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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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EUR-USD Resistance Ahead! Sell! Hello,Traders! EUR-USD went up from the Rising support just as I predicted in my previous Analysis but now the pair Is about to retest a Horizontal resistance Of 1.1788 and as it is a Strong key level I will be Expecting a local Bearish correction Sell! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TopTradingSignals
1
EURUSD Technical & Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on a multi-timeframe top-down approach and fundamental analysis. Based on our assessment, the price is expected to return to the monthly level. DISCLAIMER: This analysis may change at any time without notice and is solely intended to assist traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no obligation to act on it, nor should you. Please support our analysis with a boost or comment!
Long
by Derry_Trades
1
The Power of Patience Patience isn’t passive. In trading, it’s one of the most profitable skills you can master. When you’re about to take a trade, your entry, stop loss, and take profit need to be known clearly before making the actual move. While determining these points, patience is required in order to execute without fear, hesitation, or leaving money on the table. These past couple of weeks, I realized that my account had been stagnant. Why? I acted on my findings (previous journal entries) and discovered that most of my entries were rushed, taken with hesitation, which led to unnecessary losses. Upon that discovery, I saw that my entries had been made randomly without realizing it. I wasn’t focusing on zones, retests, or breaks. Just like that, I was rushing my entries and not waiting for the right time. FOMO played its part too. Now, I keep a daily reminder: I wait for price to confirm my setup, not just touch it. If I’m unsure, if it’s floating in the air, I don’t enter. The best system fails if you don’t execute it properly. The market rewards those who wait.
by hlengiengwane
Waiting for a signal above 1.172, EURUSD ready to break outHello everyone, On H1, EURUSD recently dropped to 1.169 before bouncing back with a long lower wick – a sign that buying support is still present. Price is now pressing the Ichimoku cloud edge, near the 1.170–1.171 balance zone. Above, there is a layered FVG supply from 1.172 → 1.176–1.178; below are supports around 1.169–1.168, deeper at 1.166 (old FVG bottom). My technical view: I lean slightly bullish as long as price stays above 1.168. If an H1 candle closes above 1.1715–1.172 (fully escaping the cloud), the retracement could push up to 1.174 and test 1.176. Conversely, a close below 1.166 would signal weak rebound momentum, with a risk of returning to 1.162. Regarding news, this week is quite heavy with US PPI today, US CPI tomorrow, followed by jobless claims and the ECB press conference. If US data is soft, the USD may ease, providing tailwind for EURUSD to break 1.172–1.174; hot data could increase supply pressure above, likely dragging price back to 1.169–1.168 to test buying strength. What about you? Do you think EURUSD will break above 1.172 immediately, or will it revisit 1.168 first? Comment below with your view!
Long
by EmmaChartist
7
EUR/USD: Bullish Surge to 1.183?FX:EURUSD is setting up for a bullish move on the 4-hour chart , with an entry zone between 1.16335-1.16650 near a key support and trendline. The target range of 1.1808-1.183 aligns with the next resistance, offering strong upside potential. Set a stop loss on a close below 1.15740 to manage risk effectively. 🌟 A break above 1.1675 with solid volume could trigger this surge, driven by EUR strength and U.S. data shifts. Watch economic releases! 💡 Ready for this push? Drop your take below! 👇 📝 Trade Plan: ✅ Entry Zone: 1.16335 – 1.16650 (support + trendline area) ❌ Stop Loss: Daily close below 1.15740 to manage risk 🎯 Target Zone: 1.1808 – 1.1830 (next resistance) Ready for this push? Drop your take below! 👇
Long
by Master_Hunter
EURUSD 4H Market Outlook — EUR/USD (4H Chart) **Overall View:** The market is setting up for a **two-step move**: 1. **Green arrow:** A short-term push higher (liquidity grab) into the **OB / Hidden POI zone** — around **1.1785 – 1.1828** — to sweep liquidity above recent highs. 2. **Red arrow:** After rejection from that zone, a **strong bearish move** is expected toward **Fib POI ≈ 1.1490** (main target). --- Rationale (Summary) * Market often grabs liquidity above highs before a larger directional move — that’s the purpose of the green leg. * The OB/Hidden POI area is the likely supply zone for institutional selling. * The downside target (Fib POI) aligns with structural support and inefficiencies that price may want to rebalance. --- Key Levels on Chart * Current price: **≈ 1.1744** * Resistance / Supply Zone (OB / Hidden POI): **1.1785 – 1.1828** * Main Target (Fib POI): **≈ 1.1490** * Intermediate support (Fib 50%): shown on chart — may act as temporary pause in the bearish leg. * Timeframe: **4H** — moves may take several days to weeks to play out. --- Trade Management (Suggested) * **Aggressive entry:** Short around **1.1785–1.1828** upon signs of rejection (bearish engulf, rejection wicks, etc.), with stop just above the OB/Hidden POI. * **Conservative entry:** Wait for structural break (4H close below a key swing low/support), then enter on pullback. * **Stop-loss:** Above OB/Hidden POI — e.g., **above \~1.185–1.188** (adjust based on ATR/risk). * **Targets:** * T1: Fib 50% / intermediate support (short-term reaction expected). * T2: **Fib POI ≈ 1.1490** (main target). * Further downside possible if 1.1490 breaks. --- Invalidation * A confirmed **4H close and hold above \~1.185–1.188** would invalidate this short setup. * Also invalid if price skips the liquidity sweep and instead establishes a strong bullish structure directly above OB zone. --- Risk Notes * This is a **technical outlook based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC)** — not financial advice or a guaranteed signal. * Always use proper **risk management** (e.g., risk 1–2% per trade). * Look for 4H candlestick confirmation or supply rejection signals before entering. * Conservative traders can avoid the OB entry and trade only after structure break.
by farzadshokri
1
EURO FUTURES (6E) – Weekly Structural OutlookBias: Short (Macro Caution) Structural Context Price is currently trading above the 75% Premium line, signaling overvaluation within the weekly dealing range. To extend this framework, we can introduce the concept of “Extreme Premium”, symmetrical to the Deep Discount (75%), projected at 75% of the top range. This acts as an upper extension where distribution probability increases significantly. Current Structure The latest move may be interpreted as local re-accumulation (if institutions continue adding to longs, supported by the Fed rate cut). However, given the relative price location (extreme premium), the probability of distribution grows, especially if supply zones on the weekly timeframe show rejection and sustained buying volume fails. Flow Reversal Confirmation For the weekly bias to shift decisively to Short, we would need: Clear institutional pressure in COT reports – net positioning flipping from long to short by asset managers. Break of the daily dealing range, confirming demand failure. Rising volatility (EVZ) to reinforce regime transition. 👉 Summary: Structurally, the Euro is in overvaluation territory (>75% premium). Without confirmation from COT positioning, it is premature to assume broad distribution. A valid short bias requires notable institutional reversal plus a daily dealing range break.
Short
by philipemav
EUR/USD Outlook - Bulls Eye Fresh Breakout as Momentum BuildsHi Everyone, EUR/USD consolidated above the 1.15880–1.16180 support zone last week and came close to testing resistance. Looking ahead, we anticipate a break higher, with the next target set at 1.17889 and a possible move toward the yearly high around 1.18200. Any pullbacks in the near term are expected to hold above the 1.16550 support, maintaining the bullish structure. The impulsive rally from the 1st August low continues to underpin our bullish outlook on EUR/USD. Our broader view remains unchanged: we expect the pair to continue building momentum for another leg to the upside. A decisive break above 1.17889 would open the path toward the 1.18350–1.19290 zone, and ultimately the 1.20000 handle. We’ll be monitoring price action closely to see whether this recovery gains traction and if buyers can sustain momentum through resistance. The longer-term outlook remains bullish, provided price continues to hold above the key support levels. We’ll keep updating you throughout the week as the structure develops and share how we’re managing our active positions. Thanks again for all the likes, boosts, comments, and follows — your support is truly appreciated! All the best for the rest of the week. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
EUR/USD Bullish Reversal Setup from Downtrend Channel (30m)”Chart Pattern The price has been moving in a downward channel (red shaded area). Recently, it touched the support level around 1.1766 – 1.1733 and is showing signs of slowing bearish momentum. The setup suggests a potential bullish reversal if the support holds. 2. Key Levels Support Zone: 1.1766 – 1.1733 Entry Point: Around 1.1766 (marked on chart) Stop Loss: Below 1.1733 Target Point: 1.1919 3. Risk/Reward Risk: ~33 pips (from 1.1766 down to 1.1733) Reward: ~153 pips (from 1.1766 up to 1.1919) Risk-Reward Ratio: ≈ 1:4.6 (very favorable) 4. Trade Idea Buy Setup: If price confirms a bounce from the support zone (1.1766 area), a long trade could be valid. Stop Loss: Keep it just below 1.1733 (to avoid false breakdowns). Take Profit: 1.1919. 5. Notes Watch for a confirmation candle (bullish engulfing, pin bar, or strong rejection) before entry. If the price breaks below 1.1733, the bullish setup is invalid, and further downside may occur. 👉 In short: This chart is showing a potential bullish reversal setup after a downtrend channel, with a very good risk-to-reward ratio if the support holds.
Long
by labagold
EURUSD: Maintaining Uptrend Ahead of FOMCHello everyone, Observing the H1 chart, EURUSD continues its higher-low sequence since 13/9 and has just reclaimed the 1.1765–1.1770 zone with improved liquidity. The price is moving above the Ichimoku cloud upward, indicating buying pressure remains dominant. Short-term support lies around 1.1760–1.1750, with deeper support at 1.1740–1.1725, acting as a “step ladder” if the market experiences pullbacks. On the upside, near-term resistance sits at 1.1785–1.1800; breaking above this could open the way to 1.1820, the previous consolidation high. The most notable event this week is the FOMC, including the rate decision, dot-plot, and Powell’s comments. A dovish tone could ease USD and yields, paving the way for EURUSD to break past 1.1800. Conversely, hawkish signals might trigger a pullback toward 1.1740–1.1725. Additionally, US data such as Retail Sales, Jobless Claims, and Philly Fed, along with European releases including ZEW, final CPI, and ECB comments, could reinforce either scenario. Overall, the trend leans toward accumulating above 1.1750–1.1740 to test 1.1800/1.1820, but traders should remain cautious of strong two-way volatility around the FOMC. What are your thoughts on this view? Comment below!
by EmmaChartist
Unlocking EUR's Value: A Data-Driven Analysis of Macro Factors📊 EURUSD Technical Forecast | Intraday & Swing Outlook 🚀💶💵 Asset Class: EURUSD (CFD) Closing Price: 1.17432 (20th Sept 2025, 12:50 AM UTC+4) 🔎 Technical Overview Trend Context: EURUSD has been consolidating near 1.1740, with mixed signals across short- and mid-term charts. Momentum Check: RSI (H1/H4) → Neutral, close to 50 ⚖️ Volatility: Bollinger Bands tightening → Expect breakout soon 💥 Volume Flow: Anchored VWAP → Buyers defending 1.1720 📈 🕵️ Chart Patterns & Theories Elliott Wave: Wave 4 correction nearing completion – possible Wave 5 uptrend. 🌊 Wyckoff: Signs of re-accumulation in H4 range. 📦 Ichimoku: Price hovering near cloud → watch for bullish breakout ☁️ Gann Levels: Key resistance around 1.1785, support at 1.1700 ⏳ H&S Watch: No clear head & shoulders yet, but traps possible around 1.1760/1.1720 ⚠️ 📈 Intraday Levels (Next 24–48H) 🔹 Buy Zone: 1.1710 – 1.1730 (tight stop below 1.1690) 🎯 Targets: 1.1760 → 1.1785 🔻 Sell Zone: 1.1785 – 1.1805 (stop above 1.1825) 🎯 Targets: 1.1745 → 1.1720 📊 Swing Trading Outlook (Weekly) Bullish Scenario: Sustained break above 1.1805 → eyeing 1.1880 – 1.1925 🌟 Bearish Scenario: Breakdown below 1.1690 → drop toward 1.1625 – 1.1580 🕳️ ⚖️ Strategy Recap Intraday: Range trading between 1.1720 – 1.1785 🎯 Swing: Watch breakout levels for trend confirmation 🚀 or ❌ 🌍 Market Context Geopolitics & ECB vs Fed divergence → driving sentiment. Dollar Index (DXY) consolidation near highs → closely linked. 📌 Key Takeaways ✅ Buy dips near 1.1710–30, target 1.1760–85. ✅ Sell rallies near 1.1785–1.1805, target 1.1720. ⚠️ Major breakout zones: Above 1.1805 = bullish 🚀 | Below 1.1690 = bearish ⛔ For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade) I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors. Sincerely, Shunya.Trade Website: shunya dot trade 📝 TRADING CHECKLIST Before entering any position: - ✅ Confirm volume supports move - ✅ Check RSI for divergences - ✅ Verify multiple timeframe alignment - ✅ Set stop loss before entry - ✅ Calculate position size - ✅ Review correlation with DXY - ✅ Check economic calendar - ✅ Assess market sentiment ⚠️Disclaimer: This post is intended solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed herein are derived from technical analysis and are shared for informational purposes only. The stock market inherently carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Therefore, readers are strongly advised to exercise prudent judgment before making any investment decisions. We assume no liability for any actions taken based on this content. For personalized guidance, it is recommended to consult a certified financial advisor.
by sunya
EURUSD: Local Bearish Bias! Short! My dear friends, Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.17581 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.17487.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Short
by FreeXauusdSignals
EURUSD Daily Forecast -Q3 | W38 | D15 | Y25|📅 Q3 | W38 | D15 | Y25| 📊 EURUSD Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 OANDA:EURUSD
by JCFRGNT