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Bid from creek
Nice area of strong support here. Play up to new highs.
Sell a low volume rally into this area to continue with downtrend.
Rounded retest resistance. Price to complete at demand at above 1.05
Vol spike in accum. Breakout of range/accumulation resistance and look to buy a move back where early longs are taken out at resistance turned support at 19595 or lower at 19131. Take profit at 21000
Playing the 50% move on a strong unfilled rally.
Bid to 1.0713
Wyckoff sentiment. Building a bullish cycle. In the back of my mind there is still the even larger timeframe picture where we could get down to 1.05 but for now I'd be blindly long at 1.217. Non comms have been short covering since November leading to the 4/500 tick rally from 1.20. Volume has had upticks recently above the 200vma which provides somewhat of a ...
Wyckoff top. Look to see the retrace at 0.747
Simple creek retracement for a short. Would be looking for 1.2080. I am also bid to this price.
The the heavy gold seller at Comex open every 6 days from Nov 11th has seemingly stopped with the last heavy sell on the 30th November (they were a day late)! I have no idea who it was but there was a clear pattern if you observe the sell off and accumulation on the 1400 hr candle on h4 tf. Currently at rounded retest at 1166 with a 50% fib confluence of previous ...
Idea to link to weekly
Bid Cable from rounded retest at 1.242. Potential to break down to 1.238 where you can also find an opportunity to go long.
I feel that oil is to strengthen longer term (see linked chart) and this will put pressure on the USD. When Trump's final cabinet is found and we have some real direction as to his policy, this is when we will see the USD come off as the market is merely pricing in fiscal expansion at this point.
The US 10Y yield has been in a downtrend for an extremely long time (further back that this data shows). We could be capped at between 2.5-3% from here on in and the yield suggests that future interest rates are going to remain low. Well, the expectations theory says that long-term rates embed a prediction of future short-term rates. So we could imply from this ...
I feel as though bond buying is going to commence again. The risk on behaviour is hugely unfounded. The only caveat is that Yellen has almost completely said there will be a hike in December. This would obviously be bullish yields. I dont necessarily think it is the right move, as this will deleverage equity indices, which I think are very fragile still as well. ...
The TEDSpread is an indicator of credit risk. I have no idea if this means anything, but the TedSpread (Red) has been above the VIX (blue) for the last 3 or so months. This is the first sustained period since late 2006, exactly a decade later. The VVIX (volume volatility of the VIX) has had declining highs over the period. I'm going to investigate this more and ...