DavidBelleFX

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About me Wyckoff phase trader & macro analyst.
Last visit Joined 2 years ago UK @DavidBelleFX davidbellefx.com
Want to trade real options? Use London Capital Group: http://bit.ly/2fETttv (Not binary options, no US clients).
Markets Allocation
64 % forex 16 % stocks 4 % indices 16 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
GBPUSD 7% | 9 FX:USDJPY 6% | 8 EURUSD 5% | 6 FX_IDC:USDJPY 5% | 6
DavidBelleFX DavidBelleFX AUDUSD, 15, Short , 9 days ago
AUDUSD: AUDUSD Short
143 3 7
AUDUSD, 15 Short
AUDUSD Short
Wyckoff top. Look to see the retrace at 0.747
DavidBelleFX DavidBelleFX GBPUSD, 60, Short , 12 days ago
GBPUSD: Short Cable from 1.226.
140 0 7
GBPUSD, 60 Short
Short Cable from 1.226.
Simple creek retracement for a short. Would be looking for 1.2080. I am also bid to this price.
DavidBelleFX DavidBelleFX XAUUSD, D, Long , 2 months ago
XAUUSD: Gold long
342 0 11
XAUUSD, D Long
Gold long
The the heavy gold seller at Comex open every 6 days from Nov 11th has seemingly stopped with the last heavy sell on the 30th November (they were a day late)! I have no idea who it was but there was a clear pattern if you observe the sell off and accumulation on the 1400 hr candle on h4 tf. Currently at rounded ...
DavidBelleFX DavidBelleFX EURUSD, 240, Long , 2 months ago
EURUSD: EURUSD long
172 0 7
EURUSD, 240 Long
EURUSD long
Idea to link to weekly
DavidBelleFX DavidBelleFX GBPUSD, 60, Long , 2 months ago
GBPUSD: GBPUSD bid @ 1.242.
254 0 8
GBPUSD, 60 Long
GBPUSD bid @ 1.242.
Bid Cable from rounded retest at 1.242. Potential to break down to 1.238 where you can also find an opportunity to go long.
DavidBelleFX DavidBelleFX USOIL, W, Long , 2 months ago
USOIL: WTI LONG
632 2 14
USOIL, W Long
WTI LONG
=
DavidBelleFX DavidBelleFX USDCAD, D, 2 months ago
USDCAD: USDCAD bid til 1.42. Short with oil price ^^
220 0 5
USDCAD, D
USDCAD bid til 1.42. Short with oil price ^^
I feel that oil is to strengthen longer term (see linked chart) and this will put pressure on the USD. When Trump's final cabinet is found and we have some real direction as to his policy, this is when we will see the USD come off as the market is merely pricing in fiscal expansion at this point.
DavidBelleFX DavidBelleFX TNX, M, 2 months ago
TNX: US 10Y Yield.
76 0 6
TNX, M
US 10Y Yield.
The US 10Y yield has been in a downtrend for an extremely long time (further back that this data shows). We could be capped at between 2.5-3% from here on in and the yield suggests that future interest rates are going to remain low. Well, the expectations theory says that long-term rates embed a prediction of ...
DavidBelleFX DavidBelleFX TNX, D, Short , 2 months ago
TNX: Short US10Y Yield (long 10Y bond)
125 2 5
TNX, D Short
Short US10Y Yield (long 10Y bond)
I feel as though bond buying is going to commence again. The risk on behaviour is hugely unfounded. The only caveat is that Yellen has almost completely said there will be a hike in December. This would obviously be bullish yields. I dont necessarily think it is the right move, as this will deleverage equity ...
DavidBelleFX DavidBelleFX FRED/TEDRATE, W, 2 months ago
FRED/TEDRATE: TEDSPREAD first sustained period above VIX since 06
98 0 5
FRED/TEDRATE, W
TEDSPREAD first sustained period above VIX since 06
The TEDSpread is an indicator of credit risk. I have no idea if this means anything, but the TedSpread (Red) has been above the VIX (blue) for the last 3 or so months. This is the first sustained period since late 2006, exactly a decade later. The VVIX (volume volatility of the VIX) has had declining highs over the ...
DavidBelleFX DavidBelleFX AUDNZD, W, Long , 2 months ago
AUDNZD: AUDNZD longs
170 0 8
AUDNZD, W Long
AUDNZD longs
Simple Wyckoff profile here. AUD for me seems bullish and with sentiment on NZD in the longer term falling, my guess is that we could really see some momentum here, especially with this bottoming out pattern.
DavidBelleFX DavidBelleFX USOIL, W, Long , 2 months ago
USOIL: Oil long - Wyckoff.
550 2 15
USOIL, W Long
Oil long - Wyckoff.
Looking at longs on weekly from $30. Mid term moves would imply dollar strength with oil looking to fall further. Looking at Gold as well, we have reached a key daily resistance and Gold has the potential to move to $1000 to the downside.
DavidBelleFX DavidBelleFX USDJPY, W, Short , 2 months ago
USDJPY: AUDJPY weekly
358 6 11
USDJPY, W Short
AUDJPY weekly
Wyckoff tech basis.
DavidBelleFX DavidBelleFX DB, W, 3 months ago
DB: DB & TED Rate Analysis
158 0 7
DB, W
DB & TED Rate Analysis
This indicates to me that there are major problems coming post election. DB have a huge amount of systematic risk through their bond derivative exposure, which will cause a major crisis if heavy deleveraging occurs. Italian banks are also heavily under threat as MdP has already had to be semi bailed out by the ...
DavidBelleFX DavidBelleFX GBPUSD, W, 3 months ago
GBPUSD: Could the Brexit vote have been predicted?
233 0 7
GBPUSD, W
Could the Brexit vote have been predicted?
Take a look at the chart. The market started to price in the leave vote back in May 2015. We formed a head and shoulders pattern which had developed over many years with the right shoulder coming into play when the Queen announced the EU Referendum Bill. It then played out like a standard HS pattern. Obviously ...
DavidBelleFX DavidBelleFX XAUUSD, D, 3 months ago
XAUUSD: Wyckoff short term & long term on Gold
645 4 18
XAUUSD, D
Wyckoff short term & long term on Gold
Pink boxes longer term wyckoff pattern, orange/yellow shorter term wyckoff pattern.
DavidBelleFX DavidBelleFX UK100, D, Short , 3 months ago
UK100: FTSE100 Short from current price.
185 0 4
UK100, D Short
FTSE100 Short from current price.
Wyckoff completion to signify bear market.
DavidBelleFX DavidBelleFX GBPJPY, W, Long , 3 months ago
GBPJPY: gbpjpy selling climax.
252 0 3
GBPJPY, W Long
gbpjpy selling climax.
Wyckoff again.
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