak volume segments
No change in EURUSDThe EURUSD movement remains in line with the expected scenario.
It is holding above 1,1700, and we continue to watch for the formation of a higher low.
Such a setup would confirm buying opportunities and the potential resumption of the uptrend.
The main focus remains on Friday’s NFP release, which could trigger stronger moves.
EURUSDLast week price briefly came back to test weekly zone and got a strong bounce. This week it's above daily resistance again around 1.17200 and we can see some sort of inverse head and shoulder on the H1 & H4. There's a bullish flag pattern visible on the H1 as well.
Lets see if fundamentals will play along.
Wave 3 Breakout – Targeting 1.18600 w/Elliott Wave ConfirmationOverview
This idea is based on a completed Elliott Wave impulse sequence (1)-(5) followed by a corrective ABC structure, suggesting the start of a new bullish impulse wave, likely Wave (3) of a higher-degree cycle. The breakout above the H4 high and consolidation near the Daily High supports this bullish continuation.
Technical Breakdown
Wave Structure: The chart shows a full 5-wave impulse up, followed by an ABC correction. Price is now pushing above the corrective high, suggesting Wave (3) is underway.
Support Zones:
H4 Low: 1.1728
Daily Low: 1.17122
Weekly Low: 1.16456
Resistance Zones:
Weekly High: 1.18200
H1 High: 1.18600
The breakout above the H4 High and Daily High confirms bullish momentum. The wave count aligns with a textbook Elliott Wave setup, where Wave (3) is typically the strongest and longest.
Trade Setup
Entry Zone: Between 1.17450–1.17500, after breakout confirmation.
Stop Loss: Below 1.17220 (Daily Low), allowing room for volatility but protecting against invalidation of the wave count.
Take Profit 1: 1.18200 – aligns with minor resistance and a conservative Wave (3) projection.
Take Profit 2: 1.18600 – based on Fibonacci extension and upper range of the Weekly High zone.
This setup offers a risk-reward ratio of approximately 2.5:1, ideal for swing or short-term momentum traders.
Wave Theory Context
Wave (1): Initial breakout from base structure.
Wave (2): ABC correction, now complete.
Wave (3): Currently unfolding, expected to extend beyond TP2 if momentum continues.
Wave (4) and (5): To follow, but not yet visible.
Final Notes
Watch for a retest of the breakout zone (1.17450–1.17500) as a potential secondary entry.
If price fails to hold above 1.17220, consider the wave count invalidated and exit the trade.
Keep an eye on macroeconomic news that could impact EUR/USD volatility.
EURUSD H4 | Bullish bounce from supportBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price fall to the buy entry, which is a pullback support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Buy entry is at 1.1711, which is. pullback support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 1.1664, which his a pullback support.
Take profit is at 1.1825, which is a pullback resistance.
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EURUSD ENTRY IDEAOn this Pair, we are still BEARISH,the EURUSD trend is still DOWN, we had a strong RETRACEMENT into a very strong H4 ZONE, Price early today had INDUCED the first SELLERs as a result of the EUROs gaining strength,we had our entry above the INDUCEMENT on tye 30minutes TF, IF this IDEA matches with your IDEA, we advise you apply a good risk management on this trade. THANK YOU.
Eur/Usd - Accumulation at Support, Targeting Resistance Price is currently ranging between a defined support zone (purple box) and a resistance zone (green box). After a CHoCH (Change of Character) and a Break of Structure (BOS) earlier, the market is showing signs of accumulating near the support level.
Current Setup:
Price is respecting the support zone (1.17250–1.17300) and attempting to form a bullish structure.
A potential rally could follow from this zone, targeting the resistance zone (1.17500–1.17650), marked as a weak high – suggesting it’s likely to be taken out.
Bullish Scenario:
Entry Zone: Within or just above the support
Target: Resistance zone / Weak high area
Invalidation: Clear breakdown below the support zone
Bias: Bullish while support holds
Key Zones:
Support: 1.17250–1.17300
Resistance (Target): 1.17500–1.17650
This setup favors buying the dip with confirmation signals (e.g., bullish engulfing, reversal patterns).
EUR/USD October watch 1.17779 is the game changerFor October, EUR/USD is still caught in a larger macro range, but my key focus remains around the 1.1779 level. This is the zone I’ll be watching closely a decisive reaction here could set the tone for the month, either confirming it as strong support for a bounce or breaking it to open further downside pressure. Keep this level on your chart, because October’s move may revolve around it.
Bearish reversal off 50% Fibonacci resistance?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.1793
1st Support: 1.1637
1st Resistance: 1.1915
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Could we see a drop from here?EUR/USD is reacting off the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.11734
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.1815
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.1638
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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EURUSDKey Data and Market Insights
The EUR/USD opened at $1.1741 today.
The pair's day range has been between $1.1734 and $1.1741.
Historically, October has been a bullish month for the EUR/USD, with an average return of +0.30% over the last 50+ years.
The Euro peeked out to a 4+ year high near $1.1900 in September.
Rising inflation in Europe might keep the European Central Bank (ECB) on hold, while the Federal Reserve (Fed) appears headed for another interest rate cut, potentially narrowing the interest rate differential.
A weakened dollar has added to inflation worries. The dollar has depreciated almost 10% this year.
Monetary policy divergences are likely to play a bigger role in currency performance towards the end of the year.
Eurozone Economic News
The Eurozone economy is reportedly holding up better than expected despite new US tariffs.
Global supply chain pressures remain contained, and bottleneck indicators in the euro area are close to historical averages.
Europe's imports are cheaper due to a strengthening euro against a weakened dollar.
Eurozone inflation was a moderate 2% in August.
Eurozone economic growth was only 0.1% in the second quarter.
Tariffs and associated uncertainty are projected to reduce Eurozone growth by 0.7% between 2025 and 2027.
US Economic News
Real GDP growth totaled 2.4% in 2024, projected to slow this year before rebounding.
The US economy grew at an annualized rate of 1.6% in the first half of 2025.
The Dollar Index has often wobbled but hasn't usually moved decisively during government shutdowns. This year, the Dollar Index is down nearly 10% due to uncertainty about the president's tariff and trade agenda.
EURUSD – Buy to Mega Resistance 1.2455 (then SELL BIG)💹📊 EURUSD – Buy to Mega Resistance 1.2455 (then SELL BIG) 🧨🔮
The EURUSD is marching toward history once again—right into the jaws of the 1.2455 Mega Resistance (descending level-approximate target). As always, the structure tells the story.
📈 What we’re seeing now is the third peak of a massive, decade-long descending formation. Every previous touch has ended in a violent rejection—2014, 2018... and now 2025?
👁 But here’s where it gets spicy:
See that small “👁” near 2017 on the chart? That wasn’t just a market pivot—it was a geopolitical tremor that reshaped the EURUSD landscape. Want to dive into what really happened behind closed doors in 2017 that’s still quietly echoing through the price action today? Drop a comment below for the conspiracy version of this chart. 🕵️♂️📉
🔍 Strategy Overview:
✅ BUY setups targeting 1.2455
❗ Then get ready to SELL BIG — the third touch historically marks the turn.
📉 Bear targets: 1.03860 and 1.04772 (classic collapse zones)
The chart confirms the momentum is still alive—just like the 2020 setup that nailed the top at 1.232 ( )
History doesn’t repeat… but it sure does rhyme 🎭
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
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Trade Journal - EurUSD IDEA - 30-09-2025Just my personal Journal Idea about EurUSD.
Euro is Temporarily bullish, breaks above the Daily Time frame FVG resistance Then we are bullish properly, but if it couldnt close above it, i will be shorting after that.
Tomorrow im expecting to take Long and Bullish Setups after Liquidity Pool is hit until we reach Daily Time Frame FVG above, Its not gonna be a good idea to enter short cuz there are high chances of getting trapped.
30-09-2025
USD short idea: Fundamental analysis.USD weakness has been a theme to start the week, as the post FOMC strength slowly deflates.
I've chosen the EUR to long given recent EUR bounancy and today's inflation data from Germany keeping any future rates cuts in the distance.
The AUD remains a good long option, a 'neutral hold' hasn't dented sentiment and I still like AUD NZD long as a possible trade.
It's even difficult to argue against a USD JPY short trade as fresh talk of an imminent BOJ rate hike hits the wires.
Today's trade is a 20 pip stop loss with 25 pip profit target.
The risk to the trade is USD strength or 'out of the blue' very risk off sentiment.
Lingrid | EURUSD Previous Day High Resistance Short OpportunityFX:EURUSD is recovering from the recent bottom near 1.1645 after support zone rejection. Price action is moving towards the resistance area around 1.1760, aligned with the upward trendline and previous day high. A rejection at this zone could send the pair back toward 1.1680 support. Broader structure suggests a corrective rally within a bearish framework, leaving downside risks intact unless bulls reclaim higher resistance.
⚠️ Risks:
Break above 1.1760 may shift momentum toward 1.1875.
Strong USD data could accelerate selling pressure.
Unexpected ECB commentary may create volatility against the current bias.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!