If btc can hold under the 10,6k area and print yet another lower high on the 4hr tf , i expect to see 9k once more in my opinion, a break under that and 8k would open up in my opinion where i would expect a significant bounce up to test the yearly high. Just an idea , happy trading ...
If we get a strong wage growth report and decent nfp i expect a dip as 100% july rate cut is priced in, i would expect some of that to come off today. Happy trading :)
I see a possibility of gold dropping quite a bit as long as there arent any additional trade related or Iranian conflict risk, imo. I dont believe the fed will cut rates especially now because q2 real gdp and q2 real pce were both revised up after the strong retail data friday, amongst other things. At anytime price is over 1350 the short becomes high risk imo....
Could drop to 1.1475 again, if so and that holds , 1.1600 looks possible. No guarantee it will fall again to 1.475 but if it does come down a bit , i would be watching that area for a possible bounce up... happy trading , just an idea
Just a thought... i think eu may comedown a bit to 1.1920 then up again to test the 1.1990 area then possibly down again to the 1.1935 area . If that were to hold i would expect eu to test 1.2020 and if it can get and hold above that 1.2090 seems possible. Important to note , that if eu gets under 1.1900, 1.1855 becomes a possibility... happy trading
Im thinking Draghi may try to talk down the euro a bit tmrw... not trading advice, just an idea of a possibility... 1.2340 might hold in the near term if it did fall. Then a possible retest of the highs.. 1.2425 is still possible imo, but if it does fall im thinking 1.2260ish if 1.2300 breaks... happy trading
Its important that 1.1860 holds for this to stay valid... above 1.1915 , mid 1.19s is in focus... not trading advice its just my thoughts...
This is just a quick mark up, I'll take a closer look over the weekend, but it looks like eu has some downside potential. I think it may hit 1.1480s .. for today im thinking some upside to 1670ish, then a big down move for the u.s session. Im thinking 1.1580ish would be an extreme low possibility. But iat least 1.1600.. just an idea. Not trading advice. But again...
I believe eu is bouncing off a demand zone and may move towards 1.1940ish. I think last weeks NFP miss will play a factorthis week. The Spain issue seems to be calming down a bit so that should be somewhat positive for the eu.. there's been some talk NK may launch another missle or test a bomb, i think that carries the biggest upside risk for eu, i think any...
I think the market will dip on soft german data then spike for draghi in anticipation of a positive outlook towards tapering then fade on uncertainty as to the timing of potential tapering. If the week closes near 1.1450ish jt would suggest bearish pressure on a higher time frame and may create what is known as a shooting star weekly bar. This ks only an udea and...
Eu broke some key leve S to the upside which suggest alot more upside potential but i beleive eu inflation data due next week may send eu into a correction. Abobe 1.1560 and the idea is invslid. Not trading advice just my point of view... in my trade im considering fu damentals as well
The usd is clearly in a corrective phase, but fundamentaly the usd is in better shape than the euro. When comparing both monetary policies, they are moving polar opposite, the ecb will continue to ease while the fed is projecting to continue tightening which is positive for e dollar.what seems to be holdingthe dollar back is the uncertainty behind trumps fiscal...
The first obstacle will be breaking thru the 1.1250 area. There are sellers waiting at the 1300 level as well from there we may bounce off slightly before continuing up. Important fundamental data to watch this week will be 1. U.S ISM and PMI surveys this week 2. NFP report 3 Fed speakers, Lacker, Evans, Kashkari, Fischer Master, Brainard, and George are all...