DavidBelleFX

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About me Wyckoff phase trader & macro analyst.
Joined UK DavidBelleFX
Agora Financial UK
Markets Allocation
64 % forex 15 % stocks 4 % indices 17 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
GBPUSD 7% | 10 USDJPY 6% | 8 EURUSD 4% | 6 XAUUSD 4% | 6
DavidBelleFX DavidBelleFX SPX500, 240, Long ,
SPX500: SPX long
146 0 7
SPX500, 240 Long
SPX long

Bid from creek

DavidBelleFX DavidBelleFX AUDUSD, 60, Long ,
AUDUSD: AUDUSD long
162 0 11
AUDUSD, 60 Long
AUDUSD long

Nice area of strong support here. Play up to new highs.

DavidBelleFX DavidBelleFX XAUUSD, 240, Short ,
XAUUSD: Selling a low volume rally of gold @ 1213-1220
171 1 5
XAUUSD, 240 Short
Selling a low volume rally of gold @ 1213-1220

Sell a low volume rally into this area to continue with downtrend.

DavidBelleFX DavidBelleFX EURUSD, 30, Short ,
EURUSD: EURUSD Short
187 6 7
EURUSD, 30 Short
EURUSD Short

Rounded retest resistance. Price to complete at demand at above 1.05

DavidBelleFX DavidBelleFX JPN225, D, Long ,
JPN225: Nikkei Long
104 0 5
JPN225, D Long
Nikkei Long

Vol spike in accum. Breakout of range/accumulation resistance and look to buy a move back where early longs are taken out at resistance turned support at 19595 or lower at 19131. Take profit at 21000

DavidBelleFX DavidBelleFX AUDJPY, 240, Short ,
AUDJPY: AJ short.
101 0 4
AUDJPY, 240 Short
AJ short.

Playing the 50% move on a strong unfilled rally.

DavidBelleFX DavidBelleFX EURUSD, 15, Long ,
EURUSD: EURUSD intraday long
163 0 11
EURUSD, 15 Long
EURUSD intraday long

Bid to 1.0713

DavidBelleFX DavidBelleFX GBPUSD, D, Long ,
GBPUSD: Cable long
175 0 12
GBPUSD, D Long
Cable long

Wyckoff sentiment. Building a bullish cycle. In the back of my mind there is still the even larger timeframe picture where we could get down to 1.05 but for now I'd be blindly long at 1.217. Non comms have been short covering since November leading to the 4/500 tick rally from 1.20. Volume has had upticks recently above the 200vma which provides somewhat of a ...

DavidBelleFX DavidBelleFX AUDUSD, 15, Short ,
AUDUSD: AUDUSD Short
194 3 8
AUDUSD, 15 Short
AUDUSD Short

Wyckoff top. Look to see the retrace at 0.747

DavidBelleFX DavidBelleFX GBPUSD, 60, Short ,
GBPUSD: Short Cable from 1.226.
160 0 8
GBPUSD, 60 Short
Short Cable from 1.226.

Simple creek retracement for a short. Would be looking for 1.2080. I am also bid to this price.

DavidBelleFX DavidBelleFX XAUUSD, D, Long ,
XAUUSD: Gold long
364 0 11
XAUUSD, D Long
Gold long

The the heavy gold seller at Comex open every 6 days from Nov 11th has seemingly stopped with the last heavy sell on the 30th November (they were a day late)! I have no idea who it was but there was a clear pattern if you observe the sell off and accumulation on the 1400 hr candle on h4 tf. Currently at rounded retest at 1166 with a 50% fib confluence of previous ...

DavidBelleFX DavidBelleFX EURUSD, 240, Long ,
EURUSD: EURUSD long
189 0 7
EURUSD, 240 Long
EURUSD long

Idea to link to weekly

DavidBelleFX DavidBelleFX GBPUSD, 60, Long ,
GBPUSD: GBPUSD bid @ 1.242.
267 0 8
GBPUSD, 60 Long
GBPUSD bid @ 1.242.

Bid Cable from rounded retest at 1.242. Potential to break down to 1.238 where you can also find an opportunity to go long.

DavidBelleFX DavidBelleFX USOIL, W, Long ,
USOIL: WTI LONG
666 2 14
USOIL, W Long
WTI LONG

=

DavidBelleFX DavidBelleFX USDCAD, D,
USDCAD: USDCAD bid til 1.42. Short with oil price ^^
232 0 5
USDCAD, D
USDCAD bid til 1.42. Short with oil price ^^

I feel that oil is to strengthen longer term (see linked chart) and this will put pressure on the USD. When Trump's final cabinet is found and we have some real direction as to his policy, this is when we will see the USD come off as the market is merely pricing in fiscal expansion at this point.

DavidBelleFX DavidBelleFX TNX, M,
TNX: US 10Y Yield.
81 0 6
TNX, M
US 10Y Yield.

The US 10Y yield has been in a downtrend for an extremely long time (further back that this data shows). We could be capped at between 2.5-3% from here on in and the yield suggests that future interest rates are going to remain low. Well, the expectations theory says that long-term rates embed a prediction of future short-term rates. So we could imply from this ...

DavidBelleFX DavidBelleFX TNX, D, Short ,
TNX: Short US10Y Yield (long 10Y bond)
135 2 5
TNX, D Short
Short US10Y Yield (long 10Y bond)

I feel as though bond buying is going to commence again. The risk on behaviour is hugely unfounded. The only caveat is that Yellen has almost completely said there will be a hike in December. This would obviously be bullish yields. I dont necessarily think it is the right move, as this will deleverage equity indices, which I think are very fragile still as well. ...

DavidBelleFX DavidBelleFX FRED/TEDRATE, W,
FRED/TEDRATE: TEDSPREAD first sustained period above VIX since 06
104 0 5
FRED/TEDRATE, W
TEDSPREAD first sustained period above VIX since 06

The TEDSpread is an indicator of credit risk. I have no idea if this means anything, but the TedSpread (Red) has been above the VIX (blue) for the last 3 or so months. This is the first sustained period since late 2006, exactly a decade later. The VVIX (volume volatility of the VIX) has had declining highs over the period. I'm going to investigate this more and ...

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