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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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Eur/Usd - Accumulation at Support, Targeting Resistance Price is currently ranging between a defined support zone (purple box) and a resistance zone (green box). After a CHoCH (Change of Character) and a Break of Structure (BOS) earlier, the market is showing signs of accumulating near the support level. Current Setup: Price is respecting the support zone (1.17250–1.17300) and attempting to form a bullish structure. A potential rally could follow from this zone, targeting the resistance zone (1.17500–1.17650), marked as a weak high – suggesting it’s likely to be taken out. Bullish Scenario: Entry Zone: Within or just above the support Target: Resistance zone / Weak high area Invalidation: Clear breakdown below the support zone Bias: Bullish while support holds Key Zones: Support: 1.17250–1.17300 Resistance (Target): 1.17500–1.17650 This setup favors buying the dip with confirmation signals (e.g., bullish engulfing, reversal patterns).
Long
by Hamza_Gold
Bearish reversal off 50% Fibonacci resistance?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support. Pivot: 1.1793 1st Support: 1.1637 1st Resistance: 1.1915 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
1
Could we see a drop from here?EUR/USD is reacting off the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.11734 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.1815 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 1.1638 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
EURUSDKey Data and Market Insights The EUR/USD opened at $1.1741 today. The pair's day range has been between $1.1734 and $1.1741. Historically, October has been a bullish month for the EUR/USD, with an average return of +0.30% over the last 50+ years. The Euro peeked out to a 4+ year high near $1.1900 in September. Rising inflation in Europe might keep the European Central Bank (ECB) on hold, while the Federal Reserve (Fed) appears headed for another interest rate cut, potentially narrowing the interest rate differential. A weakened dollar has added to inflation worries. The dollar has depreciated almost 10% this year. Monetary policy divergences are likely to play a bigger role in currency performance towards the end of the year. Eurozone Economic News The Eurozone economy is reportedly holding up better than expected despite new US tariffs. Global supply chain pressures remain contained, and bottleneck indicators in the euro area are close to historical averages. Europe's imports are cheaper due to a strengthening euro against a weakened dollar. Eurozone inflation was a moderate 2% in August. Eurozone economic growth was only 0.1% in the second quarter. Tariffs and associated uncertainty are projected to reduce Eurozone growth by 0.7% between 2025 and 2027. US Economic News Real GDP growth totaled 2.4% in 2024, projected to slow this year before rebounding. The US economy grew at an annualized rate of 1.6% in the first half of 2025. The Dollar Index has often wobbled but hasn't usually moved decisively during government shutdowns. This year, the Dollar Index is down nearly 10% due to uncertainty about the president's tariff and trade agenda.
by HavalMamar
EURUSD – Buy to Mega Resistance 1.2455 (then SELL BIG)💹📊 EURUSD – Buy to Mega Resistance 1.2455 (then SELL BIG) 🧨🔮 The EURUSD is marching toward history once again—right into the jaws of the 1.2455 Mega Resistance (descending level-approximate target). As always, the structure tells the story. 📈 What we’re seeing now is the third peak of a massive, decade-long descending formation. Every previous touch has ended in a violent rejection—2014, 2018... and now 2025? 👁 But here’s where it gets spicy: See that small “👁” near 2017 on the chart? That wasn’t just a market pivot—it was a geopolitical tremor that reshaped the EURUSD landscape. Want to dive into what really happened behind closed doors in 2017 that’s still quietly echoing through the price action today? Drop a comment below for the conspiracy version of this chart. 🕵️‍♂️📉 🔍 Strategy Overview: ✅ BUY setups targeting 1.2455 ❗ Then get ready to SELL BIG — the third touch historically marks the turn. 📉 Bear targets: 1.03860 and 1.04772 (classic collapse zones) The chart confirms the momentum is still alive—just like the 2020 setup that nailed the top at 1.232 ( ) History doesn’t repeat… but it sure does rhyme 🎭 One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first!
Long
by FX_Professor
7
Trade Journal - EurUSD IDEA - 30-09-2025Just my personal Journal Idea about EurUSD. Euro is Temporarily bullish, breaks above the Daily Time frame FVG resistance Then we are bullish properly, but if it couldnt close above it, i will be shorting after that. Tomorrow im expecting to take Long and Bullish Setups after Liquidity Pool is hit until we reach Daily Time Frame FVG above, Its not gonna be a good idea to enter short cuz there are high chances of getting trapped. 30-09-2025
Long
by YashRajMatta
USD short idea: Fundamental analysis.USD weakness has been a theme to start the week, as the post FOMC strength slowly deflates. I've chosen the EUR to long given recent EUR bounancy and today's inflation data from Germany keeping any future rates cuts in the distance. The AUD remains a good long option, a 'neutral hold' hasn't dented sentiment and I still like AUD NZD long as a possible trade. It's even difficult to argue against a USD JPY short trade as fresh talk of an imminent BOJ rate hike hits the wires. Today's trade is a 20 pip stop loss with 25 pip profit target. The risk to the trade is USD strength or 'out of the blue' very risk off sentiment.
Long
by johnelfedforexblog
Lingrid | EURUSD Previous Day High Resistance Short OpportunityFX:EURUSD is recovering from the recent bottom near 1.1645 after support zone rejection. Price action is moving towards the resistance area around 1.1760, aligned with the upward trendline and previous day high. A rejection at this zone could send the pair back toward 1.1680 support. Broader structure suggests a corrective rally within a bearish framework, leaving downside risks intact unless bulls reclaim higher resistance. ⚠️ Risks: Break above 1.1760 may shift momentum toward 1.1875. Strong USD data could accelerate selling pressure. Unexpected ECB commentary may create volatility against the current bias. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Short
by Lingrid
7
EURUSD Is Going Up! Long! Take a look at our analysis for EURUSD. Time Frame: 6h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.173. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.181. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
EURUSD Key Levels to Watch Ahead of Non-Farm PayrollsWith non-farm payrolls on the horizon, EUR/USD is stepping into one of the busiest weeks of the month. Inflation updates out of the eurozone, a wave of central bank speeches, and US jobs data will all have traders weighing short-term swings against the bigger trend. Macro Drivers in Play The front half of the week belongs to eurozone inflation, with preliminary CPI figures due Tuesday. Core and headline readings will be closely watched for confirmation that disinflation is slowing, which could influence ECB tone in speeches that are scattered throughout the calendar. Lagarde, Nagel, and Elderson are all due to speak, giving plenty of potential for policy nuance to move the single currency. Across the Atlantic, the US docket builds momentum into Friday’s payrolls release. Housing data, consumer confidence, and JOLTS openings will give early signals on labour market health, while the ADP report and ISM surveys on Wednesday add more texture. It’s a steady drip of data that could shift expectations for Fed policy even before the headline jobs number hits. Technicals: EUR/USD at a Crossroads When trading around a week like this, it pays to strip charts back to the basics. On the daily, the long-term bullish structure is intact, with the 50-day moving average still well above the 200-day. That separation reminds us that the trend has been higher for months. But zooming into recent action, momentum has been less convincing. After a failed breakout attempt, EUR/USD has slipped back into its broader range. Sellers have been quick to fade bounces, creating a short-term descending retracement line that continues to weigh on the pair. The picture now is one of compression between that overhead retracement and the support area defined by the September pullback. EUR/USD Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Strategy Scenarios into Payrolls Heading into the jobs data, the playbook is balanced between two paths. A daily close back above the descending line would suggest buyers are regaining control, potentially setting up another run at the upper boundary of the range if US data disappoints. Alternatively, a sustained move beneath the September pullback zone would confirm that the failed breakout has shifted sentiment. In that case, traders would start looking lower within the range, especially if non-farm payrolls surprise to the upside and give the dollar fresh momentum. For traders, this is a classic “wait for the market to show its hand” setup. The longer-term trend remains bullish, but in the short term, EUR/USD has to prove it can either reclaim the highs or hold its ground. Non-farm payrolls will likely provide the catalyst. Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 85.24% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
by Capitalcom
EURUSD is preparing for growth from trend support Correction after updating the maximum. The price is testing liquidity within the trading range, namely the point of maximum volume - the middle of the range. The currency pair forms a false breakdown of the upward support line. A retest of the break-even zone at 1.1689 could be a starting point for growth. The global trend is upward, the local trend is neutral, as the price is consolidating. However, the currency pair forms a false breakdown of the trend support...
Long
by AndeWave
16
EUR/USD – Could We See a Push Into Supply Before a Drop?Looking at the 1H chart, price has been in a clear bearish sequence with lower highs and lower lows forming. Currently, EUR/USD is retracing upwards, and I’m watching the supply zone around 1.1827 – 1.1840 as a potential area of interest. 🔹 We have unmitigated supply sitting above, which could act as the last area to grab liquidity before sellers step back in. 🔹 If price reaches this zone, I’ll be looking for signs of rejection to potentially short back down toward lower demand levels. 🔹 However, the question remains: will buyers have enough momentum to push into that supply first, or do we roll over earlier? 👉 What do you think? Do we tag the supply before the next leg down, or does the bearish continuation kick in sooner?
Short
by Jabu_Souls07
EURUSD bullish continuation resistance at 1.1846The EURUSD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a breakout within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 1.1700 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 1.1700 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 1.1846 – initial resistance 1.1900 – psychological and structural level 1.1933 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 1.1700 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 1.1630 – minor support 1.1585 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the EURUSD holds above 1.1700 A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation