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S&P 500 Under Pressure as Pivot 6,425 HoldsSPX500 – Overview The index dropped nearly 500 points (~0.9%), in line with the previous outlook, and continues to face bearish pressure as long as it trades below the pivot at 6,425. Technical Outlook: 🔻 Bearish scenario: While under 6,425, downside momentum remains intact toward 6,389 → 6,366. 🔺 Bullish scenario: A confirmed 1H close above 6,425 would shift momentum upward, targeting 6,442 → 6,468. Key Levels: Pivot: 6,425 Support: 6,389 – 6,366 Resistance: 6,442 – 6,468 Previous idea:
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
SPX500 Awaits Breakout – Key Levels 6,506 & 6,486SPX500 – Overview The S&P 500 is holding above the 6,490 pivot, with short-term momentum favoring a retest of 6,506. Technical Outlook: 📈 Bullish scenario: While above 6,490, price is expected to test 6,506. A confirmed breakout above this level would extend upside toward 6,527 → 6,550. 📉 Bearish scenario: A confirmed 1H close below 6,486 would open the way to 6,469, with further downside toward 6,425 if that level breaks. Key Levels: Pivot: 6,490 Resistance: 6,506 – 6,527 – 6,550 Support: 6,469 – 6,453 – 6,425
OANDA:SPX500USD
by SroshMayi
(Alchemy Markets) SP500 Elliott Wave Going into US Jobs ReportPrior to the open of the US session tomorrow, the US non-farm payrolls report is released. How will these numbers fair with a new chief labor statistician in place? We'll find out tomorrow. Meanwhile, SPX appears to be carving a wedge. In Elliott wave terms, it would be an ending diagonal pattern. The rally this week appears to be wave 5 of the five-wave pattern. RSI is diverging which is common on the final highs of this pattern. This implies an ending wave may be underway. One of the rules of Elliott wave is that wave 3 cannot be the shortest between waves 1, 3, and 5. Therefore, since wave 3 is shorter than wave 1...this implies wave 5 must be shorter than 3. Plopping that onto the chart, the current wave labeling shows a max price of 6,525. Now, of course price can go higher than 6,525, which would then require us to adopt an alternate wave count. If 6,525 is broken, then I would label the rally from Aug 19 thru today as wave 3. Still more upside, but similar outcome when the pattern does complete. After the ending diagonal is finished, a swift retracement typically is experienced back to 6,212.
SP:SPX
by AlchemyMarkets
S&P500 | Daily Double Top | GTradingMethodHello Traders. Welcome to today's trade idea by GTradingMethod. 🧐 Market Overview: I’ve opened a short on the cash500 (S&P 500) at 6521. All GTradingMethod variables have been met, which means this trade setup qualifies under my system. Additional confluences suggesting weaker buying strength include: - RSI making lower highs while price pushed higher highs. - Volume tapering off toward the latter part of the rally. - MACD on sell signal The only hesitation is that money flows have not decreased in the later stages of this move — but rules are rules. My edge is probability-based, so when my variables align, I must take the trade consistently. 📊 Trade Plan: Risk/reward = 9.2 Entry price = 6520 Stop loss price = 6544 Take profit level 1 (50%) = 6370 Take profit level 2 (50%) = 6215 💡 GTradingMethod Tip: A high RR doesn’t make a trade safer — it simply reflects how far the market could move relative to your risk. Always focus on process and probability, not just the potential payout. 🙏 Thanks for checking out my post! Make sure to follow me to catch the next idea and please share your thoughts - I would like to hear them. 📌 Please note: This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
PEPPERSTONE:US500Short
by GTradingMethod
1
SPX: NVIDIA surging bets on Fed cutThe previous week on the US stock markets was marked with surprisingly low Non-farm payrolls data in August. Namely, only 22K new jobs were added to the US economy, while the market was expecting to see at least 75K. At the same time, unemployment rose to 4,3% in August from 4,2% posted for the previous month. These figures were a game changer when market sentiment is in question, so Friday was a quite volatile day. Namely, during the one day, the positive market sentiment pushed the S&P 500 to the historically highest level at 6.530, but the disappointing jobs data, reverted the optimism, so the index closed the week at 6.481. The slowing jobs market increased expectations that the Fed now has solid grounds to cut interest rates by 25 basis points at their September meeting. The company Kraft Heinz was in the center of news during the previous week, after the announcement that the company will split into two, in a strategic move aimed at unlocking brand value. The split should finalize in the second half of 2026. Shares of the company rose by 1% on the news, however, it should be considered that the stocks lost around 21% over the past year. Another company that was discussed was Robinhood Markets, which will join the S&P 500 index before trading on September 22nd, in a milestone indicating growing mainstream acceptance of the fintech giant. The stocks of the company surged around 7,3% following the announcement. Some higher volatility might be expected also in the coming period on the US stock markets. There are still both positive and negative drivers which are shaping market sentiment. In the week ahead the US August inflation data will be posted, which might bring some higher volatility in case that the figures are not in line with market expectations. For the moment, the easing jobs market in the US is providing a strong case for the rate cut in September.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
1
SPX: NVIDIA shines; Jobs data aheadThe optimism on the US equity markets continued through the week, where the S&P 500 managed to achieve another all-time highest level this year, at 6.507. Friday brought some profit taking, where the index slipped by 0,64%, ending the week at 6.460. Some of the most important US macro data included the PCE, which was in line with market expectations at the level of 0,2% in July, while the second estimate of the GDP growth rate beat market expectations with 3,3% q/q, in relation to 3,0% estimated by market. NVIDIA was in the center of investors attention, due to the post of its quarterly results. The company delivered a standout second-quarter performance, with revenue soaring to $46.7 billion—up 56% year-over-year—driven largely by the AI-focused data-center segment, while also launching a massive $60 billion stock buyback program to return capital to shareholders. Despite the strong financials, the stock slid about 3% after hours, as investors voiced concerns around softer-than-expected data-center momentum and ongoing geopolitical exposure, particularly to China. Although the market generally remains optimistic, it should be considered that the week ahead is bringing two currently important indicators. These are related to Non-farm payrolls and JOLTs Job Openings. In case that some indicator deviates from market expectations, it might trigger short term higher volatility on US equity markets
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
SPX500 Index – Ready for the Next Pullback Heist Move?🚨 SPX500 / US500 Index – The Money Heist Swing Plan 🎭💰 📊 Plan Overview Bias: Bullish 200-SMA Pullback Plan @ 6380.00 Entry Strategy (Layering Style): Thief strategy = multiple buy limit orders stacked like layers 🎯 6400.00 ✅ 6410.00 ✅ 6420.00 ✅ 6440.00 ✅ (You can increase or adjust the layering based on your own style and risk tolerance.) 🛡️ Stop Loss (Thief SL) SL: 6360.00 ⚠️ Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), adjust your SL to fit your risk style. This is just the plan’s guardrail. 🎯 Target / Exit Target Zone: 6580.00 🚀 Note: This is the “Police Resistance” 🛑 – an overbought + trap zone. Escape with the stolen money 🎭💰 before getting caught. Reminder: Not financial advice. You decide where to take profits. 🤔 Why This Plan? 🔹 200 SMA Pullback Logic: Price retraced into moving average = classic thief-style entry. 🔹 Layering Strategy Advantage: Building positions gradually improves average entry price & reduces risk. 🔹 Momentum & Sentiment: Neutral Fear & Greed Index (53/100) 😐 and low volatility (VIX 16.9) = stable environment for pullback entries. 🔹 Market Strength: US500 is up +16.81% YTD 🚀 with strong sector support (Alphabet +8.57%, Macy’s +19%). 🔹 Risk Factor: Economic data shows weakness (job openings & factory orders ↓), but bulls remain in control = reason for cautious layering. 🔹 Overall Outlook: Bullish score 65/100 ✅ → Mildly bullish bias fits perfectly with a buy-the-dip pullback strategy. 🔹 Trap Zone Awareness: Plan exits near resistance at 6580.00 to avoid overbought trap — thieves always escape before alarms go off 🚨. 📊 US500 INDEX CFD Real-Time Data (September 03) Daily Change: +0.51% ↗️ Monthly Performance: +1.87% ↗️ Yearly Performance: +16.81% 🚀 All-Time High: 6,510.93 (August 2025) 😰😊 Investor Sentiment: Fear & Greed Index Current Reading: 53/100 (Neutral) 😐 Trend: Balanced sentiment with no extreme fear or greed. Key Indicators: Market Momentum: S&P 500 above 125-day moving average (positive momentum) ↗️ Volatility (VIX): Low volatility (16.90), indicating stability 🟢 Options Activity: Put/Call ratio stable (no significant fear) Junk Bond Demand: Moderate risk appetite Safe Haven Demand: Bonds underperforming stocks (greed signal) 📈 Fundamental & Macro Score Market Breadth: Moderate (balanced volume) ⚖️ Economic Data: Job openings lowest since Sept (weakness) 🔻 Factory orders down -1.3% 🔻 Friday’s jobs report = critical ⚠️ Sector Performance: Communication services (Alphabet +8.57%) 🟢 Consumer discretionary (Macy’s +19%) 🟢 Energy sector weak (Exxon Mobil -2.08%) 🔻 🐂🐻 Overall Market Outlook Bullish Score: 65/100 (Mildly Bullish) ✅ Reasons: Strong yearly gains (+16.81%) Low volatility & neutral sentiment support stability Tech & communication sectors leading momentum Risks: Weakening job & factory data High valuations near ATH 💡 Key Takeaways US500 trending upward with neutral short-term sentiment. Friday’s jobs report = key catalyst. Sector rotation in play: tech strong, energy weak. Balanced fear/greed supports controlled bullish setups. 📌 Related Pairs to Watch FOREXCOM:SPX500 CAPITALCOM:US500 TVC:DJI NASDAQ:NDX TVC:VIX (for risk gauge) ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #SPX500 #US500 #IndexTrading #SwingTrade #LayeredEntry #SMAPullback #TradingPlan #StockMarket #SP500 #InvestorSentiment #FearGreed
TRADU:SPX500Long
by The-Thief
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 5, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During the trading sessions of the previous week, the S&P 500 Index exhibited a notable downward movement, reaching the Intermediary In Force Pullback Extension of 6370. An Odds-on Secondary Rebound subsequently followed this decline, as the index restored its upward trajectory by achieving the Mean Resistance level of 6502, although it subsequently settled below this benchmark. It is essential to acknowledge that the current rebound from the Mean Support level of 6447 suggests a significant probability of a sustained upward movement toward the long-term objective, namely the Outer Index Rally at 6543, as detailed in the prior S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis. Conversely, one must consider the potential for a substantial pullback to the Mean Support extension level of 6413, which would likely precede another rebound. Moreover, it is critical to recognize that the ongoing price fluctuations may induce a considerable pullback after the fulfillment of the Outer Index Rally target at 6543. Following this anticipated downward adjustment, the index will likely resume its upward trend, targeting the completion of the Outer Index Rally at 6420.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
Weekly insighta EUR/USD S&P500 NVDA METAThis video is a weekly insights report from a financial trader on TradingView. I amdiscussing my analysis and predictions for several financial instruments based on technical and fundamental indicators. Key Points: Market Overview: The speaker talks about the impact of recent US unemployment data on the market, which led to a "parabolic" rise in the Euro dollar. Euro Dollar: Based on a technical analysis of an "expanding diagonal" and an old trend line, the speaker believes a false breakout is likely. They plan to avoid trading USD pairs for the next 11 days, waiting for the Fed's interest rate decision. S&P 500: The speaker notes a five-wave Elliot wave pattern with an expanding diagonal. They are waiting for the price to break below a trend line and a red confirmation line before considering a short position. They anticipate a "choppy" market for the coming week. Nvidia: The speaker received "hate comments" for their previous analysis of Nvidia. They stand by their short position, citing a break below the exponential moving average, a "huge" divergence on the monthly chart, and a "shooting star" candle pattern. They note that Nvidia is the heaviest stock in the S&P 500, representing 7.5% of the index. Bitcoin: The speaker points out that Bitcoin's price has crossed and retested two moving averages, which they see as a bearish sign. They will consider a short position if the price breaks below the previous low. They also expect Bitcoin to be stagnant in the coming week while the market waits for the Fed's decision. Call to Action : The video concludes with a plea for viewers to subscribe to the speaker's TradingView channel for more trading insights and short-trade opportunities.
SP:SPXShort
by MartketsTitan
Consolidation before ATHThe S&P 500 will likely consolidate and correct slightly before the next leg up. A rally will probably start a day or two before the upcoming Fed meeting. The correction could reach the 0.38 Fibonacci level maybe 0.5, meaning a maximum drop of around 10%. The RSI indicates that the market needs to cool off, and the MACD shows a similar pattern. However, the advance-decline line remains extremely bullish, with no signs of a major drop ahead.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Consistent_Trades
SPX topped on Sept 5I believe the Sept 5 Friday gap up and reversal at opening marked the top of the rally since Apr lows. 1. RSI div on Daily 2. Extreme chop and fading momentum since August which is typical for wave 4 3. Broken Apr trend channel and retested 4. Divergence between SPX and NDQ (which didn't make an ATH) 5. Risk-on assets like NASDAQ:SMH (e.g. NASDAQ:NVDA ), AMEX:XLK (e.g. NASDAQ:MSFT ), and BITSTAMP:BTCUSD are all breaking down Even though there is more upside, it would be limited and we are in the late stage rally since April. Sept seasonality is real.
SP:SPXShort
by TraderBwater
$SPX Trading Range for 9.2.25 Tomorrow’s Trading range looks fun. All of Friday’s candle’s were red, and we have the 35EMA as resistance. Under that we have the 30min 200MA so definitely keep an eye out for that, it is still facing up so it should offer some support - even if just for a technical bounce, and under that all the way at the bottom of the trading range, even underneath the implied moves for the next two days is the 1hr 200MA At the top of the trading range we have a bear gap just under ATH’s. Let me know how you plan to trade this. Let’s make some money.
SP:SPX
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
U.S. Macroeconomic DashboardThis is more of a cheatsheet/how-to for my own reference on my macro indicators charting layout. If the chart layout is helpful to the community, all the better! I find it useful for studying events and crises. Indicators used: SPX, VIX, FEDFUNDS + US10Y + T10Y2Y, USIRYY + USCIR, UNRATE, USBCOI, BAMLH0A0HYM2, DXY Row 1: Equity and volatility benchmarks Row 2: Policy stance and inflation Row 3: Unemployment and growth metrics Row 4: Credit spreads and USD strength SPX Measuring : Equity benchmark Relevance : Broadest market barometer Observe : Trend direction, key levels, divergence vs other indicators VIX Measuring : Volatility index Relevance : Market's implied volatility (read: "fear/greed gauge") Observe : Spike --> risk-off, hedging demand; sustained lows --> complacency FEDFUNDS + US10Y + T10Y2Y Measuring : U.S. policy stance and yield curve Relevance : Monetary tightening and loosening; yield curve recession slope Observe : T10Y2Y curve inversion --> recession risk; bear steepening --> watch for inflation/deficit concerns; bull steepening --> Fed easing, recovery signal USIRYY + USCIR Measuring : Inflation Relevance : Headline: all prices; Core: Excluding food + energy Observe : Headline stat drives short-term moves. Core stat drives Fed policy UNRATE Measuring : Unemployment rate Relevance : Labor market health (this is a lagging indicator) Observe : Rising trend --> recession risk; very low --> possible overheating USBCOI Measuring : Manufacturing PMI; Business activity Relevance : Leading growth indicator for manufacturing, services Observe : >50 means expansion, <50 means contraction BAMLH0A0HYM2 Measuring : U.S. High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread (the extra yield/spread investors demand to hold junk bonds vs risk-free Treasuries) Relevance : Stress in corporate bond markets; risk sentiment Observe : Widening --> investors demand more compensation for credit risk; narrowing --> investors are confident, low fear of defaults. 2-4 is normal, 4-6 is stressed, 6+ is distress, 10+ is crisis level DXY Measuring : USD strength Relevance : Global liquidity, capital flows, financial conditions Observe : Strong USD = tighter conditions and pressure on risk assets; inverse for weak USD
TVC:SPXEducation
by klizarazo
US500 Short Term Correction US500 Snapshot US500 is experiencing a sharp pullback driven by heightened risk aversion, rising Treasury yields, and defensive repositioning ahead of major US macro data releases. Sentiment turned noticeably bearish, and technical patterns point to a shift towards correction after months of bullish momentum. Fundamental Broad sentiment was bearish today while equities declined and volatility (VIX) spiked. Defensive sectors (utilities, healthcare, consumer staples) outperformed while tech and growth stocks led losses. Investors are responding to seasonal September risks, rising bond yields near 4.5%, Fed rate cut uncertainty, and anxiety from recent legal and policy headlines Technical The index is now in a short term correction, ending a strong summer rally and moving off all time highs, reflective of portfolio rebalancing and increased caution typical for September. A confirmed daily close below 6,336 would increase the likelihood of a deeper retracement wave targeting 6,000 Current momentum favors near term downside until macro trends, notably labor data and Fed signals, clarify the outlook. Momentum has shifted towards testing the downside with 6,345 – 6,336 as critical areas to monitor for increased volatility and potential accelerated selling Key Levels Resistance 6,500 –6,545, Recent all-time high region, upside cap Support 6,428 First key support, Strong Support 6,345 Lower floor, downside target if selling persists Analysis by Terence Hove, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
SP:SPXShort
by WiseLeoTrading
S&P 500 | Rising Wedge at Highs – April VWAP in FocusThe S&P 500 has been climbing inside a rising wedge pattern, often seen as a sign that momentum is slowing down. At the same time, the RSI is showing lower highs, which hints at weakening strength behind the move. Right now, the market feels like it’s waiting for a spark. That spark could come from the macro side — whether it’s rising bond yields making stocks look less attractive, political and trade policy uncertainty shaking confidence, or fresh worries about how much longer central banks can keep rates high. Any of these could act as the trigger for a break. If the wedge breaks to the downside, the first key area to watch is the anchored VWAP from the April lows. That level has the potential to act as a support zone, since it represents where buyers stepped back in during the last big turnaround after the tariff scare. For now, it’s a case of patience and levels: wedge support on the downside, VWAP from April as the bigger decision point.
SP:SPX
by AlchemyMarkets