Continuation of the downtrend
I believe once price moves back into the Fair Value Gap, we could see a continuation to the Area Of Interest and take out the previous buy side liquidity.
Trade ideas
EURUSD H4 | Bullish bounce from supportBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price fall to the buy entry, which is a pullback support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Buy entry is at 1.1711, which is. pullback support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 1.1664, which his a pullback support.
Take profit is at 1.1825, which is a pullback resistance.
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EURUSD - Bullish with TP at 1.17700Betting on the regime change and retest, expected to hit 1.17700 with a moderately fast burst.
EURUSD ENTRY IDEAOn this Pair, we are still BEARISH,the EURUSD trend is still DOWN, we had a strong RETRACEMENT into a very strong H4 ZONE, Price early today had INDUCED the first SELLERs as a result of the EUROs gaining strength,we had our entry above the INDUCEMENT on tye 30minutes TF, IF this IDEA matches with your IDEA, we advise you apply a good risk management on this trade. THANK YOU.
Eur/Usd - Accumulation at Support, Targeting Resistance Price is currently ranging between a defined support zone (purple box) and a resistance zone (green box). After a CHoCH (Change of Character) and a Break of Structure (BOS) earlier, the market is showing signs of accumulating near the support level.
Current Setup:
Price is respecting the support zone (1.17250–1.17300) and attempting to form a bullish structure.
A potential rally could follow from this zone, targeting the resistance zone (1.17500–1.17650), marked as a weak high – suggesting it’s likely to be taken out.
Bullish Scenario:
Entry Zone: Within or just above the support
Target: Resistance zone / Weak high area
Invalidation: Clear breakdown below the support zone
Bias: Bullish while support holds
Key Zones:
Support: 1.17250–1.17300
Resistance (Target): 1.17500–1.17650
This setup favors buying the dip with confirmation signals (e.g., bullish engulfing, reversal patterns).
EUR/USD October watch 1.17779 is the game changerFor October, EUR/USD is still caught in a larger macro range, but my key focus remains around the 1.1779 level. This is the zone I’ll be watching closely a decisive reaction here could set the tone for the month, either confirming it as strong support for a bounce or breaking it to open further downside pressure. Keep this level on your chart, because October’s move may revolve around it.
Bearish reversal off 50% Fibonacci resistance?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.1793
1st Support: 1.1637
1st Resistance: 1.1915
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Could we see a drop from here?EUR/USD is reacting off the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.11734
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.1815
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.1638
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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EURUSDKey Data and Market Insights
The EUR/USD opened at $1.1741 today.
The pair's day range has been between $1.1734 and $1.1741.
Historically, October has been a bullish month for the EUR/USD, with an average return of +0.30% over the last 50+ years.
The Euro peeked out to a 4+ year high near $1.1900 in September.
Rising inflation in Europe might keep the European Central Bank (ECB) on hold, while the Federal Reserve (Fed) appears headed for another interest rate cut, potentially narrowing the interest rate differential.
A weakened dollar has added to inflation worries. The dollar has depreciated almost 10% this year.
Monetary policy divergences are likely to play a bigger role in currency performance towards the end of the year.
Eurozone Economic News
The Eurozone economy is reportedly holding up better than expected despite new US tariffs.
Global supply chain pressures remain contained, and bottleneck indicators in the euro area are close to historical averages.
Europe's imports are cheaper due to a strengthening euro against a weakened dollar.
Eurozone inflation was a moderate 2% in August.
Eurozone economic growth was only 0.1% in the second quarter.
Tariffs and associated uncertainty are projected to reduce Eurozone growth by 0.7% between 2025 and 2027.
US Economic News
Real GDP growth totaled 2.4% in 2024, projected to slow this year before rebounding.
The US economy grew at an annualized rate of 1.6% in the first half of 2025.
The Dollar Index has often wobbled but hasn't usually moved decisively during government shutdowns. This year, the Dollar Index is down nearly 10% due to uncertainty about the president's tariff and trade agenda.
SEPT 30: LET'S SEE HOW THIS GOES I just saw price the way I wrotLET'S SEE HOW THIS GOES
I just saw price the way I wrote it so... i guess let's just wait and see what happens.?
EURUSD – Buy to Mega Resistance 1.2455 (then SELL BIG)💹📊 EURUSD – Buy to Mega Resistance 1.2455 (then SELL BIG) 🧨🔮
The EURUSD is marching toward history once again—right into the jaws of the 1.2455 Mega Resistance (descending level-approximate target). As always, the structure tells the story.
📈 What we’re seeing now is the third peak of a massive, decade-long descending formation. Every previous touch has ended in a violent rejection—2014, 2018... and now 2025?
👁 But here’s where it gets spicy:
See that small “👁” near 2017 on the chart? That wasn’t just a market pivot—it was a geopolitical tremor that reshaped the EURUSD landscape. Want to dive into what really happened behind closed doors in 2017 that’s still quietly echoing through the price action today? Drop a comment below for the conspiracy version of this chart. 🕵️♂️📉
🔍 Strategy Overview:
✅ BUY setups targeting 1.2455
❗ Then get ready to SELL BIG — the third touch historically marks the turn.
📉 Bear targets: 1.03860 and 1.04772 (classic collapse zones)
The chart confirms the momentum is still alive—just like the 2020 setup that nailed the top at 1.232 ( )
History doesn’t repeat… but it sure does rhyme 🎭
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first!
EURUSD H4 OUTLOOK !EURUSD SELLING MARKET STRUCTURE ON H4
Lets Talk About Setup !
We Are Selling EU AT : 1.17741 - 18146
Reason For Sell EU ?
FVG
ORDER BLOCK
Take Care Of Your Trade , Good Luck Guys
Trade Journal - EurUSD IDEA - 30-09-2025Just my personal Journal Idea about EurUSD.
Euro is Temporarily bullish, breaks above the Daily Time frame FVG resistance Then we are bullish properly, but if it couldnt close above it, i will be shorting after that.
Tomorrow im expecting to take Long and Bullish Setups after Liquidity Pool is hit until we reach Daily Time Frame FVG above, Its not gonna be a good idea to enter short cuz there are high chances of getting trapped.
30-09-2025
USD short idea: Fundamental analysis.USD weakness has been a theme to start the week, as the post FOMC strength slowly deflates.
I've chosen the EUR to long given recent EUR bounancy and today's inflation data from Germany keeping any future rates cuts in the distance.
The AUD remains a good long option, a 'neutral hold' hasn't dented sentiment and I still like AUD NZD long as a possible trade.
It's even difficult to argue against a USD JPY short trade as fresh talk of an imminent BOJ rate hike hits the wires.
Today's trade is a 20 pip stop loss with 25 pip profit target.
The risk to the trade is USD strength or 'out of the blue' very risk off sentiment.
Lingrid | EURUSD Previous Day High Resistance Short OpportunityFX:EURUSD is recovering from the recent bottom near 1.1645 after support zone rejection. Price action is moving towards the resistance area around 1.1760, aligned with the upward trendline and previous day high. A rejection at this zone could send the pair back toward 1.1680 support. Broader structure suggests a corrective rally within a bearish framework, leaving downside risks intact unless bulls reclaim higher resistance.
⚠️ Risks:
Break above 1.1760 may shift momentum toward 1.1875.
Strong USD data could accelerate selling pressure.
Unexpected ECB commentary may create volatility against the current bias.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
EURUSD at resistance and fib 0.5 short Eurusd trading in down trend and currently pulled back to fib 0.5 level price may resume from here to still more down .
Possible buy continuation on EURUSDPrice has formed a new higher high. Per my system I believe it can retrace to my buy zone and hit a profit of at last 2.16:1.
Any further updates will be posted here
EURUSD — 4H watchPrice poked a touch past the resistance zone, but it’s still pressed against the 50 EMA and starting to lean down as momentum cools. No chasing—I’ll wait for a clear, strong engulfing candle and strong volume to confirm if this wants lower. If it’s not A-grade, I pass.
Educational only. Not financial advice.
#EURUSD #ForexTrading #VMS #AlignedExecution #APlusOnly
EURUSD Is Going Up! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.173.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.181.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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EURUSD Key Levels to Watch Ahead of Non-Farm PayrollsWith non-farm payrolls on the horizon, EUR/USD is stepping into one of the busiest weeks of the month. Inflation updates out of the eurozone, a wave of central bank speeches, and US jobs data will all have traders weighing short-term swings against the bigger trend.
Macro Drivers in Play
The front half of the week belongs to eurozone inflation, with preliminary CPI figures due Tuesday. Core and headline readings will be closely watched for confirmation that disinflation is slowing, which could influence ECB tone in speeches that are scattered throughout the calendar. Lagarde, Nagel, and Elderson are all due to speak, giving plenty of potential for policy nuance to move the single currency.
Across the Atlantic, the US docket builds momentum into Friday’s payrolls release. Housing data, consumer confidence, and JOLTS openings will give early signals on labour market health, while the ADP report and ISM surveys on Wednesday add more texture. It’s a steady drip of data that could shift expectations for Fed policy even before the headline jobs number hits.
Technicals: EUR/USD at a Crossroads
When trading around a week like this, it pays to strip charts back to the basics. On the daily, the long-term bullish structure is intact, with the 50-day moving average still well above the 200-day. That separation reminds us that the trend has been higher for months.
But zooming into recent action, momentum has been less convincing. After a failed breakout attempt, EUR/USD has slipped back into its broader range. Sellers have been quick to fade bounces, creating a short-term descending retracement line that continues to weigh on the pair. The picture now is one of compression between that overhead retracement and the support area defined by the September pullback.
EUR/USD Daily Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Strategy Scenarios into Payrolls
Heading into the jobs data, the playbook is balanced between two paths. A daily close back above the descending line would suggest buyers are regaining control, potentially setting up another run at the upper boundary of the range if US data disappoints.
Alternatively, a sustained move beneath the September pullback zone would confirm that the failed breakout has shifted sentiment. In that case, traders would start looking lower within the range, especially if non-farm payrolls surprise to the upside and give the dollar fresh momentum.
For traders, this is a classic “wait for the market to show its hand” setup. The longer-term trend remains bullish, but in the short term, EUR/USD has to prove it can either reclaim the highs or hold its ground. Non-farm payrolls will likely provide the catalyst.
Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 85.24% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
EURUSDPreferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
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EURUSD: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 1.17380 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSDI got into this trade earlier today. I believe price will target the 1.18180 area if momentum holds. So far, it's looking good. I've taken a lot of Ls lately, but I just need to keep going
